 What's up everyone it is travelers week travelers championship up in Connecticut Or I guess possibly down in Connecticut if you're Above Connecticut or maybe in Connecticut if you're in Connecticut either way, I'm in Pennsylvania so it's up in Connecticut for me, but What matters more is that we've got a pretty good field especially at the high end with Bryson the shambo Who made a pretty good surge at the U.S. Open just couldn't get it done back to back and then really fell off at that 44 on the back nine Dustin Johnson was kind of lingering a little bit at the U.S. Open Brooks Kepka same for him But you know these three guys well, you know From a fandal standpoint through the highest salary golfers in the field But Kepka actually fell down to fifth behind Patrick Cantland Paul Casey But I mean that's a pretty good top five and then we also have Patrick Reed Scottie Schaeffler Who's in really good form Brian Harman seems to be getting a lot of love? Abraham answer. I think getting a lot of love. I know I love him this week But I mean we got ourselves a pretty good field and it's like that Tony Fiennows 30 to 1 on Fandall sportsbook now. Does Tony Fiennows fit what we need at TPC River Highlands? Let's find out this is the Fandall PGA Q&A of course So that means it helps me if I get some questions From you all on YouTube Facebook Twitter, Twitch, whatever you prefer for this week, but you know, I'm gonna be talking everything For this week the field the betting odds on Fandall sportsbook the daily fantasy slate on Fandall I have wind simulations that'll go over my spreadsheet. So this is You know a good time for you to ask your questions specifically head-to-heads work Well, I have a little finder I didn't compare guys head-to-head. So Let's dive in to the Course for this week's Travelers championship at TPC River Highlands I like to start as always on data golf and look at this tool here What drives variation score? Simply because I like to see how golfers separate and what stats matter Not necessarily from like a course fit standpoint, but just what's actually affecting the way that golfers separate their scores in a given week T to green always You know every single week we see strokes gained approach be number one We have that on average at TPC River Highlands for The travelers but last year it fell down to twenty nine point five percent Which I think is about as low as I've ever seen it and that's kind of you know on par with what we've seen Historically and we've seen strokes in off the tee matter a ton explaining how golfers separate now on Average We're still looking at about eighteen percent for the event average 18.2 percent for strokes gained off the tee which is substantially higher than we get on the tour average So strokes gained off the tee is kind of how it explains how golfers separate a little bit more than iron play and putting short game about the same you know Relative to what we see historically, you know sort of week-to-week on the tour average But another thing I like to do while I'm on this page is just look back Refresh my memory for what kind of scores it takes to win At a particular course and we see Dustin Johnson 19 under with a bunch of you know double-digit under par performances 2019 she has ravey 17 under one by four show four shots over Keegan Bradley Who is 13 under bubble Watson 17 under? Jordan speeds 12 under in that playoff with Daniel burger I think speed hold out from a bunker if I'm not mistaken on that one before 100 but we're kind of looking at you know, not US open level difficulty for this week at TPC River Highlands gonna play a little bit easier and so the lower the score goes Typically for me that means more golfers are actually in the mix and it might be a little a little counter-intuitive, but Kind of the way that I can think about it is I say this a lot So forgive me if you've heard it before but you know if you have a par four That is hard to get a birdie on and only the longest best golfers can kind of birdie that That is an advantage to be super long to be really good I'd be able to birdie that tough par four if a par four is playing easy and many golfers can birdie that those longest hitters kind of They will lose some of that advantage because they're not going to be able just to eagle par fours because they're longer and you know Statistically better than the field. So that's kind of one thing. I like to look at whenever we have scores the typically do go lower in Kind of it's not the same thing But another reason to kind of expect a little bit more variance this week is this number here The importance of driving accuracy driving accuracy Statistically more important than it is on the tour average course according to data golf course fit tool and distance still matters a little bit less so than your average tour stop, but Whenever you have driving distance not be a Pre-requisite and having driving accuracy matter a bit more That means that the shorter hitters who