 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your humble lovable and squeezibly soft host. As always, we like to come to you at this time. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. And we were down almost to 2,900 on the S&P cash, we're printing at 2,923, let me update that just to make sure, 20, yeah, 29, 23.5, down 14.5, Dow is off 58, NASDAQ is off 64, Russell is down 15, of course we were off a great deal more than that. Options suggest that we're going to bounce around these levels probably till mid-week next week. I don't expect, or let me put it this way, I expect to see range bound trading for a little while as we grind off some of the overbought conditions of the last couple of days. Volume even through some of the worst parts of the day, earlier part of the day, we're not all that exciting. As we started the show yesterday, we had about 5.2, I think 5.2 or 5.3 billion shares doing about 4.1 billion shares right now. So, what are we, 20% lighter, it could have been a lighter, but actually for the pullback and what we've had so far today, not too bad. That doesn't mean we go blowout to 29.50 anytime soon. In fact, there's a great deal of evidence that says we're just, like I said, range bound for a handful of days. I would expect that we get a lot of people shorting the market. I think I said it earlier, sell off in the mornings or shorting in the mornings only to cover later in the day. I think that's going to be the pattern. When that pattern stops, I'd probably be of the mind to think a little bit more bearish than I am now, but we had what I'm thinking is a pretty much a false breakdown and why I don't see a great deal higher in the indexes. There are some individual stocks that I think will do well over the next period, probably into the middle part of September. Hard to think that this summer is almost over. Of course, us down in Florida have done nothing but build arcs because it's done nothing but rain. We've had a little bit of a respite. This is when, of course, we start looking for hurricanes, but probably going to be fairly mild from temperatures in the Gulf so far, but it just takes the right roll of the dice to pop one out. But just steamy and hot. We've got basically eight months of perfect weather and about two months where it's too cold and about two months where it's too hot and humid, but the other eight months are about perfect as you can get. Once we break through the end of August, I will be a happy boy. Be doing a lot more sailing. What else is going on in the markets today? We had a lot of earnings. I think the bigger move in the market actually changed a great deal or actually over, I'll say over shadowed the movement in the market. On the upside, we have Puma Biotechnology, Overstock.com is up 16%. Puma is up 21%. The Appian Corporation up 16%. Paylocity up 9%. Biodilivery Sciences up 8%, Yelp up 8%, Westport Fuel Systems. I know someone was calling in that for a while. We'll look at that today and see if there's any sign this thing is off the bottom. With dirt, sheep, natural gas, is it still worth eight grand to take a car and turn it into a natural gas car? In some places like Las Vegas, it's by law. The taxis have to run on natural gas. But the question is at eight grand, is it worth it for anything else? I think the cheapest one is a Ford F-150 to natural gas conversion that Westport makes. I think that's $8,000. If natural gas is always going to stay low, probably an interesting idea, they may be doing a little bit better just because of the incredible low price of natural gas. And the question is whether or not it's going to stick. It could, but don't want to do all that. Now, Callaway Golf Company up 7.5%. And on the loser side, Farfetched, limited down 45%. They have about 600 boutiques all over the world with a boutique kind of clothing for women. But, man, that's pretty nasty. 45%. They're in kind of like all the weird places that everybody thinks are hip to be in these days. The vent solar down almost 21%. I haven't been a fan of solar technology. They still have to solve the issue of storage, which they have not. Dropbox off 14% DBX. We continue to go down a road where it may be impossible for these smaller companies to go it alone. We talked about that when this went public, that I wasn't a big fan of it. We'll take a look at that and some other ones here today. Turtle Beach down 10%. And, of course, that was the big run on gaming for headsets for a gaming and a handful of others. Let's do a little history when we come back from the rake. We'll do some of those charts and earnings. And it's all just a little bit of history repeating. Well, I see that we have Michael from Toronto on. So we will interrupt this and come back to it for a second. How are you doing today, Michael? Hi, thanks for taking my call. I'm looking at Canadian Natural Resources, ticker symbol CNQ on New York. OK. My theory is that Canadian oil and gas stocks are bottoming just prior to the start of the federal election, which is the third week of October. And if Trudeau's Liberals lose, the carbon tax will be removed and a more pro oil and gas exploration government will basically boost these stocks. The last I saw his approval rating was like 