 Postseason is officially here playing games underway two more on the schedule tonight and then giddy up first round of playoff games tipping off on Saturday welcome inside our Los Angeles studio this is Fandalsports more ways to win I'm your host Lisa Kearney these guys are the smart people betting experts here Dave Weaver at e-gross and of course yeah we got our guy Andrew Filiponi joining us from Pittsburgh as well we extend our smart people to Andrew as well we're breaking down tonight's matchups along with the upcoming playoff games our guys picking winners here betting players and game props as well as dishing out some series bets that you want to hit up right now on the Fandalsports book and you can take our experts information you can use it to place your bets right from your phone just download the Fandalsports book app check out all the waiters we're talking about on this show and so much more and new users special fist bump just for you sign up for your new account using the promo code more ways 1000 you'll get your first bet risk-free up to 1000 bucks again that's more ways 1000 alright team let's tip this thing off and we're starting with the two playing games ahead of us tonight first one on the schedule in the Eastern Conference we're gonna start with the 10th seated Hornets in Atlanta taken on the 9th seated Hawks here tip off 7 p.m. Eastern time this one features a great matchup of young point guards we've got Trey young we've got Lamella ball going head-to-head guys Atlanta a five-point home favorite in this one let's bet it let's do what we do Dave how you playing it we like betting this line seems a little big to me honestly I think Charlotte's been a very good road dog throughout the season 23 17 and 1 their last 15 in the spot 10 4 and 1 the last time they played in Atlanta they won outright by 3 I think they match up very good against the Hawks and honestly five is just too big of a number for me Ed see I don't think this is a bad spread at all I think first off when you look at Atlanta I know you think okay well the defense isn't really good they tend to give up a lot of points I understand that's the complaint but the defense was poorest last season and it turned out you know relatively okay for them it's it's been a problem for a little bit but they've always been able to overcome it in large part because of Trey young who I think is actually playing better this season than he did a season ago and one of the big reasons it's really his assist numbers they've gotten a good bit better his points per 100 shot attempts that's up by roughly five points is assist to usage ratio that's roughly the same I think Trey young's dominant performance will be in full heat mode in this one and I think they can cover the big number but a fan of this kid since college he is doing some really big seeing things excited to see what he gets done in these playoffs of course in addition to betting the spread you can also bet the total it's there for you on the Fandall sports book for this game over under 236 and let's start with you the Hornets and Hawks going over or under 236 what do you think well in terms of defensive pace these two rank in the middle of the pack they're also in the middle of the pack in terms of offensive rebounding so you're not going to see too many short shot clocks in a game like this and overall Charlotte does like to play a good bit more in transition they do that more than 16 percent of the time but at the same time if Atlanta is protecting the rock then Charlotte can't be in transition we're not going to see those short shot clocks and they're going to sort of belabor possessions a good bit more and so to me I think we're not going to see say a great offense by Charlotte so I'm gonna go under here I see it the other way I like Charlotte in the game but I like the total more I love the over in this game these defenses are not good 21st and 25th and scoring and then offensively two very good almost elite offenses as far as scoring offense fourth and six so you got bad defense good offense on both sides I disagree I think both these teams should get into the 120s and this game easily hits the over all right there you go we got your picks on the spread got your total as well now let's shift to some player and game props for this matchup I mentioned those two point guards a little earlier so we're gonna focus on them Dave let's talk about Trey young kid from Oklahoma is he going over or under 31 and a half points and already mentioned it he's gonna have a big game not that this is a series per se but a new opponent in the playoffs when you look at what traded last year in game one against Nick's 32 against the sixers 35 against the Bucks 48 so he's gonna feast in this game I think he should get maybe even closer to 40 all right I already mentioned the mellow ball he is over under set at 32 and a half points plus assists for ball how you playing that one I think the assist number is the key here and that's why I'm gonna go under almost all point guards compared with him his assist to usage ratio is pretty average I suspect to keep up with Atlanta he's gonna be more of a shoot first kind of a point guard I think it's gonna limit the number of assist opportunities that he has I'm going under all right we're gonna raise the ante a little bit here we're gonna get a game prop for both of you guys it's called a three by two so love it here's how it works will these two teams combine for two or more three-point field goals in the first three minutes of the game Dave you first well the last time these two teams played they did that in 35 seconds the first two shots were three and they both went in they're gonna shoot threes and these teams are both very good at