 We have got a 12 game slate for tonight in MLB DFS and it's one that will force us to make some decisions because there are 12 games and there are a lot of really good pictures and We have to decide, you know, which ones we want to rank highs Which does mean we are probably nitpicking a bit on some of the better guys on the slate Which can feel a bit awkward and a bit sad to not slobber all over some really fun stories But I do think that there are some some clear differences between guys We're gonna run through which guys I like most Why I'm not on some of the others and hopefully get you said to win some money and kick off your weekend in grand fashion on Friday night slate welcome on into the solo shop That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire comm My name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Friday's 12 game main slate With locks out for 705 p.m. Eastern for today the first weather notes bit of a bummer out Of course feel for the Rockies in the Mets and it's supposed to be heavy snow I do not think there is any chance they play this game. So I'm proceed proceedings if they won't I'm Frankly shocked it has not been postponed yet. But either way, I they're not gonna play So don't worry about the course game for tonight There's a chance of rain in New York for the Yankees and the white socks doesn't seem too bad though So they should be good to play there and finally in Cleveland for the Guardians and Tigers Winds are out to center at 19 miles per hour. That is a bump up to batters in that game We're gonna preview this late in just one second But first a quick reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast Later on today got a NASCAR podcast getting you set for Sundays all-star race We of course have NASCAR podcast every week USC with Austin Swain PGA with myself and branding a doula to get all of those podcasts Right as they are posted search for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed hit subscribe If you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well Also, fan dual racing is raising the stakes for new players during the pre-knit stakes with two exclusive offers This Friday and Saturday that's today is your chance to win one hundred dollars on a five dollar bet That is 20 to one odds on any horse to win Even if you pick the favorite your exclusive odds are automatically applied to the first horse you pick to win on Friday or Saturday Plus with win bet insurance You can get up to five dollars back on all eligible races if your horse finishes second or third Just download the fan dual racing app create an account and you are all set It doesn't matter if you're new to horse racing or a season pro the fan dual racing app is perfect writing one So get in on the action this Friday and Saturday with two exclusive offers Only on the fan dual racing app pitching preview for this Friday main site Eric Lauer is the highest salary guy checking in at $10,000 Nestor Cortez is 10 to Shawn Minaya is $9,900 Tarik scuba 95 Robbie Ray 91 it is a lefty It's all lefties for today. We got Martin Perez Julio Arias rangers for as Daniel Lynch They're all above 8,000 you do sprinkle in Paul Blackburn and Michael walk it in there But it's just a lefty kind of day with all the lefties and the slave for today So we're gonna break down which guys I like most it is tough because Lauer's amazing Cortez really fun story and those guys I think are legit. I'm not nitpicking what they've done but we got to find a way to narrow things down and Part of it could be that a lot of these guys are on the road Cortez and Lauer are not We got two guys facing a low strike out opponents that would apply to Scoobel for today applies to a couple other guys as well tough match up for Cortez Lauer let it blood hard contact two guys who are not facing low strike out opponents are Robbie ray and Shawn Minaya I'm gonna wind up ranking those two First and second overall as a result my top guy for tonight is Robbie Ray So let's start here. He's facing the Red Sox. They have not hit lefties well so far in a small sample this year They got a 73 WRC plus with a 24 percent strikeout rate on their current active roster the WRC plus I don't care about because it's just 289 plate appearances that doesn't matter to me But the strikeouts do matter those stabilize a lot faster and I could put more faith in that and it says it's a decent spot Here for Ray. I'm also convinced that Ray is fully back to being his old self The velocity was very low to start the year to the point where it was a big concern But it's almost back to where it was last year now over his past four starts the peripherals have spiked along with the velocity He has a 33 percent strikeout rate in those starts. He has eight plus strikeouts and three out of four I've got Ray projected for 8.6 strikeouts tonight Even with these stiff competition the good pitching slate that is the best mark among all starters So there is risk because the Red Sox have hitters who are good against lefties Trevor's story He just had a triple-dong last night and Robbie Ray is on the road. He's at Fenway stuff like that That doesn't matter, but I like his upside most So I'm gonna rank Ray first for that reason and make him my top pitcher of the night Maniah will be second. He's facing the Giants. They're also another dangerous team But being a lefty does neutralize a lot of their best haters Brandon Crawford Brandon belt, etc. Jock Peterson they have a 24 percent strikeout rate against lefties Maniah is also going super super deep into games. He has gone 110 99 and 104 pitches his past three starts He had 12 strikeouts in that most recent game and that one was on the road against the Braves That's a very tough spot I'd rather be in this match up against the Giants than that one against the Braves And Maniah has been really good overall this year across seven starts He has a 3.18 skill interactive. Yeah ray 29 strikeout rates He has let us learn runs and that could happen again here because again, it's san francisco You know, they're a good offense still despite being a little lefty heavy But it's in san francisco. The park helps a lot here. It's 65 degrees tonight Which is not the coldest on the slate So it is second coldest among the games I'd expect to play if we toss out cores with all the snow But overall