 The following is a presentation of TFNN, the Tiger Technician Hour with your host, Hazel Chapman. Call now, toll-free at 1-877-927-6648. Kurt, good morning everyone, on this Monday the 29th of November, just about to wrap up the month and we'll be looking at monthly candles in a moment, but you've got the futures after that smash on Friday, and for a lot of people it must have been a big surprise, you know, not a bad day on Wednesday, then suddenly kaboom. Waterfall cascade doused down almost a thousand points today, it's up 213, and when I said to subscribe to my opening call, that today you really want to see a bounce that holds all the way into the close into tomorrow, probably close at least off the two o'clock, maybe you want to see at least a plus 250 or more, perhaps even a 320 gain in the Dow, and that way you can see at least follow through strength, after all some of the selling on Friday was exacerbated by the lack of volume, bad news, at this particular point we were expecting some kind of a bad news, I mean we've been shorting away for the last few weeks, looking at the Dow at 36,446 all-time high on the 8th of November, hits a low on Friday, I forgot to put it on this one, of 34,858, and now it's trading the futures at 35,062, not bad, not from the start at the open last night in the futures, the market started to run a little bit and I read a memoir, and then it ran very strongly, and then it just held steady, I mean just look at this, this is the 120 minute chart, now so this is the 10 minute chart of the E-mini right here, and look at this trading band, it starts off early on with a bounce right here, and that's at three o'clock on Friday, it was a little bit of a bounce, sort of a rectangle sideways move, and then it goes to a peak E, and then all of a sudden sources slide goes down to 40, around about 45, 79, 4580, in the futures in the E-mini S&P, and then around is peak A, peak B, and peak C1, C2, C3 where? Right on the 200 period moving average, you can't get above it, that's the clue, if you start to see a trade that becomes a holding pattern above 40, I'm going to make it 46, 42 right now, the high so far is 46, 42, 75, that's not good, I want to see, yeah yeah, I want to see 46, 46 or higher, and if the S&P futures are at 46, 46 or higher into this afternoon, I think that's going to be a good sign for tomorrow, if it's weak it says you know those signals that we were getting all the way through, let's go through everything right now, so now we're looking at the Dow, the Dow futures up 204 after making a low in the 34500s on Friday, and now we're looking at this pattern where there's a cell mode in the dating, there's been a cell mode for quite a while, got an almost a doji candle in the weekly chart at a peak D, we're just looking at a digestive phase that's been unfolding, look at the S&P which was, this is amazing, all-time highs on the 22nd, four sessions ago, today's the fifth so it'll be a little more than four sessions, and 47, 43.83 plunges down to 45, 85 on Friday, the futures now, let me go to the continuous contract just to show you something because I've got it in the monthly chart at AB, the weekly chart is at peak E, and the daily chart was at a peak D at an all-time high in the E-mini, and that's 47, 40.50 on the 22nd, it landed up yesterday on Friday going to 45, 77, 25, and right now it's up 35 at 46, 31, if this is able at any point to touch the 914 period moving average at 40, around 46, 59 in the next two days, that's good action, if it gets repelled there I would not be surprised if the nine sars are closed underneath the 14 period moving average for the first time since it broke above back in October the 15th, one and a half months ago, and that's going to be really important, so if it goes negative all of a sudden you've got every single indicator going negative, so this is a really important phase, weekly chart, haven't even got a cell signal yet, it's really outstanding action, I could extend these trend lines here, chat wave, inside track, repellent zone, let me do this, look at that, it just hits it exactly, and it gets repelled, that's exactly what this does, now we're looking at key support, I didn't even bother to extend this, but I'll do that now because you've already got, look at this, right there, there you are, and that just says, this week the 45, 48, 45, 46 level is absolutely important to hold in the weekly chart, all right got an up channel, in the app channel trading between the chat wave, inside track, repellent zone, going to the propellent zone, let's see what happens, QQQ, QQQ right now trading at 394.81 up 361, had quite a turn around on Friday, we are short for subscribers, we've been rotating through a little different shorts, and yeah we are short at the, almost at the high, high was 408.71, 22nd of November, trades down to 389, I mean that's one of the bigger moves, it's had to the downside in a long time, since way back in going to the October low, so now what we're looking at is, could there be a rally, could there be a rally about 395, 80 to 396.30 that holds, that'll be important, if it doesn't that's