 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. Welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. And as always, it doesn't matter really where you're at as long as you're here at this time. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. Well, we had a pretty big rally today, up 70 points on the SAP cash. And of course, a few things going on behind the scenes on that. I wanted to talk about a few of these. What? Yeah, that's never... Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. That sure probably should have been at the top, and that's never mind. Which all I could think of is Fauci backpedaled all over himself. Maybe the cataclysmic end of the world apocalypse that I said last week, actual real data, not what I was thinking was going to happen. Maybe he's not as bad as I said. So, Roseanne, Rosanna, Dana comes out again with a big never mind. So we've got a nice pop. The S&P really bottomed on Friday. The NASDAQ pretty much today was going to be a quick market on the turn. I didn't know where it was going to be from Monday into Wednesday. But up 170 points on the NASDAQ probably still going to get some consolidation. I don't think that this is going to just take off to the races. I think we could see a minor pullback into Wednesday when we go delta neutral. But certainly it is a market that looks like sector rotation is the watchword of the day, and that is out of the higher PEs and into the lower PEs. Give me a call today at 877-927-6648. And of course you can always email me at path at tfnn.com. And put a message in the den if there's something you want to look at. A couple of the things I wanted to get to today, had some questions about what pipe deals are, so we'll talk about those. NVIDIA's call to arms, in fact we'll just start bringing some charts up here as we speak. Come on, come on, there we go. I had some questions about NVIDIA and whether or not this was really a big deal that we saw a couple of weeks ago. I think everybody kind of knows that this deal was in trouble for six months. Maybe I'm wrong, but I didn't think it was as big a deal as most people thought. NVIDIA down to 283-8, a little above 300 as we speak. In fact, let's get that exactly. Take a look, NVIDIA, 299, okay, 299-78. I'm not surprised that we're at here at these levels, but certainly they were doing everything they could last week and had willing participants. Fellow travelers trying to crush the market. Part of that probably tech selling and tax selling for both, but part of that was trying to get out of these super high-fast runners on the thought that the end is nigh, but all that kind of stuff just kind of continues on. So on NVIDIA, is this a big deal? Well, it certainly would be nice for NVIDIA to pick up arms. Is it the end of the world if they do not know? What's behind it? Every other company in the world looks to arms for designs, and especially Apple probably leading the charge. It doesn't want to see anybody else in the food chain that they can't bully. And it reminds me of somebody I was talking to over the weekend that knew the Kumo brothers. He says, you know what? He says, I knew their dad, and I knew both sons. I was talking to somebody from New York, and they said, you know what? Everybody was waiting for the day that they could all go after him because they were nothing but bullies all the time. I just thought that was interesting. He says, the old man, he was a prince. Always treated his fine, great, was a great guy. The two sons, though, always ran around like mobsters trying to prove something. And he says, you think a lot of this stuff has just come along in the next couple of years? There have been people out after there and willing to go after him. He says, listen, don't be a bully. You'll need somebody someday, and they will not be there for you. Anyway, I just thought that was interesting. Anyway, on NVIDIA, don't think that there's a whole lot going on out here that, you know, that if you close at 300, all this did is make some topping sound. I know everybody talks about the huge PE. This is a company that can sell today and every day four times what it can make. So I don't know why you want to think that the end is nigh for a company that literally doesn't have a problem with demand only with production, and it's not like they're screwing up and can't make anything. Them and AMD, both kind of getting hit today, again, a lot of discussion about out performers in the market. AMD over the last couple of days, not really much of a different chart from these guys. I think that they can continue to move on and higher when we look at the leaders. But you probably have a fairly good piercing of the lows. It's probably going to be on significantly lighter volume, and we're going into the time where it's seasonally good to be long. Again, probably eight-tenths of what you probably thought we were going to get between now and Christmas happened today. That's never a good sign. We've gone from one exhaustion selling climax to one exhaustion buying climax to one exhaustion selling climax to one exhaustion buying climax again today. So you know what? You got a lot of going on. Okay, somebody has posted something in the den. I thought I'd read