making threes I say this is a slam dunk that they get to in the first three minutes we don't slam dunk for three-pointers day it seems like a slam dunk to them Bogdan Bogdanovich he's the guy who's going to make this happen here his free three three-point shooting rate 57.8% and he gets it around roughly a 43% clip so even if they hone in on Trey Young Charlotte does I think he's gonna be the guy to make this happen so long yes awesome all right let's get to the second game on the schedule tonight guys we work along here this one is the 9 10 matchup there in the West we got San Antonio at New Orleans these two teams lost a combined five games in a row to end the season looking for a little positive momentum to bring back in here Dave and Pony this one's for you Pelicans giving five and a half points at home pony let's go give me your pick in this one yeah Lisa I know you want me to bring the energy on this one so I will I'm gonna go with New Orleans okay and the reason why I'm saying that is because outside of that brutal stretch at the beginning of the year where New Orleans lost 12 of their first 13 they're actually a really good team even minus Zion for the entire season the McCollum trade legitimized the pelicans and Dave I'm so sick of hearing oh Greg Popovich is gonna work his magic he doesn't have in your parlance the horses to do it I'm going with New Orleans I think it's cool that I got a chance to go to New Orleans and see a pelicans game just a few weeks ago they beat the bowls and there is just great chemistry with this team everybody on the bench rooting for their players their bench is pretty deep you know that they got guys that'll come in and play their role and get the job done now Brandon Ingram he's been nursing a hamstring but in an eliminated elimination game like this I think he's gonna put up big numbers Valachunas has been great in the middle yeah I'm with you line seems big but the Spurs are not very good this year let's face it this is not a Spurs team up the past I think the pelts get it done and you see our lines here on the show auto update you see the line is actually at six there guys good stuff for you let's focus on the total now for this one Dave over or under 225 and a half points I think this is gonna be a defensive game you know these two teams the last eight times they've played it's gone under seven out of those eight and the pelicans had a span towards the end of March early April where either nine games went under so I think see this being more of a low-scoring game where the Spurs aren't gonna put up any points Dave did Fandu let you write off that scouting trip are you able to get some credits back for that getting able to sit court side that time that's incredible plus a per diem okay good and that's a big one for you I'm gonna take the over in this game I think the pelicans have a big scoring first half and then the Spurs backdoor that total to go over with some shooting in the fourth quarter all right I'm just gonna roll out our prop party here and everybody's invited pony I'm coming back to you over or under 24 and a half points for pelicans forward Brandon Ingram what do you think this is a key one I'm going over and you have to do your homework because he didn't play at the end of the year he had back problems but he practiced fully the last couple of days in anticipation of this game I think they were holding him back you'll be fresh and ready to go I'm gonna go over all right Dave let's move to Spurs guard Jean-Té Murray will he go over or under nine and a half assists in this game well his two games in New Orleans this year he put up 13 and 12 assists even though I don't think they're gonna score many points I think he'll be the reason why they do get some baskets and in dishing out those assists I'll go over all right pony this is a really fun game prop here on the Fandall sportsbook app which team will score eight points first well man that's first plus 10 is staring me right in the face it doesn't take much we know the NBA's a gamer runs I could see them getting up early very briefly and then the pelicans go on to be the team that leads after 12 minutes after the first quarter but plus one tens very appealing dozens of these bets are available for you right there on your app and Dave you've got to bet this one for us which team will score first in the second quarter ooh very scientific I mean you got to play the team you think it's going to score the most points at any given time during the game I think the pelicans are that team so I'll go pelicans all right you guys great stuff by you will come back to more props a little bit later in the show that's a look at four teams working to get into the playoffs we're gonna break down the first round matchups that are already set in just a few minutes but first I've got to tell you about a free DFS challenge with a prize pool of $3,000 per contest check it out it's the Mountain Dew NBA free play and most threes bonus contest and here's how it works users can log on set their lineups for the first five days of round one of the playoffs that's April 16th through April 21st the teams with the most threes in their 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Luca Doncic strained his calf in the last game of the regular season there is still no timetable for his return that has a jazz a four and a half point road of favorite Ed come into you how do you feel about that number what a tough going for Dallas to have the earliest possible game with Luca Doncic's health certainly up in the air and this matter is a good bit in large part because one of the big bits of advice I would give here is do not look at plus minus stats too carefully because Luca Doncic's usage rate is through the