 Hey everybody what's going on divisional playoff weekend is here. I am Greg Sussman joined today by Gabe Marezzi who's going to give us the sixth best bet of the weekend. What's happening Gabe? You know what Greg? This is my favorite weekend of the National Football League season despite the fact of being a Buffalo Bill fan. I still enjoy this weekend. These games are as good as they get. We've got the best teams left standing right now at the National Football League and now they're just a couple of wins away from their lifelong dream of winning a Super Bowl. Absolutely. The lifelong dream continues. Let's start with the first game of divisional playoff weekend East of San Francisco 49ers and the Minnesota Vikings. You have been all over Mike Zimmer, all over Kirk Cousins. You know the Vikings. How well do you know them this weekend? Well I got to tell you what Greg. Looking back on the season, I'm thinking to myself how come I've only not bet exclusively on Minnesota Viking games because we've freaking crushed it and in the immortal words of the Minnesota Viking quarterback Kirk Cousins you like that! You like that! Yeah Kirk, I liked it a lot last week because I was on a team Kirk last week when not a lot of people believed we are all Kirk Cousins can't win a big game and there's no way they're going to go into the Superdome and how they're going to stop Michael Thomas with their banged up secondary and all that other stuff. We cashed the ticket last week with Mike Zimmer and the Minnesota Vikings and amazing numbers. Now 44, 18 and 2 against the spread against non-division opponents and the last time I checked the San Francisco 49ers might have moved stadiums and cities but they did not move divisions but with all that being stated last week's win guys for the Minnesota Vikings on the road was their first playoff road win since 2005 and I'm hard pressed to believe that they're actually going to do it two weeks in a row. Just because I bet on the Vikings last week doesn't mean I like them this week. I was a little slow to the San Francisco 49er party this year but I clued in when I was watching the Niners play to Baltimore Ravens that yeah, this is probably the Super Bowl. They just appear to be the best teams in football and their records indicate this and their seeding indicates this as well. I think it's a bad match up for the Minnesota Vikings another road game going out to the West Coast against the San Francisco 49ers a football team whose offense is a lot better than people realize. We all know about Baltimore's offense they put up 33 points a game. San Francisco put up nearly 30 points a game. This is an explosive San Francisco offense they just don't really have any stars their star is actually their coach and if there's a better play-caller in national football leave than Kyle Shannon then tell me who because I want to bet on him as well. To me this is the difference and as much of respect as I have for Mike Zimmer and he's a freaking ATM machine Zimmer can't stop being inevitable of the pocket collapsing and if you look at Kirk Cousins numbers and I don't want to get too detailed here it's the playoffs and you know it's really about gut feel and the eyeball test but Kirk Cousins numbers appear to be pretty good against the Blitz and all that type of stuff under pressure it's all check-down stuff they live and die with Dalvin Cook I think San Francisco is going to be able to limit you don't really stop them but I think they're going to limit Dalvin Cook I don't think Dalvin Cook is going to have a big day I think they're going to limit Dalvin and of course Kirk Cousins to throw it down a field and beat them their defense is a lot like their offense they don't really have stars but everybody's good and they're extremely well coached I think there's going to be points in this football game as well I don't like laying a chalk like this but at this time of the year guys the cream rises to the top literally infinitively the pretenders and the contenders I'll tell you what man it's also paved with wildcard teams that look good in wildcard weekend and then got tattooed the following week gave me the San Francisco 49ers to win and cover this football game in a higher scoring game that people think I think the number's too low at 44.5 Greg like the over a lot in this game I think it's going to get there San Francisco put up basically 30 points a game Minnesota actually put up about 25 I think they're both going to get close to their averages but San Francisco does more and as good as Minnesota is San Francisco is better gave me the San Francisco 49ers minus the points and the over all over this game all over the San Francisco 49ers their star head coach Kyle Shanahan Jimmy G in his first playoff game ever can he get the win well he's going to need to and cover by seven in order for Gabe and you guys to win the bet if you're not following along take the Niners in this one up next on Saturday night you get the Titans up against the Baltimore Ravens all week long Gabe I've listened to you be all about Ryan Tannehill and Derek Henry and Mike Vrable this team that defeated the New England Patriots ended arguably the dynasty there and they continue to roll into Baltimore well Greg I don't know if you remember the episode of the Simpsons when Krusty had the rib the rib witch and the rib sandwich and somebody traded a car to Homer for the final sandwich and he said ugh I've got buyer's remorse after he ate it I haven't even bet this game and I'm worried this game has freaked me out all week long now listen if we look at the history of NFL divisional week the favorites generally win alright there's seven and one the last two years you want to go back a little bit deeper they're nine