 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, our humble lovable and squeezibly soft host. Once more do we go into the breach dear friends, but I don't have a sound to play because I forgot to bring that thing up and it's going to take a second. So I'm going to have to do a little bit of shuffle on a little bit of sideways action, but here it is. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. So up 36 and a half points on the S&P cash. Is that correct? May have stopped. Yep. That is correct. Up 164 on the Dow NASDAQ except 138. Of course, pretty decent dip, not a lot of volume on Friday. We've had a fairly decent bounce. The problem is so far, volume to the downside is not really any better than the upside. We're starting the show today with about 4 billion shares. I think we had about 4.5 or 4.6 billion shares on Friday when we came into the show. So not a lot of juice on the way on the upside, not a lot of juice on the way on the downside, the dollar maybe off 10 cents, but certainly hold in 97 area, okay, gold's off about eight bucks. I was wondering what that would look like come Monday and whether or not people were buying gold or silver or weekend hedges these days, oil up actually 73 cents, but you still have natural gas off almost nine cents, about 3%. So what are we doing here today? Well, we're in the expiration week. We had a huge move today. So far the volume hasn't been anything that would say that we'd go break the 2810 level, which is our previous high. Most of the morning had a lot of distribution in some of the what I would call the not the top 10 stocks. Of course, look to me like a bear trap on Apple. They drove that one up fairly strongly today, almost 20 million shares, not enough to get much going on, but up almost quarter shy of six bucks, 178.65. So option expiration gets everybody going. As I said, there was always a chance for a little bit higher or a whole lot lower. And I'm listening to some of the people that I follow on Wall Street, they're giving the cause of the bounce as a kind of a nod of the hat, a tip of the hat, a little little sting symbol signal with the nose that the Fed is willing, of course, to turn on the turn off this packet on the selling of bonds. And everybody thinks we're right back to QE four or five or is this QE six hard to But we shall see today and whether or not that came from somebody that actually knew something or just people trying to get the market up and distribute stocks. As I said, top 10 stocks, everybody wants to buy in those. The problem is all the other 6,000 stocks that trade, most of them kind of look at least like some kind of distribution to me. So we shall see. We had some selling, the selling at least is abated for the day and even late into last Friday. The question is whether or not what I thought was tax selling is over. And they just let those folks sell into the point where they were done and now they pop the market. But we shall see. I'm still short and it's not like it's going to be a big deal one way or the other. But I still, everything kind of points to a market that can't go higher and the chance are much higher. Let me put it that way and a market that could go back to 2650. So the question is whether you sit on your hands and how the end of the day comes up and what the volume looks like. But again, as we've come up to these previous highs, what we found out is a lot of Turtling, a lot of Prairie Doggin. They stick their heads out and go right back into their holes. So by the dips, pretty much last week didn't work. Late Friday, it started to today. It has continued, but we don't have anything in the way of any kind of breakout volume so far. Again, 4.1 billion shares as we start the day. What else do we have going on? Let's do a little history, then we'll get to charts and we'll see what's going on. You can give me, call it 877-927-6640. It's nothing but history repeating and on this day in 2009, the Toyota Motor Company announces on this day in 2009 that has sold over 1 million gas electric hybrid vehicles, otherwise known as cars, in the U.S. under its six Toyota and Lexus brands. The sales were led by Prius, the world's first mass-marketed hybrid car, which was launched in Japan in October 1997 and introduced in America in July 2000. So a lot of people talk about various car manufacturers, BMW, Tesla, and the electric space. I don't think there's anybody who's got more actual units on the road, although it's not a pure EV. And I was talking to some people about Tesla, real Tesla believer, and man, talk about cult members. Don't bring up Prius and in or around anybody with the test, man, you might as well be saying you worship Satan. I didn't know it was so bad to own a Prius. I mean, I kind of knew that if I actually owned one, I would hate it, slow and all that other stuff, but yeah, who knows. Anyway, what else do we have going on here? Well, we'll look at the rest of it, catch up on it, but again, kind of hard to actually see where we didn't have volume last week, we will have it this week and whether or not the movement in what we've seen in the last, I don't know, eight hours, seven hours of trading. I think that's what we're kind of looking at. The TLT, again, still trapped in that 120 to 122 out level, and my guess is that we probably, just like we couldn't see that thing break below 120, can't really break above 122. The question is whether or not the market is fixed so badly by the Fed now that we can't get really higher prices or lower prices. Of course, a lot of discussion about Boeing, it's still off 25 points or 6%, was down almost 10% earlier in the day. Didn't know whether or not it actually was justified, but kind of interesting. We'll talk about that when we come back. Give me a call 877-927-6648. The TAS Profile Scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence? As you begin your trading day, it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions. In order to make the best decision, the first thing you'll need is a strategy that will help you minimize your risks. Whether we're in a bull or bear market, a good strategy is to have the tools needed to help you scan and analyze the markets before you trade. 