hit fairways are still going to be able to contend So we have you know that that variable of scores being a little bit lower And so it's going to be harder naturally for the best golfers to separate Whereas you look at the US Open Leaderboard for the most part last week. Yeah, there were some names We didn't really expect there But in this you know in the same breath we saw a lot of the best golfers Separate over four rounds from the field for the most part So, you know, I think there's gonna be a lot of variance this week and another thing that speaks to that is just Looking at who data golf gives the best boost to to their expected baseline based on the course setup Shez Rivi number one. He's expected to be 0.34 strokes above his baseline at this course because of how it sets up Because it rewards his his accuracy because it doesn't really penalize him for not being necessarily Long for this week Brendan Todd Ryan Moore So these shorter hitters kind of get the bump up Abraham answer Someone I like a lot this week and then if you score down to the bottom Who's getting sort of penalized the most or who's losing their advantage? The most Wyndham Clark who's super long off the tee Bryson DeShambo, that's a big name the favorite right now He's not going to be able to gain as many strokes off the tee necessarily Because of his distance as he normally does based on what all the data is telling us So you kind of have to bump Bryson down a little bit now Even if you bump Bryson down He's still one of the best golfers in the field So I'm not saying completely avoid him what I'm saying is His gap his talent level gap the distance gap could be a bit mitigated this week And so I think we're looking at a higher variance week than we would Add something that plays closer to you know five or ten under par even For looking at scores that go You know closer to 20 under for the week So that's something that I'm looking for and just another thing that kind of leads me to believe There's going to be some High-ish variance is the average green size here being small at 5,000 square feet Roughly the average on tourist 6,000 square feet So we're going to get You know we got smaller greens Shorter hitters are in play longer hitters don't get as much of an advantage Scores are going to go a little bit lower. So I think from that whole perspective and I actually bear that in my wind simulations We don't have necessarily The studs the big hitters being as favored as they would be at a different setup Again, if you guys have any questions to hit up the youtube facebook twitter or twitch chat I do have a question from Aaron on facebook Harman Guido for telly. Do I like any of them this week? I can pull them up Actually Guido was a late entry so he's not on my spreadsheet. So I'll use data golf's adjusted numbers here And for telly for telly is pretty long But we have these three here over the past six months. I think that's a pretty solid sample to look at enough shot link rounds 29 for for telly 42 uh for for guido and 40 for brian harman harman's getting a lot of buzz this week But he is statistically the best of those three from a What is data golf's True strokes game metric. Uh, so that's their field adjusted strokes game metric And harman easily number one out of those three. I'm okay with brian harman I'm not necessarily prioritizing him, but I see the case for it. Uh, especially at a course where Um, it doesn't necessarily have to be super long. This is the one worrisome spot for all of these golfers though Is that that iron play? Uh, their approach numbers being a little bit close to field average Um, overall so, uh, none of these golfers are golfers. I specifically like but They're all positive t-degree and even even slightly Uh, pretty much aside from for telly's putting You know close to or above baseline. So these you know, I say I kind of say this a lot I want to talk to gymson is on the heat check There's certain golfers who I'm not necessarily in on but I'm not going to talk you out of None of these three golfers are golfers. I would talk anybody out of for this week Based on their recent stats Uh, another question, uh from bchaps outside of the dj brooks brison top odds Who do I feel has a great chance at a top 10 finish? For me, it's going to be patrick cantlay. I'll switch over to my spreadsheet now Cantlay's actually Rating out for me as the second most likely golfer to win this week behind dustin johnson I am at 4.6 percent, which again is pretty low, but I talked about the variance for this week But cantlay very very good. I have him in my field adjusted strokes gained data Which is adjusted for field strength, but also recency So dj starting to get more and more dinged with you know, the Not necessarily as good data, but he's still very good over the past year And so he's still the number one golfer in my database. Uh, all things considered but Cantlay and brison rating out Uh about the same but cantlay is not going to get as