 We have got a fun one for tonight in MLB DFS primarily because of the pitchers for tonight there are a lot of guys can go towards and you're not really having to force it as we did last night where you've got guys in several different spots you can feel good about both for cash games and for tournaments and on top of that there are enough stacks to get by it's not like a super plentiful offensive slate but a good enough one where you can potentially get a bit different get a read on the room decide where you want to go where other people may not go I think there are some good potential contrarian options available for today so let's dive on and get you set for this Tuesday night main slate welcome on into the solo shot that's right here on the fan dual podcast network and numberfire.com my name is Jim Sonnis I'm a senior writer and analyst for numberfire.com here to break down this 12 game main slate with lock set for 705 p.m. eastern for tonight a couple weather notes for today one of which is wind in Baltimore for the Orioles and the Cubs winds are out to center or out to left I should say at 11 miles per hour bump up batters they are keeping mind the the increased portion left but the wind should help not negate it but at least offset it a tiny bit finally there's a chance of rain in Pittsburgh for the pirates and the Tigers they should be good to go but check back on that one later there's a pitcher I do like there so we can talk about that in things to watch but just know there is some potential rain in Pittsburgh for the pirates and the Tigers we will get you set for this Wednesday Tuesday main slate in just one second but first a quick reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the numberfire daily fantasy podcast coming up later on today Branding a doula back from his vacation breakdown the PGA DFS slave for the RBC Canadian open but it's coming up on the fan of YouTube page at 10 a.m. and up on the numberfire daily fantasy podcast after that PGA MLB every weekday USC NASCAR all in the same place hit subscribe if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well the NBA finals are here and you can play a free daily fantasy challenge with a $10,000 prize pool it is a body armor inside edge challenge and it is easy to play just set your five player lineup while staying under the salary cap the MVP position will get double the points the star position gets 1.5 x times the points and the proposition gets 1.2 times the points you have two utility players if your team scores enough fantasy points you will be eligible to win part of the $10,000 prize pool the body armor inside edge contest is for game three of the series which is coming up on Wednesday so make sure to enter before then you can sign up for the free contest at fandual.com to enjoy this free DFS contest for your chance to win $10,000 pitching preview for this Tuesday Main Sleigh Alec Manoa is the highest salary pitcher on Fandall checking in at $11,000. Just in Verlander's 10,9 followed by Kyle Wright at $10,500 $500. Derek Scoobl is 10-4 with Carlos Rodan at $9,900. James and Tio 95. You Darvish 91 with Michael Kopeck, Jeffrey Springs, Cole Irvin, Jose Quintana, Jason Alexander, Taiwan Walker, and Brad Keller as the others at $8,000 or higher. I really love Kyle Wright for tonight. There are a lot of options for today, and you can go a lot of different ways. For me personally, Wright will be the guy I have as my SP1. It gives the best combination of floor and ceiling with ceiling being the more important factors here. I'm going to rank Wright first, and a lot of that is due to the matchup. He's facing the A's who have been what we thought they'd be. They have a 79 WRC plus against Wrightys, with a 111 ISO and a 23% strikeout rate. They are a plus matchup for Wrightys in all three of those categories. And Wright is a really good arm in a vacuum for DFS. He's made 10 starts this year. He has solidified the gains as the sample has expanded. The gains from last year to this year, 28% strikeout rate, 3.43 skill interactive ERA, really good bat at ball data. The one issue he has had is walks because the walk rate for Wright is 10%. The A's just don't draw a lot of walks. I'm not sure how much it matters. He has a 7% walk rate, or they have a 7% walk rate, which means it's kind of the perfect matchup for Wright, specifically given the low walk rate there. We have not seen Wright in many plus matchups recently, but he did have 11 strikeouts against the Marlins at home back in April. He followed that with eight against the Cubs. We've seen Wright get eight plus strikeouts in four of his 10 starts. I think he could get there against Knight, which is why the ceiling to me is still very good, despite the fact I think he's kind of a traditional cash game type play. He is a good ceiling too. I like his safety, even if he doesn't have the ceiling there. Wright is my favorite guy of the night. A lot of good competition, but to me, Wright deserves to be the number one arm for tonight. I'm going to put Carlos Rodan seconds, which might feel odd because things have been super weird for