 The following is a presentation of TFNN, the Tiger Technician Hour with your host, Basil Chapman. Call now, toll-free at 1-877-927-6648. Good morning, everyone, Basil Chapman here on the 19th day of September. Goodness, how September is just flying by. And September is usually kind of, well I told subscribers expect September to be extremely volatile month. It doesn't matter how much down we go because there's a lot of support levels but it's just that each, we might be looking at lower highs and lower lows for a while. We've seen that and I think we're getting really close to some kind of a bounce, a bounce that isn't just, let me put it this way. It isn't just a bounce that's lost two or three days. It's a bounce that actually has some legs to it. But I don't think we've got there yet. We're attempting to get there. So let me just run the numbers. Look, the Dow is down 66 at 30,755. The technique I use, this is, in fact, let me just draw it in here so you can see it in a very different light. So we'll grab that. That's the daily chart. I'll extend that out. So there's a pattern that I always talk about and it's really making higher lows and much higher highs and then eventually it turns down so it's like a falling axe but the opposite direction. So I'll just draw this end to give you some sense of what I'm looking at here. I'm going to make this blue just for now and then I want to get rid of it because I don't like to have too many lines. Here we go. So this is going to be blue and I'll make it a little thicker because it's just just a temporary thing. So there it is, thicker. And we'll go to this one right here and we'll call this just for the moment Chapman falling axe formation support level. And what does it do? I also make that thicker. I'm going to have to change that as well. So this is the pattern. I noticed a long time ago, way back when I was hand charting, that there was a pattern where the price ran up, ran up sometimes went to a D, E, or F that's the fourth, fifth, fifth or sixth highest peak. And then it started to make lower highs and much lower lows. And then it found a base for whatever reason and all of a sudden that very negative expanding cone formation started to look like it could make a V or a cup formation where there are higher prices. And if it takes out that resistance line, the upper trend line, falling trend line, it could have a one to one to the upside. Well, it turns out over the years that that is a pattern that is also replicated in the exact same way upside down. After all, chart patterns are merely a repetition of a fractal, we could say, of a pattern. And it doesn't matter the timeframe because it's human emotion and that gets repeated over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over again. And you've got to recognize it. And if you do recognize it, you find that it is happens on the positive side, happens on the negative side. So I just took the slide and I turned it upside down, even the words upside down. And what happens is the price comes down sharply and let me just move this to this side so you can see it. Let me have a look at Tiger TV. Yep, there it is. And make a low and then start to make higher lows, but much higher highs. So it's the exact inversion of the one that we were looking at before. And that says at a certain point, usually in the Chapman Wave H pattern, I have to mix this up because you have to understand that I really only looking at three patterns. Look, there it is. Straight line up, straight line down, cup formation, arch formation, and how they combine. In this case, combine of red where it is down sharply and then rallies and fails, usually to peak A or a B. That says, watch out if you take out that left side low. But if in fact you are able to do something like this and rally very sharply in this particular pattern and go not to peak A or B, but you go all the way to a C, D, or even an E. And in this case, an F, it says you've served some of the strength by going higher, not that much higher, but higher. But it also means you've activated and released some of the downside energy so that when the downside comes, that trend line, this trend line right here, becomes extremely important and it should hold. And what happened in this particular case on 34,281, back on the 16th of August, it pulled back to 31,182, very beginning of September, and then tried to bounce. So the rule of thumb for me is that a peak A or a peak B in the arch formation, this is the one right here, a failure says, watch out, you could really take out that left side low, but when it goes higher than a peak C to a D, E, or in this case an F, you've used up a lot of upside energy and at the same time, you've used up a lot of downside energy so that finally when you come down, how you hold this left side trend line, rising trend line is going to be very important. So let's go back to the real story. The real story is, and the reason why I said I thought, I wanted to actually go wrong this morning. And then I thought this time, if I'm wrong, necessarily the down moves up 200 points from the low today, that's okay. We've still got to go through Wednesday. There could be a lot of choppiness between now and then. So the most important thing that I'm looking at right now is, I'm going to make that thin again, back to thin and just leave it like that. So what we've done, you see, we haven't gone to the 2965C June low. That's going to be really important. A break of that says, aha, something else is different because now you have to look at weekly and monthly time frame. So at this particular point, the stretch to the downside and just have a cup of