Negatively affected by the course setup. We've seen cantlay fair really well. So cantlay's Might might actually be us at salary. My favorite fandal play for the week. I love him for an outright So he's the one out of those Uh top three if you want something a little bit deeper, it's probably going to be uh Abraham answer if i'm if i'm talking like a safer top 10 Abraham answer because not long off the tee, but does everything else. Uh, well At 28 to 1 to win on fandal sports book pretty solid win-offs at 3.7 percent Uh, and you see no red flags in here. So it doesn't rank in the 25th percentile or Worse in any of the key stats that i'm sort of looking at the one problem for answer You know most situations is just distance, but that's not a We've seen answer, uh, 8th and 11th here the past two years to answer Actually, one of my favorite picks the win in someone who I have every intention on you know betting By the time we get to thursday to win outright. So, uh, hopefully you're Talking about some of those guys toward the top, but not necessarily the top three. So I'd say can't lay an answer uh kind of the guys who i'm looking at and also i'm not going to fade uh brison brooks and dj like On purpose, but i'm probably going to build around can't lay Abraham answer Uh possibly scottie cheffler patrick reid i'm looking for ways to differentiate whenever there's going to be some some volatility. So while I Easily see the case for those top three I don't feel like there must this week, especially with that second tier being What it is another question from youtube from jason uh ian polter. Um, haven't looked too much at ian polter Let's pull him up 85 to 1 to win on fanto sportsbook 9200 on fanto. That's pretty good salary for him We see positive numbers uh in my field of justice strokes gained data over the past year Uh the t degree pretty good overall, but a lot of that is from around the green Which is not really what you want to see. It's not a key stat for me Uh this week polter is you know Not necessarily the the best birdie maker, but rates out well enough in the 73rd percentile relative to this field um, and you know, this is just one of those situations where he's not going to be as Uh negatively impacted from the distance Uh as he would be at most courses. I'll actually pull up Uh that course fit tool because I would I don't actually know what polter is on here But probably close to the top So a a plus 0.08. Um, you know, he's going to gain from accuracy You know being Being accurate at this course is going to benefit him kind of gains from not necessarily needing the distance The short game, uh, kind of rates out a little bit kind of zeros him out a little bit But uh polter at 90 200 Not someone I was prioritizing because there are some other names in that 9 000 range I like but Honestly, I don't see enough aside from that, you know The the one I think the one thing that always kind of keeps me a out of looking at Ian polter more um Is just the approach number not being particularly good for You know the one of the most important stats uh week to week So that's kind of where I am with polter most weeks. Um, I'll actually pull him up a little bit closer to Uh and see what we got here From okay, so we see negative approach for him in 2021. What's he been doing lately with the approach? Mostly red, which is not what you want to see according to data golf's true stroke scan numbers. Um, that's a free free tool By the way, they're they're query tool. Uh, super super helpful. Um overall, so Uh, I think Ian polter You know again, one of those guys one of those guys I would not talk anyone out of but I'm not necessarily there myself Uh, but I see the case for polter with that really good short game And with the fact that he doesn't need to be uh long off the tee Another question from bchaps cheffler and reed are high on my list. So I appreciate Background on answer. Yeah, I mean I can pull up cheffler. I talked about him a little bit more in detail on the The heat check this morning with jim sonnis when we break down the field looks most uh, specifically from a dfs perspective Let me see if I can get my camera back on Yeah, I don't know what happened there. Um but Scotty cheffler in in really good form overall And I think one of the kind of sneakier plays if if he does get actually Pull up his ranks here as well Fourth in data golf's true stroke scan over the past Six months ninth tee to green The putting the short game is getting better for cheffler and we've seen just good finishes from him um In tough fields seventh at the u.s. Open Third at memorial did miss the cut at the trawler schwa but putted pretty poorly So you can kind of forgive him uh from that angle And then eighth at the pga We know what cheffler does whenever he's on and it's have some of the best tee degree numbers on the pga tour so like Yeah, you know, it feels a little strange to be down on bryson dj brooks a little bit, but like You can Build a really