pretty good action, weekly charges went to the inside track repellent zone, monthly chart is still looking very good, we're looking at the IWM which was the weakest of all, IWM now is up 262 at 226.325.47, it's gone from the 244.46 level, almost to the 50 period moving average, it hit 219.64, that's a big move down, could try to balance, yeah we're going to be watching that closely, all right let's get on with the other story, the other story is as a major semiconductor index is a 302, oh I should mention, this is the early edition, it is 8.13 right now, it'll be recorded and replayed at, this will be at 10.13, so it'll be recorded and replayed at 10 o'clock, for my usual target conditions, now I have an appointment at that time, I just wasn't able to change that, so I decided to do the show at 8 o'clock to 9 o'clock and replayed, so these are pre-open numbers, 302.68 in the semiconductor index, made an all-time amount of 318.82, we've been short since almost the top and now we're looking at holding a support line, closing just under the 14 period moving average, I actually haven't been able to give a cell signal yet in the daily chart, although it looks like it should be, the 9 is still too strong over the 14 period moving average, going short to the strongest index is a bit of a chutzpah, but in the meantime back at double, that's right, it's a holiday right now, all right, what we're looking at is 202.68 in the semiconductors, let me just do this real quickly, gold, gold is trading up only six points at 79.4 after being having a good attempt at a rally at hitting 940, hitting average is a quite big closing at the lows, I'll be back in a moment, how's it going? 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Hi everyone Basel Trapp here early edition of the Tiger edition is out usually at 10 o'clock and I need to do it at 8 o'clock and we're looking at beat markets that the air gold is down is up six after a pretty look at this chap we've inside track propellant zone it's right on that it's gone below with three times in the last three sessions we'll have a good rally unfortunately we got taken out of our GDS unfortunately out of our GDX that's the gold miners we had a nice profit but I was actually trying to stay in it a little longer we'll see I think that it's in a trading band it's going to go from one range to another I don't think it's breaking out I'm not even sure it'll break down look at the silver contract the silver contract is up just 11 sets 23 24 also it's taken quite a dive from the high of 25 53 I think it was yep on the 16th peak F in the chapter we remember I spent quite some time talking about this particular pattern call it the uh this is look the double hump camel pattern it looks like an M in the mag D and the second rally uh rallies but one of the technicals fail in this case the stochastic failed and that goes just to two peaks higher after that peak D just above the 200 period moving average and then it goes plunges down below it I spent a lot of time last week talking about this very pattern let me just go back to gold to show you what I was doing I spoke about this big move to the upside that I was considering it's more like a peak E and an F I've seen this pattern so many times with the stochastic only goes for a little while above 80% and then plunges below it that's what we've got so it says that in the weekly chart that blue line I've been talking about it for a long time how its resistance and then when it comes support how long it can hold above that support is absolutely key let's look at the bitcoin we put them together because they trade um they've been alternating between the preference of one to the other bitcoin is up 3,225 57 7 10 sounds like a lot but look at that smash on friday going from 30 look at this from 59,910 down to 53 600 oh I would say that's a pretty big move and now we've got an inside bar at peak D in the weekly chart I just think that at this particular point bitcoin is probably stuck in a range and gold is a little weaker and at some point gold might become a little stronger and then we'll have to see what happens to bitcoin should mention that we are still long from a core position from way way back october of last year I believe it was in the 12,400 area now we got 57,715 just got a little bit left off taking nice profits let's go to um dollar dollar had a really good run went to a peak D and has has had now four days underneath that big a big pullback on friday hits the 40p removing averages tried around in 96 21 up 22 cents made a high of 96 95 was it 96 94 let me just type that in there 96 94 was at the 22nd I think so and now what we're looking at is just a digestive high level consolidation for the dollar still looking pretty good we'll see but that doji candle have lost me in the weekly chart says hey be careful so I could have a bit of a pullback that should help gold certainly you are usd had a big move up on friday giving quite a bit back today I just don't think it's ready if you're looking at the euro dollar currency pair hey look at that let's see looking at it 1.127 down just 0.004 and what we're looking