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How to Predict the Odds of Anything

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Published on Feb 17, 2014

Statistics! They're every scientist's friend. But they can be easy to misinterpret. Check out this thought exercise with Hank to understand how some mental kung fu known as Bayesian reasoning can use stats to draw some downright surprising conclusions.
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Sources:
http://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/science.pd...
http://scienceblogs.com/goodmath/2008...
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/...
http://www.behind-the-enemy-lines.com...
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/technical
http://www.york.ac.uk/depts/maths/his...
http://www.amazon.com/The-Signal-Nois...

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