 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot. My name is Tom Vecchio with a four-game MLB Slate tonight. It locks at 8.05. As always, this is one of the many shows on the Fainter podcast network. You can find that anywhere, whether it's iTunes, SoundCloud, Stitcher, Google Play. Make sure to give that a like, follow, or subscribe. That is greatly appreciated. And you can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. I am here for the beginning of this week while Jim Sanis is still on vacation. It's going to be a good week. We have a four-game Slate. Again, locks at 8.05 an hour later than normal. Before we happen to things, listen up, baseball fans. Feindl is giving you an exclusive way to get in on the action with the MLB single entry series presented by Roto grinders each week. Enter a featured single entry contest to win cash prizes and compete for a seat in the $40,000 online final. Just play daily and we'll add your four highest point totals together to give you a combined score and rank for the week. Head over to Feindl and enter the MLB single entry series today. Eligibility restrictions apply. Head over to Feindl.com or download the Feindl app for more details. All right, hopping into this four-game Slate. Again, locks at 8.05 an hour later than normal. And immediately from the jump, we are dealing with some weather. Last week was pretty clear of weather, but it is not the same to start this week. The game at Wrigley Field tonight, the Brewers at the Cubs has a good, good chance to be impacted by rain. And ultimately, I would not be surprised if this game ends up being postponed early. Now, if this game does play, we should note that there's strong wind blowing out, which has always been a benefit to hitters at a stadium like Wrigley. So the Brewers at the Cubs is, we'll get into the pitching options there, but this game can be severely impacted by weather. Now, if it does play again, the wind blowing out is good. We have some pretty strong wind blowing in at Minnesota, where the White Sox are visiting. We will look at a pitching option there as well, wind blowing in. And then we have some wind blowing out for the Yankees, visiting the Kansas City Royals. And then finally, Marlins at San Diego. That game, no weather issues, it's San Diego after all. So three games with wind, one of those three games we are dealing with some heavy rain potential in Chicago. Now, let's jump into the pitching options on tonight's slate. There are three aces on tonight's slate, led off by Freddy Peralta at $10,200, Lucas Julito at $9.5, and then Joe Musgrove at $9,000. Now, immediately, Freddy Peralta is the most expensive option at obviously at $10.2, and it can make things difficult to roster a pitcher that is that expensive on a smaller forward game slate where there's just not that much value. Combined with the fact that we do have that rain potential in Chicago, combined with the fact that we do have the wind blowing out, which presents obviously a significant boost to hitters if that game does play. Now, we look to Freddy Peralta and he comes in with a slate leading 34.5% strikeout rate this season, which is absolutely phenomenal. Now, he's only allowing 0.79 homeruns per nine this season, which is absolutely fantastic. But in fact, he's allowing a 48.9% fly ball rate this year. So we combine the high fly ball rate that he does have with the wind in Wrigley, and it certainly makes Freddy Peralta a riskier option on tonight's slate if this game does play due to the weather. Now, I say all this because even if this game does play, rostering a pitcher that's that expensive is obviously going to be difficult on a smaller slate. So we can almost put Freddy Peralta as the second or even third best option among these top tier pitchers, because Lucas Geolito at 9.5 is in Minnesota with the wind blowing in. Now, there's no doubt that Lucas Geolito burned us last week against Kansas City, where he went for innings, gave up eight hits, only had two strikeouts and gave up six earned runs for a total of zero fendal points. But what can't be denied is that Geolito has a 27.7% strikeout rate this season. Now, if there is going to be a bit of recency bias against Lucas Geolito, ultimately that could be okay, because we know that this Minnesota offense is a bit watered down after some of the trades that they have made, and they're certainly fine to attack. Now, if the Chicago game ends up getting postponed, we could be looking to Lucas Geolito as a better toward of an option overall in pitching, because we should see Joe Musgrove as the number one overall pitching option on tonight's slate. Now, even if the Chicago game does play, I still think that Musgrove is the best pitching option because he's the cheapest among them at $9,000. He still comes in with a solid 27.9% strikeout rate, which is yes behind Freddy Peralta, but we still have to be looking at the overall matchup and the park factors for both of these pitchers. So I'll be leaning towards Musgrove, even if the Chicago game does play, because Musgrove is cheaper, making line of construction that much easier. He has a good, but obviously not as great of a strikeout rate compared to Freddy Peralta, he's up at 34.5%. We do see Musgrove with a solid 32.9% fly ball rate this season. We also see Musgrove with a solid 3.48 Sierra. We look to his matchup against Miami, who are coming in with a 24.7% strikeout rate this season versus right-handed pitchers. Now, of course, the Chicago Cubs line of also offers plenty of strikeout upside for Freddy Peralta. The Cubs come in with a 25.5% strikeout rate with their current roster, which is the second worst in the league. Miami is the ninth worst in the league. So the matchups are somewhat comparable, especially for the Cubs with their watered-down lineup after all of those trades. But the hitting environment is so, so much better for Musgrove at home, going up against Miami, San