at is this is a leg after the downside possible peak f and therefore that whole inside track propellant zone now becomes a resistance zone so if if the euro is able to spiral there we go I'm just trying to draw this in you it was able to spiral above the resistance and go to the 100 and so 1.139 level let's go to the 1.14 and that's going to be a big deal we'll be watching this very closely I want you just to high grade copper high grade high grade copper high grade copper is running a little bit 4.36 but it's stuck in in the rectangle formation and it's between the 200 period moving average support of 4.20 and the resistance is resistance of 4.50 now whatever I'm missing I'm of course I'm missing crude oil I think crude oil in this massive move on friday because of the fear that the new variant south african variant which they now of course have to give a new title to because all idea was not to name it after countries like russia or whatever or japan or anything like that and of course we're not going to mention china so what we've got now is we've got a variant title which is fine but most importantly what we're looking at is the fear was a little bit I'd say it's a little bit overdone but that doesn't mean to say that we couldn't see some kind of weakness continuing a little bit because of the patterns that we're looking at in the general market and with the general economy so let's just say that the crude oil is bouncing nicely to now 3.47 at 7164 after hitting at 67 hitting the 200 period moving average who would have thought we're going to set the 50 period moving average up in the 76 seventies they could plunge down to the 67s well it did that now it's got a bit of a give back and it should have a balance and I suspect that crude oil this low might hold just a little bit longer but they could be a balance of the 72 and a half 73 and a half area in crude oil I think there's a good chance that it does that I think that was what I bought a bcl e bcli question again you see oh that was a big move I saw it off and it failed back in November from the 280s it went to the 330s and then zip all the way down to 2.70s and all of a sudden in three days it's gone from is that correct yeah from the low of 275 on the 23rd to Friday's 3.85 on the 26th that's fantastic so I I would look at this and say if the there is a continuation of a huge green candle today not a balance it's a 385 Friday's high was as I say 383 if it can go to the 387 area and close above the 385 high of Friday excuse me that would be very good action very good action bci grainstorm cell therapeutics wow uh yeah I wanted to see if it was breaking all right this is because it closed well on Friday it closed the high that big spike high in February the sorry September the 15th to 380 and it spiked higher on Friday it closed just a little bit lower that's what I'm saying this kind of confirms what I'm looking at if they can be a close above this it says wow this is very good action now it is biotech so anything can happen but it does say on a purely chart basis the whole 348 to 33 38th area should be very strong support this week yeah good move good high and good move I'll be back in a moment we've got our let's do this 826 is the 830 news we'll see what happens if I could date 30 uh buzz the chap takes an issues hour I want to do when I get back up here down to fix it fix it and keep with 91 of ace 2899 level are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio Tom O'Brien is here to help Tom 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charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups including Gartley's ABC's butterflies and much more the art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month we are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting TFNN.com at the futures let me show you something very interesting here and I hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving a nice long weekend just relaxing and maybe maybe being with friends and family that will also be very nice but just a relaxing weekend look we've got and certainly there are a lot of things to be thankful for and what we're looking at here is this sideways move you see normally I'd be I'd be right there wanting to buy the dip in this particular instance it's just too soon after making tops could be totally wrong on this particular instance we managed over the years to pick nice bottoms and even the even the tops we've managed to get the dow we got the top to go short and we're out of that position within 40 points on this very hour or so of the old-time high but I I looked at this a lot and I thought if if there's a bounce the type of bounce that we should have had would have been preferably a very weak session today and if after the week session at this particular point preferably two hours later like 10 30 an hour after the opening eastern time if we were now at this particular level I would say that is excellent but not the gap not the oversold bounce that we got almost it was like an apology suddenly there's this big move to the upside and look at this since last night let's go to the high