 But here's there's one question that came up and this is sort of math related, right? We'll do the corona virus here I'll show you the crown. Actually, let's do the corona virus before we do I just want to show you what is what it looks like, right? Just so everyone gets a feel I'm pretty sure everyone here has a good feel for it how exponential growth works but we'll just do a little simple graphic of that and then We'll deal with the money laundering through the art community, right? so from From what I've understand I fall sort of following this because it's interesting to me. I like post-apocalyptic movies comic books just science fiction on that level and As soon as you see a government Putting dirt on highways to close off 35 million people You start thinking zombie apocalypse, right? So take a look at this So corona virus is doubling every 30 hours or so the number of cases that are being reported, right? This can't get enough of Chico's So take a look at this zero How many days are we in? It's Three weeks four weeks. Is it around four weeks? Fasca our congratulations, but make sure you keep practicing math because it keeps you sharp. I agree with her bald Two weeks isn't it? So it's two weeks into the corona virus. So that's 14 hours, right? So it's not 14 hours 14 days, right around for you, right around four weeks Okay, four weeks. So four times seven is 28. So we got 28 times 24, right? four times a 32 2 3 8 11 0 16 1 8 4 5 5 So two seven six, so we got 672 Hours into the corona virus the first reported cases, right or acknowledged cases, right? For sure. I'll I'll make sure to study simple math on my own statistics by statistics specially, right? So let's assume we're into 672 Hours, right? So what we can do is we round us up make it 700, right? So we're just going to put 700 there if we're putting 700 there we're going to split this up into 500 increments, right? So if we go in the middle, that's 3500 or 350 so 350 if we're going 500 so we can't go in the middle, right? So what do we need? We need Not 500 increments. Should we do 50 increments? Oh, let's just do in the middle. So What are we going to do this in 350? This doesn't work out nice. Let's make this 800. I just want to make it nice My mind is a little mush still, okay? So let's make this 400, okay? We make this 200 we make this 600, right? And then 100 300 500 700 oops 700 right? Hours So How many cases of Corona virus acknowledge are there from what I understand there is a Few dozen acknowledge deaths and it's a 3% 2 to 3% kill or death Outcome right so out of 100 people 100 people three die Right we call this cases Three dead die If this is two morbid by the way, let me know we'll stop talking about but it is what it is, right? I don't know how many cases there are right now. I lost track. I think it was like was it 2,000 4,000 5,000 let's make it 6,000 right? Let's put 6,000 here 6,000 right this will be 3,000 1,000 2,000 4,000 5,000 right So we were at 676 cases 50 50 death. I believe 50 death. I love that So 50 death right so we can figure out how many cases there are by just doing cross multiplication, right? So if you have a hundred over three, right? For every hundred cases three die, that's 3% death rate if there's 50 death, right? We can figure out how many cases there are right cross multiply you got five time 50 times a hundred is 5,000 I Usually do this with my students But here we'll do it again. You can cross multiplication I'll I usually always when I teach cross multiplication and follow through Later on once I've done it a few times people figure out that you really don't need to bring the three up because you're gonna divide by three again Right, so X is equal to what's 50,000 divided by three right for Four or five thousand divided by three four thousand five hundred would be fifteen hundred, right? So I'm pretty sure there's more than fifteen hundred cases. So let's assume. There's two thousand cases already, okay? So this would be three we can do the long division, right? Three goes into five once three minus two bring this down zero six 18 to zero six zero six So according to 50 deaths approximately 50 deaths we got one thousand six hundred sixty six crazy number, right? One thousand six hundred sixty zombie apocalypse is here The virus is deadliest for elders children and pregnant woman is that I don't know about the pregnant woman I know for and and anybody that's already sick like for me that I'm coming out of a flu It wouldn't be a good idea to get the coronavirus because my What do you call it? My system is already compromised a little bit, right? my My mind is mush like I can't even think about the right words, right? so The immune system is already compromised. So anybody that's already sick is more prone to it Like I'm pretty sure the three percent is across the board. It's not three percent for Children or the elderly. I'm pretty sure the rate is higher and