 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network It is a good night to be a sports fan with ten total games across the NBA three in the NHL and four games across the two sports on National TV for tonight. What better offering could you potentially ask for when he gets you ready for this games? By talking to Tom Vecchio picking his brain on his favorite bets across the NBA and NHL tonight to get you ready for should be a Fun Wednesday. This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research. My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as mentioned by Tom Vecchio Check him out on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio Wani of course is a writer for us over at Fandall research the host of prime time Tom Tom. Happy Wednesday to you How are you doing today? I'm doing good. Yeah, really solid NBA slate tonight a few important injuries I think there's some really good spots to attack a lot high over unders as usual with the Pacers I'm ready to go But is it historic for the Pacers? I feel like for the Pacers at this point It's not a noteworthy total unless it's historic and it looks sorry now like it's not it's not 253 is surprisingly not historic as we saw like a 260 or whatever was last week against the box But kind of a bummer. I need the 260 260 with 264 was it at one point? Yeah And the Pacers are missing their best player retirees Halburne and it's still this high Yeah, hamstring for him sounds like it's not as bad as it could have been which is good because I as a casual NBA fan Really enjoy him So I'm glad that it won't be a super super long-term thing But we'll talk about that game and more to get you ready for Wednesday night here in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast couple NFL Podcasts already up for this week. I gave my first look at the wild card betting lines I fanned to a sportsbook and outline where I see value based on my models. That was Monday Yesterday Ryan Williams joined us to break down some futures He likes for the playoffs as well tomorrow edfang is with us to get us ready for the full wild card weekend slate And then on Friday JJ Zachary's and is back with us breaking down some player props for NFL wild card weekend Also awesome cast swinging by talks of EPL on Friday all right here in the covering the spread podcast feed Make sure you're subscribed wherever you get your podcast and if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating on Apple Podcasts or Spotify You can also find the show on the Fandall YouTube page and Fandall TV plus when it comes to the NFL playoffs You've got to win one game at a time when you bet the NFL playoffs and Fandall one game can mean a lot of Fandall America's number one sportsbook has all your favorite bets like the money line and spread and There's all sorts of prop bets like quarterback passing yards or who will score the first touchdown plus every day There's an NFL game Fandall's giving all customers a no-sweat same-game parlay That means when you combine all your bets for a chance at a bigger payday You'll get bonus bets back if your SGP does not win Make every moment more with Fandall an official sports big partner of the NFL Must be 21 plus in president select states minimum three leg parlay required refund issued is non-moderable bonus bets Which expire seven days after a seat max refund $5 unless otherwise specified Restrictions apply see terms that sportsbook. Fandall comm Fandall is offering online sports waging in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC gambling problem call 1-800 gambler Or is it Fandall comm slash rg in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania? Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia and Vermont call 1-800 next step or text next step to 5334 to an Arizona 188-789-7777 Or is it ccpg.org slash jack connecticut 1-800 9 with it in Indiana 105 22 4700 visit KS gambling health dot-com in Kansas 1877 770 stop in Louisiana visit MD gambling health at Oregon, Maryland 105 22 4700 in Wyoming or visit 1-800 gambler net in West Virginia now Tom Let's begin things on the NBA side of things. We have a couple of national TV games. Let's begin there We got pelicans waters on ABC then nuggets jazz on ESPN looking at those two games specifically Where do you see value for those right now? Let's start off with the pelicans warriors. Let's go to the PRA bet and Brandon Ingram all the pelicans over 33 and a half points rebounds assists combined sing a minus 113 Zion Williamson is listed as question of this game. He missed their most recent game Even if he does play this is still a good spot. The warriors are just not themselves this year In terms of defense in terms of their efficiency what I love about most about Brandon Ingram is a the minutes are super solid every single night and You know B. We're basically getting Like 10 12 ish rebounds and assists every single night just because he's so involved in the offense He's out there. He's always filling up the peripheral stats. So he has that solid floor The extra field go times could really be there for him if Zion Williamson is out But again, even if Zion plays the defense from the Warriors is not something that I'm worried about so we can just get a 20 some odd point performance 25 point performance Which is a massive especially in today's MBA and then he has this consistent floor of rebounds plus assists Doing what he normally does alongside McCullum. So Really straightforward spot for the pelicans. I think I think they can win this game even without Zion and I'll take a player that that number could jump up, especially if we do seem ruled out Yeah, 33 and a half is the number right now for