right there to 9 20 in the evening that's eastern time of 46 40 275 we've been hugging the 200 period moving average not able to get to it it just keeps being repelled by it and that's not this is not very to me this not overly bullish at this particular point if in fact this move up went above the 200 period moving average and we were trading at 46 41 at some point then pull back and now we were trading back at the high at 46 41 level I said you know what I think that that's that's showing that there's a lot of buying and now the early buyers are coming in it's fact what's happening now you're going to you've got a fight between the rectangle sideways rectangle formation the lasting from last night let's go at the bottom here at seven o'clock so an hour after half an hour after the open on this 10 minute bar say correct yep what we're looking at is that low has held but then the high just soon after that 42 area that is the 46 42 has become the thing now anytime from this moment on as we're speaking if there is another search towards the 930 timeframe and its source of hold in the 40 46 40s and the many sources go to 46 53 and 46 63 I say you know what maybe that was a good buying opportunity last night as the market opened or even this morning as it opened because we're going to go back to the highest I I'm I'm a little concerned that there isn't the dark you're not talking about the dark news cloud cover my concern here is that the rotation is seeing and especially with that big move up in the volatility index the VIX to the 2899 level right there 2899 on Friday and now we're pulling back to the 2469 if in fact this volatility index starts not just goes in but starts to trade in the 22s and then goes to the 21s that's the sign that said you know what on a short basis we can actually have more of the oversold bounce you don't have to go to all-time highs and things like the Dow and the IWM but maybe the S&P has a pretty good rally and the QQQ's NDX 100 but at the same time if this maintains its 20 23ish level 22 and then bounces back into the 24 that's saying we're not done yet so I just wanted to mention that that now let me just do this one more time if you're looking at stocks that have been absolutely fantastic if you're looking at your Amazon which made an all-time high 37 oops just missed an all-time high double top I look through so many charts these double top charts I'll go through them maybe if I have a chance in a few minutes but if you're looking at the high that was made all-time high 3773.08 we get the 16th of July in Amazon then it drops down to just under 3200 then it rallies back to just under the all-time high goes to 3762 and then it pulls back quite sharply especially Friday and this is Amazon Amazon should still be pretty much in the lead not necessarily the leader but in the leading stocks in this holiday season it's just an easy go to people got so used to it it's just it's so easy I mean the other day I had one little tiny thing that I ordered it was here the very next day I on Sunday I ordered Saturday it was here Sunday I mean I didn't even need that kind of rush but there it is when you have prime so it comes really quickly all right so with that said all I'm saying is left the market tell us we did not go to add to any long positions we've started a new long position in a different sector we haven't been in for quite some time in fact for a very long time got smashed decimated and it seems to me there's a chance that it could move quite nicely now just on a percentage basis low price stock I don't want to overspend right now I want to subscribe to have a cash kitty ready for any sudden like the Friday move but I want to I want it to be sustained to the downside not just a single move down otherwise you're buying really overpriced stocks that are just pulling back modestly and they can go back to overpriced but I prefer to get overpriced stocks that have been really leaders sharply down and then I then I think those are bargains so in the meantime back in the ranch we're looking at Amazon let's look at Apple now I am I thinking here is that Apple yet had a big pullback I I really have I can't call this anything else but a peak be very unusual to make it an all-time high at a peak be and then break down so could be something else but right now Apple is up at 159 39 pre-market at 250 a up 258 it had an all-time I have 165.70 on the 22nd so it's not a big deal it is pulling back but Apple I wouldn't be surprised if Apple actually does quite nicely after all in this environment it's just with chips shortage and everything like this it's just easy to get one of the Apple products and I think that that's where they're going to be it's on the list for everybody well I do not have my wife has Apple I do not but it's just easy to do so I think it's in the running here to hold well and if you're looking at Netflix I was a little surprised I must say Netflix off the all-time high of 700.99 made just about just over a week ago trading right now at 665.64 I would have thought they would have continued up near the highs after this is a good time for them but maybe