 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The morning market kickoff with your host Tommy O'Brien. Good morning everybody I'm Tommy O'Brien coming to you live from TFNN 906 a.m. Thursday morning we got about 24 minutes to go until the start of trading and we got markets accelerating higher right now really even in the last you're talking about in the last basically five minutes or so from 8.55 this morning you start popping we're almost 20 points above that price level with 31 points higher on the session right now the S&Ps that's seven tenths percent in the positive trading at 4413 you get the NASDAQ 100 catching a bid we just hit 14,000 375 I mean you look at the action you're talking about 100 points you see the volume coming in as well 855 to 9 a.m. I'm not sure if there's news driving that market right there we'll get into a little bit of the economic numbers initial jobless claims out this morning decent number 215,000 back to the markets Dow up 209 points back above 34,000 the Russell catching a bid up 11 points more than half a percent at 2067 we jump over to Bitcoin holding right near about 44 to 45,000 you're sitting 44,155 crude given back some of the gains crude gets up to 116 and change overnight we just saw quite a drop off from 115 to 107 I think we had seeing headlines out there somebody from Germany right maybe maybe the chancellor I don't know who the headline was we'll have to pull up the news but I think they were talking about not quite yet willing to go against Russian energy that it would cause problems I'll get that quote exactly but I think that was what was easing some of the crude markets you talk about moves man this crude market 115 to 107 back to 110 watch out folks in that market man go contract up eight bucks to 1930 right now we were up to 1940 pre-market we jumped to notes and bonds right now sitting basically right where we closed yesterday you're up by two ticks right now in the 10 year you're up by excuse me you're negative actually six ticks in the 30 and we jump over to the VIX volatility index this morning VIX trading under 30 as this market charges higher to 2960 we're dealing with a yield right now 1.87% man these yields watch out folks you talk about some action man I'm just gonna put this on a daily these moves my goodness we go from 2% to 1.7% we're nearing now 1.9% just like that on the 10 year okay let's jump over to the economic numbers 8.30 this morning initial jobless claims not that important especially with what's going on the market the important number the market waiting for tomorrow 8.30 a.m non-farm payrolls look for the wage data in that number as well chairman Powell yesterday he's ready for a quarter basis point folks not ready for 50 basis points it will take a shock to the numbers that we get over the next week really we get non-farm payroll tomorrow and we get CPI data in one week from right now March 10th and then you have the Federal Reserve meeting the following week after that so really two big economic numbers looming non-farm payrolls coming out tomorrow and then we get the CPI data for the month of February coming out March 10th unless you get like an absolute shock to the inflationary factors in those economic numbers chairman Powell very clear yesterday and he did say you know if things change inflation ramps up would they be open to 50 basis points and he said yes but I wouldn't even read too much into that folks because of course he's gonna say yes he said all along if things change they will have to change they're gonna have to follow where the data goes so that's a pretty simple answer to give I think it would take a substantial level of inflation to drive him to have to start doing 50 basis point hikes but boy we'll see what happens oil pushing what 107 right now where we sit in that as we speak crude right now trading 109 24 down a buck on the session but you're jumping 5 to 10 bucks in crude and look at that daily right maybe getting a little bit parabolic at the top possible we reach 116 57 spent a one-way ship since 65 bucks remarkable that crude market okay getting into the jobless claims number so we come in at 215 thousand lowest since the week ended January 1st four week average continuing claims lowest since 1970 you got some variance in these numbers so a four week average probably a little bit more indicative of the true numbers or the true trend of this economy fell by more than forecast I think the market was looking for 225 yes it was you come in at 215 uh the trend is your friend on this as to lower numbers for continuing for initial claims continuing claims little changed 1.48 million in the weekend in February 19th the four week moving average for continuing claims 1.54 million lowest since 1970 as 52 years ago folks uh staggering how many records were setting and then as they say the data comes ahead of the non-farm payroll numbers markets looking for 415 thousand in February now we got 80p yesterday if you missed the show yesterday uh 80p comes in with 475 thousand jobs added for the month of February private payrolls but man what they also said is they revised and they revised from I think a 300 thousand loss to a 500 thousand gain so they said ah you know what we missed by 800 thousand jobs last month so let's just make that revision I will not be paying attention