roof one of the highest in the NBA and when you look at flow of the game and breaks for Luca all of those things are going to mean a super small sample size for plus minus numbers for everybody else so don't look into that too much the biggest problem here is that Utah shoots a lot of corner threes third most in the NBA and that's going to be a problem for a team that is largely defense first in Dallas and so to me the corner threes the lack of Luca the lack of a threat of Luca all of those things put together I think Utah can cover this and the jet and the jazz have a guy that is a big time score in the playoffs Donovan Mitchell I was blown away by this he is fifth all time all time in playoff points for a game so you know he's going to bring in this game I get the feeling if the jazz don't win this series we're going to blow it up when Snyder might lose his job they might trade some people like go bare so there's a lot on the line for Utah and I think they step up in game one. All right you guys probably know this by now if you've been scouring the website in our app here no props for the Mavs right now because of again the uncertainty of Luca's availability here so let's take a look at a couple of lines for jazz players specifically in Ed let's project Donovan Mitchell's play will he go over or under 26 and a half points. Even though we agreed on the spread I'm actually gonna counter Pony here and say he's going under in large part because Mitchell is shooting a lot more threes this season than really he ever has and it's possible that a lot of those just don't fall or he's gonna be distributing a good bit more to those mid-tier shooters I think he probably misses this by about three points I'm going under. Okay Pony let's focus on focus on jazz center Rudy go bare here over or under 14 and a half boards for him. You got to go over this is the NBA's leading rebounder he ever just over 14 rebounds per game and now it's do or die time it's clutch time against the Hoddle Dallas team now I'm gonna take him to go over here. All right great stuff guys let's stay in the West here for the next game on the schedule for Saturday the Timberwolves won their playing game last night they clinched the seventh seed they'll face the second seed the Grizzlies and Jamerant they're in Memphis guys the Grizzlies are the surprise team here in the West they're seven point favorites Dave can the Grizzlies cover that's a we're talking about five being a big number what about seven here how do you feel about it I think it's too much I think they were a very good regular season team why because they play so hard every single game these young guys go out there and just give it all but not every team does that in the regular season but in the playoffs everybody's playing hard and I think Minnesota is gonna rise the occasion here you could go out on the street and survey a hundred people and ask them who scored the most points in the NBA this year I don't know if anybody would say the Minnesota Timberwolves this is number one offense in the league they can match points with the Grizzlies and I'm taking the plus seven. Memphis might be the most overhyped team in these playoffs in large part because what did they do so well all season long it was all about offensive rebounding and that's fine in the regular season but Dave just like you said in the playoffs they're gonna play a little bit harder and the half court offense for Memphis has struggled mightily they ranked 22nd out of 30 teams in points per play in the half court if the offensive rebounding just isn't there if Minnesota is able to crash the boards if Carl Anthony Towns has much better situational awareness he really didn't against the Clippers he will against Memphis he will be a better player all of a sudden you have a real series here not only do I think Minnesota can cover I would probably sprinkle sprinkle a little bit on the money line here to take game one okay there all right I like that little added sprinkle thank you Ed let's get the Eastern Conference now for the third game on Saturday we've got the four-five match up here between the Sixers and the Raptors that 76ers center Joel Embiid finished the regular season scoring 30.6 points per game that was most in the league a lot of points man Philly a four and a half point home favorite pony who do you like here I like the Sixers I think what happened with that trade for James Harden as it blew up a narrative I think there were a lot of skeptics that indeed was gonna have to learn how to play with Harden he wasn't gonna ultimately lead the NBA in scoring because he was gonna have to defer to Harden more and the exact opposite happened Dave they ended up when they were on the court together they were the best duo the best tandem in the entire NBA and now that all the regs are in this basket there's no load management they're not taking games off I expect them to win this game big at home I know Toronto's played very well against the Sixers this year winning three of four and I'm not sure that James Harden still has that aura about him and his opponents really are not afraid of him they go at him defensively I think it's a liability for the 76ers he's gonna get attacked and I think Toronto's gonna score a lot of points in this game I don't think it's gonna be a blowout at all I like the Raptors all right I already invited you guys doors are open for this prop party so let's mingle gentlemen a Dave Joellen Beach talked about him over under 46 and a half points plus boards what do you think with that one such a big number I mean 30 points and 16 rebounds and you lose if you play the over I mean yeah he could score 40 I guess and he could probably get you know 20 boards if he has a great game