tea. Excuse me. So what it says is this entire resistance area in the 31270s, now 4,500 points up from here, that's going to be the big test. That's also the line period expedition, moving average in the daily chart of the Dow. All right, enough with this. So what I'm saying is we're under pressure, very short, Dow just went positive, up 23 and the S&Ps unchanged. And I should have done this right at the very beginning. I want to do it. I think I did this so that people in the den could see it and I don't want to be coughing right now. So now we've got a leg D in the 10-minute chart. There it is, leg D, chap wave, a bi-signal going to a bi-mode. It says it should go to at least a D. It's gone to above 238.2. And now we're looking at the 261.8 target in the extension for the, oh, talking about extensions. Tomorrow, Larry Pezzavento does his online, does his real-time workshop, all-day workshop. It should be a fabulous workshop, highly recommended. I think everybody would recommend it. And he just demonstrates all the techniques that he's developed over the years, many not years, decades. And I wonder how many trades he's always put on in his life. Anyway, it should be a fantastic webinar. Check out the front page of TFNL. So as I'm looking at it right now, it does up 13. And we'll come back and we'll finish up with all these different indices. And we'll look at some stuff that I can press. I'll be back. VistaGold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia, the Mount Todd Gold Project. VistaGold just completed their feasibility study, resulting in a 7 million-ounce gold reserve. 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There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Free at 1-877-927-6648. Internationally at 727-873-7618. Hi, I'm just finishing out a request in the den if I could just post Netflix, Netflix, NFLX, online videos. $241.41 up $1.39. Leg D under the previous D and that says just be a little careful. So we've had three peak Ds. Sorry, two peak Ds and one lady. The previous one went all the way to $251.99 on the 15th of August. Drop down to about $215. That's now $245. That's some 30 points higher. Yes, and the weekly chart says that technically I should put an up arrow which I've done from the trough E. I thought I'd resolve this. Let me just drink this. Nothing like listening to coughing, right? I mean, is that what you want? No, it's not what I want. So Netflix is acting quite well. It's going to take so much to get rid of this horrible candle. That was that. The earnings and everything else that came out on April the week of the 22nd opens a 340 round number, has a higher of 351.68, has a low of 210.05 and closes to 250. I would say that's an ugly candle. So it's trying to get, if we can get into half way of this candle at any point in the next two, three weeks and that could be at about 280. Wow, 40 points higher. Well, yeah, if we can get there, that's going to be a big positive. In the very short term, and the monkey doesn't look very good at all, but in the very short term, it looks like it's got stabilization. All of these stocks, if they can just find stabilization, that is a big thing. Some of them having a stabilization in some of them almost all year. But in this case, the load that was made way back in April or May with an H pattern with a successful U shaped pattern says that Netflix is in play, maybe more as a trade than anything else, unlike say an Amazon, just typed it in the wrong place, unlike an Amazon, is the big big four, five caps that we're looking at from the NASDAQ area, which keeps had a really good rally at that peak D. How many PTs have we seen round about August the 15th at about 145? Trading now off the legs. A D that was made on Friday, maybe a peak D today. I think by Friday, I'm going to have a good sense of whether or not Amazon can have its first entry point. We talked about it as just an experimental tip-toe in just a fraction to get a sense of the stock. If you want to own it, just to at least be part of it in this particular move. That goes back about three weeks or so. It was in the 133, 134 area. There we are at 123. All I can say is that Amazon, I haven't got the extra move yet that I think is the one that starts the entry point for your position and the long term. For those of you aren't in it, that's was a question for me for the last couple of weeks for a lot of people. But I think we're getting to a point where I'll get that information. So it's filled in that big gap to the downside. The gap up back in August or going into August has been filled. Now how did we come out of it? We've got a gap from Thursday into Friday and on Monday still hasn't filled the gap. This is very important. So that's Amazon. Apple's the other one I was asked about. I said to get to the beginning of the week. This is Lady D sitting right on a support level. Now these support levels I think are different by usual. Yeah, these are the ones that were recommended to me a while back and this went right to that very level. Bravo. I've got to say that was very accurate and I had the trend line sitting there at 148 and we're at 150. We'll see how that 148 lost because on a weekly and monthly basis, although it's digesting gains and not showing strength, it's also at this particular point not showing persistent weakness. It has been weak for four or five weeks but that's a little different to because it ran all the way to the chapway of inside track repellent and had that kind of strength. It says that there's still internal strength. So watching Apple closely. What would be the other one? Let's go to Metta. I don't know if I've even