 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot? My name is Tom Vecchio. We have a six game MLB sleep tonight It locks at 7 0 5 as always This is one of the many shows on the feign new podcast network You can find that anywhere whether it's iTunes SoundCloud stitch your Google Play make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe That is greatly appreciated. You can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom I will I will be back at 4 p.m. On our YouTube twitch and Facebook page to take your questions for the MLB at DFS Q&A at 4 p.m. So tune in there if you have any questions about Tonight's sleep before we hop into things listen up baseball fans Fandals giving you an opportunity to get get involved with daily fantasy with the MLB home run challenge each day You can draft three players and you receive one point for every home run that they hit score three points for a share $2,000 prize pool score six points or more in a win a share of the $10,000 prize pool All you have to do is head over the fendal today and draft your sluggers It was really a strictions apply head over to fendal.com or download the fendal app for more details All right, so hopping into today's six game MLB slate We have a few games earlier today not focusing in on those just the main slate again locking at 7 0 5 Right now the weather is looking great. No concerns Few games in some domes and no concerns for the games outside All the games are with nine implied run totals or higher So we could be in for some scoring and also right now we have five teams with implied run totals sitting at 5.3 or higher. We also have no pitchers above $10,000 on this slate so we are in a spot where we could see some very balanced lineup builds where you don't have to spend All the way up for pitching you can fall somewhere in the mid tier and you'll still have plenty of salary to get to those Hitters that you want Framber Valdez is the most expensive pitching option at $9700, but I'm actually a bit more interested in sunny great tonight at $9300 obviously a bit of an up-and-down year in terms of dealing with injuries But when he has pitched he has looked very solid coming in with a 29% strikeout rate this year And 8.8% walk rate is a little bit higher than we'd like to see but still has a very solid 3.61 Sierra and a 3.33 X Fib coming in with a 47.8% Ground ball rates and a 49.5% medium contact rate. So not only is he a ground ball picture that can limit the damage He's also racking up the strikeouts and that's exactly what we want to see from him when his salary is up there at $9300. He is at home, which is he's at home in Cincinnati, which is a good hitters part but he's going up against the Pittsburgh Pirates a team that we really should not be too worried about now Yes, the pirates don't strike out a whole lot despite not being a good team The pirates don't actually waste a whole lot of opportunities at the plate The pirates come into the 21.8% strikeout rate this season versus right-handed pitching Which is 27th in the league. So they actually very very disciplined at the plate But the pirates come in with a 130 team iso versus righties this season Which is dead last in the league on top of that the pirates also have an 85 WRC plus versus righties, which is 27th in the league So sure they don't strike out a whole lot, but this is a spot where we could see sunny gray crews through six or seven innings Really only give up a one or two weren't runs. Maybe he's not going to have 10 strikeouts But he could easily be seeing six seven strikeouts with very very Limited damage against we also see the pirates coming in with a 34.1% fly ball rate this year versus righties, which is 25th in the league So the one thing that could potentially be bad for sunny gray being at home in a k a the great american small park in Cincinnati, which we know is so prone to home runs the pirates don't generate a whole lot of fly ball So it really should put sunny gray in a spot to be the number one overall pitcher on tonight's slate All things considered I do think framber valdez is a very solid option But we have seen him struggle with walks at times We also do see you know slightly more dangerous lineup going up against minnesota and we do see sunny gray $400 cheaper. So I will take the $400 of savings. I will take the Significantly easier matchup for sunny gray going up against the pittsburgh pirates compared to Valdez who I do think is a solid pitcher, but he's going up against minnesota A lineup that still has a bit of power in their lineup So that was one pitcher all the way up the top one pitcher all the way at the bottom the cheapest pitcher on tonight's slate Is nester cortez for the new york yankees now He is getting another start in their rotation because both garrick cole and jordan montgomery are on the covid protocol list That's something we have to Pay attention to cortez is $5,500 so immediately on a slate that I said that we have Five teams that have implied run totals above 5.3 You really want to be looking to load up on some offenses tonight and nester cortez at $5,500 is a pitcher that will allow you to do so He's at home at yankees stadium and he's going up against the seattle mariners a