but that's just way too much I'm gonna say under and that's going with his average too at 30 and point six for that regular season okay what about him beats new running mate here James Harden Pony his assist total is set at 10 and a half you want to over or under 10 and a half assists I'm gonna go wonder because I think he's gonna be more of a score in this game he was the second assist man in the NBA frankly I cannot believe Davis slandering James Harden the way he is at the show a liability Dave defensively yes well that's half of the game I mean that's a bold statement I know he's not any that LeBron James or Paul George defensively but still no I think he does well enough in this game but goes under an assist okay well they're also a bunch of fun bets that you can make on the series as well here including one called Total Games so Dave how many games will this series go it's gonna go six and the reason it's going to be because Toronto steals a game in Philly and wins the series at home in Toronto so I'm saying Toronto in six all right you guys let's get back to the Western Conference for the final game of Saturday's quadruple header it's a buckle up guys 60 to Denver is at Golden State we know Dubbs guard Steph Curry dealing with that left foot spraying his availability in this game really unknown at this point guys Warriors are still four and a half point favorites and I see you nodding who you got in this one oh I'm chomping at the bid here in large part because even if Steph Curry doesn't play this is an outstanding matchup for Golden State in large part because of the defense no one defends the pick and roll better than Golden State getting everybody to one side trapping the dribbler all of that good stuff overall defense ranks third best and the second best in the NBA just behind Miami and so it's the defensive matchup or yeah Nikola Yokech he's an MVP should be the MVP of the league this season but he has had average performances against Golden State because the Warriors play such a great defense and keep in mind Dream on Green did not play for a lot of the season and so it's other guys like Looney and Wiggins and guys like that they're the ones making this defense so outstanding so I think Golden State can cover I don't think they will I think they'll lose the series in fact Yokech just shot over 60% March and April he's frankly playing better now than he did last year he has been incredible what a fantasy basketball DFS stud this guy is he does everything and so I don't think there's a defensive matchup that works this is a rarity for the Warriors the best player on the court in the series plays for the other team it's a star driven league the NBA I like Denver on the money line all right guys well the let's talk about the total and go a little bit further with it Nuggets and Dub said at 223 and a half we're gonna take that as I said a little farther a game prop here listed on the Fandals sportsbook right now and will the Warriors go over or under 114 and a half points in this game what do you think I think there's something inefficient when it comes to these numbers the total is 223 and a half Golden State totals 114 and a half a half point spread something seems off to me and it might very well be this team number so something's not adding up I'm gonna go under all right pony this one for you now a series bet what will be the correct score of this series after three games I think Denver will be up to one so that's plus 235 I think they win one of the first two games will take a one and then they'll win game three back in Denver okay I like it okay team those are all the first round matchups for Saturday there are four more games on Sunday two of those matchups still to be determined based on playing results from tonight and of course Friday as well so let's focus on the matchups that are already set guys want to bring you back in here for the two seven matchup in the Eastern Conference how about the Nets getting it done Kyrie Irving led Brooklyn to a win last night now Irving will face his former team got the Celtics in a best of seven series game one in Boston Celtics a four and a half point favorite Dave who do you like I like Boston you know they've been the better team all year I think they deserve to be favored by four and a half points in this game they have the number one defense in the league and they have a top 10 offense and they're much deeper than the Nets who have the big two but other than that I don't think there's enough firepower there for the Nets to stay with the Celtics in this game I think the Celtics win by at least seven I think I think of Ben Simmons were to have a lot more playing time and you know have more minutes I think probably they would have that depth but they don't so I agree with you as far as that's concerned but Jason Tatum deserves way more MVP consideration than he is getting his health is the biggest reason why Boston is in this position and why they are on a incredible heater at this point nearly 117 points for 100 shot attempts his assist rate is in the 90th percentile among all forwards the defense that he has helped put together has been just phenomenal Boston is the third best point differential over the past two weeks the recency has been outstanding Tatum has been fantastic I think Boston gets it done all right guys the final series that's at right now is this three six matchup in the east right we're looking at Milwaukee Bucks hosting the Bulls this game featuring two of the league's top five scoring leaders the honest onto Kumpos second DeMarta Rosen fifth this is the biggest spread of the first round by far here Bucks giving nine and a half pony is that too many that's a big number now I think that line says that all