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See for yourself how you can harness the full power of the TAS Profile Scanner by visiting the front page of TFNN.com today and you'll find the TAS Profile Scanner under the Services section. Remember with a 30-day money-back guarantee, you have nothing to lose. Don't let another day pass you by without trying out this amazing piece of software that will revolutionize how you look at the market and how you place trades. Sign up today. Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable, moderated atmosphere. Hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN has launched our brand new website. You can still visit us at the same TFNN.com URL, but when you do, you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions. We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades. TFNN.com educating investors. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. And we're back bowing, of course, lower this morning on a plane crash on the 737-800 sometimes called the 737-8. One of the proven safest planes in a long time, they change a few things in the avionics and a lot of people are thinking that they see ghosts in the machine. Kind of interesting that the crashes are on what we call third world airlines and they may not be maintaining them, the machines, although both these planes in the last three months were relatively new, they may not be training these guys correctly or maintaining everything correctly. At three months though, probably not a maintenance issue, probably a training issue with the pilots maybe lost in translation. Anyway, they already got the black boxes and they'll figure it out. But always kind of interesting when you have technology and a lot of people believe it should be perfect. In aviation, the FAA or people in the FAA crash investigation unit call it Tombstone Mentality and that is generally nothing gets fixed without some dead bodies. And who knows whether there's any problem or not by agreement when bowing sells its planes, it gets a copy of any accident black boxes, both a flight data recorder and the data. The FAA also agrees to inspect the plane in the crash investigation, both of them right after takeoff and the question is whether or not these pilots probably less of a problem with the actual hardware and software probably more an issue with the pilots themselves and getting an understanding of it. When I was learning to fly in the mid 80s, actually started in the 70s, never quite completed it because I was in a crash that ended up breaking my arm. But when I went back to it in the mid 80s, I think I got my pilot size of 86, I had some pretty good people doing my ground school. One guy was a Air Force officer that was training South Korean pilots and also Vietnam pilots. He told them that if there was anything, anything ever went wrong, that you probably don't want to hit the tree directly straight on. You probably maybe clip the wing or something, it may help slow you down if necessary. Well, apparently after that class about two weeks later, a plane had engine trouble and had to be put down, but not like a dog, had to go down. And he said that this pilot went into a field, this field had enough room to land three ways to Sunday, but there were two trees out there in the middle. And the guy went right between the two and ripped the wings off, even though he could have safely landed. And they asked him why he did it. Basically, it depends on almost cultural issues, that if that was something they thought that he should do, that that's exactly what he should have done. And actually one of the reasons why you probably don't want to be on a Korean airline. They've got four times as many deaths per passenger mile than any other airline on the planet. And Russian ones. And there's a whole lot to doing exactly what you're told in a society and having the ability to adapt when problems actually present themselves. And it may be a cultural issue that actually this ends up being. What else do we have going on? Anyway, down on almost 28 million shares already into a gap higher that had 12.7 million shares. Pretty much tells you you're going to get a test of this 365 again before you go to much higher prices. So maybe this hangs around expiration at 400 and then comes back down to that 365 area or close to it to test it. And then maybe that's the part of the next ABC on the way up. Hard to see that there's a big problem since we haven't had reports in the United States in the United Kingdom or in Europe only in Asian speaking countries and making people think it is an issue of lost in translation. OK, anyway, 2778 on the S&P cash will keep an eye on this volume 4.2 billion shares. It's not setting the world on fire. But again, doesn't really matter if price is the final arbiter and some of these things going on. OK, so what else do we have? Let's go ahead and start looking through some charts. Again, you can give me a call at 877-976-648 or you can email me at path at tfnn.com. Atmos Energy AT0 going into the November 20th high and had 425,000 shares. You actually got into it with some decent volume a little while ago. But it's