team that's certainly looking better as of late But they still strike out a lot right now Seattle comes in with a 27.0 percent strikeout raid versus left-handed pitching, which is the second worst in the league seattle is a very very Free swinging team and that should play into the hands of nester cortez who comes in with a 30.5 percent strikeout rate this year Which is actually the best on the slate All pitchers including all pitchers now Cortez doesn't have the volume of innings pitch that valdez or sonny gray does he only has 30 He only has 32.2 this season, but he's still carrying the highest strikeout rate So of course take that with a bit of a grain of salt just because his sample size is not as high He comes in with a 3.29 seara 3.59 x fit He does have a 42.9 percent fly ball Uh rate which can be a little bit dangerous, of course at a stadium like Yankee stadium, which can be so prone to home runs, but he does have a very low 28.2 percent hard contact rate mainly a medium contact rate pitcher at 47.4 now the question we'd all be asking for uh nester nester cortez is how many innings will he be going because Throughout the season up until recently. He was just a reliever out of the pen Used in you know in long innings, but he got this recent start against tampa bay where he went five innings And had five strikeouts with only one earned run and he put up 27 fandal points Which is of course great to see when he's only 5500 dollars The question is will he be going for are they just going to use him as an opener for Two innings three innings or will he be able to go five maybe six innings? That's something we can get some clarity on when it comes to the 4 p.m Q&A show if we get an update throughout the day From erin boon the Yankees manager if they say they have a plan for him They're willing to let him go a few extra things that will be important. We'll circle back at that for four p.m Now when it comes to the Seattle offense overall, like I said, they're they're striking out 27 percent of the time Versus left-handed pitching this year. You can certainly be looking to attack that Seattle is also carrying a 169 team Iso versus lefties that is 17th in the league Obviously showing to be a very league average offense And then we see Seattle sitting below league average coming in 26th in the league with a 90 w rc plus versus Lefties. So yes, this is a matchup. We can look to attack. I think that We should see nester cortez actually decently popular tonight You know once we potentially get an update on his innings limit due to the fact that we can load up on houston Sainte. They should be a very very popular stack. We have toronto on this Slate as well another stack you can be looking to load up on and then of course the Yankees at home Also with an applied run total over five So you may want to spend up for sunny gray at $9,300 But also all the way at the bottom nester cortez $5,500 is also a viable option tonight Now we can be turning to tuki tusant at $8,500 for the atlanta braves I'm going to say this right from the jump He has a very small sample size this year coming in with only 17 innings pitched this season Now he has looked very solid in some of these outings with a 28.2 percent strikeout rate 17 innings Of course in the grand scheme of things is not a high strikeout rate He did pitch a little bit in 2018 2019 and 2020 in the majors and throughout his the entirety of his major league career He's carrying a 24.8 percent strikeout rate So he's showing to be a little bit higher this season than he has been historically But I still think it's a picture worth trusting going up against the st Louis cardinals an offense that we don't truly need to be too worried about overall He comes in with a 3.25 sierra a 3.02 xfip a 52.4 Ground ball rate and a 60 medium contact rate again a small 17 innings sample size So we have to take this with another large grain of salt But overall the offenses or the offense from the cardinals is one that we Should not be overly worried about because they are lacking power at times They also have a predominantly right-handed lineup. So we should see some good splits For two sons here if we look to st Louis they come in with a 151 team iso versus righties that is 23rd in the league We look to their batted ball profile, which we absolutely want to be Paying attention to When it comes to the potential home runs and they're actually top ten only at a 38.1 percent Fly ball rate, but I don't think we need to be too worried about that if tussan can continue to keep the ball Down that which that's what will help them go further into the games now Yes, st. Louis doesn't strike out a whole lot versus righties They're only striking up 22.1 percent of the time, which is 25th in the league So we're dealing with a few things here and ultimately tussan is going to be one of my favorites Tournament target tonight. This is not going to be a safe option that you'd want to trust in cash games Also do the fact that some of the pitching options around him sunny gray only being Was 800 dollars more. I think it's a significantly safer option. So I think we can be going to tussan tonight Uh, if you want to mix things up when it comes to torrents because if that