 let's get over to our man mr tim or as we do each and every thursday at twenty past the hour you can reach them or at or dash oracle or c l e dot com that's or dash oracle uh... dot com and tim's gonna be doing a workshop for all those that t f n uh... you know quite uh... it's quite soon okay that's the bottom line so we'll get this uh... baby going tim or what's going on well thanks for having me on again so uh... yeah i'm putting a seminar together so i'm more than halfway done so what i said so we got to pick a date sometime here pretty soon and we will do that that's a beautiful thing i love it because tim has a lot of great tools folks that he's willing to share so we're going to get our heads wrapped around this right okay that's actually started here we're going to that when he starts we showed last week and that and i want to put that chart up first with the chart number one then we'll go to chart number two okay and the only reason why i'm doing this combination there are two different charts that they show two different types of indicators but they come out and give you approximately a time frame and a high price uh... never to go to give you a proper word the time will will be and i'm probably where the price will be uh... so you'll have price and time nice two indicators are combined so anyhow okay so i have the first shot up but we'll actually hold it tell me what the first shot is you want all right but first chart is that uh... monthly still silver gold ratio which are okay i have that that's why i have it right yeah i have the that's the x a u the ratio it lows right is that the one uh... well the middle chart is yet it's over gold ratio okay one second let me see i have them all right in front of me i just have to get what when i did yeah i have it okay good yes that's the first one i have yes right yeah okay this chart goes back to nineteen eighty four yet and i got three different indicators on it and that the top chart is the uh... x a u right though that this is a yeah this is a monthly chart okay what looks at the bigger time frames they don't give many many signals but the signals they do give a really really accurate and so do we start with a bigger time frame to work backwards yes anyhow this chart goes back nineteen eighty ninety four at three indicators of the bottom one is a percent b all that does percent b is basically tells you where uh... index is in relation to the boulders and so just below zero it's hit the lower boulders and that fifty it's at the mid boulders and and it's uh... above one it's at the upper boulders band so that's what percent b is next one up uh... second up from the bottom of the rate of change and that's just a twelve day average rate of change will make a major acceleration of that index your your monitoring uh... so the faster it goes the more you'll get to extremes that's what you were trying to define an rsi is kind of a momentum indicator too so anyhow i circle in red the signals that were triggered you only need two of the three have all three but if you only have one you don't have a signal okay uh... so and those blue dotted lines up and down when those signals occurred and you know uh... going back to it looks like uh... uh... nineteen eighty six there is a signal uh... and that was triggered uh... when the uh... monthly gold silver triggered uh... the percent b rlc and actually are as high so that was a bi-signal and uh... it in decker silver gold ratio went up and the x-ray you went up a hundred thirty percent uh... net and here's why we're going to point out i got a red line drawn all the way across you know from nineteen eighty four to the current yes frame we see that bottom of the silver gold ratio right and just you know just want to point out that that's historically cheap when that ratio get that cheap you're usually at some significant low when it happened in nineteen twenty uh... two thousand twenty happened again and you know two thousand twenty two probably heard actually two thousand twenty two of august okay and usually cheap to get that to get that low so i want to point that out that anyhow i went through and and label all the appreciation when those people are triggered triggered on the monthly gold silver ratio the least one with ninety five percent and the most percent gain with three hundred eighty three three percent that's pretty cool and yeah that's uh... uh... signal was triggered was in august of last year and so if you take the minimum which is basically a hundred percent is only one below a hundred percent they would give up a projection on the exit you up around two hundred as it was round uh... approximately a hundred back in august of last year right we're trading one thirty three right now folks at seventy one ascent uh... exe you points yeah which is awesome and remember folks programs archive so you can get this program if you happen to be driving in your car or whatever you can see the visuals you know tonight on the program okay sit down by a sari right now that's fine so anyhow uh... so i guess a hundred-percent gain so i can output to the second chart okay a projection on the exe you say a hundred probably more at least a hundred yeah okay i have a second shot up yeah so this chart the bottom window is the uh... eighteen-day average of the advanced decline percent for gdx okay the second window up uh... is eighteen-day average of the uptown volume percent yes and every time and every time these both these indicators get above forty which are you uh... identified with uh... red lines you know i see them yet uh... and i call those search patterns okay so even though they got really over by uh... it's kind of like an initiation of an uptrend what it is i say and so it's not the end of the move is it's really kind of an explosion of a move and last time we had it was uh... uh... october two thousand twenty one kind of went sideways for a while and kind of exploded up into look like but uh... early two thousand twenty two and we just had one here in april actually april four i got a label there april four three s the bottom window was uh... forty five ninety eight and the other one was uh... forty two thirty six on april four so uh... that labeled the times how long those rallies lasted okay and they blasted uh... anywhere from at minimum six months just at the river minimum three months to six months and several more on four or five months so i can't take the average of those two and i call it four or five months out so they were triggered april four so you expect this by a high time-wise around april around august uh... to a september time frame of this year will be the final high but will be the high of the search pattern and the search pattern will be kind of still straight up you know been going sideways here for a week or two you know that it we haven't reached uh... the level yet right it looks like a little consolidation we have right now right yet and just stay there for a second okay we're going to have a quick break and bring it right back okay so now right now folks is down to sixty six you get the nasaq up twenty seven s&p's is on ten stay right there man it's mr tim wards going to be coming back and we're going to be slicing and icing right now the gdx we just did the x a u uh... we'll come right back folks welcome back folks now dows down at two sixty nine nasaq's up twenty five s&p's are off ten that i meant to tell you what he is by second and dissecting the gdx first right now okay ten right there's so many odds uh... this