looked at Metta for a while. Just dismissed it completely. Metta, which is the old Facebook. I went through this the other day. I said, what is it with these companies? Oh, I wrote it. Oh, someone that's right. Interesting story. I have a dear friend whose daughter in law, his son was working in companies in San Francisco and did very, very well. And then a company in England heard about him and wanted him and hired him and they took the whole family over, etc. He's doing very well. Well, his wife, who used to work for one of those big companies out on the West Coast and then I guess resigned because they were going to go overseas, was then offered a job with one of the companies that we always talk about here. But to do the European organization, sales, etc. And she's been doing that for a little while, doing very, very well. And he asked me the other day about the, he just mentioned it. So I said, oh, this is one of those companies, you know, like Apple, I'm not Apple, like Facebook changed its name to Metta. Google changed its name to Alphabet. And I keep the, what's the square changed the name to Block. I said, it just, it's such a shame that they did that. They shouldn't have stuck with the names. Those names are already part of the vernacular. Now, they, whenever anybody says the name, the new name, they say, they refer it with the alphabet, the form of Google or Metta, which is Facebook. So why bother? I mean, okay, so let's just get that out the way. So Metta's in that category and look at that, a horrible, horrible chart, leg D in the monthly chart, 384.33, high back in 2021, at a 145 right now, I would call that a little bit of a dip. All right. So in order for the QQQ, the NDX100 to really change the tide in the daily chart, which will then help the weekly chart and which will then help the monthly chart, there has to be a rally at some point going into the fall, maybe falls too soon, maybe going into third week of October, let's say, where the QQQ, the NDX100 trading vehicle that's the Invesco Trust series is trading not in the 280s, 260s, 250s, but actually is above the 322 200-period exponential moving area trading, tackling the recent high of August of 334, and then using that entire area of 320 as a support level to break for a whole two to three weeks into the 340s. And at that point, we're looking at something very, very different. At that point, we're looking at all the resistances, having been pierced, the key resistance on the short intermediate term, and that'll be a big positive. Now as a 14, I'll be right back. That's the chapter type. 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At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN Educating Investors. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Hi everyone, we're back and it does up 29, SV is down to 1. So we've got a leg after the downside of the QQQ, everything about it. And this is what I showed my subscribers yesterday when I did the overview with the video. There's no question that this W formation says we're very close to some kind of a bounce attempt and the bounce attempt will pick up legs. I don't know why this keeps scratching like then. But what's really important is that we probably will see choppy choppy until Wednesday. Does that Wednesday, will they announce something that really says, oh great, now we know what's going on? I'm not sure they can. In fact, it's even more mixed than ever before. But you never know how the market perceives. Remember its perception? It's the way the market reacts. It's the only thing that counts. I don't care what the market is told. It's how it reacts to what it perceives. And that's all. And as far as I'm concerned, I'd say to subscribe is probably the next 300 points up or down at the beginning of this week. It's going to tell us a lot about where we go for the rest of September. And this is keeping it as simple as that. Now within the context of QQQ, I just wanted to show you this here. Look, the IWM is now down 40 cents at 178.59. So at any moment, it looks good. And we've seen that in the relationship of gold. Look, gold now it's down 7. It was down 10 before. And the relationship of gold to silver. Look at the silver chart. The silver chart is way superior to the gold chart. It doesn't always do that and hold it for long, but it doesn't do that periodically. And what we're looking at here, you've got a halfway forwarding exclamation right there. No high lows and lower highs, much lower lows. And if silver, by Wednesday, afternoon, or Thursday, can be trading at 20.25, something nicely above that high that was made on the 19th of September of 20.005, that'll be a big deal. That'll say independent of the dollar, which is holding very nicely up 33 ticks at 110.02 up near the all-time high or at least multi-decade highs, you've got the EUR, USD at towards the lows underneath the pink. Look at this, the pink nine-period moving and the weekly chart. Look at this, since the Euro went negative in the weekly chart, the nine went under the 14-period moving average back in, I think it was June 21st of June 2021 in the 1.98 area. This is not good. It's not good to have a program and keep coughing through the program. I thought I was getting better, but I guess the voice needs a little more time. So we're looking at the Euro very weak, and look at the USDJPY. In the YEN, holding near the highs, I'd show you your left side, right side, match, vertical match with the MACD was still strong back around about this September 6th, 7th at the high, 144.90ish, and then the retest of the high at 144.95, just under the previous high on the 14th of September, you saw