Diego, a park that has been known to skew towards the pitchers side of things compared to Wrigley with the wind blowing out. So among the three pitchers on tonight's league, the three top pitchers, I should say on tonight's league, who are all above $9,000, it's clear that if all the games play, the answer is Musgrove. If the Chicago game plays, I still think the answer is Musgrove. And if the Chicago game does not play, I think that Geolito makes a solid toward of an option because we should see everyone leaning towards Musgrove just because the matchup is that much easier against Miami. Now, this isn't to say you can't take shots on Jameson Tyhone, who's going up against the Kansas City Royals. You could take a shot on even Carlos Hernandez for the Kansas City Royals, who's $6,500. He comes with a 28.1% strikeout rate this season, which is absolutely the second best on the slate behind Freddy Peralta, ahead of both Joe Musgrove and Lucas Geolito. He does have a smaller 39.1 in sample size this season. It's his second in the majors. He pitched last year only 14.2 innings, so he can't be taking too much from that. But we do see him with a 14.0% walk rate, which is obviously a bit concerning. We also see him with a 40.6% fly ball rate. He's only allowing 0.92 home runs per nine, but the wind blowing out in Kansas City combined with the fact that he is allowing a 40% fly ball rate presents a bit of home run danger for him, especially going up against the lineup like the Yankees. So pitching on tonight's slate, Musgrove is going to be number one, no matter what. Geolito, I think, has to be number two if we take account for the weather, the matchup, salary, all those sorts of things. And then Freddy Peralta would be number three for me. Obviously, that is yet to be determined if that game even plays. I wouldn't hate taking a shot with Tyona, as I just said, wouldn't hate taking a shot with Carlos Hernandez. Now, as we move on to the stacks on tonight's slate, this is where we're going to potentially see things very, very chalky. And this is also where we could see a lot of overlap when it comes to our lineups. And a lot of the lineups that you see have one player different, and that player goes off. And, you know, it could, that's the difference between 50th and 10th in a contest. Now, when it comes to the lineups on, or the potential targets on tonight's slate, Chicago makes an obvious answer. They are expected to get Luis Robert back in their lineup. He's been out since the beginning of May, making their lineup a bit more dangerous. He comes in at $2,000. He is the minimum salary on Fadal. Again, he is expected to be activated from the 60-day IL today. Going up against Minnesota, Minnesota will have both boroughs opening for the twins, but he will not be their start. Boroughs, of course, allows a 63.3% fly ball rate this season. Obviously, a significantly smaller sample size, because he has only nine innings pitched. Ultimately, we're not going to be too worried about the Minnesota bullpen, but we still should be considering the White Sox as a very, very solid option with all the power that they have, which we saw on display last night against the Cubs. Now, we can be looking to Jose Ebreu, of course, as a solid option. We can be looking to Yolanda Mercado, Andrew Vaughn, whoever it might be, and then add in Luis Robert at $2,000. And he makes getting up to one of those expensive pitchers over $9,000 that much easier. So certainly going to the White Sox, I think, is a very, very viable option on tonight's slate. And ultimately, should be one of, if not the best, hitting stacks on tonight's slate, depending on how the game in Chicago at Wrigley Field goes. Because if that game does play, then we, of course, want to be looking to the Milwaukee Brewers as an option, going up against Alec Mills. Now, Mills isn't a big strikeout pitcher, only coming with a 16.4% strikeout rate this season. We know that the Brewers certainly have some power in their lineup. We know that the potential for home runs and the flyballs with the wind blowing out at Wrigley will be obviously accentuated tonight. And that's something we certainly should be looking to attack. We also can be going to the Cubs as a bit of an under-the-radar stack because of the flyball rate that we do see Freddie Peralta allowing this season. So stacks overall on tonight's slate. It's almost as we're in a bit of a wait-and-see because the game, I should say, the Chicago Cubs game because both Chicago teams are on tonight's slate. But the game at Wrigley Field tonight is so, so important because with the wind blowing out, the home run upside for both teams is immense. Now, yes, Freddie Peralta this season has certainly shown to limit the number of home runs that he's allowing. But we do see him still allowing a very high 48.9% flyball rate. So the Chicago White Sox as of now are certainly shaping up to be one of the top overall stacks including the game in Wrigley Field. And I would say that the Chicago White Sox could be one of the top overall stacks on tonight's slate. We also could be viewing the Yankees as a top overall stack on tonight's slate due to the fact that we also have wind blowing out in Kansas City. Now, generally Kansas City skews a bit towards being a pitcher's park, but with the wind blowing out, we can be looking there as a viable option. Now, it kind of leaves this Marlins Padres game a bit further behind. Now, of course, the Padres have plenty of upside in their line of even without Tatis, they still have plenty of home run potential. It kind of leaves the Padres as just a clear secondary or tertiary option because both the Royals and the Yankees are in a good hitting environment. We could have a fantastic hitting environment at Wrigley Field. And of course, the power for the White Sox is always very evident. I do like the Padres as a bit of an under radar stack. I guess that's kind of weird to