 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. We're waiting on it, we're expecting it, but it has not yet arrived. Where is the Black Friday Market Crash? We have literally seen like zero selling on this market, zero panic on this market this week. And I wanna talk about again why that is happening. EA just seems to be doing nothing this week of content, right? I'm gonna show you some tweets, talk about some things and some new PAC code that was added that might be related to Black Friday or content that could be coming in this next week. But right now on the market, there's literally no fear, there is no panic, there is literally no preparation from the game as a whole. Still, as we are nearing into one week away from when Black Friday will actually start, right? And it seems a little bit crazy, right? Because in prior years, we started to see the market drop off weeks ahead of time. Last year, it was like two to almost three weeks ahead of time, we started to see the market drop off for Black Friday. Now, of course, this year, the market is down so much already, there it doesn't look like, it doesn't feel like the market has too much more to crash, but still with the insane content, I think a lot of people forget how nuts the content was last year at Black Friday. And we're gonna look at that, especially as we get into this weekend, as we prepare for next week, the content last year, if they replicate that for this year on Black Friday with the PAC weight and with everything that this game has, it's different with the market, this market's literally gonna be done for. So I'm not trying to cause panic again, we talked about it earlier in the week, but Black Friday is a huge promo. I also have some other points I wanna talk about as to why the market really hasn't dropped that much yet. And as we get into the rewards timeframe today, division rivals rewards coming out today, of course, wow, that was a crazy little bit on Cordoba, I watched that and missed it. But I'm trying to get some cards before division rivals rewards come out here in about two hours, three hours, actually it's about four, from when I'm recording this, I can't do math. But I'm trying to find some cards on the cheap, right? And I think there's a lot of people investing tonight for a rewards rise. And I think the market's actually gonna rise less than what we expected, right? Cause we had a huge rivals rewards market rise last week, but that was because last week was a crazy week. And this week, it's quiet. Content is few and far between on this game. And I think that is why people are tweeting things like this. I wanna talk about a tweet here, shouted by Nepenthes, right? He says, earlier yesterday, at least for a big portion of the foot community, foot is in a dire state content-wise. I know EA have no incentive to do much more or better since they make so much from the game. But holy, does this game need to rebuild from the bottom up. Now, I'm gonna come at this from two different ways. The first one I'm gonna come at it from is, yes, this week has been a lot slower in terms of content, in terms of the player that is in packs, the SBCs, the objective content. I mean, Bergwine's a really solid objective and in my opinion is a super sub at least, really easy to do. But as a whole, content this past week has been very, very quiet, right? But here's the other side of the coin. We literally just came out of a week two weeks ago with a base icon SBC preview packs every other day, including 50K, 81 to 86, and 25,000 coin preview packs during the Rule Breakers promo of week two, where these cards, we were getting player SBCs almost every single day, right? We have had basically two polar opposite weeks on this game. And the other way that I'm looking at this is, we are expecting this much from EA all the time. And again, we talked about it this week too. We can't expect the elitist tier of content all the time on this game. They have to make it swing up and down, especially to keep people involved. People aren't gonna be involved all the time if they're continually pushing out elite level content because then people are gonna want more, right? People are gonna find ways to want more. So if they kind of disappoint people just a little bit, just for enough time like this week, right? Where not as many people maybe are getting on the game. People aren't feeling the Black Friday hype yet because of what happened last week. They're pulling it back this week and then they're gonna, boom, bring it out next week with Black Friday. It's gonna be insane again. But so those are the two ways you can kind of look at it. The way I'm choosing to look at it again is kind of from the first way, right? Where, yes, this content is down and it's not as big and it's not as crazy, but it's also a nice breather, right? I mean, we don't have to worry about losing 20% on our teams every single day on this game and that, I think, is why. That, I think, is why right now on this game the market is not preparing for Black Friday at all and that's why you're not seeing people sell and panic and everything like that. Now, that is gonna come again. I know you're like, Nate, is it ever gonna happen? Yes, it is going to happen just because, again, when we started looking and remembering at what Black Friday was last year, unbelievable, insane amounts of content with players in packs, SBCs every hour. The supply was disgusting last year. Just, if you remember this, 250,000 lightning rounds. 250,000 packs were put in the store for the 100,000 coin lightning round sold out in minutes, right? 