Brandon Ingram as you mentioned over is minus 113 for him And you know if you get those guys who got that steady base on that steady floor of those options And then you can just add in the additional points if Zion's not there I think that's a pretty attractive offer as far as getting to 33 and a half and you're at least going to be close You're gonna give yourself a shot at that number It sounds like pretty much regardless for a guy like Ingram, right? And that's what I always focus on high high minutes his field go temps are gonna be in the teens every night they push towards the the 18 19 20 range of Zion's gonna be out and And There's there's no wrong you can do with that type of player that can reach 30 plus points Reach 30 plus on just points alone, right? So I mean you give me five rebounds six assists. He can you can do anything. Yeah, okay So Ingram over 33 and a half PRA is minus 113 for pelicans versus warriors right now at Vanduels sports But other game has mentioned is the nuggets and the jazz that game is on ESPN after this one We tip at 10 10 Eastern time. What do you see in that one time? That's me Jamal Murray over two and a half me three pointers minus 118 He has been very up and down when it comes to three pointers as of late Three of eight oh of six one of six five of eight one of six like he's all over the place But we you know, we've talked about three pointers before as they're very volatile But when you reach for that uprend, that's obviously great Going up against Utah Utah Utah, they're on 14.1 made threes per game It's the fourth worst in the NBA Denver is 28th in the league 29th in the league when it comes to offensive pace in Utah It's sitting up at ninth. So you give an offense like Denver. That's incredibly efficient Incredibly high scrolling you give them extra chances against a weak defense like Utah That's when they can reach for the ceiling. So while three pointers are volatile, you know Murray's still taking six seven eight per game And yeah, he's gonna be over six one of six. He's also gonna be four of eight sometimes So when he's able to have more possessions against a team that struggles against three pointers I want to see him reach for the over I want to see him reach from that upper end which I think is very possible So a few up and down games in his recent game log It is what it is But I will take the opportunity he has in what's basically like an ideal spot to reach for that ceiling And I'm guessing the track record for a guy with Jamal Murray is long enough where you're not gonna worry about lost confidence or the team Not leaning on and it's Jamal freaking Murray. I feel like you'll be okay, right? Yeah, he's always gonna be the the one beat He's always gonna be you know, kind of the Robin to Joker being Batman I guess if we want to go with that route, right But like he's never not gonna play 30-plus mint like unless they're winning by 40 or whatever it is Like he's always gonna be out there He's always gonna be taking his field go attempts then he's never not gonna have the ball in his hands So I'm not worried again. Oh if six one of six, whatever it happens trust the process I guess we want to go with that and attack Utah every time we can channel your inner Deon waiters That's what we need from Hopefully more efficient than Deon waiters, but you know regardless, you know put him up Jamal over two and a half Made threes for Jamal Murray is minus 118 for the nuggets and the jazz We got eight other games though across the NBA for tonight though Tom Let's start with sides and totals anything stand out to you across those in the other eight games That would be the heat plus four and a half You know, it's a okay match of going up against okay see no pun intended, but Heat again, I've talked about them before and we're actually in an identical spot where Jimmy Butler was out the last time I spoke about the heat and Jimmy butlers out tonight and what I said about the heat then is gonna be the same thing tonight They are not gonna want to get out and run and get into this back-and-forth game without Jimmy Butler out there They're still being very productive as a team And I think the defense and really trying to slow things down against okay. See is what we're gonna see tonight They still look the offense to mostly keep up with them with Tyler hero, you know getting some shots from Jaime Hock has but the defense with Bama to bio Slowing down Chet Holmgren kind of pushing things to the outside. I think will help them keep this game in control You know your coach Eric's bullshit Just got a massive contract extension like eight years hundred some odd million dollars whatever it was So like they are doing things the right way even if Jimmy's not there. Yeah And a well-earned extension to right with with how long he's been doing this and how well he's been doing so at that level and you talked about the pace in this game and Pace a slow pace game correlates with an under and an under correlates taking the points So plus four and a half minus one twelve that's the spot to go to if you really have conviction about that that pace You could tie those bets together same game parley with the under and Plus four and a half over a fan dual sportsbook. That's plus 250. Honestly, that's kind of Intriguing because usually you'll see that inch closer to plus 230 because they know those are correlated bets But you're not actually not paying that same tax for today So it could consider that as well if you agree with Tom and the thesis of Miami keeps the snow slow with no butler It is allowed to cover as a result of that So heat plus four and a half minus one twelve where Tom is going there What about player props