Rodan recently. I still think he has enough to get the job done though. He's facing the Rockies here, who is a team he absolutely mowed down back on May 9th with 12 strikeouts and six innings, a sick outing for Rodan, but he hasn't done much since then. He's had no more than six strikeouts in four games. He's had less than four twice and also had an eight earned run outing in there. He does have some injuries in this past, which might make you think that something is off with Rodan. I always look at pitch usage and velocity to get a glimpse at that. The Vivo did dip for a second for Rodan, but it was back up his last time out. These sliding usage changed a bit as well. Sometimes you'll see guys throw their off speed stuff less if they're not fully healthy, but Rodan did jack that usage back up last time out, 27% usage on slider. That's pretty in line with his full season number. We saw him get a 12.2% swinging strike rate in that most recent game. It is possible that Rodan had a blip in there at some point, but it does seem like he got over that in his most recent start. He threw 98 pitches there too. The Giants not handling him with kid gloves, they seem to think he's fully healthy. I do think there is extra uncertainty here, which is why I think Wright is safer. Both guys have similar upsides. In a vacuum, I prefer Kyle Wright, but Rodan could easily bounce back in a big way here and I want to be in on him in case that does happen. To me, even on a loaded slate, I've got Wright won Rodan number two, and I think that I feel pretty good about in that ranking despite the fact we have seen Rodan slip a little bit more recently than he did earlier on this year. We'll also talk about Terry Scoobal and the things to watch section. I really don't want to be in the bargain bin tonight given how many stud pitchers there are, so I'd rather live there for the most part. If you do want to save some salary though, my favorite guy is Ranger Suarez, it's $73. It's been a rough year for him. He has a 4.690 IRA. His peripherals aren't a ton better, but we've seen things trending better for Suarez recently. At least the peripherals, not only were the results, but he's been using more forcing fastballs across his past five starts, and that is definitely a bigger strikeout pitch for him than his sinker. He has a 24% whiff rate against the foreseamer according to baseball. Savant versus the sinker at 12%. The strikeout rate is up to 25% in that time, and he still has good batting ball data. He is walking too many guys, but part of that could be the teams he has faced. In those five starts, we've seen Suarez face the Dodgers twice, the Braves, and the Giants. That's a tough string of teams to face. He did still manage to get five plus strikeouts and four of them. He's facing the Brewers on the road here. They have just a 64 WRC plus on their active roster against lefties, with a 24% strikeout rate, minimal flyballs. Suarez is probably not letting up any long balls here, and he should get some strikeouts. That's not enough for me to use him personally because I want to live in those high upside guys in the 9,000 and 10,000 range, but it's totally understandable if you want to go here. It just doesn't fit my personal style. I think Suarez is the best value play probably not enough to be in my player pool for tonight. We'll talk about one more picture in Thanks to Watch. First of all, let's go through the stacks for today. I think the top one is the Astros, which is weird because Chris Flexen is facing them. He's had a lot of success against the Astros this year. He's had three starts, and he's allowed just five runs across 18 innings. That's pretty good. That's a positive for sure. He knows how to handle this team, or at least he has so far. But Flexen has really struggled against other teams. His overall ERA, including those good Astros games, is 4.55. The peripherals say he's closer to the rough starts than the good ones. I'm going to stack the Astros against him for tonight and see if they can write the ship in their fourth meeting against Flexen this year. The peripherals in general say we can stack against Flexen, and the results due to outside of those Astros starts. He has a 4.71 skill interactive ERA with a 17% strikeout rate, a 43% hard hit rate, and a 44% fly ball rate. All of those numbers are right in our wheelhouse from a stacking perspective. The Astros are still good. They have a 117 WRC plus against Wright. He's with a 179 ISO. It just makes it more confusing that they haven't done well against him. They did have some success in the first game. They scored three runs there. It could just be that he's been on his game the past two starts. That's what I'm banking on. I think they are due for some progression here, especially now that we've seen Flexen, or they've seen Flexen three times, two of which have come in the past five starts. A lot of familiarity there for sure. I do think that we can go at the Astros again despite the fact they've struggled against him thus far. Part of the reason that he's been good against them could be that Flexen struggles more the