it. Anyway, 4609 on the S&P cash is the last tick I show. I had some other questions. Anyway, first of all, AMD, what else did we have here? I wonder what. Taiwan Semi in the tech sector, oh, we're almost running out of time, going to three nanometer technology that I think that was on Friday. I just didn't get to it. Of course, this is all about what they can build for everybody else. It gets better, but they're starting the three nanometer technology. It doesn't mean transistors are three nanometers from each other. They kind of build them like Lego, and if you just took one brick and moved it one to the side, it's kind of like that. They're building them up 3D, and all you need to do is offset them a little bit, and they've got that down to three nanometers, but that means they're building them like a partner. We come back, we'll get through the rest of the news. Are you grinding in the market? Not seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find the path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit TFNN.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market-profile-based scanner. Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms, this feature-rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500-plus global financial markets, such as stocks, ETFs, commodities, futures, and forex. 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For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Search online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, Educating Investors. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. As we return, let's do a little history, I don't have a slide for it today, but why don't we just do that and I'll get back to my rant. On this day on December 6, 1884, workers placed a nine inch aluminum pyramid atop the Tower of White Marble completing the construction of the Washington Monument. Most people do not know aluminum was worth maybe 50 to 100 times what gold was in 1884. They'd figure out how to actually smelt it and get it all taken care of in the next 25 years by a process. I can't remember the guy's name right now. Pretty famous for coming up with a process on making aluminum cheaper than steel now. But that was it. Anyway, as early as 1783, the infant U.S. Congress decided to statue of George Washington, the great revolutionary war general should be placed near the new congressional building. What most people don't know is George Washington up to the time of the Civil War was handed every filthy dirty job that was going to be a loser. Most people didn't think much of him at the time. And since he was one of the few to actually wanting to go show what he could actually do, probably if he wouldn't have done that, it's not like they would have pushed him into a position of that power. But there's more than a little bit to say that up to that point, let's say 1774, 75ish, not a lot of people thought a lot about him, but he decided to fight and fight on. And now he has a very giant symbol of himself right there on the Capitol Mall. Okay, let's get back to stuff already in progress over most of TFNN. 4608, as I said, probably another buying climax coming out today, at least in the S&P, got a little more room to run, probably in the NASDAQ. But is that the end of it? Probably no. You get a big earthquake like we've had over the last week, 10 days. There's going to be some aftershocks. They won't be as strong. But any of the stocks that are weak will probably be most susceptible to that kind of action. So you don't know. But anyway, Taiwan semi, keep an eye on that one. Nvidia calls to arms. Yeah, that deal's probably not going to go through. We talked about Fauci kind of walking back. As I said last week, I thought what we would find out would certainly be that it was a producer's kind of the zero-mastel version of that movie, not the one, although it wouldn't bad. I thought the zero-mastel and Gene Wilder version much better. If you're unfamiliar with the movie, some unscrupulous folks decide to make a lot of money by selling 1,000% of a play, trying to make the play the worst play in the world that they could, and having it become a resounding success, only to have all 10 investors who all think that they own the play show up and want some cash. Of course, they end up in the huskow for that. But you never know what's going to happen when you try to overemphasize something and then back over. But yeah, a big Roseanne, Rosanna Dana, never mind to the Fauci. So what else do we have going on here that I wanted to talk about? That's kind of the beginning of it. Oh, I had a bunch of questions about pipes. These are private investment and public equity deals. Two reasons for them to be in the news today. DWAC, the digital acquisition company, got a billion dollars in a pipe deal. That is private investment and public equity. They call these things pipes. Generally, what you want to do in these is really look close at the fine print in these if you're thinking about investing. I would say three-fourths of these are done with some kind of back-end agreement, and that is that you can't sell the stock for a year or two years or something. And for that, you get a special deal. Well, DWAC, which is down 2.25%, I think was down, what was the low of the day here? Let me take a look real quick. 