uh we'll be talking to Kevin Hakes coming up after the break and as he put it yesterday a little explanation please of how you missed by 800 thousand otherwise that data is going to be worthless uh and so with this number I give caution of 475 most of the time you're looking at that number and you're saying okay maybe that's indicative of where we come tomorrow right and it might be but boy 800 thousand revision on a monthly basis what's going on right now folks is there is so much volatility in this market analysts struggling to forecast what's going to happen here when we're in a time like none other um analysts are able to forecast off of models that have to do with history it's very difficult to model out the end of a pandemic with inflation surging uh and the job market pretty tight while we have so many jobs opening on top of that lots of factors going on and you add war on top of everything else uh this market it's popping though you look at that flash low we had you're talking about 313 points now in the S&P off of I believe that's last Thursday man time is remarkable yes it is last Thursday uh was the day you had that huge turnaround you had the NASDAQ down two or three percent it ended up two or three percent we're not even a week into that trading folks excuse me and you're pushing some pretty lofty levels in the S&P but the reason why I bring it up is have some caution here because I'm just going to take a trend line and you're nearing you're nearing that area now this is an art not a science folks you could easily use a little bit of linear regression and maybe that trend line is inching a little bit lower maybe it's matching up with some of the highs that we had from the end of January when we first peaked out actually February 2nd then we had a similar peak on February 9th you had a lower peak there February 16th uh you use a little linear regression you're probably coming up to pretty close to that area in terms of where that trend line may be uh we'll add one on the bottom here to see what we're talking about so yes encouraging to bounce off the bottom right but that's a pretty clear channel line folks and we're pretty clear at the top there so I would keep those spikes up on your shoulders man 40 400 40 100 300 points in the S&P the moves pretty remarkable all right we're going to come back with our man Kevin Hinks we'll be talking some market action we'll be talking some earnings uh Best Buy we'll get into their numbers later in the show as well Best Buy up about five bucks on their numbers you were at 85 on that flash low last week you're going to open today at about 105 yesterday you're sitting at about 100 backing off all the way from 141 I've been talking about it folks these 618s we'll talk about a little bit more after we talk to Kevin 618s they're all over the place in this market stay tuned we'll be right back with Kevin Hinks from TD Ameritrade Network everything in the universe is governed by the Fibonacci sequence this mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market to stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of sign up for the Fibonacci 24 7 newsletter at tfnn.com when you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader Larry Pezzavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust Larry's analysis after all he's got 45 years experience as a day trader Larry will also provide daily charts videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from Larry on market movement you need to act on at any time first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us 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tfnn.com sign up today sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv live every market day from 8 30 a.m to 4 p.m eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors welcome back folks we get the s and p is positive by 32 points right now you're looking at a nasdaq 100 positive by 1% up 142 points dow up to 11 let's jump over to our man kevin hanks every trading day folks 12 noon eastern time on the TD Ameritrade network fast market your host kevin hanks tom white they break down the day's market action folks they bring on some amazing guests they talk about hypothetical trade setups in this market they talk in options to find risk kevin i always say to you man a lot changes in a day and we got the s and p i just pulled it up i said where were we it seems like a lot's happened since we uh 100 points kevin in the s and p since we chatted 24 hours ago good morning man good morning tom you're brian yeah what will be today's news right i mean these markets aren't even open yet and they've already been extremely volatile did you see the uh the ripping crude oil about oh about 25 30 minutes ago that i mean crude all went out a major uh sell off and then kind of recovered i don't know what it was maybe it was a rumor but uh you know i was scanning trying to find out what was making crude oil drop but it just shows you these markets are stretched right especially crude oil you know uh i was just talking on the air and if you look at the crude oil market and look at the july futures the you know the front month futures in crude oil are trading out you know they're they're looking right around 110 dollars but if you go on to july there'll be about 97 dollars out to july so there's