back up there today with 312,000 shares. You wanted something like 1.22 million shares off that December 13th high, too. But again, just kind of hanging at those highs at 100 bucks. CF, which is CF Industries, actually pierced a low. One of the first stocks out here that actually looked like a buy on a chart. Too much energy for me, though, off this February 21st high back down to the lows, but a decent test of the December 6th low of $39.44 with 4.3 million shares with this 2.3 million shares on the March 8th low. So you got a buy, but again, too much energy on really a lot on the way up. So a lot of these stocks just kind of stuck in a trading range to do. Another one is testing its lows is Express EXPR's Assemble, going into a 4.6 million share December 24th low. Got into it on Friday with 2.6 million shares. I did go a couple of pennies below it, did close above it, a little bit of push back higher. This chart actually is one of the best looking charts in the market. Nice, slow pullback. Energy was lighter. A significant test of the December 24th low on lighter volume. H.E., which is Hawaiian Electric, breaking its high of the December 12th, $39.35 with a million shares, breaking it today with 256,000 shares so far. Again, a lot of these stocks pushing highs as they had done in the previous few weeks, without a lot of juice, going over it and then pulling right back into the trading range, but not that many falling apart just yet. Okay, what do we have? Okay, Helena Troy, H-E-L-E, gapping up on, what is that, July 9th? With, what, 2.1 million shares, got tested on Friday with 200,000 shares. So, you got to look at that one, long-term support at 110. Be back in a bit. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter, and if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30-day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his Path of Lease Resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30-day free trial to David's daily newsletter, The Path of Lease Resistance, with no obligation to pay anything. 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If you'd like to try my newsletter risk-free for 30 days, then head over to the front page of TFNN, and you'll find Market Insights under Trading Newsletters. I use my years of trading experience to bisect and dissect the market every morning and give my subscribers the most important information they need to know for the day ahead. I even issue afternoon updates for my subscribers whenever warranted with important market action. I'm always scouring the market for the next great trading opportunity. Sign up for your 30-day free trial to my daily newsletter of Market Insights today by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. Well, go get them, folks. TFNN is excited about our new software charting program, the Art of Timing the Trade Charts. In collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best-selling book, The Art of Timing the Trade, Your Ultimate Trading Mastery System, David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology. Using this first-of-its-kind program, the Art of Timing the Trade Charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including guardleafs, ABCs, butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade Charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're gonna love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. And we're back. Anyway, we're talking about Hell on a Troy. Actually, not a bad-looking chart back here in support at 110, bounced right off of it, and little or no volume, compared to the 2.2 million share, pop on July 9th of 2018. It's been tested a few times. Had a nice long move out here and a nice bounce. You know your parameters out here, 108.75. It goes below that. You don't wanna be in it. But actually, not a bad-looking chart. 145 is high from back here at December 4th. I don't know if it can get it to it there, but probably 120 seems to be something that could do fairly easily. We also have Michaels, the craft store, where you can spend lots of money on crafts. Coming out here at 12.48 on December 24th. Did so on 1.4 million shares. Got 1.4 million shares on Friday. As you tested it, retail continues to be problematic, although the ETFs show a little bit of string. And that may not be much a difference on that, but maybe lower interest rates or something are gonna show up. Penske Automotive Group, testing its previous low of February 11th. Did so on $41.72 on a million shares. Got into it on Friday with 442,000 shares. Got not much going on out here today, but does look like it's found at least a short-term level of support. To do what else do we have? Okay, Pesera Pharmaceuticals, PCRX testing its January 4th low, $35.58, 1.7 million shares. Tested it Friday with 732,000 shares. So less than half. Got a nice little bounce at here today. Energy was still too much for me to own this stock from the February 28th high that rolled back over. But any kind of consolidation and light volume at that level after a week or so might be something to take a look at. PRTY, which is Party City. Okay, I don't think we have any party cities around here in Florida. Had them up when I lived up north in Cincinnati. And those were some party and folk up there. You had a huge gap or spike lower on November 8th, down to $8.24 with 6.5 million shares. Into that today with 1.5 million shares. Again, these retail stocks all had energy on the way back down. I don't know if there's any reason to look at them other than the fact that they do have incredibly light volume finally at some lows. Energy coming down is way too much. Renewable energy corporation, REGI, spiking previous lows with 