people are starting to get out a little bit I'm not sure but it's not bad I mean it's just a little off the 35 points that'll be dealt off the all-time high and let me just show you something else that I was looking at the IYT this is the I didn't put that in let me put it in this is the I shares Dow Jones transportation average index fund a lot a lot a lot a lot of letters my words 281.45 off the all-time high I made the 5th November the 5th back in May of this year it hit 287.40 so it's made a double top hasn't gone back to the all-time high I'm going to be watching this very closely because if you're looking at UPS United Parcel Service off the recovery high just like the the the transportation and federal express safe safe soft moves down I'll do that are you having fun trading the 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Petersburg Tampa and clearwater markets Tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate LLC today at 727-329-8322 or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's 727-329-8322 call us today are china a shares hot or not if you trade china a shares now may be time to take a closer look trade chau or chad directions daily csi 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technicians hour look at this 200 200 period exponential moving average just getting close to the resistance right now once again in the rectangle formation it doesn't have a sudden pop into the 46 40s or does a stall right here this is going to be very interesting okay couple of things a couple questions uh basal you've managed your time turns pretty well what do you think's happening right now now that's a very good question i spent a lot of time on that do i want to go to the long side uh this morning if there isn't any big pool any rally that's extended above the sideways range of overnight because it would be a good entry if in fact we're going to have a very strong rally i suspect there's enough uh enough kind of let's call it concern right now to say that the consolidation i've been talking about the rotational consolidation we'll see let me just go to the continuous contract yeah look nq this is the continuous e-mini nasdaq 100 contract trading at 16217 right now up 167 um what we're looking at is 16.767 sorry 16,767.50 was the all-time high that was i think on the 22nd so it's pulled back quite sharply down to the 1600 level and now it's got a very good balance but the balance is so far only halfway into that candle i suspect it could be a little bit more of a balance but i wouldn't be surprised at all if by say say wednesday maybe thursday we're doing some kind of testing of the low um that means that i'd be totally wrong if there is a close sharply above the open uh let's not even call it open let's go to the higher friday which is 16436 that's not a big deal it's only 200 something points above from where we are and we're talking about the best of the best in the market leading so that's what would happen then i have to say you know what maybe that was a great near-term short position but as a more intermediate term catch up with the other with the down the i w m russell 2000 weakness maybe they're gonna have to come back up as the ndx 100 and maybe even the semiconductor index hold very nicely i this is what we're looking at let's just do this we want to look at wheat i was asked about gotta look at wheat and some other commodities so wheat is up three and a quarter at 843 made a peak d daily high at eight this is a continuous contract at 876 and three quarters uh 30 points there you know not a big deal we'll see what happens yeah but it is a peak d we've always got to be careful there if you're looking at soy beans soy beans have just been stuck in the range gets repelled to the 200 period moving average 1261 and a half it really needs to get to the 1296 is sometime either this week or next week without taking out the 1234 key support look at corn corn is having a peak a a new abc could go to a d it's down just two at five eighty nine three quarters uh this is a continuous contract i suspect that this week is going to have an attempt to get to the 597 area or higher stuck in a weekly range with that range so far is making high highs and higher lows both in the daily and in the in the weekly soy beans this is part of the dbig agricultural etf had a huge move from the peak etop in the 20 20 70 area and then kaboom goes down to the 19 uh 10s now said uh 1943 that's struggling but it's holding the higher range so we are along the dba for a long time now since july of last year 30.77 hit 20.23 recovery high on friday no thursday then pullback shop refried to 997 trading out 20.04 up seven cents and my thinking is being in the whole agricultural sector as it's been working let's just look at kc have i done that for a little while yep kc is the uh coffee continuous contract made a peak e in the daily chart leg d in the weekly chart leg d in the monthly it's held really well it's doing very nicely it's up in 245 20 up 225 i suspect i could put in a rectangle formation and say wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't kind of a sideways