41.26%, but it had been as high as 48 or 49 pre-market. Let's pull a chart up of it here. DWAC. And it doesn't really don't see it because of the pre-market thing, but you get kind of an idea of what was going on here. Like I said, it started off fairly high. People started looking into it. You have to really find out whether or not those folks can sell right away, because if you bought on 75 cents on the dollar, you're still probably doing fairly good. The reason I bring that up is that a lot of times people will either forget, or the companies will not say, and you end up on the other side of it. One of those examples today is ARQQ. I tried to get an answer on this same pipe deal, along with when they were going to have their earnings. I'd never been able to get anything. I didn't mind day trading it, but I wasn't going to put it in my newsletter again. It had been a big winner, and you hit 28.70 today. The question is, you've got to wait now a little while and see how it settles out, but generally the problem is, do you know for a fact that those folks can't sell? Because if they double their money in a week, they're going to sell. They're not dummies. These guys had a big pile of cash. They decided to throw it at somebody without margin, and it may be a great company still, but in the short term you have to worry about those shares coming back on the market. 877-9766-48, email me at path at tfnn.com. Another question from a subscriber. He said, you thought going short the UVYX was the thing to do. UVYX before the bell on Friday. Kind of a nice reversal off of Friday's spike. Yeah, I thought it was either Friday or generally I don't put these in the newsletter other than the fact that I'm going after these because you're not going to know within 30 minutes. Yeah, I would out now. Are you having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. 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The art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find. And right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com. As we return, Tesla, I have a question about that. Is the first leg down probably done for the end of the year? Probably fairly close, 20% hair cut off of actually 25% off of 143, 49%. Do I still suspect that it's going lower? And over time the answer is yes. Along with Eric's question about the article this morning about hydrogen power and must discounting it. If you're trying to become the de facto leader of technology, you pretty much poo-poo everything else. But yeah, that was very interesting and as we talked before, very interesting to see the second generation of Toyota's hydrogen-powered cars. I think that is going to be the long-term solution over batteries. Maybe someone comes up with some kind of magical thing, even if they don't catch fire, even if they eventually become recyclable, which they are not now. In fact, I was talking to emailing somebody on YouTube, emailing them, I aming them or not, not actually I am. It was not a thought thing, but I had this real Tesla fan boy. And he said, well, you know, you're just, it's full cells. Well, there's always that weight-to-horsepower thing on motorcycles. Every eight pounds is on a racing motorcycle, because every eight pounds is worth of horsepower. It used to be. It's probably, every pound is probably worth 10 horsepower now with bigger engines and putting out power, but that's what used to be 20 years ago. That's the same thing. I was debating whether there was 2,000 pounds of batteries or 1,500 pounds of batteries or 1,000 pounds of batteries. And basically this guy was trying to run some jive on me about the shortest distance that a Tesla could go on the smallest batteries, and then telling me about his one that could go much farther, but it had 2,000 pounds of batteries. And of course, I said, well, the problem is the batteries, 20 pounds of hydrogen is worth about 2,000 pounds of batteries. But I think part of the article that came out this morning was about BMW getting into this space and having a whole bunch of i5s out driving with hydrogen power. And they've got some electric versions of those. In fact, you can probably go catch some hybrid versions of them, but they don't drive very well. You don't buy sports cars that have huge amounts of power. So you got 400 pounds of an engine, maybe 425. You got maybe 250 pounds of fuel cells. So they're actually handled a little bit better. And they talk a great deal about Teslas out at the drag strip and all that. And that's great, but you may not have enough electricity to go home because you use that up real quick. And it's not like you can charge the battery in five minutes where you can charge up fully in hydrogen powered cars. I think eventually, like a lot of technologies, the electric part, I don't have a problem with. It's the battery part, which has not been fixed yet. And fuel cells, Toyota's got 25 years with them. Panasonic has about the same. And they've been used for a very long time in industry in Japan. They're very conscious of the environment over there. And I think that that is something that could move very on. But anyway, version