 Terima kasih banyak. Saya ingin beritahu berapa banyak yang saya ingin beritahu untuk berada di sini, Thierry. Dan juga, terima kasih, teman-teman dan lelaki-lelaki. The State of the World, I believe, is an outdated past, and a broken present, and evolving future. Let me say it succinctly in these few minutes, the three major pillars that we deal with the State of the World, one, economics, two, societal, and largely political. Let me start with the economics part. I believe there are five major key areas in the economic state of the world that we need to look at them as key examples of what we are at contemporary. The first thing would be disparity. Disparity of the half and the half-not. I think it's a wrong slide. Let me just walk you through without the PowerPoint. The first point would be, I think the contemporary world is at the state of disparity of the half and the half-not. What do I mean by that? You can see about 15 years ago I create a rule in one of my article would be the rule of 99.1. Basically, the tendency is to have 1% of the people able to accumulate 99% of the wealth and assets. These are the disparity tendency without intervention, and there's all kinds of good and bad interventions. Bad interventions could even make it worse, but good kind interventions need to be thought through. But what we have seen is the world with capital half and capital half-not. Education half and education half-not. Skill half and skill half-not. You also see technological half and technological half-not. Innovation half and innovation half-not. And this is clearly set the scene for disparity in the world today. How do we go through the world when disparity cannot be solved and a stubborn problem that could not be tackled and you're going to create even more and more problem? We've seen some examples of the conducive environment where we see the IS at work and this we know there must be underlying problem that disparities will conducive to, for example. My second thing that I'd like to mention economically would be the rising of the new CIA. Let me mention to you in a new term, I coined some years ago again in my article. The rising of the new CIA would be C is China, I is India and A is ASEAN. And this block of countries comprises more than half of the world population and they are rising. Some of you can see clearly the rising China which is almost there, the rising India which is follow suit and the clear engine of the ASEAN if they can stay together and integrated and not following the way side. The three blocks combined, ASEAN gluing not often able to be together of India and China. We could be a formidable issue of the future. My third ideas I would like to mention in the economic situation would be multinational corporations as kings. We have seen this for years now and it's going to be even more prevalent in the coming futures. For example, just looking at the situation of China and India. In the year 2003, we have 19 of top 500 corporations that are from these countries. But a few years ago 2012, 127 of the top 500 are from India and China. These are the rising indicators of what is coming. Now multinational corporations will expand and continue to dominate. My fourth key ideas I would like to mention is I call technological convergence innovation. I do believe that we are living in a highly technological breakthrough in many spheres but yet to see the real convergence of all this technology in combination. And once it precipitate in innovations, it will drive even more in the coming future. Last point in the economic sphere would be governance crisis. I have noticed in the world in these last many years that the crisis are coming more and more due to the lack of architecture of international governance that cannot be worked out fully. Not only in each country but in the global scale. Now let me turn quickly to the second pillar, the societal pillar. Again, five key areas I want to mention. One, I see the issue of aging population coming even more at the forefront and faster than we think. We're going to have a lot of old people over 65 years of age more than roughly 17% soon and very soon. And this will present to us a problem we have never experienced in the entire human history. The second thing is refugee and migration crisis. Not only domestic migration due to displacement of people due to internal revolt and shift of power base but also international migration that will take on a major key issues that you already seeing so in the last few years in Europe taking refugees from other parts of the world. This is going to be more due to the turbulent world we are living in. I also see clearly the urbanization issues that are coming forward. Recently, I wrote an article in my own newspaper column that we need to create a new term called Macna City which is going to come. Urbanization in number is already seen half of the world living in urban areas. It will be 70% in the next few many years. But what is more interesting is how do cities of mega-size and metasize no longer going to be the issue of the future. But the future will be cities what I call Macna City which takes on the characteristics of huge number of people living together more than 50 million people in one continual block. That going to be a land mass of density that we don't know how to manage yet and is beyond what we have learned in human history. Urbanization that take on the various dimension would challenge us. Bring me to the fourth dimension also what I call morality frontier challenges due to many issues that have emerged technological advancements that bring about issues that we need to crack through ethics morality