is a search pattern as close to last another four five months according to history of this type of signal yes i give you a high around uh... the august september time frame and go back to chart one okay we had a uh... you know a rise you know all these signals on this monthly uh... silver gold ratio gave at least a hundred well all but one at least a hundred percent rise from this signal right signal is last august and if you can you know never again you always the adversaries of highs and lows were as important yes well this is starting to point that you know august it could be important that high or a point in date because a year ago it was uh... important low nice gdx yes that was round twenty two but if you go back to that chart one again you know uh... i'm predicting according to this indicator you should go at least a hundred percent about a hundred points from the low world point uh... a hundred percent from the flow in august so august of last year uh... gdx is round twenty two so if you take a hundred percent just like the exit you have that on you come up with forty four you may see forty four sometime in august september of this year and that's also august again uh... anniversary date of his previous flow so i'm thinking august could be important high now long-term high but some sort of time out or you may consolidate uh... force you know a period of time now they'll get interesting cuz you know the next swing we have is forty one and then after that all look at the note is a beautiful swing at forty five okay one second hold let's put this up okay yeah let me i'm just gonna put this over here for a second yeah this is cool to him so i get the gdx up here so let's see what this swing is all this is pretty cool well yeah forty forty five is the swing from uh... that's way up there man of twenty twenty which is cool yeah right right okay where we're heading yeah okay you know and it should get to the other indicators uh... when we get down the road you know maybe a month or so from now yes we're starting to look type of signals that will indicate that we may be entering close to a high so that we don't need to worry about right now this this according gdx is actually still cheap if we get to forty four you know i'm just saying a hundred percent i don't know i'm with you that's a good thing exactly i'm looking at it i get it trust me i don't know but i'm thinking august is going to be an important time frame and we're up around forty five or higher you know we might be be looking out uh... for that so anyhow that's my projection august high maybe september nice probably forty four better okay you want to go to a couple of the church here yep i got the third one up right now okay this is you know cops always been tough right and you know you you know how you know things are good how long we can stay good but what i found over over the years is always a worrisome sign when the sp is going up and the big is going up with it yes so when big goes up is it is a worrisome sign so anyhow the last top we had in uh... two thousand or yeah late but yeah late two thousand twenty one early two thousand twenty two you notice the that i got a green shaded area yes spx is making higher highs and the five d average which is the bottom window of the spx fix ratio is making lower highs okay and so that was a warning sign that the fix i put it in a ratio because it just works out better it kind of follows what the essence you can see is a virgin spatter yes this is a weekly time frame not a daily time frame right so this divergence started to happen back in in the you know uh november december time frame and finally january would hit a new high in that ratio didn't come close to this uh it's a new high now flip back to the next chart chart four okay we have it and the only reason why i'm bringing up is just more food for thought if you go back in time which i did all the way back to uh 1990 whatever but you know you can see in 2020 same thing happened you're you're hitting new highs on the sps uh early 2020 and the ratio is going right you know straight down yes uh so that was a huge divergence so now let's go back to point three yeah graph three again i have it okay now we're looking where we are right now okay if you notice the essence this is a weekly chart the s and p's right now we're testing the uh uh well it looks like about january highs that's for you if you go down to the ratio the ratio is making higher highs than the january highs how cool is that okay yeah so what that's a positive divergence right if the s and p's are we're kind of flat and that ratio is starting to make the lower highs you you have to worry but that's not what happened here this ratio suggests you're going to break above the current highs which is i got around 4200 there 4100 on the spx and the fix is actually holding strong as hanging around 17 or lower or in that vicinity and or the s and p's are kind of holding against this previous highs so i'm thinking uh as of last week even though we haven't moved we haven't really moved at all since our last uh show last friday or last thursday my opinion we're going to break above this 4100 4200 and probably head back to the old highs of 4700 and the the five week spx fix ratio uh suggests that uh that to be true i guess because uh that ratio is making higher highs where the spp so far hasn't so it's just the reverse of what we're having back in january of uh 2022 where the sps are making higher highs and the spx fix ratio is making lower highs here we have the offset s and p's are kind of matching a previous high but the ratio is breaking out above this previous highs yes i'm going to bring over a child of what you're talking about tim and it is amazing i mean where you know if we take a look at this you know we've been in the same consolidation from us a year and a half so yeah you know the bottom line is that even you can see you know we're going to have a break folks okay and if you if you do you know watch the market intraday you can see like even today tim right the you know the spread on the s and p is pretty incredible right now and i know that you know i mean that's what that's what happens with consolidations right i mean if we take a look at the e-minis out here today you know we've had i mean right now you're down 10 points or something but the bottom line is that we were at we're at 18 points off the high off the low and we're you know 20 well enough yeah we're 14 points off the high you know so that's a straight-up consolidation so you know i can i love the setup that you're giving us man i mean it's pretty intense no doubt man so yeah we're not we're not backing away from the highs either you know we're right here you know went to almost a month at this level this is on weekly charts not like interday stuff yes we're not backing away from the high so we're eating my opinion we're eating a supply up here yeah where we're selling uh there's fires at stepping in so uh we're gonna see some energy pop up here pretty quick probably you know this month yet it'll probably be to the upside i like it and listen folks every thursday uh tim's on you know bottom line uh the second and third segment great work tim you remember folks that this is archived you can get it tim's going to be doing a workshop so you can understand how these tools work because they're phenomenal tools tim thanks so much you have a great one safe one we look for speaking the next week right thank you awesome stay right there folks come right back