the MACD still strong but turning down a little bit. Stochastic was much weaker, the vertical strength was weakening, and yet the price is held well. So leadership remains, meaning leadership of the Dow, leadership of the YEN, and that is really putting some kind of a handicap on the upside for the market itself. A couple of things I want to look at here that I was asked about, and I'll do it right this minute and that is, in the IBB, which is the Nasdaq biotech area, I've been mentioning how the large caps, the Nasdaq biotech, is so different to what I'm seeing in the microcaps in the biotech area or the labs, anything to do with the biotechs. And you have to separate that, and therefore the H-battern that we're looking at in the IBB is right on the cusp of at 119, let's call it 120, of breaking the left side low in the daily chart of 1931. And we've seen a lot of charts that have done this, and that's why I'm saying this is a very selective time, and it's probably better if you're looking at specific stocks. They have to be leaders in their group, otherwise they're vulnerable. And as I'm looking at this, look, even as I'm talking, you've got the Dow, there it is, you've got the E-mini rally, you've got the Dow rallying, the E-mini fund has gone to D-leg E, there's a leg E in the a leg E in the one minute chart, leg E in the 10 minute chart. So after all the stuff over the weekend that you read how negative everything is and Federal Express this and Federal Express that, the market sometimes just tosses it off and says, you know what, I'm ready for a relief rally. And that's kind of what we've got right now. Is it more than that? Well, a lot of the work that I did over the weekend with a lot of charts suggests to me that there is a very oversold condition. One, one that could produce a rally. Now let's go back to the Dow just for a moment. Oh, so I want to say, so IBB, that's one thing, that's the big caps of the biotechs. There are very many small caps, microgaps even, or showing complete independence. And that's kind of what you want to see more because I was looking at, I mentioned the other day, DHT, and I did this on my overview yesterday, my video for my subscribers. Gosh, this is not good. So DHT is up 36 cents, up 4% today, 907. What is it doing? It's doing the very leg D that I was talking about yesterday. In fact, I wanted to draw this in. I just didn't do it, but I should have done it. This is the Chapman falling axe, a little mini falling axe, great pattern. And today it breaks out three bars. Remember my rule of 135, sorry, 136. This is the third session and you ever got your leg D. So maybe it's done for now. Someone mentioned NAC, which is Nordic American Tanker Shipping. Yeah, this has got a same kind of move, almost made a leg C today in the day. It's up 8.5% of 27 cents of $3.38 cents. So high individual things and that's what I said to subscribers. Maybe it's time now just for the next week or two that we stick with my screamers, the very low price stocks that have a chance for a percentage gain and you know exactly you put your risk on usually 2% or 1.5%. And if you get it in a saw to run, you just take the budget. So we've got a break coming up 1,075. S&P's up 5. I like that. Nice to sit around. And our question is about stocks that are going to get you right now. So it starts here. Okay. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life, before you decide it's impossible, get some advice from the experts. You might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices, selective stocks and commodities. Subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com. The opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman, creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman Wave. The Chapman Wave up-down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns, finding the peaks and valleys in stock prices. Get the opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman and your inbox every day. First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money-back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. The technology around us is changing every day. With so much happening, it can seem impossible to keep up with all the information. 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It's in the lower range. It hasn't been able to break above 95 for weeks. The way it looks at this particular point, it looks like it's going to pull back and then try to get back into the 85 area. And if that holds, we can go much higher. But it's also saying, wait a minute, there's a chance that we are in a worldwide recession that needs less oil. If that's the case, then ExxonMobil becomes a dividend stock and you can expect that it's going to retest the 80 level. It's at 93 right now, let's say 85 level at one step at a time. So at this particular point, I'm inclined to say question came in Thursday, I think it was. I don't think I could answer. Is Exxon a long-term buy and hold? And the answer is about 17 years ago, 15, 17 years ago, I remember being at one of our workshops that we used to have in Florida. And someone was talking to me about Exxon and it just happened to coincide with someone who had taken a course of mind, I believe it was here in the Boston area, who had mentioned that they were given by their parents, inheritance, Exxon, and they've held it. And over the years, the question has always been, what should we do? And my answer always is, you could do one of two things. You could do either just hold your Exxon, get the dividend, don't care about it, it can go anywhere. It's a major, major company. Yes, it might have to have changes