the one thing I read today There's six Divine numbers In use immune system. Thank you. Avoid From what I understand if we have a 3% Death Rate for a virus that's about the average on a serious virus, right? From what I understand if you go above 20 20% or more that's Serious problem huge, right? So this thing so far from reported cases or acknowledged cases and again We can't Confirm any of the numbers, right? We're going by what's being said and we don't want to go into the realm of speculation Random videos we've been finding Random little tweets and articles and stuff. We can't go by go with hearsay It will find out soon enough what the numbers truly are, right? give it a couple of more weeks and We'll see what happens, right? But let's assume Instead of just to keep the numbers simple, right? We're into Four weeks. So let me raise these guys. Let's put some of our numbers up here that we're actually dealing with right So time Cases so time we're gonna put time here Cases and death So time after 672 Hours right Seems a little low, but it is 672. That's what we did for four weeks, right? We got to let's say 2,000 cases and 50 death Okay, approximately. Hey Chichot. Oh, look how you doing? We're doing morbid math right now. We're looking at the corona virus and Trying to do a graph to see what exponential growth looks like, right? so 672 hours 672 that's 700. So we're here and we're at 2,000 right and here's the thing with Exponential growth graphs, right? Let me give you a graph here Da da da da. Here is an exponential graph, right? Now if you take if you look at the graph from here to here, that still looks linear If you look at the graph from here to here, that still looks linear If you look at the graph from here to here, that still looks linear, right? And what happens with an exponential growth is Depends on the timeline you're looking at How dramatic that exponential growth is going to look right? So if you take something for an extended period of time, it's been having exponential growth You're gonna see it's called hockey stick whoop in Canada anyway where you see the graph going like this is crazy, right? So right now we're at the beginning stages of the coronavirus, right? so at 672 were at 2,000 cases Every 30 hours, let's call it a day, I guess but 30 hours the numbers are doubling so Minus 30 this would be 600 and 42 642 we're at 1,000 Right Another 30 hours 602 hours We're at 500 so you can see what this looks like right my graph is very tight So if we do this this thing is looking like this and here's the thing with exponential growth at some point The jump is huge right Like your time frame just goes crazy So if we add another 30 hours here we go with our Estimation that the virus is going to double every 30 hours. Take a look at this So let's put some data here at this it was a thousand cases and 25 deaths, so we're at 2.5% right between two three percent death rate, so we're at two and a half percent right now, right? 602 hours it was 500 cases this would be 12. Let's round it up to 13 deaths Right if we add 30 to this we're at 702 hours 702 hours this should be 4,000 confirmed cases and there'll be 100 deaths How come this went down to oh, yeah because it's not okay another 30 hours 732 hours 732 we're at 8,000 cases and we have 200 deaths 762 hours we're at 1600 cases 16,000 cases we're at 400 deaths oops 400 deaths, right? so that's graph deaths at 702 we're at 732 we're at 8,000 so seven eight At 762 hours we should be at 16,000 eight nine 9,000 10 11 12,000 13 14 15,000 and 16,000 So here we're here. This is what we're looking at Right, it's knowing snowballing if that holy geez holy geez Right, so this is two weeks in We go two weeks in we're at 2,000 cases right Two weeks 672 hours onto 762 hours. Oops. I just subtract the other way. Sorry Let's subtract the other way 762 minus 672 0 6 16 9 90 hours This is how I track the value of my magic the gathering collection You can track something like an illness with the same math exactly right comic books same deal Right and at some point when something goes like this Especially in a semi log scale it starts going exponential logarithmic graph semi log graph It's gonna burn itself out. It's just gonna crash right math Right, so 90 hours in two weeks in 672 hours We had 2,000 cases in the next 90 hours We're gonna have 2,000 minus 16,000 14,000 cases. That's what we're seeing here from there to there, right? So this amount of time 14,000 this amount of time 2,000 what's gonna happen in Next 30 hours, so if we go 792 before 8,000 That double it 32,000 right and this is gonna be 800 deaths The crazy thing with exponential function is you go back one level It's things look okay as compared to where you are now, right? Randall, thank you very much for the subscribe the tier one. Thank you very much for the sub brother Just stopping by to say hello time to sleep have a great stream. Okay Randall