15 percent. What does that sound about right, Trudeau? Yeah, the drama teacher. Yeah, he failed first year. He was the kind of which to the classic. Is there some kind of big I haven't followed that closely. I just remember there's some kind of big deal where he's involved in some kind of scandal or maybe it's one of the guys. Many I lost count. What's that? There's so many. I lost count. OK, you want to hang on through the break. Come back here and just talk about Canadian resources. I'll look at a few other things before we come back with Michael and Toronto. Be back in just a second. If you're not currently using the TAS profile scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities, then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon. The TAS profile scanner is a standalone piece of software that instantly filters over 2,500 global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures and forex. Heated by Steve Dahl, TAS understands that in today's technological world, the use of top flight software applications and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market. 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I like your thoughts of a change in government, changing the view of fossil fuels but also from their earnings call, they're talking a great deal about being able to pump maybe 40% more in the coming year or two as the Keystone Pipeline and some of these other ones actually come online for them. So I think there may be something in there technically. You want a test of $21.85 and this thing kind of looks like it wants to go down there and test that. That's the December 26, 2018 flow. You just need it with a little bit less than two million shares. I mean, it was 2.8 on that December 26 low but I think you're about right. We've got maybe the first, when's the election? It's the third week of October. I think that maybe this is kind of setting up for maybe the first week or two of September. The way this is done. So maybe other people are gonna start getting the idea that you have. That's one idea. But I think you've got two things that could really work well. One is the elections, the other is this oncoming stuff that they talked about in their last earnings call which are the two new pipelines. There could be 500,000 barrels. I think that was a day. So it looks like business could dramatically pick up for them. They did talk in their earnings call about the political cloud that was kind of over them at the moment. So I think at least there are two good options there. Technically, you just need a good test of 2,185. And I think you're off to the races on that. I released a low risk, risk reward trade. Let's go back a little bit farther. Yeah, that 2,185 is it. The other nice thing is the Baker Hughes oil numbers came out and there's been a lot of expansion in Canada. Why there hasn't been that much expansion in the amount of oil rigs down here in the United States. And of course, some of that stuff is gonna come off, come fall when it gets too cold to pump it through the pipes and stuff. But I think you're there. I think you're just maybe a little early. So you don't think we bought them this past week? If you say we did bought them this week, what price level would you say confirms the upside? I would want a test of below 50 on the crude. I think you could get it even if it's just a day or two. And the Saudis are trying to keep the price up. Doesn't seem like there's a whole lot of them doing that. I think, like we had the washout in, let me do this, hang on, let me pick up the futures here. Like we talked about the crude's up two bucks right now. I would like a test, kind of a bigger washout, kind of like we had in the equity markets this week, down to about 50. And I think, like I said, the way this thing set up, it's not bad, but man, you really want to test a 2185. I think that really makes your risk reward much better. You had two and a quarter million shares going into those candles of the December 26th that had 2.8 million shares. So it's not bad, but your odds are gonna be dramatically better if it does test 2185. On lighter volume. Yeah, yeah, I mean, you can get in there with like two million shares. I think that is a nice setup. I like the fundamentals of the two things we talked about. The problem here is that year 2308 low, this gets a bounce to 25 bucks, which is this gap higher on the first of, gap lower, excuse me, on the first of August. So you really don't have that much in the way of a range. I mean, it'd be a nice short trade. Now, can you just continue going higher for me, Kenya? Yes, but you don't have a good technical signal. So I miss a lot of stocks, but at the same time, I don't miss them when they go back and test their lows. As they say, you would rather be out wishing you were in than in wishing you were out. But I can see, I mean, there's a lot of things that show up in the very last weeks of August and the first week of September for lows and crude and natural gas. So I kind of like this timeframe. Generally, when you see a huge washout, natural gas, that's the next time to take a look for a run in actual crude, because that crude protection kind of, they're always shorting natural gas to be long crude. It's