two of the fuel cells out from Toyota brings to range to about 650 miles. In fact, they drove one over 800 miles on a single tank. And when they came back to charge up, it took five minutes to fill. But I continue to think that there's a problem eventually that everybody's just going to recognize, which is that batteries and this technology are going to catch on fire. You can mitigate some of the risks. The problem is not that they catch on fire. The problem is you can't put them out. The lithium ion batteries are going to burn until they burn out. You throw all the water and foam on them you want. They just not are going away. Hydrogen has a much better idea for being able to degas the hydrogen if there's a problem in an accident or something like that. But at the same time, you're really talking about loose fittings and hydrogen. You're probably going to get some warnings and some other stuff on it saying, hey, you got a leak. But I wouldn't be real worried to put a hydrogen car in my garage. But Tesla is sitting in the street, partner. That thing catches fire. I do not want to be underneath it and sitting it over it in the master bedroom. 877-927-6648. And anyway, that was the one problem. The other question is how far do you think this issue with Tesla goes for the SEC and the FTC going after them about the solar tiles that never ever became something as everybody knew they wouldn't. And the easiest thing to know is if you can't aim your solar cell at the sun and track it during the day, you're giving up at least 50 to 60% of the power that a solar cell could actually get. So, you know, you've got to pretty much always be aiming those things. They make a lot more sense in a big park of these things with people maintaining them and doing these, putting them on your house. A poor value and generally the only way it makes economic sense is making fellow taxpayers pay for your pipe dream, which I don't think it. They're just not economical yet, which is like a lot of technologies. There's early adopters. They help out. But I see no reason why a trillion-dollar company like Tesla needs subsidies to sell their cars if they're that great. They don't. But we shall see. Anyway, and other just ludicrous things like like Rivian's valuations, stuff like that. They're just nuts. And the reality, Rivian probably had the best new design take on a lot of stuff. The Ford F-150, I think the CEO on Friday said that he would be number two and probably number one within a year, year and a half of EV cells on the pre-orders on the F-150 already. Down at 1861 on Ford, back into the trading range today. So again, pretty much just there. Give me a call today, 877-927-6648. Question on NFLX. What do we think of it here now? We'll be back in just a minute. We'll go through the fang stocks. Light volume bounce inside Fridays to and a lot of articles in variety about these streamers. 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One of the reasons why I was pretty sure that we had a low in the S&B, but not quite in the NASDAQ was the put call ratio in the VIX and in the equities themselves. It's been a long time since people really started buying puts on either side. Occasionally, everybody winds up and thinks they're going to hit the big home run with an out of the money call or put in the S&P 500 stocks. But the VIX is nothing but the premiums on the put and call sides that are out of the money. So it's nothing that's in the money. It's only that's out to take a look at it. So when you look at the VIX, that's what it is. It's the people thinking that there's a home run out there to one side or the other. And generally, when that happens and when everybody starts thinking that way, you're ready for it. Now, one of the things that hasn't happened for a while, and you can see on my chart that I'm showing here, I've down at the bottom, I've got a blue line and I've got the kind of the red line, the red lines, the VIX put call, that tends to be rather manic depressive. There it does tend to be kind of a little bit less of that in the overall equities, total equities in the S&P 500. But we got up fairly good, 36, 37%, which is historically, you know, you've gone back to other times. But when you look at this almost every time, especially the big time back here a year ago in, well, almost a year ago in January. And you see these big spikes, especially in the equities, where people even at the thinking that they want to buy some in the money downside protection back there. What is that? Yeah, what is that? January, I'm going to say January 17th. You get the, you know, you get a little sell-off, everybody gets bearish and everything goes back to going on the way it was. But you had a big spike in the VIX. You had a big, you know, it doesn't look that big, but it's actually fairly large historically. We're actually almost at 40%, which was the long-term equity over the last year for equity put calls. So everybody's been buying calls. We haven't really been over 50%. Now, I would also say that I do my percentages. We talked about this a little bit more on Friday. And that is that I don't look at put call ratios going over 100%. And you should take the total amount of puts and calls and figure out