 Hey guys, it's MJ the student's act tree and in this video I want to talk about Mercedes and who's going to be their new driver for their Formula 1 team in 2017 For those of you who don't know Rosberg made a big announcement that he's going to be retiring from the sport after he won the world championship this year Now I'm not gonna lie. I didn't like Rosberg I don't think he's better than Lewis Hamilton and I'm not going to be that sad to see him go In fact, I'm actually quite excited because it's going to be really cool to see who is going to be racing alongside Lewis Hamilton in 2017 now some fun facts the Mercedes car has been an absolute beast I think out of the last 59 races. It's a 151 of those Look, there are going to be some rule changes for 2017 So I don't know if that domination is going to continue But they definitely taking in that winning momentum and there's going to be a lot of drivers Who are going to be willing to drive for this amazing car? So what I've done is I've put my statistician hat on and I have Estimated some probabilities of various drivers becoming the new driver for Mercedes in 2017 And what I've done is I've given 5% to Sebastian Vettel. Now, I love Sebastian Vettel He's probably the best driver on the grid. He's four times world champion He's only I think 29 years of age But very important is that he is German and the Mercedes team is German There's some good alignment there, and I think he would be the best replacement for Nico Rosberg However, he is under contract with Ferrari, and I think that's going to be dampening his chances quite considerably Next up is a guy called Valtteri Bottas. I Don't really like Valtteri Bottas. You know He hasn't really done anything that exciting What he has got going for it for him is that he is finished Nico Rosbergs. I think father was finished But you know Bottas has never finished first. Sorry that that's a terrible joke Getting back to the stats Bottas is age 27. He's basically erased with Williams his whole life and The only reason why I've given him 15% is that Mekasalo who was an old Formula One driver and a lot of people who know Formula One Have said that he's most likely to go to Mercedes and so what I'm doing is I am taking their opinion into account and I'm assigning him 15% chance of becoming the driver for 2017 Now the next guy is a bit of a media favorite the media think that Alonso is going to become the next driver They're like oh Alonso in pole position to become the new Mercedes driver and I mean it makes sense He's two times world champion He's you know, he's very very quick. He's one of the best drivers out there The problems though is that he's 35 years old. So that's quite old for a Formula One driver He has quite a complicated history with Hamilton especially when they were racing together in McLaren and also he is signed up with McLaren Honda and they're saying like a 25 million pound clause if they want to buy him out So for those reasons, I've only given him a 25% chance Just because I think it would be absolute madness to spend 25 million pounds to get him out of a contract Which then leads me to who I think is the most likely person to become the next Mercedes driver And that is a guy called Pascal Verlain Now the reason I'm saying he's the most likely person to become the next driver is because he's already employed by Mercedes as you can see he's got the little Mercedes overalls on he is their test driver and He almost replaced Hamilton in Monaco when there was all that drama going on and he's proven this year that he's very fast Plus he's German as well, which has got, you know, the good connections with Mercedes Now some people might say oh, he's unexperienced or he's too young. He's only 22 years old But if anything Max Verstappen has shown us this season that age is nothing but a number Now for those of you who have been doing your calculations you would have seen that I have left out 5% you add up all my numbers we get to 95 So what is this other 5% this is the the unknown 5% and I mean this could be Because listen that anyone can actually be the next Mercedes driver But I think the most likely out of the you know the wildcods would maybe be Jensen Button He doesn't have a drive for next year. However, he is 36 years old and he has announced that he's going to retire So very small possibility for him Then there's this guy called Ocon who is incredibly quick as you can see he also has alignment with Mercedes However, he has signed a contract to force India and then there could be Niko Rosberg I mean Niko Hulkenberg. I love Hulkenberg. I think Hulkenberg is incredible I really thought he should have moved to Ferrari because he's brilliant. However, he has moved up to Renault and I don't know the Formula one don't seem to appreciate the talent and skill that this guy has I really think he's great and it would be really awesome to see him in a top team But I mean it could be anyone and this is where I want to ask you guys Who do you think is going to be the next Mercedes driver for all we know? It could even be a brand new face some kid coming out of say GP2 or some other series and You know giving all the current Formula one drivers a run for their money Anyway, that's all I have time for what I do want to do is just tell you guys about my brother's YouTube channel So my brother also loves Formula one. He's actually got the he's taken the a1gp cars And he's upgraded them. They basically the Ferrari car from F from yeah from 2004 the one that Schumacher was dominating in and He's got a YouTube channel where he's showing off the cars. They're racing around the track. It looks pretty cool There's a picture of two of us. The cars are absolutely stunning So I'll put a link in the disc description below. So go check out his channel But otherwise, thanks so much for watching and you know, let me know who you think is gonna be the new Mercedes driver. Cheers guys