big gaps big premiums in the front expiration versus the back month so if you go out to august it's only 93 or 99 well not 994 dollars so crazy um price activity in the uh in everything going on here it just it's just like i said these markets are volatile and you've got to really make sure you're controlling your risk and things like that it's it's getting a little crazy here but yeah i don't i was talking i was talking about crude man when we started off and um and i think it was the i'm who i'm trying to germany germany economic minister i think said i wouldn't support an embargo on imports of fossil fuels from russia i would even speak out against it because we were threatening the social piece in the republic with that so maybe um the market thinking that russian oil isn't quite off the market yet that of course uh its own topic we could spend an hour on i'm sure kevin but yeah ten dollars down almost and it's pretty remarkable when you got a three dollar bounce kevin or the span of 20 minutes and we're sitting here saying yeah but that's like barely a pop right because crude is crashing so hard sometimes in this market right now uh the russia ukrain situation the commodity situation obviously playing into this market we get initial jobless claims this morning decent number 215 000 uh four week average lowest number since 1970 continuing claims kevin lowest number when you put it on average since 1970 uh remarkable and that comes ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payroll number what are you looking for the action as we come into a pretty big economic number tomorrow yeah you know the geopolitical headlines right now tommy are very loud right and very noisy but behind that is a pretty good run of economic data that that we're seeing in terms of adp in terms of jobless claims some of the ism and pmi numbers have been pretty strong even consumer sentiment has picked up slightly so we've got good economic data uh underlying this crazy loud noisy geopolitical market that we're in right now so you know non-farm payroll tomorrow are supposed to be 390 000 and 3.9 unemployment remember to pick up a month ago to 4 percent so our you know average hourly wages are looking for 0.5 come out a month ago was 0.7 the markets would like that if that number came in slightly less so uh drone pile to speak again today you know he is a pretty proficient delivery mechanism for either good or bad news and all politicians should take a lesson from drone pile on how to deliver news to the markets because the market seems to really embrace when he gives news both good and bad tommy boy they embraced it yesterday right man i mean i i pull up the chart on thinkorswim right now man and at 10 o'clock the markets were basically at low at 43 23 and he was talking it seems like 50 basis points isn't even close we got a couple big economic numbers of course ahead of their march uh meeting coming up in a couple weeks but yeah pretty reassuring in terms of where chairman paul's head is at least right now at least as of yesterday um and he talks again today we got some earnings we got some companies already moving this morning kevin what are you guys going to be chatting about a fast market coming up at 12 we've got three good names for you today tommy we've got bowing in the a block look at what the overall world has affected them we're going to trade uh like police can look at casco and then marvell we're going to look at so uh we've got three good names today nice always interesting the bowing angle i got bowing up here in my thinkorswim platform on a weekly i got a pretty decent down channel uh on this equity um pretty well defined man even as you look at it but yeah travel breaking back out i've been talking about for a while i've been talking about with you man um travel breaking back out in a big way maybe there's some exposure for bowing i have some bowing in a retirement account i'll be checking out the program at 12 today kevin we appreciate the conversation man and it's thursday so i don't get a chance to talk to you for five more days since uh until tuesday kevin and it's pretty remarkable with this market where you say man five days where's this market gonna be um but defined risk we'll be watching your program man if at time in history defined risk i like that action especially that crude market man anyway we appreciate the conversation kevin we'll be watching it new today have a great day tommy you too kevin take care folks tune in every day i love talking to our man kevin hanks uh outstanding program i've learned a tremendous amount from that program myself i encourage you to check it out even if you don't trade options folks understanding the options market to give you a better understanding of the equity market is is value tremendous as well in terms of the implied moves um the implied moves present on a weekly monthly whatever it be basis as you come into earnings especially all right jumping around to some of the companies with earnings we'll kick it off with best buy best buy shares trading higher uh the market a little bit of a flash low on their numbers at seven this morning but you trade up to 111 we're trading right now at 105 70 we jump over to the headline for best buy come on where we are there we are investors bet pandemic gains will outlast fourth quarter