righties. A lot of the righties in the Astros have been in a slump. But I think they're coming around. Alex Bregman has a 47% hard hit rate the past two weeks. Hasn't translated to a lot of extra base hits, but it could soon. Jose Altube went yard last night, stole a base a couple of nights ago. I think that that could signal that he's starting to be more aggressive, maybe getting back in the good, bad at ball areas. I do still love the lefties. I will never talk myself out of them, but I do think that those two righties, Altube and Bregman, are showing signals of upside again. So I'll probably prioritize them more than I typically do. I'm typically your Don kind of guy and still will be, but I'll bump up Bregman and Altube more than I typically do against a rightie. As far as our second stack, the Angels have not yet confirmed who their starter will be. I assume it's Reed Detmerz. It is his terminal rotation. He was fine last time out. So I'd assume it's him. Just check back on that to be sure though. And Detmerz has had some good individual outings recently. Obviously had the no hitter. That's a pretty good one. He held the Yankees, scoreless or four to third innings last week. He's facing the Red Sox tonight. And I think we should stack them here mostly due to the underlying numbers in that no hitter. Detmerz started throwing a changeup more often. And obviously it worked. He had no hitter. That's pretty sweet. But in that one, he had just two strikeouts. He led up a lot of fly balls, but none of them fell in. We've seen that carry into other starts as well. Across the past four, starting with that no hitter, Detmerz has a 5.17 skill interactive ERA with a 15% strikeout rates, a 49% fly ball rate and a 40% heart hit rate. That's got him in trouble twice. Couple rough outings against the Rangers. And he led up a pair of home runs in both games. One of which was at home, which is where he is at for tonight. Plus right before this stretch, the Red Sox got to him with three earned in four innings. So it's never a sure thing to stack against Detmerz. He can have really good starts. But I think there is enough here where we should stack the Sox due to the number of cracks at long balls they will get here via the balls in play via the five balls, et cetera, et cetera. I think there is definitely a good case we made for making them a high priority stack again, assuming Detmerz is in fact the starter for today. It's hard to figure out what to do with Rafael Devers against the lefty. We see a lot of high profile lefties hit lefties. Well, Matt Olson, Freddie Freeman, guys like that, Corey Seeger and Devers though didn't do that last year. He had a 128 ISO. This year, the ISO is 228, but it's inches 57 plate appearances. He has a 28% strikeout rate, 20% fly ball rates. The fly ball rates was better last year, but still just 30%. So I've inclined to ding him quite a bit against the lefty. Obviously, that changes if everyone avoids Devers because it's a lefty on lefty. But I do think that ranking out guys within the stack, JD Martinez obviously above him, Trevor Story right now, Enrique Hernandez due to the salary, probably Zander Bogarts too above Devers. You could talk me either way on that one, but I do think he just lowers the prioritization. So I'm okay using lefty on lefty if the guy I think has overlooked, if I think that he has better numbers than you may think against the lefty. Devers is one guy where I do actually ding him a decent amount when there's a lefty on the opposing mount. Now I think that Kyle Bradish is a similar pitcher to Reed Devers, just in an odd way where both these guys can have really good starts. For Bradish, the good starts are due to his strikeouts, which makes him risky to stack against, but he keeps getting bad results. So I do want to stack the Cubs against him tonight. They are the number three stack here behind the Astros and the Red Sox. Bradish does have juice. He has a 24% strikeout rate in seven starts, not too many walks, which leads to a 3.67 skill interactive ERA, which is pretty good. It's actually green on my like heat map sheet for today, but it hasn't mattered because his ERA is 6.82, his expected ERA is 5.58 and that's probably high due to the 44% hard hit rate he is allowed. When people make contact, they are making contact. They are whacking that thing. Bradish has let out four plus earned runs in four out of seven starts that includes three of the past four he has made. And that's despite getting strikeouts in there, but he's just getting punished whenever a team puts the ball in play. The Cubs are not a juggernaut offensively, but they do have a 102 WRC plus on their active roster against righties, which can at least keep him honest, I would say. I'm going to keep Bradish viewing him similar to Josiah Gray, Hunter Green. Green was awesome last night, but we can have bad starts. So the upsides of stacking against them make the risks worth it. Gray, Green, Bradish all can have good starts, but when they have bad starts, you want to be in there for DFS. So I think the Cubs good internees for tonight due to the upside