that is behind those implications. It going to come more and more into the forefront of the liberation of this issue. We will see not only the cloning that is an old issue that is going to come back again issue of mercy killing, sexual revolution the AI and robotic improvement that goes so far will bring about morality issue that we need to deal with in the coming days. We also have the last fifth issue of the societal pillars that I see coming clearly seen is terrorism fatigue and this is not only is here everywhere we accepted and we don't know how to solve it it's a fatigue which make it way down the entire world of how to handle this properly. Let me quickly turn to my last pillar political pillars. Five things again that I want to mention one we have already passed the age of bipolarity to hegemonia of unit polarity but it's moving to multi polarity with subgrouping within each of those pillars we are seeing this experiencing through the walking through in and out of various blocks and the various alliance going to be rebuilt built again and recreated in a new ways. This is the world, political world that we're going to live in. My second issue in political pillar would be moving from new world order to pause new world order. What do I mean by that? The liberal order that we have seen in the new world order will be shifted towards I think what I call the pragmatism or pragmatic order. What we have seen the announcement that come through President Trump I concur with Richard Cooper or from Harvard that it wasn't really true protectionism it's actually selective protectionism our pragmatic benefits that you are gaining and this going to be some issue that would be on the table pragmatism of Turkey in EU, our EU joining NATO, not joining NATO moving in with Russia, India or not those are some pragmatism Brexit we no longer are people ideologically consistent we are people who are more and more result or rented and pragmatic result is what we're getting at you can see Trump announcing America first national common good instead of global common good that is the issue pragmatically being dealt with at hand of desperation because of the government of each country are no longer sovereign as it meant to be the erosion of the sovereignty of each sovereign state has come through the age of globalization that we have never seen like this before and this is the real issue that is changing many things my third point that I want to mention and the political pillar will be separatism syndrome you notice that separatists are coming more and more as a reaction to the inability to to solve problem in certain cluster of grouping of affinity be it annex, religious or many other groupings you see the self-determination effort to rely on themselves by separate out see the Brexit issue the Scotland, the North Island Wales and the UK Basch from Spain and France Catalania and from Spain you see the issue or Lombardia from Italy and many other places Kurdistan that want to come out from Turkey from Iran, Iraq, Syria Tibet, Uyghur from China, Taiwan all this issue I call them separatism syndrome as a reaction to try to have some self-determination in a world where they cannot control and cannot rely on a broader grouping my fourth example would be what I call non-professional politicians being politician myself for many years I have noticed that you no longer professional politicians that are being called upon the world is depressing for a unconventional way unconventional style politics anti-establishment that have no hope and they are searching for all kinds if you look at the world having Trumps having Duterte or Philippines having people like Jakovic which is unconventional in Indonesia all types and the young leaders that emerge which we can never dream of way back are happening being elected everywhere is calling for unprofessional politician who are going to be different from the establishment they have been used to and finally my last example would be democratic breakdown I have noticed carefully when I was working together with Barterman people in Germany in the democracy index for many years in the last decade I noticed that countries have turned democratic at least informed democratic election for example are not increasing but decreasing you notice that the year 2,120 countries out of 192 are democratic by 12 years later 118 out of 194 are democratic the percentage decrease we are not moving forward we are moving backward we are rolling backward kudetar could never been expected for many places have been experienced even in my own country we was a shining star for democracy in many decades ago we rolled back to the kudetar government freedom of the people index have measured the going down of the freedom of the people therefore let me conclude by mentioning these three pillars economic, societal and political pillars and the five example I cited for each of these categories or the contemporary world of the state of the world we're living in what am I saying? I'm suggesting a definition of what I call thinking revolution that needed what is a revolution in a nutshell it started with a thinking revolution what is a thinking revolution? it is a change at the foundation and the fundamental with both of our difference until it change a paradigm of economics, political and social paradigms without that that's not a revolution indeed I think there is a need for a new revolution coming that would change the entire architecture of the new global order so that economic, political and social paradigms will be shifted and change because today we experience a broken world that we could not repair it need a revolution indeed