250,000, 100K packs to this market would destroy it, man. So I don't even wanna think about that yet. Yes, there is gonna be panic, all right? Just sit tight. This is the appetizer this weekend. Whatever content we have is gonna be the appetizer to Black Friday and that's gonna be the main course and it's gonna be disgusting and it's crazy and wild. So just buckle your seatbelts, right? I think we also have our first preparation for Black Friday from EA Sports. They're throwing a couple packs in the code, a one times current team of the week pack and a double 81 plus pack. The reason why I think this is for Black Friday is because literally last year, both of these packs were available as a part of the Black Friday promo. We had best of team of the week and team of the week 10 that were released in the game. You could pack both of those items from this current team of the week pack and then also last year, there was an 81 plus double that was released as well. So I don't know if this is gonna come out today. I wouldn't expect it to on Thursday or even Friday tomorrow. It could, it could be coming out but I also think this might be something that they just put out in the game. They've done this before. This could be not in the game until next week or this could also be released this weekend as like a team of the week pack that is released for like 15 days. If you guys have remembered, sometimes they've done this where they put out a team of the week pack repeatable ahead of time and then that pack is basically like out for two weeks and then it's out during the life of a promotion. So if there's gonna be a lot of player SBCs, they're gonna require informs and stuff like that. There's always a little bit of, I guess you could say, an SBC there to craft, right? There's upgrade packs that will be out there to craft as well and 81 plus double, that's pretty interesting. That is really interesting with the pack weight this year in this game. That's the kind of pack right there that some people will do hundreds of and stack for a team of the year as well. So we'll see when these get released but that to me looks like Black Friday preparation and EA's putting out some stuff for Black Friday but again, just a little bit more about the market. I still think that you're gonna start to see prices slide off this weekend because that's gonna be when a lot of people start to say, hey, all right, now we're getting a week away from Black Friday, now it's gonna be the time where you can probably cash out on some of the cards in your team and start to look into running more of an untradable squad until later on in this next week as we get towards Black Friday. A couple other things about the market this year which may explain why we haven't seen like huge levels of panic selling yet. We already had a big market drop off literally two weeks ago with the incredible insane week with preview packs and with the base icon as we see that already dropped off the market a little bit and I think that is also to blame since prices have already dropped off a decent amount. That was kind of like our pre-crash in a sense because a lot of prices had dropped off but that was more of like supply and not as much panic selling except for the base icon. I think that was part of our crash this year. It just was disguised as like content and not just purely panic selling as it was in years before. I just think that gameplay has more demand as well with the way that they've structured rivals and the qualification. Right now everybody every single week has to get their seven rivals wins, right? I've picked up my seven rivals wins. I got my reward upgrade, I'm getting rewards and actually after the stream yesterday I was feeling motivated to go play champs qualifications when five and oh and boom, we are in champs finals just like that. So every single week people are doing their rivals games to get their seven wins to get that reward upgrade because people love rewards in this game. Then they try and they go play champions qualifications and get some more rewards from that. So just the way the gameplay is like laid out this year and I think the casual is having more enjoyment from gameplay this year. I know some of you guys might disagree. I'm very curious to see like specific EA numbers get released. I know they tweeted out some numbers from like the first month of the game. I would love to see more of those numbers as we head throughout the second month of FIFA to see how many games are played and just how people are interacting with the game and stuff like that. But I just think there's a bit more gameplay demand and also if you think about it as well the way that EA is training people to think on FIFA nowadays, EA wants us to panic sell, right? You think about the preview packs that we have seen the prices that we have seen drop EA wants you to get used to selling your team at a moment's notice. And since people have actually gotten used to that this year I think that is why you're seeing less sell-off right now cause people feel like, okay, I've got a little bit of time before I have to start quote unquote panicking if you will because right now they're used to selling their cars literally at a moment's notice when people are saying OMG the market's gonna crash because of preview packs and because of the content that EA is releasing this year. So in my opinion that is why we have not seen the crash yet but again it is going to be coming. Now speaking of the market right now since it has been so dead this week and so quiet a lot of people get bored and when