and three you want to go a little bit deeper than that they're nineteen and five alright think about that let's let's remember guys a team that played in the wild card weekend hasn't made it to the Super Bowl since 2012 in the Baltimore Ravens okay and trends change in the national football league but in the modern national football league seeding does count but with all that being stated so if it's nineteen and five in the last six years then mathematically there's usually one upset along the way or every one of these games going to be blowouts now I think Tennessee match up very very well with the Baltimore Ravens Baltimore played a very close game against the San Francisco 49ers earlier in the year was a 2017 game and they played a very close game against the Buffalo Bills and Buffalo as well 2417 I think Tennessee falls into this category except the weather is unseasonably warm right now and it's going to be a bombing night literally infinitely a bombing night in Baltimore since Ryan Tannill has taken over the Tennessee Titans can score on anybody all right they're averaging 30 points a game they're nine and two to the over since Tannill has taken over at the helm I'm a little bit concerned about turnovers I'm a little bit concerned about a lot of things I'm concerned about Lamar Jackson but you know what Lamar Jackson not the only one that can run the football playing on the field Derek Henry's pretty good guys as we told you last week and we cashed a ticket with the Tennessee Titans I don't like betting on wild card teams on a week by week like this when we've already cashed a ticket but I think they're up for it they weren't intimidated going into Foxboro to take on Billcheck and Brady and Mike Frable is not scared of anybody he's a three-time Super Bowl champion Derek Henry can run anybody over they've got the skill position players to match up with the Baltimore Ravens as good as the Ravens are I have to take the points here Greg the total is climbing right now and I think people as they start to figure out that the weather isn't going to be a factor in the football game at all that there will be some points put up on the board I think it's a higher scoring game I think Tennessee can hang around I'm not going to tell you that Titans are going to win this game but when we get nine and a half points man we can be down two touchdowns and that backdoor is going to be swinging wide freaking open give me the Tennessee Titans plus the points and the over in this football game Titans have been able to hang around football games a lot over the past three months with Ryan Tannill as the quarterback in Baltimore even though they are the heavy underdog they're in a good spot as long as they can just be in the game as Gabe has said the backdoor is wide open I'll tell you what the Tennessee Titans have been road warriors guys 4-0 straight up and against the spread their last four road tilts absolutely the points are going to be scored the Mark Jackson camping staff neither can Derek Henry get the over in on this one let's move over to Sunday game in the next game up it's the Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans Bill O'Brien gets another opportunity to screw you as you're taking the Chiefs it's unbelievable Bill O'Brien like how this guy has survived this long think back guys the Houston Texans last year were like 0-3 0-3, 0-4 I think they were 0-3 and they were about to be 0-4 and he was literally going to get fired but Frank Wright got all crazy late in the football game gave the win to the Houston Texans and then he survived and then Bill O'Brien was called out by the owner of the team for basically underachieving for all the talent that they have and then the owner died and Bill O'Brien survived and then last week the Buffalo Bills are embarrassing the Houston Texans and social media and Twitter and the beat writers that cover the Houston Texans are like how much longer can this go on with Bill O'Brien as he get a lifetime pass and what happens he survives but you know he survives the parties over every ride comes to an end and I think this is where it comes to an end for the Houston Texans this is another tough football game that I contemplated a lot throughout the week and only because I had that much respect for Deshaun Watson I'm a big Deshaun Watson fan I think he's a good kid I think he's a great quarterback I'm a big DHOP fan I think they've got very good football players but if I see JJ Watt, TJ Watt and the light bulb you know more than once I'm gonna freaking snap last week the Titans were America's team because everybody hates the Patriots this week let's just be real Kansas City is America's team because nobody needs to I get it, JJ Watt plays for the Houston Texans and has a brother that plays in a national football league alright but with all that being stated Andy Reed is 18 and 3 off of a buy there's a lot of talk about Andy Reed and his postseason failures in the past the fact of the matter is he's 4-1 in the divisional rounds his disappointments and heartbreak have come at the conference championship level and at the Super Bowl level as well Kansas City is really starting to dial it up a notch guys and my homes they're a little shaky earlier in the year my homes gets hurt, comes back everything's starting to fall into place right now the defense is playing well the offense can do whatever they want I think this is a tough spot for Houston to be able to keep up listen we saw the Buffalo Bills had the Houston Texans on the ropes I think the difference is Kansas City will be able to deliver the knockout punch now last week all the games went under the number I think there's going to be points scored this week and a lot of smart people like the