good lineup without those guys. I think that's going to be a very easy way to differentiate So i'm kind of all over the place. I I do have patrick cantley as my number one bryson Still probably my number two. I have fewer concerns With bryson than I do with dustin johnson, but you know, it's a like it's not A super deep field, but that's second tier wherever you want to kind of put that like Maybe after brooks, you know, according to the odds like reed cheffler harman answer finau like Those you can build and i like kevin strelman too so like you can build really good lineups by cutting off that top end and You'll have a lot of options Overall another question from youtube from jason gear keigo so I was in on I thought it was hego, but I think it's it's hego. I try to get pronunciations right, but um, haven't seen enough Uh consensus there um He go though, this is something that I've talked about in recent Weeks with with him and I kind of fell into that trap, but He's a really good putter and if you watch him putt, he looks so good and it looks like he's going to make everything Um, and that inspires a lot of confidence, but he's also long off the tee drove it over 310 yards on average, uh on the uh european tour But didn't get it done at the us open So you can see here gain strokes off the tee Uh lost strokes putting of course, you know great putter goes in and plus really really poorly So, you know this again adjusts for field strength. Um, and we've seen So gained about a stroke per round once adjusted off the tee was about neutral with the approach Um and just really poor short game So that's pretty forgivable honestly for for a golfer who you know with these wins and the european tour is More equivalent to the cornfury tour than I think a lot of people realize and and myself too until I started looking At the data, but you know, there's two recent wins and one short a weak field at congari, but um, there's a lot to like, uh with hego And you can forgive a missed cut at the us open With just poor short game you want to see you don't want to see the inverse you want to see the the good ball striking um You know you you want to see good ball striking and poor short game in a missed cut as opposed to Terrible ball striking, but you know some some solid short game. So I could see myself going back there. Uh, I haven't Uh necessarily prioritized him, but it's 70 to one It could be kind of like that honeymoon phase a little bit over So I'd probably be a little bit more I'm kind of bet him for an outright or a top 10 than I would uh for For a whole fandal lineup because if Start down, um, if he's really if he's if what we see the long sample is that he's actually really reliant on his putter Um, kind of like a jordan spieth with when the ball striking wasn't there or I was going to say ricky fowler, but his putting's not really there either right now But fowlers is kind of kind of interesting again But um, I think I kind of get like a yellow to green light on hego as opposed to a red light Even after that missed cut Another question from beach apps. How about charlie hoffman really like charlie hoffman. Um, I'll pull I'll pull him up on My spreadsheet the reason for like guido And in he go that I use the data golf stuff is there they have larger samples Um, just not on the pga tour. Um, charlie hoffman so much green Uh, which is what you want to see in in these, you know key stats and again these do adjust for field strength So it's not like uh, he's kind of You know cheating his way to some good stats good salary of 10,300 pretty solid win odds of 4400 uh for hoffman Some of the best ball striking that we'll get in this field Uh 98th percentile an adjusted approach Uh 85th percentile adjusted off the tee the around the green play is not great the the fairways gained not great but those are stats that They're not going to come into a play necessarily Uh, especially around the green if you are relying on your around the green play and something that resembles a birdie fest You're probably probably not That much of a factor anyway So you can kind of forgive that you're you would be playing charlie hoffman for The elite birdie rates, uh, the bet the great ball striking the distance At least the neutral bank grass potting, uh Greens this week are bank grassy and pillow, but i'm just looking mostly at bank grass splits this week, but charlie hoffman Like him and also just another reason honestly to feel pretty solid Not chasing bryson coming off of like that Bad back nine at a course that his distance might not help him with so much dj We don't really know it's going on with him anytime brooks is in a non major I don't have that much interest so kind of another reason to say I don't need the studs and I don't need the the low end values you can build You know a great lineup have all six of your golfers Have a realistic shot to hit You know that win you need you need to win if you want to have a big score on fan duel Uh, and as