strike I rate a 28 Point two percent is going to be shining through. We could see him really push Towards seven eight strikeouts tonight, which would make him a great point per dollar play So I'm looking to him as a tournament option tonight and always and just a player to add to my player pool to be a bit different I think sunny gray and valdez are clearly the safer options well Well ahead of him, but it's still a player I I do want to be mixing into the player pool and then if I'm looking to drop down That's where nester portes would come in at 5500 Dollars really a good spread of things on tonight's play when it comes to pitching despite it being only six games There are a number of different options that you can be choosing from we'll circle back to pitching As we close things out But on to the stacks on tonight's slate as I said We have five offenses that have implied run total is sitting at 5.3 or higher That's the astros of 5.66 the reds at 5.62 The white socks at 5.47 the Yankees at 5.43 and the blue jays at 5.38 All of these teams have proven to be very very strong offenses throughout the year Really no matter where you go on tonight's slate with any of these offenses Should put you in a good spot I want to focus in on the houston astros. They are at home They are massive massive minus 250 home favorites going up against the Minnesota twins griffin jacks will be on the mound for the Minnesota twins Young pitcher for them. This is his first year in the majors. He has only pitched 26.2 innings He comes in with a very low 19 strikeout rate a 9.5 walk rate He's allowing 2.36 home runs per nine. He's allowing a 53.7 fly ball rate Only a 33.7 hard contact rate and he has a 5.09 Sierra and a 5.69 X fit of course again another pitcher With a small sample size, but it's really what we should be seeing from him. Ultimately, that's what I'm expecting Not a high strikeout rate pitcher A pitcher that seemingly prone to home runs and he's allowing 3.45 home runs per nine specifically against lefties Obviously it's a bit lower overall, but righties, excuse me 3.45 against righties It's much lower lefties versus lefties. It's at 0.82, which is why it's lower overall So i'm going to be looking to the righties for houston and they have a plenty of power when it comes to the righties This is not to say i'm not going to be interested in kyle tucker or your don alvarez who both come in with isos above 260 versus righties this season. Of course, they're great home run hitters, but really al-tube korea I think should be very very solid options and kind of the core options when it comes to Stacking houston yuli guerrilla has been dealing with a neck injury for houston He's been out a couple games if he's going to be in the lineup. I think he's a very solid addition As well. I think you could be firmly looking to him So really no matter where you go with the houston lineup Whether you look to add in some lefties with kyle tucker and your don alvarez You look to go to the righties without touvet korea if We see guerrilla back in the lineup. I think that's fine If you want to drop down and go with a bit of a wraparound stack Once we get their confirmed lineup, of course adding in martin maldonado their catcher should be an option That's you know flying under the radar do the fact that you don't have to be rostering catchers on feindle a player that You can always use to get some exposure to houston while not paying the higher salaries like your don like Carlos korea like hose al-tube whoever it might be so that's certainly an option I think houston's houston should end up as one of one of if not the most popular teams on tonight's slate Now I think since an ad is in a fantastic spot tonight 5.62 implied run total don't want to touch on them specifically I think that they are Very very clear especially at home in that great hitter spark. I want to be going right back to toronto I was big on toronto last night. We should be seeing toronto as another viable option tonight We should also be seeing Cleveland as an option tonight So these are the two stacks that I want to be talking about toronto and cleveland. They're going head to head I like them both individually and I like them both for a game stack tonight Let's start off with let's start off with the visiting indians and then we'll go to the home Toronto blue jays. We spoke about the blue jays a bit yesterday. So The indians are facing ross shripling tonight ross shripling is a pitcher that Is very very homerun prone and one you should be excited to attack anytime. He is on the slate He comes on the modest 23.5 strikeout rate a 7.2 walk rate is allowing 2.00 homeruns per nine overall this season He has a 44.7 fly ball rate. He only has the 31 hard contact rate is a 4.17 sierra and a 4.43 Exfit we look to ross shriplings splits this year. He's actually worse versus right. He's allowing 2.26 homeruns per nine A little bit worse versus right. He's He's also allowing a higher 45.2 percent fly ball rate specifically versus Righties also with an 18.3 percent homerun a fly ball ratio. So I think we can be looking to attack ross shripling We know that the indians do have some power in their lineup Namely led by fran mil reyes with a 348 iso