because of the energy situation and it might have to take over a number of solar companies to still stay in business, but they have the wherewithal to do it. So that's one thing. The other is to say, hey, I'm going to hold the stock and I'm going to use the dividends to buy other stocks that I like. So that was the two choices that I had said. I don't know which one was the one that ever played out. But I don't feel any differently now. I think Exxon is a major company that had the money to do whatever they want. If they really decide, okay, now we're being impacted very negatively through the production of oil in the traditional way, let's do the un-traditional thing and we'll start becoming more solar impactful. I'm sure they're doing that at the moment, but I'm talking about taking over companies, then they'll remain viable. So I would just say that if it's a buy and hold, that's the attitude that you have to have. And you have to have the wherewithal, your own fortitude to say, what are drops from when you buy just to say 93. The drops to 83, but you're just going to hold. The idea is to just keep holding it. I don't know if, at least I don't try to do that for subscribers, but those are questions that people have. So that's one way to look at it. All right. The other is Exxon. My absolute best wishes, everything's working out. You remember I had the call from Bill, I think it was, Bill was talking about, where was it? Let me just get you all that information. I wrote it down and of course I got to find it now. I think it was, somewhere here, it must be Bill, it was Bill in San Juan. We were looking at, it wasn't ADTX, ADTX. Pain, pain. So I don't know if he's even able to trade. And he had called me on Friday. I couldn't get to his call and I'm so sorry about that. And what was his call? Let me just go this, see if I've still got it written down here. Yeah, I don't know if I've got it in front of me. I'll try to find it. Cough, cough. No, I don't have it. So he wanted to, oh, there it is. Okay. You want to look at P-A-L-I. Well, I don't know if he's even able to trade. I mean, everything is down. There's nothing going on. There's just rain. So it's trading at 13 cents and on Friday was trading at 15 cents. And if I got to him, I was going to say, I wouldn't be touching this one right now. I know you had a great trade with the other, ADTX. This is different. I see nothing in it. And what is it called? Palisade bioink. So this is in the biotech here. This is a microcap. No, no, this is not a microcap. Yeah. This is an infinitesimal microcap at 13 cents. I just don't see anything in it. There must be a story there. If you know a story, that's different, but I can't do anything with that. But I just wanted to wish you everything. I wish you well. I hope everything's going fine. I hope that you do have electricity. If you do have water, you have everything you need in San Juan. All right, next thing I want to look at here is... Here we go. I wasn't doing this almost all weekend. Now suddenly I've got this scrab. They told me about it that often you just start to feel well. So another wave comes in after the COVID. So, okay, so I did that. I did that. I did that. I don't want to lose concentration now. Now, the invidia. So, invidia is still in that area. It's having a nice session today. I have 248 as 134, made a low yesterday, now on Friday, in the 120s. This is stock that's gone from the 349 back in... All right. Let's have slowness here with my system as well. There it is. November, 346 point. This is ridiculous. Can't even speak. On Friday I was doing my best base voice for the Messiah. Today, nothing. So, invidia is up. So what's really important about invidia, so this is a big each. Go finish your conversation. Yeah, I needed that. Thank you, Al. Here comes a break. I thought I had something to speak. I'll be back in a moment. You grinding in the market, but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader, simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. 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So this will be very important. So we're looking at estimators, the semiconductors. Very nice session today, up $1.48 to $2.35. I say very nice session because it's a green candle. That has had many green candles. But the pattern that we're looking at says in the arch formation, so far the technicals, that's the Magdian stochastic, even on balance volume are a lot higher than they were back at the July low of $189.94. And that just suggests to me that you've got very clear parameters. A close under $189 in September, it will be very, very negative, both weekly and monthly. But if there is a rally for some reason going into the end of September towards the 233-235 area, and it's really important because the semiconductors are part of the makeup, the internal characteristic of a market is made up with the strength and weakness of the semesters. That's my interpretation. That has been for years and decades, in fact. So let's just watch this very closely. We need the semiconductors to continue to rally there at 205. Eh, big deal. They need to not just get that island reversal gap down back around about the 13th or so. In September, they need to be trading above the 222 level. This needs to, that'll be fresh. That'll be say, hey, we've turned the corner just on the game chart, not the weekly, but it'll help. So with that said, the Dow today, I'd like to subscribe to my opening call. A Dow holding better than a minus 70s after 130 this afternoon. That's a good sign short-term. So I'll be back tomorrow. Check out my opening call daily newsletter and stay tuned. Thank you.