what the percentage is from there. And I think that makes people a little less reactive to the swings in those. But it's kind of easy to let those things, people here, 180% put call ratio. Well, there's not really over 100% of anything. But I, you know, I understand the way that they're doing the math. But I would say that you don't want to see over 100% of anything in that put call, unless it gets you a little bit too steamed. But even 60% on Friday gives you a good indication of the put side of the out of the moneys for that. Anyway, as I said earlier, thinking that we probably had some kind of buying climax here today, and looking for sideways action in the market till Wednesday, which is Delta Neutral Day for options expiration on the 17th. Anyway, back to Netflix. Oh, and I had another question I was going to answer to someone asked me because it actually has changed. And it is a lot easier to look at today. If I can find it, because I think I can. Is that it? Yeah, that's it. They were asking about what I look at from FINRA on the long and short data. FINRA has finally added and done it right, where you can actually just look at the national market system. Actually, it's called the Consolidated National Market System, and look at that number and see what the shorts were for a particular day. In the case of Apple, I've got Apple and IBM up here. But what you're really looking at, you can go back and see what I'm talking about. If you want to look at the YouTube thing, just look at here, what it's a 47 after the hour. But you've got the numbers you can look. You used to have to take three or four different files and put them all together. If you want to now, all you have to do is download the file at the end of the day from FINRA. And I'll send you the link, if you want to, just email me at path at tfnn.com. But go to that webpage, download it each day, do a search, find for the symbol, and find the N... Well, you want the NM... N... I can't even say it. You want the CNMS, which is the Consolidated National Market System total for shorts. And you'll see it in there. It was 25 million. But you can look at that. That's the total number now. You don't have to do any magical thinking on it. It's not easy. I will continue to download these and have my own things in the newsletter every day. Because it's, you know, if you're looking for one, not a big deal if you're actually scanning for high shorts and lows, like I do every day, it's different. But a good thing has gotten better with being more accessible from FINRA's data. Okay. 877-9766-48. Back to Netflix. Yeah, kind of about a minute and a half. A lot of articles about the incredible inflation in movie production costs from a variety of sources. But it's sound stages that are becoming a real problem in the bottleneck for Disney, Netflix, Amazon Prime. Literally, they don't have enough sound stages for people to work inside. And it's become rather a problem to get places to film, office insides. And a lot of people are trying to overdo old, dilapidated warehouses, that kind of stuff. But the throttling behavior on Netflix and Amazon Prime to a lesser extent, they don't make that much money on it. And Disney, which I think has set its future on streaming for the way it's going to make money, is running into production problems. And I think maybe over the last week, that may be a little bit of selling from the market. But not a lot of good news in that streaming sector, thinking that there is a lot more costs to be endured by Netflix and others. Netflix, Disney, kind of the big movers out here, in just trying to afford and get through production. I think, in fact, sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text, either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. 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Look at crude gold, that kind of stuff as we go further. That's probably going to continue on, I think, through the end of the month. I mean, the lower volatility. We've probably gotten 90% of what a lot of people thought we were going to get already to the upsides. Now, we're going to continue to just move around. Options continue. As I said, the last three days, options continue to show that 4,600 was kind of a magic number that the option market makers were looking at. We'll see if that changes in the next couple of days. That's kind of it. You're looking at what I think is, you want to buy on the despair and sell on the manic part of the market. That's what everybody's doing. Got manic here over the last hour or so. Got over 4,600 on the S&P cash. Now, there are going to be some sellers. Eventually, it's going to work itself out. I don't think, I've got a question, I don't think that we're going to see another 200 points down before Christmas. I'm going to just say that this probably is going to be just kind of floating around a little bit. But that's it. Anyway, we'll go back to the market already. Progress. Yep, not going to get that. I'm just going to get the volumes. Sell when you can. Also, as I said, on Friday cover when you get greedy in this market, even the markets only go down about three-fourths of the time. I mean, a quarter of the time, even if it's a lot more than a quarter.