any other player props you like for tonight Tom? Yeah, only one Tyrese maxi for the 76ers Going up against Atlanta high over under no dwell and bead for the second straight game for the 76er So PRA maxi over 42 and a half It's minus one eleven. I believe maxi is still the leading candidate the odds on favorite for most improved player Believe he's still there But of course, this is as simple as it gets. There's no in bead. He's averaging Plenty of points when in beat is off the court It's a high high over under game and maxi is a player that is shown even with him beat on the court Even when he's not the primary usage player maxi can still go for 30 plus points So when we have a two was it two forty five and a half over under for this game? Yeah, two forty five and a half It's only one and a half point spread. We were dealing with basically the ideal matchup for fantasy production and Clint Capella for the Hawks is listed as questionable. They're starting center. So Who's a pretty solid defender can block some shots here or there? But if maxi is an easier route to get to the rim and they're not because they're not gonna be pounding the ball down Low within beat because he's not there maxi dropping 40 plus points I'm sure wouldn't surprise any NBA fans tonight, especially going up against the Hawks So when a star players out give me that that secondary option huge ceiling for them Now the PRA for maxi is now 41 and a half over as minus 120 I think he said it was minus 111 before so there's been some action towards the over on maxi likely due to the factors You discussed where is the breaking point for you where let's assume it stays at 41 and a half Are we talking minus 125 is too big for you? You know, what what's kind of the break point for you minus? Yeah minus 125 is probably it I would I mean I would take 40 I'd be willing to take 41 and a half with more juice rather than 42 obviously sure right, okay 125 minus 125 is probably it okay, so check out the maxi prop again right now It's 41 and a half minus 120 on the over but if it gets out to minus 125 Potentially look elsewhere Find other routes to betting maxi potentially because we don't always see super correlated movement on these things You can sometimes find other markets to take advantage of maxi's role in a fun game with the Hawks Okay, so Tom is liking maxi over 41 and a half PRA minus 120 He plus four and a half minus 112 Jamal Murray over two and a half made threes at minus 118 and Brandon Ingram the PRA bet over 33 and a half Let's talk about the NHL now a couple of games over there as well and Two of those games are national TV games for tonight We got the wild and the stars on TNT followed by Vegas and Colorado later on Beginning with those two games Tom any bets stand out to you for tonight for Minnesota and Dallas it probably just be the under There's not much, you know, I could say Minnesota is extremely banged up and the problem of Minnesota is a they already came to the earth an immense amount of dead cap space and They all have their best player Korea Capri's off out. They're starting goalies out So they have a large portion of their salary That's just not in the lineup because they didn't have a whole lot to begin with so their bottom portion of the roster is extremely thin So it would just be the under frankly that game is rather uninteresting They played these two teams played in Minnesota just the other night Dallas shut them out It could it could be a 3-1 game and I'm it's just not a very exciting game fair enough Yeah, as a Minnesota makes me sad whenever they lose to Dallas because the the the ache is still there. Yeah from the north stars. Yeah, yeah rude So I have nothing else in that game If I listen I wrote about mac Dushane the other night and if he scores tonight, I'm gonna be tilted Because he didn't score the other night meanwhile, they scored four goals But if he scores tonight, I'll I'll be tilted So Dushane is minus 800 to score is what you're saying. Maybe. Okay. Yeah, I respect that What about for Vegas and Colorado anything saying out to you in that one? So this is far more interesting. Okay, and The over is the play for a couple of reasons one, Colorado is absolutely elite on offense, especially as of late Number two Vegas they can score but more importantly Vegas has been really bad on defense in recent games and Vegas is really injured right now and I don't want to say it was due because the injuries were due for them But last year during the playoffs when they won the Stanley Cup, they were immensely healthy And they ran super hot Now they have both of their starting or their top two goalies out They have two defenders out and they have William Carlson is one of their best penalty killers Forward who's also out? So they are very very hampered with injuries and that's we're seeing that so over the last two weeks Vegas they're allowing 66 total shot attempts against which is the sixth worst in the league Which is not their calling card under head coach Bruce Cassie. That's not how they won the Stanley Cup They won the Stanley Cup by preventing all these shots and pushing them to the outside. They're really injured so things change So the over is the spot to go starting things off because Colorado putting up goals left and right In recent games and Vegas is extremely extremely injured not to mention the fact that Colorado is pretty bad on defense right now So we're going to be seeing plenty of scoring tonight With the Vegas one you mentioned it was because our defense is banged up with Colorado defensively Is that just kind of what it's been the full year or is there an explainer for why they've been bad or they just not I would love that