the Bucks dominate the regular season matchups they've got Lopez back as a rim protector and the Bulls just faded down the stretch in this way any time Dave they went up against these legitimate Eastern Conference title contenders they lost so I can't take them seriously I'm going to pick the Bucks to blow them out I'm with it I mean the Bulls just don't play defense to give up almost 125 points over the last five games and you mentioned the success that the Bucks had in the regular season against the Bulls but this is a team that just thrives in the playoffs I think this could be like 140 to 100 okay guys let's get some player props here the player and game props and then bet the series as well let's get right to it Dave over or under 27 and a half points for Bulls forward DeMarta Rosen what do you think he loves the score I think he's clearly going to be the one guy on the team that tries to keep it close but it's still not going to be enough he should get into the 30s I'll go over all right pony here's a tricky one how about 50 and a half points plus rebounds plus assists for Yanis that is a great number by Fandall the assists I think are the wonky part of this they're the hardest to predict with him some games there's nine or 10 other games there's one or two I'm going to go under because the assists scare me all right now to the series here Dave what's the total number of games for this series how many games you need to win for I don't see the Bulls winning a game in this series this is a sweep for okay the series spread Bucks minus two and a half games pony do you like it I do I think they do what's called a gentleman sweet Dave they beat him in five I like that at least do it with kindness all right you guys great stuff thank you and that is that's a betting look at tonight's games and playing games and all the first round playoff games that are set and are ahead of us I'm going to have our betting experts give me their NBA champion best bet coming up in just a moment but first I got to tell you how you can win a share of a $25,000 prize pool just by answering questions about this weekend's playoff games all you have to do is sign up for the free a state farm NBA pick them contest this Saturday and Sunday after you sign up you'll answer questions about what you think will happen for the first round matchups the more questions you get right the better chance you have of winning cash so make sure to sign up for the state farm NBA pick them contest at the website right there on your screen it's fandal dot com slash free slash hub just answer questions about this weekend's games and you could win a share of the $25,000 prize pool you can get after it right now all right now let's fast forward to the end of the playoffs and pick the team that will be standing as the NBA champion guys you see Oz right there on your screen I want you guys all to give me your pick and Dave you're starting us off I mean people always think value means it has to be a team that's a hundred to one I'm telling you the Phoenix Suns at plus 270 is value this is a team that they play this a hundred times they're winning this championship at least half they were eight games better than the rest of league in the regular season their road record 32 and 9 is better than anybody else's overall record this team just doesn't lose I don't see how anybody beat Phoenix the Western conference is top-heavy I agree with you but that's why I think Golden State at 9 to 1 has some real value dream on green and Steph Curry have not played very much together this season but when they have there has not been a better dynamic duo the Eastern Conference a lot of teams could come out of it but in the West it's either fainting for Golden State so the Warriors have value Dave we're parents teachers every time we do these futures you're the chalkiest guy on this show lose you're my goodness I'm gonna live a little bit I'm gonna take the Atlanta Hawks the word the play in tournament which is insane that I'm going with them but here's why based on last year getting to the Eastern Conference finals I think in that half of the Eastern Conference bracket they can beat Miami in the first round and they can beat the 4-5 winner of Toronto Philadelphia and with those long-eyed odds Lisa at that point if they get to the conference finals you can hedge and make a lot of money so I love those odds on Atlanta all right but also nothing wrong with chalk maybe you play a little bit safe go ahead and take a little bit of money and then you know get a little risky later on but Dave I'm not mad at you all right you guys before we go I want to tell you about a special offer our Fandall casino side is offering and this is all for our new players so check it out new users who download the app and sign up for a new account can play Fandall casino games risk-free up to 24 hours yes that means at the end of your first day of play if you're down money you'll get it back up to 1000 bucks so go ahead and get at it the special promo is for new players 21 or older in New Jersey Pennsylvania Michigan and West Virginia hopefully will extend that very soon so make sure to download the Fandall casino app you can do it right now sign up for your new account take advantage of this 24-hour $1000 risk-free offer it's going on right now it is the Fandall casino app and that'll do it for us let's hope for some really awesome exciting playoff games go nuts for Dave Ed and Pony I'm Lisa Kearney thanks for hanging with us here on Fandall sports with more ways to win this is the NBA playoff edition we rocked it great stuff guys remember new users signed up for an account on the Fandall sports book app promo code more ways 1000 thanks for joining us we'll see you next time