soon as you start digging into the like the low seven thousands or even upper seven thousands Just so that you can get to bryson you better hope bryson wins, uh, and you better hope that Those value guys make the cut if you go to a little bit more balanced in a field like this That has a really strong second third fourth tier Then you have the fall off Then you get six out of six shots, uh with your lineup to hit, uh the winner kevin strewellman or keegan bradley question from dj on Facebook, um, I like strewellman a lot I'll pull them up on the finder Show them side by side here um Yeah, so virtually the same salary, uh on fandal Very different win odds on fandal sportsbook, uh, which generally is enough to tell you that there's some some bit of a discrepancy there, but um my win simulation sees strewellman as a full percentage point higher, which is pretty significant To win i'm much more likely, uh to top 10 as well, which kind of goes hand in hand there But um the the better golfer over the past year In adjusted stroke skeined average across all tours, um You know keegan leads t to green But we know that keegan is never going to lead many people in putting which is the case So, uh, you make kevin strewellman look like a good putter We're probably not a great putter So for me, it's going to be strewellman just from the the safety standpoint But I think strewellman's upside probably just as high as keegan's So it's going to be it's going to be strewellman, uh for me question from jason Jim i'm sure jim will be talking about my a's Uh in just the second But yeah, strewellman is one of my favorite plays for this week So i'm going to jump over very very quickly simulations just show The most likely Winners according to my sims. It's going to be dj number one. I'm probably not going to bet dj though Even at those odds, um, he's not that bad of a value. Um, I like patrick cantley, but not necessarily 15 to 1 he was 17 to 1 Earlier this week. I'm probably more inclined to start my betting card this week with abraham answer I'll take a look at tony fino. I guess at those odds. Um Harris english flushing it again Um cam smith brussel henley makes some sense here brendan taut is a long shot cam tringale is a long shot I mean when you have brison You know completely overvalued according to my model, uh from a sportsbook standpoint, you're going to see a lot of value arise um For me i'm i'm looking at cantley Uh probably patrick reed at this point Uh an abraham answer at the top uh for me from a betting standpoint, uh for this week Um, all right, i'm gonna bring on jim jim sonnis. Uh, we already got some Questions about oakland, uh, I usually have takes on the a's but Not today. Why not? I don't I don't know who they're playing but what I do know is that i'm gonna play my a's We have like a company contest tonight You've not done any research yet at all like So like i've got software competitions. What you're saying I've been looking at some golf stuff Trying to prep, uh got a lot of questions today So i'm glad I did you know did some extra prep but how would you prepare for your work? Like what why would you prepare for work as opposed to studying for something that's not essential to your job at all Because I want to have some good answers and I you know, that's that's important to me You want to have a good answer, but that was a terrible answer. So get out of here. You're no longer welcome on this chat Thank you for your service. Get out of here. No, you're no longer allowed. Bye brandon. Good luck this week. Have fun You too All right, so that was brandon gadoula with the pga q&a for today I am jim sanis here to talk about a pretty fun baseball slate We do have a lot of good pitchers available for tonight over on fan duel because look at these names on this sheet zack wheeler max scherzer Limited capacity for today for max scherzer. Garrett kohl is pitching. We've got I think tariff school is pretty good We've got charlie borden marcus stroman Sandiel contra is awesome. Uh, as a from a pitching perspective Zach gallin clayton kershaw blake snel a lot of good names I think I skipped lucas geolito. What an idiot. Anyway, a lot of good names for today on the pitching side But our first question was via jason over on youtube asking about oakland and oakland Is facing what I would assume will effectively be kind of a bullpen gay We're bullpen game for the rangers for today. Taylor hern is starting He is not fully stretched out. He has gone. Um I think 34 pitches over his past two outings So I would assume he'll be somewhere around 50 to 60 pitches for today After which they'll give way to the bullpen. We talked about bullpens yesterday and the rangers are a bullpen We can exploit so although it's not like a regular situation I do think that we can stack the a's for today the a's my third ranked stack for today jason So we're in on them for sure no lineup yet. I don't believe for the a's But we'll talk about them if it does come