versus righties and then hosie remears with a 312 iso versus righties I think both of those hitters are The key members of an indian stack of where you'd want to be going if you're looking to stack up the indians Or if you're looking to do this as a bit of a game stack now They have changed up their line that they made a few trades etc etc But I also think you can be adding in bobby bradley and Sarah lineup with a 247 iso versus right handed pitching Those are the three main hitters that i'm going to for the indians now Jose remears is $3,900 fran mil reyes is $3,600 Those are the only two hitters that they have on their entire roster that are above $3,000 We then look to amen rosario mile straw bobby bradley or herald remears Who are all $3,000 and blow of course coming in with coming in with varying amounts of power But the indians make sense in terms of a secondary stack And if everyone's gonna be on board with the yankees Or the reds or houston or whoever might be The indians make sense as a bit of a secondary stack because we need just a little bit of salary relief If we're looking to pay up for some of these higher price stacks So at this point you might have to fade either jose remears or fran mil reyes Just because you don't have the salary to get them all in your lineups Then you could look to add in a bobby bradley or hail remears just to round out the indian stack overall So i'll certainly be looking to attack raw stripling who is allowing Over two home runs per nine to reyes specifically and then he's allowing 1.60 home runs per nine To lefties not a high strikeout picture a picture that struggles with walks a little bit a picture that gives up too many fly balls That is what we want to be seeing. That is what is going to be granting us plenty of tournament upside now on the other side Tristan mckenzie is going to be starting for the cleveland indians a picture that comes in with a very solid 28.5 strikeout rate this year He flashed a high 33 percent strikeout rate last year when he made his mlb debut But this year he is struggling mightily when it comes to the walks He has a 16.2 walk rate, which is unheard of bad It is absolutely terrible and allowing runners on specifically in a lineup like toronto Is never going to end well with the power that they have in their lineup. That is going to Ken or ken turn bad for mckenzie very very quickly combined with a 51.3 Fly ball rates allowing 1.99 home runs per nine this season So yes, he has plenty of gas on the mound with that 28.5 strikeout rate But if he's walking hitters and then allowing fly balls to a lineup like toronto We could see exactly what they did last night and even more see them push past 10 runs providing plenty of upside Uh with literally every every hitter in their lineup George springer with a 388 iso versus righty's flag Guerrero with a 366 iso marcus simion with a 249 iso randall britchick With a 188 iso bobeshet with a 187 iso the list goes on and on whether you want to add it To ask her nandis or lordus grail. It does not matter the blue jays bring plenty of upside tonight Just as they did last night Now, yes, the salaries on the blue jays are much more expensive compared to the indians flag Guerrero is 4600 george springer is 42 simion is 41 and bobeshet is 41 This is what we were dealing with last night, but ultimately toronto is in a great spot going up against tristan mckenzie So this is why I said I do like the indians because I don't think that they're going to be as popular as the blue jays And they're going up against ross stripling who's allowing too many homeruns not a big strikeout pitcher I like the blue jays because there were in a phenomenal spot against mckenzie Who is walking way way too many hitters with a 16.2 walk rate this year allowing 1.99 homeruns per nine that combination of too many walks too many fly balls is a deadly combination for a picture And when I see that going up against the lineup with toronto that is Just all signs pointing to toronto for stacking them and then I want this as a game stack Like I said the homerun potential on both sides is very very strong So going to both the indians and the blue jays are two of my favorite stacks tonight Of course looking at in plenty of shares of the reds or the astros or the Yankees or whoever might be Those should be some of the chalkiest stacks on tonight's slate Now to circle back for the final three things Just to mention one One pitcher one extra stack and I'll give a homerun call now also be looking at a homerun call for at the 4 p.m q&a show Dallas kykel at seven thousand dollars for the chicago white socks He's coming off of a couple rougher starts recently Five and four earned runs in these two most recent starts We know that dallas kykel isn't a big strikeout pitcher He's only seven thousand dollars. This is nothing new if you've been playing mlb dfs or fantasy baseball For a number of seasons. We know that dallas kykel isn't a big strikeout pitcher We get that he's coming in with a 14.6 strikeout rate this season although we did see the Kansas city royals put up a number of runs last night against lucas geolito I still think that we can be looking to attack this royals lineup overall. They're still not