that answer Elzane or Yorgie of their goalie has been pretty average this this year. Their defense is basically the same as last year It's just not putting all the pieces together where you still have a Norris caliber defender in cal macar Who's arguably the best defender in the league overall? Um, they still have Devon tapes. They still have same goal. She were they're just not putting it all together for some reason this year And maybe they ran super hot when they won the Stanley Cup and they that was their peak And it's regression, but it's just not the same as it was in years past Okay over six and a half for the uh, Vegas, Colorado game is even money right now fandals sports books We like the over which means in general you tend to like Looking at props looking at shop props and games where you like the over Is that leading to any props in this game as well Yeah, that's gonna be going right to cal macar for over three and a half shots plus 126 again, uh top defender Maybe in the entire league if you're asking me, uh, he's averaging three shots on goal for the season But over the last 10 games that's up to 3.9. He's routinely getting to five shots on goal He's the defender on the first power play Again, they are pushing things on offense As I mentioned Vegas over the last two weeks the sixth most total shot attempts allowed per 60 minutes in five E5 situation so I expect them I expect colorado in what is a developing rivalry with vegas to get out and want to pound them with goals and shots Colorado did lose them seven zero earlier in the season So now colorado, I think there's a little bit of revenge time for them because they're so injured I do not think vegas can keep up with colorado in this game in multiple areas Whether it's the offense whether it's the defense This game is probably going to end five to three in favor of colorado is my guess Okay, is there an exact that we can put on that? Um Uh macar over three and a half shots is now plus 130 at fan dual sports book as mentioned That does correlate in part with the over So if you were to check out both those together together over six and a half is even money That is plus 308 for those two paired together for macar over three and a half shots Which is plus 130 individually over six and a half goals is even money And you tie them together plus 308 right now at fan dual sports book for that same game parlay Other game in the NHL for tonight is the flyers and the canadiens. That is a seven ten puck drop there Anything send out to you in that one tom There's only one and that's what the flyers travis connect me over three and a half shots minus one away the Flyers as an organization are going through some things right now Um with a player I should say a prospect that apparently didn't want to play for them and they traded him And then the flyers as an organization said we don't want you here, which is a rather interesting take I there I read some quotes from it was it their owner who was just like flaming him. Yeah Yeah, and this is a prospect that just played for team usa in world juniors and was a pivotal part of team usa winning gold He's a very highly touted prospect and they just said all right. You don't want to be here We don't want you anyway, which is a rather interesting take regardless of that Flyers super average canadiens Probably super average as well probably below average the problem with the flyers is that trev's connect me is their best player We could call him an a rated player everyone else on their roster is like a b minus or c plus player So if i'm going anywhere, it has to be him. He's like their main carry-on offense And that numbers move did I just got a bit more favorable went from minus 110 the over to minus 108 It's a bit more a bit more favorable. So that's I think that's like a payback for The movement we saw in the maxi one. They're like, okay, we can't we can't totally You know We can't give the middle finger to tom fully So we'll like give it a half middle finger and give them a bit of a break on the connect me one so the flyers are the better team and If you just if you want to go somewhere for this early game before the other game start It just has to be connect me or nowhere else because you can't possibly trust anyone else Got a love of an organization and disarray. Um, it always leads to some entertainment at least I saw some like jd drew references Given the connect or the given the the flyer stuff. So it's uh, it's not like a great time So connect me over three and a half shots minus 108 in this one Tom also likes kale macar over three and a half shots plus 130 and vegas in colorado over six and a half Even money right now at vandal sportsbook. That is tom vecchio Make sure you check about on twitter at tom underscore vecchio one I still almost say dfs underscore tom every time i had to catch myself But you can't get the kink at just just tom vecchio someone has it or t vecchio has been taken I think that you said that they were like suspended or something too. And so it's like not even in use I can't even get them. Yeah, it's brutal tough beat But hey, you know, we soldier on tom underscore vecchio one sounds good to me man Tom appreciate the time as always. I have a good wednesday and we'll talk to you again soon Thanks for having me Alrighty and i am on twitter at jim sonnis You can find me on threads at jim dot sonnis and you can follow fan dual research on twitter at fan dual research back Once again tomorrow talking the wild card weekend slay to games with dr Ed fang getting his rino's favorite bets at fan dual sportsbook We'll talk to all of you then this has been covering this spread right here on the fan dual podcast network