1.75 million shares and 2.15 million shares back on December 24th. Got into it with less than half the volume on a spike, $776,000, and a small bounce given most of it back today. But again, kind of hit some support areas on some of those stocks on Friday and got kind of a rally, but seems very strong what's actually underlying the economy and these stocks. But what the hey, what else are we looking? Someone wants us to look at EMU. So we will do that. And Jeff Kay, J-E-F is first. Let's do this. Not exactly sure why I'm not getting that. Jeffery's financial group, okay? So, you went below the previous low, you had some volume when you did it. So, you're good. Don't know what he has in the way it puts, he does not say. Looks to me like support comes back in at $17.50. So, I don't know if there's much more to say. Then that start bulk carriers broke through its previous low, January 30th, $6.90, got down to $6.46 on Friday, little bounce out here. But again, when you look at the Baltic Dry Index, I don't think there's, haven't looked at it in a day. Let's go ahead and bring a chart up of that. Baltic Dry Index. Bloomberg has a nice one. So, I'll show Bloomberg here today. Where is it at down here? Come on, no chart. I don't know what they did with it, $6.45. So, it's still in that area. I won't spend a lot of time on it. It's still nothing there. So, when I look at, well, how did I get that? So, when I look at that, it continues to make me wonder if there's anything going on. Now, for electric cars, if you thought that there was a shortage of lithium, and of course everybody's been screaming about it for a while, men do these things other than at the low look horrible. SQM, which is chemical mining of chili, back to its previous low. Now, the previous low had 5.3 million shares, and you only got into it on Friday with 880,000 shares, but the energy on the downside was doubled than the energy on the upside. You did have a bounce, and I don't have a lot of juice in it yet. And if you wanna look at its Brethren, which is ALB, it's not back at the lows, but it did get back and fill this gap up from the 21st of February. It had 5 million shares with 1.8 million shares. So, at least some level of support for the short term up on incredibly light volume though, vapor of just 520,000 shares so far today. So, probably 8080 gets retested from Friday, I suspect, because you did pierce it. But none of these charts look like everybody and their dogs are gonna be buying electric cars, or the supply of lithium is much better than people said, and always makes me think of peak oil when that's at. Okay, what else do we have? Let's get that done. Okay, what's got a few other stocks to look at as we continue keeping an eye, 2779 on the S&P cash. See if volumes, we got 4.4 billion shares. So, again, gonna be a light day, a relatively light day, with what, an hour and 23 minutes left, maybe 7 billion shares on the day. So, not gonna be a rising endorsement for higher prices, but again, it looks like we're holding them throughout the day, so we'll have to keep an eye on that. Okay, what else do we have out here? Oh, we're going to break, we'll be back in a minute. If you are in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First Mortgage Program may work for you. 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That's TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV for the latest market information. And we're back and yes, I still haven't got some lot of requests. So here we're gonna have the groove yard of forgotten favorites. Aren't electric cars made from plants and old rough neater stickers? You served me well hybrid, but still you burned some gas and so you disgust me. Well, yes, I still have them. Oh, okay, I'll play that one too. Ooh, wow, check out this brand new electric car. That's hot, like our planet. Oh, I love them, I love them. Always worth poking fun at a few people. So we're at 2780 on the S&P. Cash doesn't look like we're gonna roll over before the end of the day. It does look like this is gonna hold. So we'll see. It's always been the last 30 minutes. I figure though that you probably should see a fairly decent size pulled back by now if this is not gonna hold. I don't see a lot of reasons why you wouldn't hold to see how the end of the day comes up if you're short or if you're long see what actually goes on. But that's it. Got a question about NVIDIA. NVIDIA bought Mellanox, which is an Israeli chip company. One of the reasons they did this was to help them in their server business and give them the ability to get a business outside of traditional computers also. Mellanox is a chip, really chip design firm. And does pretty well. Again, it was really business. Don't, kind of a tough business to actually figure out what these guys do other than design, whether they're designing and where their chips go. In Israel, you probably figure that a lot of it is probably military in one way or another. So you can continue to keep an eye on it. But I think a lot of people thought that NVIDIA wasn't gonna use their money for good. And it probably not a bad deal. Now they did outbid Intel. That makes you tell, I always think that maybe they spent a little bit too much on it until it just wasn't, I mean, they have all their own a part of that business. They didn't need it nearly as bad as NVIDIA. So NVIDIA would pay more. Volumes kind of back up here. And again, one of the reasons why you see the NASDAQ is strong, relatively as strong as it was. But of course, I think that's kind of a one day deal. The question is how it works longterm with NVIDIA. And again, they do too many kind of top secret James Bond things that you can't