kind of a natural hedge for those people in the oil industry. But, you know, I was hoping we get down to about 50. And what we get down to about 52-50, I did not look. See if I could look target. And what's the best way to trade the natural gas? Would you trade the futures, or is there an ETF or a certain stock that you prefer? No. Like you said, this one is probably gonna be the outlier in the fact that it's Canadian and it's got some other stuff for it. US, I don't imagine there's that big a catalyst for energy stocks. I think like you're right though, that, you know, a big change in politics in Canada could really unlock some of that. So I think you've got something. I'm anticipating that once the public opinion polls are published and they realize that the Conservatives may form a majority government, the TSX oil and gas industry will begin just to run. It'll just begin the rally hard. Yeah. So it's vital to sell the news. So the polls come out. They're bullish, Trudeau's losing. Libbles are losing. So the market just runs. Runs to the upside. Yeah, it could be. I like that, you know, if it would have tested 21.85 already, I would have liked it. You are, you know, you're about a buck, what? But 25 above that December 26 low. And it's so close. I'm gonna say 80% of the time, this chart pattern is gonna say that you're gonna test that 21.85. So, you know, you get your one out of five chance. Okay. You get your one out of five chance that it doesn't. So it's not 100%. It says about 80%. And, you know, long summer, you get into 24th or something. It's not a big deal if this comes down a couple of bucks. So, you know, you can be in it with a tight stop now. I would be a little bit less bold and wait for the test of the low. Okay. All right. Thank you very much. You bet. And let's go back to our history, which is already in progress. And it's all just a little bit of history. We'll be back. And we'll get into our history at the bottom of the line. The least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of lease resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. And we're back on this day in 1999. AMD introduced a new brand new name to compete with Intel in 1999. The Athalon processor replaces the K7 and adds a 3D Now technology. Processor was introduced with speeds of 500 megahertz. Ooh, just 650 megahertz. Ooh, prices went from 249 to 849, which kind of, I'm gonna say, maybe even a little higher than they are today. Of course, you've had five, six generations, what, eight generations? Maybe about eight or nine generations of Moore's Law since then. AMD does have a fairly new processor. I was talking to a couple of people that are looking at buying new machines. If we have enough time in the 330 time slot with Tom O'Brien, we'll talk about the war between AMD, Intel, and Nvidia, because it is shaping up to be a lot of food fight coming in the next, I don't know, nine months or so. Really looks interesting to me, but I think there's gonna be a lot of action and trading opportunities in all three of those stocks as they collide and go into competition in a variety of different ways. Maybe we'll get a chance to talk that through at 330. As we said, we were gonna get into earnings. Of course, not much going on before Monday, but even then it's gonna be kind of quiet when we get into earnings. If I got it there, oh, that's something else. Let's see if we get in here. Even Tuesday, not a lot going on. Let's see if there's anything after Tuesday. The only thing that looks like it could really run would be Tilray, that's after the bell on Tuesday. As far as what's going on today, we'll try to race through these as fast as we can. Axon Enterprises down to its previous gap up on May 5th, he had 700,000 shares on that day up. You went down and tagged it today with 3.3 million shares. So you know you're gonna need some consolidation down at that $56 level. ACRS, which is the Clairs Therapeutics, just continues to be in a downtrend, nothing new in that one. Atatoms Pharmaceuticals, this is still in kind of a downtrend. It did spike down lower. It's almost back into this trading range today though. Got down to $4.87. Actually fairly bullish action in this. I'm gonna check it out more over the weekend. Alarm, ALRM, one of the bigger ones that spiked today but gave it all back up before we're closed here today. Got to 56 bucks, but back down under 50 now. Fairly bearish to do. And of course anybody that had an opportunity was getting out of that stock today. APPN, one of the ones that has a broken out and did it with volume. We've already got two million shares. You needed about 1.8. So you may end up with 2.2, 2.5 somewhere in that range. So you may wanna look at that. That is a valid breakout of the previous highs. On the downside, ASUR, huge down candle down to $5.50. One cent as Tom O'Brien likes to say, everybody's in a lot of losing position, really going back to the first of the year and that one now. There are no winners. The house has raked it all back in. ATVI, which is Activision Blizzard. And not really any worse for the wear from the last couple of days down today. He probably would have liked it a little less volume, but of course in the crosshairs politically. AVT, which