choppy high level consolidation and that says that 249 250 areas resistance and 230 80 support was asked about the cc um did i do that was that on friday someone said yeah so cc is the uh continuous cotton contract this is very poor making lower lows and lower highs it's really struggling i i would just say that be be a little careful it looked like this was going to be a nice move to the upside and then completely fails in three sessions it just took a deep dive so just be careful there let's go to um lc which is lc live cattle or something not live cattle continuous contract this is a peak a b c d brand new a b c d e leg e in the daily chart very strong candles uh it's down 3.30 at 137 90 after hitting 140 1.45 that is the um cattle contract wiki chart is strong now this is doing very nicely here again i can just put this in and say you know what could have a bit of a digestive phase uh filling the gap a little bit but so flies done very well a couple of questions came in uh wood this is the wood that we're looking at for subscribers my opening call isis global and timber forestry etf i'm suggesting there's a bit of a rest period between high grade copper international and uh wood timber forestry the global etf and that's just saying there's a period of rest i'd looked at the hcx for subscribers over the weekend to show that that peak f in the daily chart of the Philadelphia housing sector index that's pulled back as you do expect in the cup formation goes back just under the lip on the left side to act it very well it's at 490 13 i wouldn't be surprised it has a bit of a rest over here oh i didn't do tlt of course tlt we had a spectacular move on friday of course his money didn't migrate it fled stocks and went into bonds now that's going back a little bit down a dollar 72 at 148 281 the tlt stuck in a range same as the tnx tnx.x look at this there it is that is it went to a gray peak c underneath the previous peak df 16.91 1.691 percent on the 10 year tnx and today it's trading at 1545 up 63 it's stuck in a range in fact i'm going to put this in as a rectangle right here and i'm just going to suggest i think for the moment just for the moment we're looking at yields stuck in a range but you can see from the xlf which is the s and p select financial spider fun leg d to the downside broke a down channel support level and it's trading at 39 27 of 50 cents pre market because this is now at 8 50 in the morning oops lower case on the downside uh it's trading after making a low in the 38th 40.86 on the xlf was the high on october the 26 pulling back because and i don't know i'm calling this a c in the weekly chart that'll be unusual if it plunges so we can this is going to be really interesting all week we're going to be watching to see does dbc yields rally again like it did sliding as no really slide as they didn't buy it as bonds rally and that's why we can see financial customers they finance but so once they couldn't go back to the game of moment and yes the reality is that navigating financial markets can be risky markets 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really nice weekend family and all that so question came in hallowed burton I have some questions please wanting to add to hallowed burton zip wants to know you know I'm going to suggest right here to 2185 was the close on Friday's trading up 82 cents at 2247 I would add this particular point I think there's going to be a bounce if there's a general market bounce I suspect this whole sector was going to do well that's why I said to subscribers we've got a very low price in the same area oil this is oil service I believe ours I think more drilling but I think that there could be a bounce so we've taken a chance we're in that I don't know how it's doing right now but we did manage to get a pre-open and we're doing the same thing so I would say add I wouldn't get carried away I'd like to see how it it's a 21 right on the 200 period moving average if it can close in the 2280 area or high in the next two days and then actually have another bounce in the 23s I think you've you've got yourself a really nice trading position that's all I can say right now hallowed burton trading at hal 2247 up point 82 and I as I say we're doing the same thing so but not that particular stock with that area okay that's it so let me just do this for for now the volatility index is trading down at 24 27 down 4.34 almost hitting 29 on Friday that was a huge move to the upside it's going to give some of that back and it might be given quite a bit back in fact you can see the market holds sideways couldn't even pull back while the VIX index now so overboard takes a breather but keep watching this closely because if the VIX actually goes down from the 24s to the 23s and the market's holding but you want to see off 132 profits off without holding at least 320 or higher and the S&P which is trading the trading right now up to 4800 per day say June you've got Tommy O'Brien coming up right now building wealth trading in the stock market seems impossible to most people they think it's too 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