tell right off the top of your head for defense and design for defense chips. So you just kind of have to keep an eye out here. But normally if it's a bad deal, the stock will probably go lower on the day. This is one of the few times when people shell out $8 billion and the stock actually goes higher. Now it's not a lot of volume, but it is some. And it's not a negative day, which can tell you also a few things about it. Other stocks in this space is Micron. It's up a little bit after kind of a little bit of reversal on Friday. But again, very light volume today, like the rest of the market up on 18 million shares so far. That's compared to 34 million shares on Friday. So again, not a rising indictment, not an indictment, what am I trying to say? A rousing endorsement for it, but you did get a little bit of a bounce out here. Again, I don't think that there's a lot for Micron or NVIDIA in their core businesses to change before probably the end of summer, but we'll take a look. See what else we have out here. What's Sienna doing here? They have some kind of SEZ filing, SEZ filing. Blow off top, as best you can say it, March 5th, higher high blew out all the way back down to 40. It's kind of coming up to that level. You got no volume. Yeah, 41 and a half, 40, if you got 42 or 4250, that would be very interesting. Now, let's take a look at the IBB real quick to see how it's doing. A little bounce two off of it. You came down though on the six with five million shares up to date with 1.4 million. Like I said, I'm gonna say that the top 10 stocks are getting almost all the love in the market and really driving this market. And a lot of the other stocks out here, Biotex, some of the semis, some of that stuff, not getting much in the way of a good bug. Not a bad hair day, but certainly not a hug. Got plenty of times to email me for the last segment or give me a call at 877-927-6648. What else do we have? Somebody wanted me to look at Netflix. To gap down on Friday, didn't do much, popped up today. I can see why you wanted me to look at it. 3.6 million shares, compared to the almost 7 million shares on Friday, he had 6.6 million shares on Thursday. So again, as we were talking, you wanted to see some kind of bounce as these things close below the nine day moving average, a close above them. And then the next nine day moving average, it's time to pull, close below, time to pull a big time trigger. And we may be making those double repo patterns of Joe DiNapoli, maybe not textbook, but certainly close. So I can see what a lot of people are looking at here, but for me, it's just the overall lack of energy and the massive lack of energy on any of the stocks that people aren't talking about every five minutes on CNBC, the rest of them, eh, not getting much in the way of love. Okay, so we had Netflix, a question about Amazon, from Jim, the, okay. Yeah, for me, the next close, below the nine day moving average, for anybody would say that you'd want, if you get that close the next three days, your target for it would be 1,500 bucks. So there is no signal yet, but any close below that nine day would say that that is a setup for that $1,500 level. That may happen after options expiration to 2K. Is there anything else going on in Microsoft? We talked about it with Tom O'Brien on Friday and that they'd announced 800 million users of Windows 10. This again is one of those problems, which is you've been below the nine day for a couple of days, you pop back above it, you don't have much in the way of juice. The next move down below the nine day moving average, if you get it is where you would find fairly large destruction and price of destruction. So far, nothing yet and no signal yet, but it does, that is pretty fine. Your problem saying would probably come back to 99 bucks. We'll go back to that. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. 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Also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And we're back at 2777. We've been basically flat here for the last hour kind of holding up at these highs. Wanted to see whether or not we saw anything in the way of volume come in with short squeezes and people giving up at the end of the day. 4.5, let's call it 4.6 billion shares. Yeah, we had a little over 8 billion shares on the way down last week on the rough days, but I don't know if we're gonna make 7 billion shares if volume continues the way it is right now. So we will have to keep an eye on what happens. What else do we have going on here? Let's take a quick look at the dollar. Again, off 11 cents, no big deal. 97 dollars, 15 cents on the dollar index. And gold's still down $6.70. Silver off almost four cents, platinum up a buck and 30 cents. Copper's still below that magical $3 range and that tells you that the economy is not overheated. And maybe even pulling back a little bit, but not that much. $2.90.6 cents, which is up 4.5 of a percent. Arbot gasoline up about two cents. And again, we talked about this last week that there is a small bias for the next 30 days or so as they overhaul the stacks for refining petroleum from the winter formula to the summer formula that normally starts in the first couple of weeks of April depending on what happens. Can go all the way to the first week of April. And of course, with everything shut down, sometimes there's a little bit of price gouging and a bit of supply issues. Normally they pump enough to have it. They make a little extra money this time of year. And of course in the fall when they go back to the winter formula. In the meantime, sell when you can, not when you have to. And we'll see you tomorrow. Same back channel, same bad time.