is Avnet, is back down to its previous low with higher volume. This is a supplier and distributor of a lot of electronic components here in the US. I don't know if that really says that much. Bio delivery sciences up, but not that much volume today in a going into a fairly deep downtrend that goes back to July the third on the downside. I mean, you've got some nice big candles, 1.3 million shares and you didn't really have that much volume down at the July 30th low. Last couple of days are good. Expect one more bar up for three advancing soldiers. BYND, beyond food. As I say in the den, it's soylent green. It's soylent green as people. Beyond meat, impossible meat. Now, what can you say? Again, a lot of these stocks are fairly thinly traded. A lot of most of the shares are on the shelf of a lot of these IPOs. And you got to watch out a great deal. The idea in pushing out huge amounts of shares is to put out the small amount, get everybody to kind of bid it up. And once it's bid up, start letting those shares back out. And then of course, when the SAPs have got all they can stand, you really start letting it go and the stock pulls back. I just don't understand this one. If you want to talk valuations, valuations for this kind of in the range of what valuations are for Tesla. Again, I think GoPro is probably a good model for a lot of these in that all the future is already in it. CBS gap down a little bit, but not much volume. I don't see much changing there for them, other than the fact that everybody is cutting cords and it's getting worse. Don't see a lot of new shows that I think are going to drag a lot of people to CBS this year. But I could be wrong. Maybe there's some more that I just haven't seen come out. I'm only down to two shows and one of them is going off the air. And that's elementary. I think, yeah, elementary is on CBS, but that's the one show I watch and it's going. So I don't know about that. DBX, as we said, one of the worst losers of the day. To do. Okay. I don't think there's anything you can say about Dropbox. We did talk about this when the thing went public and my opinion has not changed. And that is that the smartest guy in the room was the LinkedIn guy who understood that he could not go it along alone and that by selling out to Microsoft at the time was the smartest idea that he had. And you're down with 14 million shares from previous lows of about four to two million shares. I think that tells you everything you need to know. And two, there's not a lot of people out there to buy them out. If you're talking about big web services kind of company, there's nothing these guys do that they couldn't do without paying a big premium for this. I've never really understood the idea. Some people in the den earlier in the day talking about why companies go public. And of course, there's only two reasons to go public. That is to raise a lot of cash, to expand your business or let the insiders get out. And I am more of the fan of the latter, especially for Uber and Lyft and Dropbox and a handful of others. We'll be back. Yep, big bang for y'all. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Tax Act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits, which makes these lots valuable. The investment is anywhere from 30,000 to 75,000. 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The Apollo guidance computer and beat her to the punch. She's been kind of dour since then this summer, but interesting stuff on YouTube. And it's kind of taken the place of a lot of stuff that I watch. Shorter time frames. Of course, my favorite thing in the last year was a guy from Ice Pilots rebuilding a DC-3 from basically a wreck. And I forget how many days it was, but it's like 100 days or something from the day they started actually doing something to it. I think it took 150 days to do the whole thing, but 100 days they got this junk pile flying. It was one of the original D-Day 3 planes. To me, that was a much better story than everybody flying around and blowing things up. I'm really, really tired with the Marvel universe. DXC technology also dropped the Chilupa today down a huge volume blowing away months and months of stuff. It just doesn't get any worse than that. Of course, I didn't wear my shirt today, but Callaway Golf, a nice pop hire. Again, it's holding enough, but you would have liked to see it hold a great deal more of the highs. And of course, this time of year, you're just about at the end. I do like the way this thing consolidated back since the last gap hire. That was on the 12th of June. So it's had kind of a nice summer of going sideways. You got your pop hire. If this thing can hold for a few days, it may even do well into the fall. I'm not a big fan of buying retail clothing here, though. The Fun Company, F-N-K-O. I'm gonna find out what this company does. Funco, sounds like Ronco, doesn't it? Funco, not much in this one, still in the trading range, not much going on. F-T-C-H, what do we have? Gold, Rangold Resources. Nope, just back up into this gap, but I don't think that means much. Of course, one of the big winners has been Turtle Beach software, or actually hardware and software. They sell a little bit of Apple, Auto-E-O editing, kind of pro