under in this football game but it's just too low for me I think these teams will play to their averages I think the Kansas City Chiefs will get into the 30s and Houston's going to do their thing they're going to score 21, 24 or so so I think the game does get into the mid 50s so I don't have a problem with the over but we're going to lay the points with the Kansas City Chiefs and we're going to have all kinds of money line parlays, teasers and everything else in between but I figured I'd give you my opinions on the games and the sides here so we're going to lay the points with the Kansas City Chiefs we should know the Houston Texans have never been past the stage of the playoffs before they've never even made it to a conference championship game they're 0-3 in divisional games make it 0-4 Kansas City Baltimore seem to be on a collision course don't they and it's going to be a wicked matchup if we get there I'm going to lay the points with the Kansas City Chiefs call me Captain Chalk this week maybe Captain Chalk but it does feel inevitable that all year long the best two teams in the NFL have been the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens I want to see it get it on the Chiefs because Bill O'Brien the Houston Texans as Gabe mentioned they've never been there they won't get there this weekend one final game on Sunday game but I think in my opinion this is the toughest call and obviously it's the smallest spread so that's why everyone thinks it's going to be the closest game it's the Packers and the Seattle Seahawks Seahawks on the road once again Russell Wilson taking on Aaron Rodgers a lot of people have doubted Green Bay all season long not you you're taking Green Bay this week you know what I haven't doubted the Green Bay Packers I've liked this Green Bay Packer team this year and it's funny people think because Aaron Rodgers didn't throw for 380 yards and they didn't put up massive numbers that somehow you know this isn't a good Packers team no do you know what they are they are a team and their strongest strength in a football team is the defense and I don't know about you but I think you're in a pretty good spot when Aaron Rodgers isn't even like the best thing about your football team you know they still have Devonte Adams I'll tell you what Aaron Jones starting to you know really put it together right now I'm a big fan of this kid and how he's running a football right now listen you guys know man I love the Seattle Seahawks I'm not a Seahawk fan but I'm a big Russell Wilson fan I think after Tom Brady's the best quarterback in the National Football League but Russell Wilson has won at Lambeau the same amount of times that the new coach of the New York Giants Joe Judge has smiled in his life never never because if you smile you're soft and Russell Wilson as good as he is can only do so much let's be real I like the Seahawks last week but I was on I was all over Seattle that was against Philadelphia Philadelphia secondary they've got massive issues there's no secret there and really they really couldn't pull away that was a real challenge for them Carson Wentz knocked out of the football game you got a 72 year old quarterback in McCown running the offense he nearly tied that game they nearly came back I you know what listen I like Marshawn Lynch I think he's a fun guy but he has zero impact to this and the announcers can chuck it up all they want and joke about how Marshawn is and Marshawn that trust me the Green Bay Packers aren't losing sleep over Marshawn Lynch it's too bad because Seattle's a dangerous football team but losing all their running backs really was a backbreaker they're so dependent on them they want to run the ball so much Seattle's play calling is shaky as well I just can't trust the Seattle Seahawks here and as great as Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll are guys they actually haven't been out of the division around since they blew the Super Bowl to the New England Patriots in a 2014 slash 15 season but it's tough to win consecutive games in the playoffs it's tough to go on the road and win and that's why we talk about Wildcar team hasn't gotten to the Super Bowl since 2012 home field matters at this time of the year this is going to be a weird game and don't you get the feeling that this is the game that's going to be some like really weird call think about the history of these two guys alright they play all the time they've literally played like six times in the last five years or so and for the record Green Bay seem to own these guys but think about going back through the years guys hassle back we're going to get the ball we're going to score we're going to win think about that the replacement referee game by the night football it was these two teams something weird always happens speaking of the replacement refs can we bring them back because they're better than the Stooges that are calling these games right now alright but nevertheless this isn't an editorial I don't like playing points guys you know I'm an underdog better but you got to think about the motivation of what the book is doing what was why the odd makers why are they giving you four and a half points right now they're basically begging you to take the Seattle Seahawks because they know the Green Bay Packers are advancing to the NFC Conference championship game give me the Green Bay Packers minus the points the Green Bay Packers minus the points even as much as Gabe loves Russell Wilson tough spot for the Seahawks to be and you know it's going to be a quirky game let's see what happens on Sunday for Gabe Morenze I am Greg Sussman thanks so much for watching the fan to hurry up enjoy the games this weekend good luck we'll see you back here next week