that they provide. It's been super impressive to watch the Cubs fill in for injured guys in their lineup. Christopher Morel has some power against righties, but a lot of speed. Ian Hap playing good ball, Patrick Wisdom hitting for power against righties, though he does strike out more than you like, but there's definitely enough here to feel good about the Cubs, even with some key really good batters being down. So the Cubs have lost some pieces. Obviously, you prefer those guys, like Zuki to be healthy, but I think even with the offense in its current state, still a good one to go to for stacking in the right spots. And I do think they have the right spot for today. Things to watch. My favorite stud we did not discuss yet is Terak Scubble. I'm going to put him above Alec Minoa and Justin Verlander. I just like the matchup more for Scubble. He's facing the Pirates. We have a 23% strikeout right against lefties, which puts Scubble at 6.9 projected strikeouts for today. That is actually the best number on the entire site. It's above Rodan. It is above right, but they're both at home in good matchups. And that's why I wound up going them over Scubble despite the projections liking him more for today. I still bet about those guys, but I would put Scubble above Verlander, above Minoa and my number three pitcher for tonight and the guy I will use for sure might not get to Minoa or Verlander just because I don't really want to use for. They're definitely worthy of using. I just don't really typically want to use for pitchers in most scenarios, especially when it's like good guys, like I feel pretty good about having a good floor and ceiling. Don't know who the twins will start today. Bailey Ober is on the IL, which means it could be Colsans. He started a double header last week on Tuesday. So would be his time up in the rotation. He's had rough results in both AAA and the majors. The peripherals are better. I would bet it winds up being Sands. And if it does, I would say fire away on the Yankees for sure. Definitely an okay stack. I'd probably put them below the Red Sox and the Astros, but they'd probably be a hair above the Cubs for me if we assume Colsans at the starter. Problem is that Yankees often still decently banged up despite getting stand back. So, you know, I think they're fine, but not a top stacking. We assume that it is Sands below the Astros and the Red Sox for me. I think a good contrarian stacked tonight could be the Dodgers. They're facing Michael Kopeck, who has a 2.20 ERA, but his underlying numbers don't really blow you away. He led a five runs with two home runs, the Blue Jays last week. So I think there's some cracks in there and the Dodgers are a team good enough to expose them. It's just for tournaments because it's not safe enough to use in cash gains, but I do like the Dodgers for sure. So you kind of got to work to be different on a 12 game slate. I think the Dodgers could be a good way to do so. So the Dodgers to me, a fun being different without being dumb stack for this Tuesday night. Let's finish up here. The Dinger calls on Dinger Tuesday. The boring one will be JD Martinez facing off, I assume, with Depmers. Again, a lot of fly balls, a lot of hard contact. Martinez, good against everyone, but especially against the lefty. So JD Martinez, the boring home run call for tonight. The fun one, I will go to Chas McCormick if he plays. McCormick about a 180 ISO against Reidy so far this year. I mentioned that Flexon has struggled with same handed batters. So I'll go McCormick if he plays, not a lock to play though. So I'll toss in Frank Schwindel for the Cubs against Braddish if McCormick does not go. Again, Schwindel better recently, better bad at ball data against Reidy. He's been trending back up ever since he got demoted. So I would say he'd be the alternative if McCormick does not play, but I like McCormick more straight up if I get him at my disposal. So JD Martinez and Chas McCormick with Frank Schwindel being the alternative for today. That's all we got here for this Tuesday main slate of MLB DFS. Like I said, it's a fun slate. A lot of ways you can play things. You got five legitimate, really good options at the top. I'd be okay with any of them. I gave my three that I like the most, but I think that if you have a strong conviction towards Verlander, strong conviction towards Minoa, totally justifiable despite good competition for today. If you've got any questions for me, I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis, J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S. You can also follow the FanDuel podcast network at FanDuel Podcast. We also again do have a PGA podcast coming up later on today on the Number Fire Daily Fantasy podcast feed and on the FanDuel YouTube page. So go there, hit subscribe if you like what you hear. Give us a rating and review as well. Big thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your MLB DFS. Long as for Tuesday, we'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down yet another slate of MLB DFS. This has been the solo shot right here on the FanDuel podcast network.