supply chain and staffing hiccups uh getting into it shares rose put there it is 273 versus 273 they miss on revenue um net sales decreasing barely 16.37 billion same-store sales falling as well um analysts anticipated same-store sales were only going to decrease 0.9 percent in the year ahead here we go best buy city expects revenue between 49.3 and 50.8 that's a little bit below where they were thinking uh earnings slightly below as well same-store sales to further shrink anywhere from one to four percent that's compared to 1.4 percent decline um pretty bleak numbers for this company to be trading higher when you think about i mean i just went through they kind of missed on everything they missed on well they tied it on earnings they missed on revenue uh when you look at same-store sales they missed when you look at in the year ahead they're going to be below even at the top end of their revenue expectations below the analyst estimate earnings for the year below their analyst estimate even at the top end and same-store sales shrinking one to four percent over the coming year yeah however is this what's saving the company that would be pretty lame in my opinion folks however as it looks to the next several years he said the company expects to see demand return to levels higher than pre-pandemic sales well he's got a few years to make that happen uh now you see why that thing spiked lower initially stay tuned folks we'll be right back for the open are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the tiger sten trading room only at tfnn.com the tiger sten is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas join the den and surround yourself with these sharpest minds in the trading world subscribers to the tigers then are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows interact with other tigers and tigers as they share trading ideas news analysis and discuss the market act in all 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guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com welcome back folks we got markets open right now you got the s and p's up 24 points nasdaq 100 up 93 points we just pulled back a bit in the last few minutes but quite the acceleration from 8 a.m this morning you were trading at 14,200 nasdaq 100 almost a full 200 points to the upside from that price level excuse me and then we've given up about 60 points from there dial up 197 we jump to commodities right now you got crude back to 109 55 and that was i'm just going to jump around because this was the action i believe that was moving crude germany on russian energy imports so robert hayback maybe german economic minister and that was kind of the quote they're saying i wouldn't support an embargo on imports of fossil fuels from russia so you're going to see some divergence it's here divergence is here but man as this war pushes on and and the civilian death tool may possibly unfortunately to put it lately rise the pressure is going to build and that's putting it lately right but right now as of yet not quite yet now i mean these are the headlines you're going to start seeing a russian oil and gas embargo is in the cards and analysts warn it will have a huge consequences which is probably why it wasn't in step one of the sanctions but i see i feel like it's coming and it as the analysts say it it will possibly as far as i understand it have huge consequences but you just look at some of the numbers folks in terms of the number of percentage of power energy that they provide to europe and beyond it's pretty staggering uh let me get the exact we're talking about 40 we get this number here we go so uh for months you have the tensions rising and then you have a full supply disruption to the eu potentially which receives 40 percent of its gas via russia pipelines now you fast forward from that you have uh somebody talking about here brenda schaefer senior advisor for energy at the foundation for defense of democracies think tank that's quite a name uh we're in unknown territory if you pull 13 to 50 percent of the global oil out of the pool sanctions on iran and venezuela it's not even comparable to what that could do to the global oil market if you actually pulled away most russian production it's possible folks all right that's why you're seeing this market so volatile from 117 to 107 to 110 back to 108 63 right now the market's trying to understand the potential impact of pulling 15 percent of the world's oil off the market when you already have the supply chain issues and all the factors coming into it from the shock of the pandemic not a good time to pull 15 percent of the oil from the market as you can probably understand but nonetheless that's uh the reason why you saw that pullback as maybe it's quite not yet in the cards and listen to you as i said the kevin you can spend an hour talking about that it is a very sad deal to put it lightly what's going on over there putin is a very very bad man to put that lately as well the carnage to civilians over there it's it's amazing to see a a city a democratic city getting shelled by missiles so that is not going away soon and this problem is not going away soon and oil is not probably backing down anytime soon because the pressure is going to build on democracies to stop buying russian oil as tough as that may be and energy on