in before the end of the show for today Let's talk to kyle over on youtube. I need a one-off at second base $2,600 or lower Who you got? Okay, so let's go over here to second base. So we need $2,600 or lower for here I've got a I've got an offer apparently. I don't want to click that off. Anyway $2,600 or lower at second base. Okay, uh, no no Who are the yankees facing? Um brady singer gets a lot of ground balls Don't really want to go at torres in that spot Harrison's facing wheeler Rojas facing freddy peralta peralta can't let us some impactful contact But I'd really rather not go there because peralta very good pitcher freddy galvis is facing. I believe it's cranky Okay, I could potentially consider that galvis has had a good year overall so far Granky is one of the guys who's spinnered as a client a pretty decent amount over the past couple of starts So, uh, that's at least in my mind is being something that's worth noting for today Uh charlie morten's pretty good for atlanta. So not looking at any metz guys for today Uh, ander heaney. Uh, I guess we could potentially consider jet lowery. Lowery is not Generally someone I regard as having a lot of upside Let's check out his splits here versus lefty just lefty to see if that does change at all When they're when he's batting as a righty as opposed to batting as a lefty lowery Oh, oh 97 iso He will get to bat as a righty, but he's also not like a super high upside guy from that side of the plate so That's not super enticing so far. It's probably galvis. I guess at the uh top of the order for me Uh, as far as the second baseman Um, tony chem's the lefty. I I guess, you know, it depends on who winds up being the The second guy out of there after herne Uh, lowery lowery lowery garcia not a big power guy either So I want to stack the the white socks, but don't really want to go there Let's check out illy white uh against a lefty For the rangers. I think the rangers are are kind of interesting for one offs Andy eboni is potentially if you want to get there We've got a dolus garcia as well, but let's check out illy white against the lefty just 41 plate appearances. Oh 28 iso That ain't great. So It's not ideal. I would say among the lower salaried second baseman if you're going down here You're probably not going to get a guy who has a whole lot of power Let's see. Oh, actually, maybe let's check out. Andy eboni is why not? Let's just uh dig into this here because maybe you can be our little uh a little savior here as we scramble to try to find some value bonny as free-run dinger uh in Last night's game or was last night. Yeah last night 295 iso a triple a yeah, okay So I would say Andy eboni is going to be your guy to go to if you're looking for a value second baseman kyle Give me eboni is for that one. I actually think like he's a decent one off So let's go Andy eboni is Let's talk to alvin best bats a target in the white socks lineup I am annoyed alvin because there's no yes money grind all for today They're batting zack collins who is a lefty against the lefty. They could add collins play some other day instead He's playing today. I'm annoyed. So that's one last guy for us to target here for the white socks and honestly like I feel like it's really only Anderson moncada Abray you and vaughn who you can really feel good about now. I will note that brian goodwin I was looking at his splits earlier if you look at him from 2019 through 2021 versus lefties. I believe it's around 120 something or so plate appearances His iso in that time. It's actually over 200. So Goodwin can occasionally have some pop. Let's show this here in the splits tool on fangrass We'll click versus lefties and we're gonna go With 2019 through 2021 to get an appropriately sized sample. We'll group this by career See it all at once so 155 plate appearances His iso is 204 as you can see here. It's not the best overall numbers and he does strike out a lot But I don't think it's a terrible profile. So ideally to me We're going to be Not getting to Goodwin for today because you know, it's tough but It's not it's not an ideal world. You know, we're living in a world where I do want to get to zack wheeler And he is 11,000 for the dollars. That's not super easy to get to so I do need to save some salary at some point. So I'm going to put a braille you in there. I definitely want him I definitely want Anderson and I definitely want vaughn. I would say those are the top three guys here by a significant significant margin And then it drops off after that. So put vaughn in the outfield here that gives us 2980 left I think that your options are moncada who is $2,800 at third base or You could go goodwin I think that moncada works really well if you want to go with the cubs like you want to get chris bryant You want to get some of the higher salary guys in there? I think that goodwin could work so I'm not actively seeking out goodwin, but i'm also not going to cross him off for today um, I think that that's that's