say in a four game slate where the a lineup like the Padres being under the radar, but given the hitting environments that we do see in Kansas City, it's also very hot in Kansas City. I don't know if I mentioned that at the beginning, but we do not only wind blowing out in Kansas City, but it's also expected to be very hot there. So it should be a good hitting environment overall. And yes, I do think that going to Kansas City, attacking a pitcher like Jameson Tyone is actually an option. So I know I'm running through multiple teams here. I've talked about the twins. I touched on the Yankees, of course, they have plenty of power ups. But attacking Jameson Tyone shouldn't be that bad of an option. So I know, yes, he does have a 47.4% fly ball rate this year. He's only allowing an 11.9% home run of fly ball ratio this year, which is below the league average. So given the wind blowing out the extra temperature in Kansas City, we should see him do for a bit of negative regression when it comes to his home run of fly ball ratio. Now we can be looking to some of the options on Kansas City. Of course, Sal Perez, Carlos, Carlos Santana offer plenty of upside along with Hunter Dozier for the Kansas City Royals. So the potential for I would say a lot of the hitting stacks on tonight's late to have multiple home runs is certainly, certainly looking very solid. That would be led off by the Yankees and the Royals. And then of course, Chicago or Milwaukee, I think also Chicago makes a bit of potentially under the radar play, depending on whether or not we get this game to actually go. And then if people are to be worried about their water down line of going against a pitcher like Freddy Peralta with his strikeout upside, we could see the Cubs coming in at lower roster ship percentages. So the stacks on tonight's late, we can make an argument for a lot of them, I would say outside of Miami and probably Minnesota as the bottom two stacks, but doesn't mean you shouldn't be looking to have some exposure to them. Of course, if you're looking to be a little bit different when it comes to tournaments. Now the final three things on tonight's late, well, I think we're in a bit of a wait and see due to the fact that we are potentially looking at a four games world, we are looking at a four games late, but this could be potentially a three games late depending on if this Chicago game gets canceled. Obviously, we'll touch on that more at the 4pm Q&A, which you can find right here on the Fandal, YouTube, Twitch, and Facebook page. So come the 4pm show, we will have a much clearer idea or hopefully we'll have a clear idea of what we're actually looking at on this late because that game is in fact canceled. We're going to be looking at some very, very chalky pitching options and we're going to be looking at some very, very chalky stacks because they should be very clear with only three games with one of the hitting, one of the hitting environments that is New York at Kansas City being that much better compared to both other games. So that's what we're going to be waiting on. I know we have to kind of go things with on the fly right here when it comes to the final three things and this slate overall, but we're just dealing with a bit of uncertainty and the fact that it's a small four game slate. So as of right now, my home run call for tonight's slate is actually going to be Sal Perez for the Kansas City Royals. He actually comes in with that fantastic splits, whether it's versus a righty or lefty. He's only $3200. And again, we do see Tyona allowing a high 47.4% fly ball rate this year. And again, I'm expecting him to be due for a bit of negative regression because he's below the league average when it comes to his home run, the fly ball ratio, adding the wind blowing out in Kansas City, adding what should be 92 or so degree weather. And it sets up to be a great hitting environment overall. So Sal Perez is the home run call for now. We'll touch back on some pictures just because we have to get some clarity on this game at Wrigley Field. But Joe Musgrove right now is shaping up to be the number one pitching option on tonight's followed by Lucas Geolito. And then Frady Peralta, if that game does play, again, not unwilling to take some shots with Jameson Tyone. I know I just said I like to attack him with some home run upside, but we do see the Kansas City lineup struggle at times. And then Carlos Hernandez at $6500 for the Royals is showing some nice strike out upside this season. He does have a high 14% walk rate, which could present a bit of issues for him against this Yankees lineup, but he's only $6500. And if you're really looking to be different in tournaments while paying up for some hitting stacks, he could be an option due to the fact that Yankees still strike out at decent amount. And he is flashing a high strike out rate. So a four game slate, as of now, it could be a three game slate. By the time we get to the 4pm Q&A, we have Carlos Santana as the first home run call. As of now, I will circle back on a second home run call when we get to the 4pm Q&A. I will take all of your questions there. Hopefully we get some info regarding the Chicago Cubs, hosting the Brewers game when it comes to the weather, just because that game is so important. And then we'll circle back on some value. Once we get some confirmed start lines, we can look at the Padres a bit more, we can even look at Minnesota a bit more as potential stacks, because we did see Lucas Geolito struggle with some home runs in his most recent game. And that is truly a way to go against the grain and attacking one of the highest priced pitchers on tonight's slate. All right. So that does it for today's podcast. As always, you can find on iTunes, SoundCloud, Stitcher, Google Play. Make sure to give it a like, follow or subscribe. You can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. Until next time, good luck in your contests.