sweet dreams Sorry about the morbid math. We should have done happy math for nice sweet dreams, right? This I've been Keep an eye out eye out for it's the number of confirmed cases that It's gonna decide and it's spreading, right? At least two cases in the United States at least two cases in Canada I believe anyway, I think it's three There might only be one last time I checked I think on the radio It's that one, but I think Richmond is in Toronto is in from what void says a Montreal is in as well, right? Asia who knows right Europe who knows the United States who knows right now Vancouver. I would keep my eyes on Vancouver because of Vancouver it's a huge influx of People coming in from Hong Kong and China Vancouver is a hub for that connection, right? in terms of money laundering and in terms of traffic, right and in terms of trade, right Vancouver is the hub so Where I am Vancouver, Victoria. So that's one reason I'm tracking this Pretty closely within reason. There's like three or four I should mourn that I have a few different news feeds that I'm listening to Because it interests me not only because of my locality but also because post-apocalyptic zombie-acup-pocalypse You know Interested in science fiction and stuff, right? I read of some fake news source that it all started with someone eating a bat soup probably wrong But who knows it's saying from the fish market and the snake and then some people are saying if It's it's a bio weapon from that escape from the chemical weapon thing we don't know all we can go by because that's all speculation and there's a lot of misinformation disinformation. There's a lot of hysteria there's a lot of Garbage like that, right? The only thing we can confirm and this is the beauty of mathematics This is the absolute beauty of mathematics, right? Even if the numbers are being suppressed Exponential growth tells us it doesn't matter If the numbers are being suppressed right now because if it's growing exponentially This is not a good sign, right? If it's spreading exponentially. This is not a good sign, right? So The mathematics is what we have to keep keep track of so I would say if you're interested in this look at the confirmed cases look at the The percentage the death that's how many people is taking out See how it's spreading around the globe, right? So how's money launching through institution? I'll cover that sleepy waves once we're done with this Gijo You 1f9 20 how are you doing? Like the monkey he moved Squad 8 nice I wasn't old enough to remember back then but how similar is the coronavirus panic to that of the SARS outbreak in 2002? the SARS outbreak had the same ratio of Confirmed cases to number of people that were dying This one is spreading more rapidly from what I understand. Okay, and From what I understand the SARS outbreak was contained better and the mutations Sort of inoculated people and stuff like this was better contained This one's spreading faster This one is More severe than the SARS. I believe the SARS killed a lot of people Right by the time it was all done We're talking into the thousands of people died I believe right This one is on track For that if not much more Okay, lots of idiotic theories about it lots of idiotic theories about it, right? Just keep your eyes on the mathematics The math that's why really I push mathematics so much Because you can have all these people with their own ideologies conspiracy theories and there are some conspiracies that are fact 100% right There are some assumptions theories that are fact. There are some that are garbage, right but You can entertain those thoughts But don't attach yourself to any of those thoughts attach yourself to the numbers that are coming out because That'll dismiss any Garbage you come across or confirm any theories you come across Right It's scary to think about it But have you considered the idea of population control by the powers that be yes That's one of the things I've looked at as well, right? There's one theory coming out saying that one of the reasons that this is happening is because They want to get rid of cash to make a cashless society because cash Is dirty, right? So cash is one of the ways things get spread, right? I just read one blog a report thing that I follow the economist said well, you don't need to get rid of cash All you need to do is go to polymer synthetic Currencies right that don't hold on to the viruses. They don't stay as dirty, right? They're not cotton based or This space so there's a lot of theories out there. Why buy a weapon this that that that All I care about personally for me is the rate of growth and then because I'm not You know, I don't want to know today what it is because In time if something's growing exponentially We're going to find out sooner rather than later what's going on Like there's no there's no doubt, right? Yup, the internet All right, I love math. I love math do civil engineers