some of these countries you got to have energy to survive so that's the battle you're seeing play out here but you're going to see this battle play out and you're going to see the pressure be constant for an extended period of time folks which is why this market's going to be probably under pressure to the upside for an extended period of time as well we're sitting at 109 right now you back things up on crude man you just got above where we were trading at in 2011 so you're talking about trading at prices folks we haven't seen since 2008 we hit a high today 116 57 above everything we've seen since 2008 august of 2008 to be exact yeah quite the run man quite the run when you think about we got $6.50 on this chart but actually trading to negative around that time one of the best trades out there that energy and crude trade as we've come out of that pandemic and crude prices roaring higher all right let's jump around to what else we have going on in this market we'll jump around to some of the stocks out with their numbers we covered best buy uh bj's wholesale shares tanking 13.8 percent had not looked at this one yet this morning uh 4.36 billion a miss of the 4.4 uh what is their symbol bj of course because this one's an interesting one we're going to pull up cost go next is that right yes it is you're down 12.4 percent right now we put it on the daily and there's your drop off you're basically back to prices we were trading at in august of last year we put this on a little bit of a longer term time frame not that bad i mean you were almost pushing all-time highs right we came into this thing at 70 bucks you're pushing 74 for an all-time high even taking the beginning of this run that we had that started early last year right to the 50 percent is where we jump to on this morning's action 55 41 and 55 61 is the 50 percent maybe we make it back to that 618 to 51 20 for bj's let's see how cost goes is trading uh a little bit higher for them 532 we take a look at the weekly so they pull back right to the 382 there on january 24th now i think we have cost go numbers coming up is that right yeah i think they're today after the bell cost go numbers you're looking at a $22 at 86 move um and that's about a 5 percent move there we go ed young that's quite a name yeah i missed that guy he was an awesome guy talking about in the tiger's den man he was he was a an amazing man missed that man a lot for sure he'll he looked he nailed those commodity markets man all right markets giving it up a little bit right now we got the s and p's up 18 points back to a short-term time frame five minute chart right back to 4400 let's continue jumping down the line with stocks big lots trading lower as well uh weaker than expected earnings $1.75 a share versus a $1.89 big is their symbol and they get almost all of it back on the open such interesting action sometimes on some of these companies that have earnings we'll jump around burlington yeah they're tanking it as well let's see how they open up quarterly earnings 253 versus 260 no excuse me 253 on 2.6 billion in revenue market was looking for 325 on 2.78 that is quite a big miss burl is their symbol watch out watch out wow you're right back to where this thing was trading at in march ninth of 2020 from 357 to 196 on burlington yeah and that is quite a miss man revenue wise right what is that 180 million dollars which represents what seven percent almost in terms of what they were supposed to take in now kroger i talked about i have bad experiences with kroger but that must be an isolated incident folks because they're trading higher uh this thing's got quite a nice up channel and you're breaking out of it man you're up 8.6 percent on their numbers fourth quarter adjusted earnings 91 cents a share revenue of 33.05 market was looking for a profit of 74 on revenue of 32.86 um yeah that's quite a number they're doing well to say the least and what's so amusing is when i was in a kroger i think i was in tennessee was traveling last year and the problem was is that they had no checkout associates to help you so everything was self-checkup now we all know that even last year at this time right you're dealing with supply shortages in terms of human capital um but everybody in line was livid and i found myself saying man this is unenjoyable but guess what they aren't paying anybody and they're taking it to the bottom line i guess and uh people are still shopping sage and folks will be right back are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make one of the biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate llc today at 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back folks we get the s&p's right now up 24 points and keeping your eye on that trend line folks we are kind of at a critical area here because you trend lower and you trend lower man you're making lows right around 4,000 on this trend line that we've been in for basically the entire part of this year 2022 all right jumping back to other headlines gotta talk about Russia you create of course I mean Lavrov out there saying any ceasefire deal must demilitarize Ukraine I bring that up because you have another round of talks going on today and I would not expect too much from those talks at least right now folks and that's trying to you know pair the language in terms of the