where i'm at right now is If you need the salary savings, you can definitely justify goodwin moncada is not like great against lefties anyway So I think that honestly if I if I could play things anyway, I wanted alvin I might just say go with these three guys Anderson Abray you and vaughn and roll that way But we'll see We'll see how things shake out if I can find the sour in the cubs or find some salary on another stack Then i'll feel okay Just going with these three guys, but if I need value I think that moncada and goodwin are at least viable options for today and the white socks Diffuse hearing reports of jordan liles being the bulk reliever for tonight that has to give the a's a boost um Not really because I think that I was kind of viewing it as being a good spot anyway liles get some ground balls At least he has recently I think it's fly ball right against about 31 percent. I initially thought it would be liles for today So I was preparing as if you would go I was I heard the red the reasoning for liles not starting for today Was to give him additional rest And that doesn't necessarily track with having them be the bulk reliever. So I would say the a's are fine No matter what I think that they are a decent option Um, I wouldn't care too much about liles like the other middle relievers there are not great either So to me even if it's like somehow confirmed before the game it is liles I would keep the a's neutral. They're a good stack no matter what basically Alvin are you also on the rays or the mariners mariners for one offs? Yes, they're facing uh, kyle freeland freelands really struggling since he came back He's also been a guy who's seen some decreased movement Sample I have on uh, freeland is his path three starts with that decreased movement a lot of hard contacts No strikeouts. So the mariners righties work They don't have a ton of righties who are like good So that's what i'm going to limit it to just one offs, but I do think the one offs there are pretty enticing The rays are facing Do-do-do. Oh edward rodriguez. No, I will not be getting there personally because Rodriguez is a good pitcher. He doesn't he's like really inefficient with his pitches So I can't get there for dfs. I thought about it He's 6500 and I actually gave it some thought because I was like, you know, he's getting strikeouts He's suppressing hard contact the rays love to strike out versus lefties, but He's super inefficient. Like if you look at his game logs, you'll see that He actually has a decent pitch count But he never goes deep in the game because like each like from a pitches per plate appearance perspective I don't have that like number in front of me, but like He just he just seems really inefficient like five four four and two thirds five and two third or five and a third four and two thirds four Like really rough and that's despite the fact that he's gone over a hundred pitches twice in the past five games so I can't get to rodriguez as a pitcher, but I also don't want to use batters against him because he is pretty good Despite the fact that he's inefficient. Like I think he's a good pitcher his era. Oh 6.21 So that's rough, but like the peripherals for rodriguez pretty good. So no raise for me for today Uh, let's see here. Mateo, what do you know about uh, garcia on houston? He is batting second. Okay, so let's pull up the Houston order here a robel garcia batting seconds against uh, Jorge Lopez Which means that our guide chasm a cormac bump down to seventh Dis up point ding and also means no carlos career. So overall it's going to be a downgrade for the stack Um for the astro stack. Let's check out garcia here in the player pool And he is $2,000 so the bare minimum let's go through the process here deciding how to view him for today robel garcia He's a switch hitter 28 years old So limited samples so far this year a lot of strikeouts both in triple a and the majors and East you hit the ball pretty hard, but in a very very small sample in triple a Back in 2019 in triple a a lot of power. So 304 iso So probably going to be a guy who has some pop as you can see here the projection systems I tend to lean mostly on zips, but the bat also very good Zips hasn't projected for a 195 ice this year, but a lot of strikeouts So we can go over here and check out uh, Jorge Lopez 23 strikeout rate this year. Let's check out what his numbers are specifically versus lefties I believe he might be kind of a funky guy from a splits perspective Because the pitch mix he uses so I do want to check this out here before saying To bump up garcia because so bat switch hitter here Uh, Lopez versus lefties 23 strikeout rates a little bit higher there Does allow uh more hard contact and more fly balls, but also gets more ground balls So I would say robel garcia is an option another guy you could consider as being a lower salary play for today, but I don't know. I think like it's not like a situation where I need to get there I think that he's probably going