audio editing solutions. Of course, they got up to about 35 bucks on a giant stampede to get in on headsets with boom microphones for gamers. It's been kind of selling off ever since then, but man, was there a run on that at one time? But I don't know, what else do we have? MBII, not much of a bounce in that one either today. MYO, let's see about that one. Anything? Bueller, Bueller, maybe I got that symbol wrong. Nectar Pharmaceuticals blew up its back down to a gap that goes back to March 20th of 2017. And so again, you're really back into a huge move. You had a huge move higher to 111 and 36 cents on March 12th of 2018. Massive ABCs one after another, back to the starting point. And you're there today with huge volume. So I don't know that much about Nectar Pharmaceuticals. News Corporation has been doing well, even in a declining cable market. It still has more viewers than any other, all combined actually. So it continues to be the leader, at least on cable news. Back up to its July 1st high, 1379. Again, the best buggy whip in a market that went to cars. It's gonna just be a declining market for cable for years to come. It's all about on demand. See that they've done a bit of at least putting some of their news articles on a video on YouTube. They really need to get their own kind of channel with some bite into it. Omeros Corporation, little gap up. These are the guys that sell the machines that swipe your credit card at the checkout line. But nothing on this one, still in a giant triangle. O-N-V-O, again, just continues to head lower down to about 22 cents. These guys were in the 3D printing part of the medical device companies. This never really went anywhere. Overstock.com, little bounce. This had been pretty heavily shorted on the way up. It is holding that March 9th, excuse me, March 6th high, $23.23, that had three million shares. You did break through it with 9.3 million shares. So it is a valid breakout. I don't know if they're still trying to sell the marijuana link or the Bitcoin link in it. But I don't know if there's a great deal there, but the chart is telling me a little bit different. A question in the dentist's edition of sweets and headlines that in China, what's on the calendar ahead? Not that much. I think we're now waiting if you're talking about big news events. I think the next big news event is the rate change for the Fed in September. And I will look at the calendar during the break. There's a bunch of smaller stuff, but I can't think of anything that actually makes any difference other than the rate cut that's coming out. PCTY, which is Pay Loss of the Holding Company, valid breakout and gap higher. In fact, you've had three gaps. So you're probably somewhere around an exhaustion move for this company. It is holding the high today with 613,000 shares. That's about twice of what the volume was on the 29th of last month. So not a bad looking chart, other than the fact that you got two gaps. So you're really looking maybe for the third gap for this thing to end up being exhausted. Pump wasn't pumping today. It blew out to the previous low of December 26, 2018. That was 1127. Got to 1159 for the low today, but about five times the volume already. Rose, R-O-Z, or R-O-S-E, Rosetta Resources, testing its previous low. Again, this is a $2 stock, but the only good thing, volume about half the previous December 20th low at a buck 95. So you're fishing for penny stocks. That one back above 195 would be a test on lighter volume. Semantic, of course, being bought out. And that kind of old news, you had a gap, but I was just kind of underwhelmed by the premium that this had for the buyout, not much in the way there. We'll be back in a minute. You got plenty of time to give me a call or email me at path at TFNN.com. Oh, we got a couple already. We'll take a look. 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It looks like it needs to make maybe one more run higher before it's gonna turn south. I tried to short it for a little while. Didn't, you know, ended up stopping out. But it should have fallen apart. A great deal more over the last week. So it's gonna need to probably go higher and find a better place to short it. So I'm not a big fan of that. Skyworks Solutions, SWKS, of course on earnings this week. And you've got, I'm not gonna say a great deal of movement out here, but I was gonna say you really needed Apple to have a big move on that news. And it was up a little bit. I think that business is kind of flat right now for Apple and Skyworks Solutions. We'll be talking about the new Samsung 10 note at the 330 hour with Tom O'Brien. Kind of interesting technology around that at the moment. And lastly, we've got a question for Pat asking what are options looking like? And like I said, it's looking for something around 29.25 to 29.65 right now. So I'm kind of looking for a sideways market probably into Wednesday of next week. So if we can kind of grind around for another four or five days out here, I think we could probably set up a lot of people shorting and maybe a push into next Friday's options expiration. That's what I'm looking at at the moment. As always, so when you can, not when you have to. We will see you here Monday, back channel, same bat time.