Maniah checks a lot of boxes I've got him projected For 7.7 strikeouts that is second most in the slate behind just robby ray And that's enough for me to rank in in this second slot as well We'll talk about lauer. We'll talk about Cortez and things to walk But for me, it is going to be ray one Maniah two Because we have so many good studs for today I don't really want to go in the value range But if you do want to value and I don't think he's totally off the radar I actually think there is some reason to consider erin savalli at $6,800 He's facing the tigers and that's a Admittedly a big part of this because they have just a 70 wrc plus against righties with an o 93 iso Then 25 strikeout rate low walk rate bad numbers across the board the key number there the most important number there Is actually the power number of the iso because savalli is bad at ball numbers are really bad I need to use him only against teams that can't it for a lot of power The tigers are exactly that but the strikeouts have been on the rise recently here for savalli And I think the explanation for that is his curve ball in the first three games savalli through the curve ball Just 17 percent of the time over his pass three. That's up to 29 percent and that's awesome The wiff rate on that pitch is 42 percent according to baseball savants the strikeout rate in that sample is 24 percent It's not Light in the world on fire, but it's a lot better than it was. It's been against some pretty good teams Hard contact is still very much there So he's not overall of his issues, but he's a lot better than he was and now he's in a very good matchup at home He's $6,800. I think he has some really good upside So I'll give him swipes at times, but mostly studs for me I think that I'd cap it around 10 percent for savalli and dedicate the rest the other 90 percent To the studs he mentioned if you want to go hardest at rea and manaya and then sprinkle in some of the other guys You can do that there, but mostly focus on the studs at pitcher for tonight Let's move now to the stacks and it feels like we've been stacking the Yankees a lot recently But it's working So i'm just going to keep on doing it once again and stack them here They're facing dallas kykel and if you are ever perusing white socks twitter You will know why we're stacking against dallas kykel kykel a struggle of a lot this year His ira is 5.54 with a skill interactive ira of 5.05 He has almost as many walks of strikeouts He is still getting in typical dallas kykel fashion Really good batted ball numbers got a low hard hit rate and a low fly ball rate, but It hasn't done enough to erase the rest of his profile Now he did just shut down the Yankees last week. He held them scoreless for five innings But he had three walks compared to three strikeouts They've now seen him recently and he's going on the road to make this start This will be just the third road start for kykel in seven starts He led up seven turn runs and ten total runs in one of those games And the Yankees are a very good team against lefties 193 iso 114 wrc plus So yeah, he shut them down last time out, but I have faith they'll figure it out this time around and be able to Exploit the issues that kykel has despite the good batted ball numbers So I will be high on the Yankees once again against kykel for today That means having a lot of glaber torres in my lineups once again Obviously last year was brutal for torres But it seems like he's a different guy this year. His iso is 196 He has a 50 hard hit rates and a 43 fly ball rate Strikeout rates down really good advanced numbers for glaber torres and his salary Is still just $2,500. I've been using him more than I've wanted to recently Like I've just wound up there because of stacking the Yankees a lot and low salary guy stuff like that But here i'm very okay with that I think that torres Will wind up being one of my higher exposure players in the slate if you want to jam in A high salary picture with judge stanton, etc, etc She's glaber torres makes it a lot easier and i'm very okay with doing that for tonight For our number two stack i've stacked against daniel lynch a couple times this year and it hasn't gone well His e-array is 3.30 But the batted ball numbers are still very stackable and I think I want to keep giving a crack for that reason Which means stacking the twins tonight lynch has made six starts He has let up 85 balls in play across those six starts batted ball numbers tend to stabilize a little bit higher than that But it's a decent sample. We can get some early takeaways from what he's doing The big thing is that lynch is still living dangerously His hard hit rate is 48 percent with a 52 fly ball rate Typically that is the recipe for dingers and that hasn't been the case yet because lynch did let up three home runs in his first start But he's let up one home run his past five starts combined That is despite facing some really good competition It could be that lynch is just skilled at avoiding calamity and is expected the array is under four Which is you lens credence to the fact that maybe he's actually good at this But i'm not quite sold yet Lynch has a 23 strikeout rate with a 10 walk rate. That's not quite enough If he's going to struggle with balls in play I'm going to bet we see some regression here and I will stack the twins To see if that is a case for tonight within those twin stacks I would be careful with kyle garlich. He will start but he leaves games early often Against lefties. He left one in eight or one game in the third. That was due to injury disregard that one But since returning He left in the fifth after starting one game Before the injury he left in the sixth. He left in the seventh a couple games He has had four played appearances in a game just once this year So i'm not totally off of garlic because he could dong and pay off in one played appearance. He actually I mentioned that he left a game in the sixth before his injury He had two runs in that game before the sixth inning So it could happen, but I would proceed with caution as a result not the kind of guy I tend to use I prefer guys who will stay in the game. Give me five played appearances four or five Garlic's probably not going to be that guy. You need him to go yard pretty fast I know he's minimum salary, but I don't think salary will