expectations second round of talks between Russia and Ukraine due to take place Thursday in the Baloeza forest on the border between Poland and Belarus a Putin ally from where Russia forces invaded Ukraine last week it's a location famous for a meeting in 1991 of the leaders of Ukraine Belarus and Russia that marked the end of the Soviet Union I bring it up because again Ukraine must still be demilitarized Ukraine is that it won't agree to preconditions or ultimatums that's not happening man all right Zelensky's not going in there and getting demilitarized with a Putin takeover after everything going on they're just bombing their civilian billion buildings and yeah it is a humanitarian crisis home folding before our eyes folks you got a million refugees escaping Ukraine the poor children of these families man young kids as somebody that just had a young kid I can't imagine having to have young kids go through something like this trying to escape your own country is getting tacked in a period of war but that's the reality we're living in right now folks and that's what's happening and you got a million people displaced from that war so yeah you know we got talks going on today but I would not imagine that goes anywhere anytime soon unfortunately it's probably going to have to get a lot worse until talks are even possible which is tough to even say the words of and I hope that's not how it plays out but I don't imagine that these talks are going to be anything today with that type of ultimatum from Russia and everything else going on to say the least pulling up some other headlines as I'm jumping through what I got here yeah so this one Europe's biggest port is very worried about Russian war impact you're going to see these impacts persist for a while folks Russia is super isolated right now they're an energy powerhouse in terms of what they export and I don't know how geopolitical tensions ease anytime soon with Putin backed into a corner and becoming severely isolated I mean this is not what he game planned out folks okay getting cut off from the world all the oligarchs having to sell all their stuff yachts getting taken overseas I imagine many people in Putin's sphere did not think that it would be a full scale invasion that would basically blow up life in Russia the facade of a democratic country is gone now and that's a scary proposition when you think about the spot that they're in I mean what happens in Ukraine when they take these cities I know I'm saying stuff that's fairly obvious but you're seeing a play out they've you know the news overnight right Russia taking one of the southernmost cities you're talking about a port city they'll have access now but how are they going to hold that city when many of the people that are in the city if they still even exist in that city don't want them to be there etc anyway you're going to see these influences play out for an extended period of time of months if not years Europe's biggest port is where the sharp end of sanctions against Russia looks likely to hurt the Netherlands even if the nation's economic statistics might suggest otherwise measured by foreign direct investments plowed into that country the Dutch stand out as by far the most exposed among economies listed by the IMF such data distorted by factors such as Rotterdam's outsized role as the premier hub for European trade analysts point to the harbor business and agriculture as the Netherlands most vulnerable sectors to the crisis spiked sparked by the Russians invasion of Ukraine that reflects its position as a bellwether of global growth along with its ranking as Europe's region's fifth biggest economy so investment in Russia as proportion of GDP Netherlands 12% what is going on right islands at 7% a lot of that coming from portfolio which is the black versus blue is foreign investment swiss out there for the first time not being in partial uh swiss are up there as well but interesting Netherlands man a stable economic world order is essential to the Netherlands yeah and that's just uh there's a lot in flux right now to put it lightly products like flowers vegetables and fruit are hit via two channels they're important export products to Russia and are energy intensive i mean look at you talking about farmers right they need energy they need all that stuff overall the direct trade impact of russian sanctions is likely to be limited as exports to Russia account for 1.1% of the Netherlands overseas sales there's many unforeseen impacts possible what's going on right now folks i mean the easiest one to see playing out right now is that we got crude rock and higher on the potential for embargoes on the potential for taking certain percentage of global energy just out of the supply if you're talking about lng you're talking about 40% what europe uses if you're talking about your straight out oil you're talking about 13 to 15 percent of the world's supply chain at a time when already oil had just went from 60 to 90 all right now this thing is rocketing higher on geopolitical concerns just not sure where we wrap up from there all right we'll jump to specific equities because we get it we got your geopolitical concerns folks in a big way a box out with their numbers they're trading higher 24 cents a share on 233 million in revenue the market was looking for 23 cents on 