 Ahead of the 2019 polls, election fever has gripped key states in India. Madhya Pradesh being one of them. The state is set to go to polls on the 28th of November and there are some legitimate questions that are facing the three-time Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chauhan. What are the three factors that are causing a major headache for the BJP government in the state? We break it down for you. Madhya Pradesh has a population of 7.26 crore and is ruled by the Bharatiya Janata Party since 2003. BJP won 165 seats with 44.88% vote share in the last election in 2013 while the Congress managed to back 58 seats with a vote share of 36.38%. The BSP won 4 seats while independent candidates managed to clinch 3 seats. A study by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy shows that unemployment is the top issue on voters' minds in Madhya Pradesh. As per the data, 30% youth aged between 20-29 years in the state is unemployed. Among this, 8% youth is graduate. The state economic survey done in 2017 shows educated jobless youth registering with unemployment exchange has shot up from 15.6 lakh in 2015 to 23.7 lakh in 2017. The same report states that only 129 people had got employment in 2016. And it's not only about the youth, the farmers in the state are also not very pleased with the BJP government. In the last 5 years, procurement programs have floundered under the BJP regime. Less procurement means fewer farmers are actually getting the rates of the MSP. Farmers in the state are no longer selling their produce to the government agencies which are the only ones offering them MSP. Between 2001 to 2015, according to the National Crime Records Bureau report, 18,000 farmers have committed suicide in the state, while in 2016, over 1,695 farmers had committed suicide. In 2017, in farmers' protests in the state, especially in the region of Mansor, over 6 farmers were killed only because they were demanding for fair share of prices for their crops. The protests put Shivraj Singh Chauhan government on its toes. On top of these statistics, in 2016, Narendra Modi decided to award the state chief minister Shivraj Singh Chauhan and agricultural minister Gauri Shankar Bisain with the Krishikarman award to recognize the increased crop reduction in the state. Now let's talk about the Madhya Pradesh government's stand on the SCSD Act. In the 230 member assembly in Madhya Pradesh, 35 seats are reserved for the SCs, while 47 seats are reserved for the scheduled tribes. In April this year, Madhya Pradesh witnessed a spate of violent incidents after SCSD groups called for a Bharat Pant to protest against the ruling of the Supreme Court which diluted the prevention of atrocities amendment bill 2018. This sparked a massive reaction from the Dalit and the Aadivasi groups across the country, followed by which were violent clashes between the SCSDs and the upper caste groups. Six people were killed and several others were injured. Later on, in the same month, to appease the upper caste groups, Shivraj Singh Chauhan in a tweet said this. The anger of the upper caste against the BJP government grew fresh troubles for the chief minister. While the BJP government continued to enjoy the support of Aadivasis until 2017, this has changed since then. Successive rounds of mood of the nation survey conducted by Lokneeti and CSDS show the decline in the support among Aadivasis could be because of the changes in the scheduled castes and the scheduled tribe prevention of atrocities act. The non-implementation of the Forest Right Act is also one of the major factors causing discontent among the Aadivasis in the state. With as many as 20 ongoing power projects in the Narmada region, the state is currently witnessing multiple smaller agitations in different parts, such as Chindwara, Mandawala, among others. The large-scale displacement has angered tribals in the region, which has brought with it a series of political mobilization efforts in the state. For the first time, tribal-based Jaya Adivas-Yua Shakti Party came into existence causing a major headache for Shivraj Singh Chauhan. So the major question is, will the BJP government be able to rise above these factors to win Madhya Pradesh back for the fourth time?