be a key thing for tonight. So I'm gonna try to be underweight on him if I can even within my twin stacks. I just think Uh stacking the twins without garlic might be a bit conferring. So we'll give it a run and see what happens for tonight The third stack is going to be the raise I think they set up well against tyler wells. Uh, this game is a baltimore and in the past We've always viewed tampa bay going to baltimore as being a massive park factor upgrade That's not the case anymore with the with left. You'll be moved back with it. You needing to like Be Byron buxner error and judge or dron call a stand to clear that wall It's not a park factor upgrade anymore But I do select the spot overall Wells has been decent in his move to the rotation. He has a 4.18 era His skill interactive era is 4.23, which is not bad But he's letting up a ton of balls and play like a lot and a lot of those are in the air Wells has a 16 strikeout rates his walk rate is 3 which means there is a ball in play about 80 of the batters He faces 46 percent of the 80 percent are fly balls Only 36 percent have been hard hit so far and that's a low number That's been the strength of wells is why the array is pretty good But last year that number was 41 and if we see that hard hit rate creep up to around 40 percent He'd be in some trouble Wells has also gotten a bit lucky with his schedule Because three of his seven starts have come against the bottom six teams in w rc plus against righty's None of those three have an iso above 118 against righty's He's faced from the race tonight and they're not great in that department either They got a 102 w rc plus and a 142 iso. So they're not elite But they're better than a lot of what wells has faced so far I think it's a good enough spot where we should give them a spin here and see If the race can bring some regression tyler wells way I do think it's pretty wild. Uh, what kevin curemeyer has done from a peripherals perspective this year These aren't the best results, but he's sitting for power again against righty's got a 39 fly ball right That is the highest mark of his career. He has a 219 iso also his highest of his career And those numbers do stabilize kind of fast We've seen tear meyer batting sixth or so against righty's I also do like the pop that bright phillips and francisco mejia have shown in small samples They do strike out a lot, but less of a concern against wells So if we get phillips mejia curemeyer in a good enough spot, you know, they slide up in the order a bit I'm open to it a lot of power there. Uh, but I think with curemeyer specifically i'm Changing my mind on him from where I was at before I think that he's actually kind of an option for dfs with where things stand right now Let's go now to things to watch do you want to touch more on those pictures? I did not mention in the top section nester cortex eric lauer tariff scoogle for cortex. It's a repeat matchup He just saw the white socks last week and there are a lot of lefty bashers in that lineup So it's not a situation where I think that cortex will regress. I think he's legit I just don't like the situation that he's in right now for lauer. It's about the hard contacts He's still letting up a lot of ads Obviously, you don't worry about that as much against Washington as you do with other teams But it's still a pretty big concern. So I do think that lauer definitely works Also, don't know the highest like pitch count projection on him. It's 94 for me But uh, just you know keeping in mind that strikeout rate could be a bit concerning for him um, or that uh, that uh The hard contact could be a bit concerning for him. I've got him at 7.6 strikeout So he'd probably be number three for me behind Ray and mania, but that's the one thing that kept me from being higher scoogle facing cleveland's Pretty low strikeout team 20 strikeout rate against lefties. I mentioned cortez against the white sox. Their strikeout rate is 18% It's just too low strikeout matchups and I've got other options. That's why I prefer ray and mania I would go with lauer next followed by Probably scoogle over cortez, but I think all five were in play And I think again, I would prefer to pay up over going with savalli Even like you like him a bit a bit as a value for tonight Finally, I want to get some exposure to the right-handed orials for today They're facing ryan yarbrough. Uh, he'll be the the longboy after jaylon beaks is the opener for today Yarbrough traditionally has been very good at generating soft contact Hasn't been getting that as much this year and it's a small sample But it is noteworthy that he's sliding back a bit there If that were to stick if he continues to struggle with hard contact He'll probably some bad numbers this year. So I'll dabble in the orials Not confident enough in them from an offensive perspective to put them in the top three stacks But you know, I think they're worth looking at for today for sure Okay, let's finish up with some dinger calls for today. I mentioned the twins, which means I am contractually morally Spiritually obligated to make byron buxton my home run call for today So byron buxton the home run call facing lynch a lot of fly balls a lot of hard contact It's byron buxton What else could he possibly need the fun one? It's not great from a matchup perspective because again, dallas keichel does do a good job of suppressing our contacts and suppressing fly balls So Not really a spot you want to look for dingers all that often, but I will go with labor torres just because again I like the bad at ball numbers gets the face of lefty here I think the power numbers will come I'm on board with him. So home run calls for today byron buxton and labor torres That is all that we have here for today on the solo shop But again, we got more coming up later on today here on the number fire daily fantasy podcast seed nascar and ufc to get you set Four-year weekend you can find those over on the number fire daily fantasy podcast seed hit subscribe You want to get them as they go up? And if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well If you've got questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your dfs Lineups have a fantastic weekend. We'll talk to you once again on monday for another week of mlb dfs This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network