229 believe they're just box right yes they are box and they give back a lot of those gains on the open 2689 you're up 3.4% but they sell off from 28 bucks right on the open for box yeah intel gets downgraded by morgan stanley downgrades of value stocks will let us focus more on actionable situations that offer relatively more attract attractive risk reward going forward i n t c is their symbol so they drop on that news from about 49 to 48 right now you're down 1.5 percent for intel you take a look at the weekly on intel folks technical analysis right look at this area we're in man intel trades from 67 last year you were at 56 to start the year you trade below 45 let's back it up even further on a five-year weekly i mean 45 bucks folks you're looking to get into intel that's a nice area of support dating back to 2017 the end first time you kind of found a bit now yeah you might go down to 43 and maybe you scale into this position with the market that's highly volatile right now but you know you don't have to be a brilliant chart technician folks to see an area of support on this chart in intel sitting at about 44 bucks you just popped right from that area uh intel down 1.4 percent though on a downgrade on them so maybe you have to hold off a bit on the flip side of that you got southwest they get an upgrade l u v from evercore and they still give it back up let's see yeah they give it all up market does not agree so they were talking about greater relative financial strength and margin focused planning lead led them to raise their rating on southwest market says knock so quickly you're back to 42 31 for southwest let's jump to jet blue see how they're trading 1433 our man kevin hanks tom white they're going to be talking about bowing coming up on the program at 12 noon eastern time fast market if you liked bowing at near 200 this morning you're going to love it at 192 folks i joke but bowing so tough to find a bid right now on bowing there's your three-year weekly folks and maybe bowing coming down to the bottom of this trend line you're talking about maybe 180 you're trading at 192 right now down 2.9 for bowing share stay tuned folks we'll be right back to finish up the show sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv live every market day from 8 30 a.m. to 4 p.m. eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts to help 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information you can call 877-518-9190 that's 877-518-9190 this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com welcome back folks we get the s and p's up 12 points market giving up a little bit the nasdaq barely hanging on to the gains up about five points right now we jump to the 15 minute you see that acceleration it has been fast and furious 14,391 at the beginning of the program we give up almost 200 points we'll call it 150 points 14,247 we got all the commenters in the den frank dg what's going on man i can't even talk about geopolitical issues without everybody getting all political our man dg i mean he thinks you know conspiracies and elections don't matter folks in the youtube tiger's den so he's got all the comments in the world the sad part of the reality folks is that yours we won't get too into it but those two fine gentlemen in the tiger's den it's a sad reality playing out folks where everybody just likes to hear what they agree with all right can't even talk about war going on when the market's getting hit and talk about something like that without somebody saying get off my politics old man they can go do their rent somewhere else if they don't like it i think i'll decide how i do my show guys and you guys just decide to watch it or take a hike how about that one instead of just being old cranky people in the comment section which seems from the norm unfortunately all right s and p's we'll get back to the market it's a sad deal folks you know the election conspiracies in there dg that's just bogus man i'll use nice words it's just bogus and when we have democratic norms falling across the world i got very little patience for people that like to spell conspiracy theories about us elections folks okay because that's just lies and propaganda all right and you shouldn't be afraid to call it what it is because if you are we are going to be on a democratic slide to negative territory so don't be afraid to call people out just because they might be a little bit angrier and a little bit loud than you are don't be afraid to stand up for what's right when you see that stuff going on in life period gotta protect what you have folks you're seeing it play out in ukraine right now in ukraine right now s and p's up 19 nasdaq up 29 dow up 196 in the russell into negative territory folks you're off 10 points right now at 2045 we check in on crude the volatile commodity of the session we're back near 110 at 109 61 folks thanks so much for starting your trading day with me i love what i do you guys and girls are the reason i get to do it it's such a privilege thank you for starting your day with me stay tuned we got our man basal Chapman coming up next with the tiger technician tower at larry pesavento at 11 you heard fast market they'll be talking bow and coming up at 12 along with some other companies steve steve fight tom o brian this afternoon have a great thursday everybody