the strongest lineup so normally dallas kykel isn't the Profile of a pitcher that I am normally looking to roster too often a pitcher that does not have a high strikeout Rate a pitcher that is going to have a limited ceiling at times You know, ultimately what we'd be looking for from dallas kykel is for him to go Six innings get the quality start points and get the win points potentially now I do think that is in plate tonight. We do see the white socks as minus two ten home favorites going up against this royals lineup So that's what i'm going to be looking for i'm going to be looking for dallas kykel to hopefully go six innings uh not have You know four five six earned runs as we've seen from him in a couple of these recent starts and then kind of shut down This royals team who yes, they did score our number of runs yesterday But i'm going to be willing to go right back to attacking them tonight We look to the royals overall and sure they're not striking out a whole lot only 21.9 versus lefties this year We're just 23rd in the league But that's not what i'm here for when it comes to rostering dallas kykel i'm here because we know that they are An average offensive below average offensive. We're all coming in with a 97 w rc plus this season versus lefties Which is 19th in the league dallas kykel excels at keeping the balls down and that's what we want to be seeing from him Going up against kansas city, which right now They are generating a 45.5 ground ball rate, which is eighth The eighth worst in the league they're generating the eighth most ground balls Which is of course not what you want to be seeing as an offense You want to be elevating the ball and they are actually keeping the ball down So the matchup lines up a bit for dallas kykel to keep the ball down against Kansas city hopefully limit that damage and he's only seven thousand dollars So him pushing towards 35 or 40 feint new points is something that we know he can do It really comes down to him limiting the damage picking up the quality start points and picking up the win Which i do think is in play In this match up against kansas city Hopefully their offense gets going tonight and we can see dallas kykel cruise through six innings Another offense i guess i'll touch on the reds a little bit. I think that this is an absolutely unbelievable spot for them They're at home We potentially could see uh nick castellanos elevated Activated from the il there was potentially he could have been activated yesterday Of course, he makes their lineup that much stronger. But even without him going to joey vato jesse winker Uh, eugenio suarez whoever it might be for the reds offer plenty of home run upside Especially at that park at home aka the great american small park, which we know offers plenty of home run upside They will be going up against will crowd for the hitsburg pirates a young pitcher who also does not have the largest sample size 71.2 innings this season. It's his first full year in the majors He's allowing 1.88 home runs per nine has a low 20.8 percent strikeout rate and an 11 walk rate This should be nothing new targeting pictures that don't strike a whole lot of people out Also walk the ball a walk hitters too much and then allow way too many home runs So the reds i'll i'll touch on more them more on the 4 p.m. Q&A But I do think that they are in a fantastic spot tonight. We should be looking to them Very very comfortably in the same tier as houston in the same tier as toronto in the same tier as the yankees Those really should be for the most popular teams on tonight's slate And then finally the home run call on tonight's slate. This should not be a surprise But it's going to be vladimir guerrero Junior going up against christen mackenzie as I said mackenzie is allowing far too many home runs this This season he's also allowing far too many Fly ball. So we look to vlad guerrero junior this year Coming in with a 386 iso versus righties as I said Absolutely phenomenal. We look to his batted ball pro profile And it's exactly what we want to be seeing versus righties with a 39.4 fly ball rate and a 44.9 Hard contact rate with a massive 31.2 percent home run a fly ball ratio when the ball gets in the air It is going for a home run a great percentage of the time for vlad guerrero junior So, yes the home run call or the first home run call for today is going to be vlad guerrero junior I'll give another home run call at the 4 p.m. Q&A This slate is shaping up to have plenty of offense because we have some very very Strong stacks we can be going to for the Yankees for toronto for since nay for houston And then we could good potentially be looking to a bit of an under the radar stack with cleveland Who is in a good spot going up against ross shripling? All right, so that does it for today's podcast I will be back at 4 p.m. For the q&a on the fangal youtube twitch and facebook page You can give me with any questions you have there as always this one of the many shows on the fangal podcast network You can find that anywhere where there's itunes soundclad stitcher google play make sure to give it a like Follow or subscribe you can follow me on twitter at dfs underscore tom till next time. Good luck in your contest