people get bored on FIFA what do they do? They invest. They don't invest because they wanna make coins they invest because they're bored. I mean take a look at some of these cards tonight heading into rewards. Some of these Adidas cards got sold off but they've bounced back. Gold cards have started to actually go up in price before division rivals rewards. Take a look at human son he was 80,000 coins at the content drop yesterday. Right now my guy is 85,000 coins. I was hoping for prices to drop lower tonight on this game to potentially get involved with some either team of the week cards or some cards on this game that I could flip after rewards and as I'm looking at a lot of prices right now I really don't like a lot of prices that are on this market. A lot of stuff is just up. It is just up because I really truly think people have started to invest some of these Adidas cards. I definitely missed out on DiMaria. I was kinda tracking his price hoping that he would hit about 260. He went down to 275. Boom, he's back up at 290. 285 right now at the moment. Jota was down at 460 I think was his absolute lowest and right now Jota is back up into the 480s, 490s. It just looks like people have started to invest in some of these items which makes me actually like buying these cards for a flip after rewards less. Millie Tau is right now, what is he, 420? 425 right now on this market, that is up, right? Regulon was like 59,000 coins and he is up to like 62K. I wanted to snag one of these for the team. If I could get one at like under 60K, I would do that but again, you look at his price right now. 63K just sitting on the market. So I think a lot of people have invested in these cards. They'll get supplied a little bit at rewards today but I still would expect them, you know, a slight rise after rewards but seeing a lot of people actually buy up these items does not make me wanna get involved with them right now on this market that much. You know, especially today with the marquee matchups, if these cards are truly over-invested, what you're gonna see is these cards are not gonna rise that much and then everybody who invested in them is gonna sell them before marquee matchups fearing more supply and these cards are gonna drop lower after 6PM today on Thursday. So if you're buying any of these for a quick flip, Jota was a good looking buy. See that's her stag and Insta bought at 70K. That's the sign, especially right now in the late night portion of the market that people are investing in these cards. It just looks like a lot of people are out buying. So if I'm trying to make some buys before rewards, I'm not even looking at gold cards that much right now because a lot of these guys are seriously just up. Unless I'm gonna try to snag some of these on bid, you know, I was hoping to get Sadio Mane at 130,000 coins and you know, we might be able to snag a Sadio at 130. Maybe on a bid or something like that. And hopefully he could go up to above 140 tomorrow after rewards, but a lot of these cards seriously look like they're just getting bought up. A lot of people are looking at Siria stuff. Teo Hernandez, the inform specifically is up near almost 200,000 coins. What is he, 194, 197. That's a team of the week four card that had a lot of supply. I know the Insignia SBC is out. I'm being very careful with that but even his gold card was like 25K earlier. The buys on these gold cards, the best time to buy these was actually earlier, right? And I was, I wondered about this. We were talking about it on stream. The best time to buy these cards was absolutely right after content at six PM on Wednesday because as we always say on Wednesdays, the market does drop off a little bit. That is exactly what happened yesterday. But still, you saw people actually go out and buy stuff because they were expecting the market and they were hoping for a market rise. I'm gonna snag that baron at 167 with a shadow because I think that could be a pretty decent flip. But again, it just, right now it's kind of, I wouldn't say it's tough sailing on the market at the moment, but it's just a lot of people have invested. And if you remember last week, people made a bunch of coins last week on Thursday. So that has increased the hype for this week on Thursday for a market rise post-reward. So just be careful with overinvestment. There might be some interesting movements with all these people buying cards on the market. There could be some interesting movements on Thursday and some more actual, I guess, undercuts. You could say heading into the content drop today on Thursday because people will be worried about market match-up supply. So keep an eye out for that on the cards that are in packs, the Adidas cards, the golds. Now you can absolutely, you can absolutely look for out-of-packs items. Right now I'm kind of scrolling through foot bin at the moment. One guy I want you to keep your eye on because of this Insignia hype. He was just down at 145 and now it looks like he's up at 154. That might have been a foot bin undercut on the 140, but this Immobilay card, ooh, 145, is that sitting? Oh, that is sitting, all right. Let's see if we can get a little undercut on that because it looks like that's literally a 10K undercut. I'm just gonna snag that and hopefully this goes up a little bit after awards because Immobilay is a striker, one of the most, I would say, higher rated and popular Sirius strikers in this game at the moment. So we're gonna keep an eye on that. Just keep an eye on some of these cards. He's also really, really rare. The out-of-packs ones that you see open bids on drops in price, that's why I was looking at this Cordoba, totally missed that one with the Shadow at 426. That was crazy, crazy cheap. With this Monet, I'll pay 130 with the Hunter Kem style, bring it in. And then this Cordoba, I'll even pay up to 454. I'm just gonna have to look at bids and this is what I would advise you to do as well. Bids or snipes right around the content drop. I'm gonna be stingy, not go over 130. Not around the content drop, but around the rewards drop today. Keep an eye on that because there could be some opportunities still to snag a couple of these cards, but just be careful, right? I feel like a lot of people are buying them up and when it's a lot of investors doing their thing, you know, we don't like over-investment. We don't like over-investment because that usually prohibits a nice market rise. Now one thing we are expecting today as part of the content would be Bundesliga player of the month, Hurgador del Mes, the Amabsturmung ist Ben. I cannot speak German very well at all. That was terrible, I butchered that. But Enkunku, Lewandowski, Muller, those are the top three cards for who could be in as the player of the month today. I would expect that SBC to be, I think they released the words SBC was early. I forget when it was, but watch out for Bundesliga player of the month today. That makes me think of SBC. Fodder, you know, Fodder might go up a little bit in the content drop today. I mean, if you actually look at these cards, they're usually cheapest around content. Cruz is 26,000 coins right now. He was 23K yesterday on Wednesday, right around the content drop. If there is no big SBC, if like Muller, Cruz and Enkunku is not very good value, if it's overpriced or the card does not look that juiced, Fodder might get cheap with marquee matchups again and that could potentially be a time to snag some of this stuff if it's not gonna be a promo Friday. So just keep an eye on SBC Fodder on bids, especially if you're awake during rewards on bids. I would really, really, really watch some of that. And hopefully we get a little bit of a market rise today. I mean, it'd be kind of boring if we had nothing, right? So hopefully a few cards rise up today. I'm gonna try to find some deals late night tonight. Cordoba went for 456. I mean, I probably should have been on that as well. Maybe take a look around a couple other heroes because these undercuts are getting really cheap on these cards. That's a first owner tradeable Cordoba. So I'm gonna keep an eye on some of this stuff as we head into the nighttime, the brand new team of the week as well. There's not a lot of supply that really comes in with rivals rewards as we've talked about. So just keep an eye out for that. A quick little trading update on my account. I did buy the Mateus. If you guys were on the stream yesterday, we bought this Mateus at 2.15 or was hoping to get like 235 or 239. But I got lucky with an overnight sale at 2.3 because I'm pretty sure this Mateus now is actually down at like, he was 2.1 yesterday. So that was a good flip. I mean, it was only about 45K profit. I believe after tax it was somewhere around there. 2.12, like look at that man. And then there's overnights at 228, open bids at 2.085. Like that's crazy low on this Mateus. So I feel like I got a little bit lucky with that, but that's the power of fresh because that Mateus was fresh. And you've also seen a lot of these, I just wanna speak on this a little bit. The Mbappe team of the week has actually corrected a lot of these higher tier icons for a little bit on this market is Mbappe's three and a half million coins. Way, way, way too expensive for this card, in my opinion. For the small upgrade, no dynamic image. It's crazy. The supply on this team of the week right now, there's like nothing until we get to Friday if there's any lighting rounds or, you know, this, the supply on this team of the week is looking very, very slim. So I'm very curious to see how these cards move on the market, but that's why Mbappe is stupid expensive at the moment. And yeah, I just think that card's very overpriced and I think it is gonna come down. But that was kind of why yesterday, again, it's been a very, very quiet week on this game. And yeah, I just wanna kind of update you on the transfers there. A lot of small flips in here, right? Two, three, 4,000 coins per card. Chemistry style flips. That's gonna be a great way to trade today with these Odidas cards. Position change, chem style flips. It's gonna be a great place to make some quick coins on the market today. I still have some Striker deviales I'm trying to get out that I bought those around like 30,000 coins. He's probably down a bit heading into rewards. But that'll be a place to trade today because there will be gameplay demand. So I do think it's probably not gonna be an insane day of content today on Thursday. Probably just marquee matchups. Maybe a loading screen. I guess today would be our other day to watch out for a loading screen, we will see. But as it is right now, no panic selling. Maybe a slight market rise. We will see what EA has planned. And we still don't know what's gonna happen tomorrow on Friday for this promo. So we're living in a land of unknown right now at the moment. But if you guys are enjoying the videos on the channel, make sure you hit a thumbs up. Comment down below if you have any questions about the market or anything FIFA related right now on this game. And of course, subscribe to the channel if you are new. It's been Nathan Foot account and I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.