to be pretty popular for today if I had to guess But a lot of strikeouts this means he's pretty volatile every hitter is volatile. So keep that in mind, but I think that he's like an option if you're stacking the astros I think I would get there and I would say if you're stacking the astros It might be enticing to potentially pivot to either toro or mccormick as being your lower salary play They're batting lower in the order. They I don't believe has have strikeout rates as high as garcia does And potentially they could be the guys who go off here for today. So let's check out the numbers for toro here Versus righties only 21 plate appearances We'll check out a larger sample on him Chas mccormick versus righties 262 iso. He's great. So he does strike out a bit But like he hits the ball for power even against righties abraham toro We're going to pull up the numbers for him over a larger sample versus righties. Okay, so we're up to 155 plate appearances across his career 19% strikeout rates 167 iso 30% fly ball rate a couple too many ground balls So I would say like if you're looking at this astro stack and trying to identify some value plays you can go to I actually don't mind pivoting to mccormick lower in the order I know he's lower in the order and we do want to get uh maximized plate appearances and stuff But like I like the cormick's profile best and he'll probably be the less popular one Because he's batting lower in the order. So I would say If I'm picking I pick mccormick over garcia for today Just from a perspective of I think garcia will likely be pretty popular and mccormick might slide under the radar because he's batting lower in the order Jason who is the rookie that's coming up. I believe he's uh, his name is wander. Yeah wander franco Okay, so let's see. He might not actually be in the player pool because sometimes that does happen when a guy makes a debut Okay, he's in there batting seconds Uh against against at water road regas. Okay wander franco. I don't need to look him up. He's great So let's look at at water road regas. Look at his numbers versus righties specifically this year Let's actually check out wander franco just to Show you his numbers in triple a so far. He's a switch hitter So he'll be batting righty for today to clarify that But in triple a seven dingers five stolen bases two 72 iso So obviously we like that at water road regas. Let's check out him versus righties And see what he's been doing there. Okay, so versus righties strikeout rate is 27 percent The woeba is 360. So that's pretty high 498 sluggy percentage, but not a lot of hard contact not a ton of fly balls. So I think that franco is in play $2,500 at shortstop you're gonna take that especially for a guy as good as him. I would say he's an option for sure jason Um, just because i'm a little bit lower on the raise and I think that road regas probably do for some positive regression I would say or some progression. I guess we could say uh more accurately there. I would be okay Not prioritizing him, but if you have 2,500 at shortstop, you're probably not going to get a better option than wander franco for today um Aaron chicago seems pretty cool from a home run perspective Are you talking about like from a weather perspective or isn't like a form perspective? Because from a weather perspective, there aren't any warm games in the slates I thought this morning that they would close the roof in texas and they are doing that So there aren't any warm weather games for today For hitting dingers. So if you're looking for like a a great hitting spot for today You're not going to find it on this slate mike Which cubs, uh, do you like aside from wisdom if he plays? Yeah, we'll see if he plays I'm not sure. I just want to mention this morning that I thought that he was good if he does Uh work his way in there. Let's refresh and see the line if it's out. It is not. Okay So let's go over here and check out the cubs numbers versus righties I know wilson contraris is a lower salary for today But I believe last time I checked that his numbers versus righties have been pretty disappointing so far um So might not be super intrigued by the value there 131 iso that could be worse 29 fly ball right. That's not terrible. So honestly like contraris Definitely is an option Rizzo 218 iso versus righties jock peterson 263 So I would say we should feel okay Bumping up the lefties in this spot, you know, uh, peterson's 33 I think that uh that rizzo is 32 or somewhere in there. Ian happ is uh as a 161 iso He's been hitting around sixth or so. Uh, jason hayward 164 Not the best overall numbers, but they can't it for some power So I would say if you're looking for some value check out hayward check out hap but If you're okay splurging rizzo and peterson would be my top two rank guys followed by Probably chris bryant and then javier bias. I know that bias is the better iso versus righties this year But I just like that bryant gets more balls of play. So Rizzo peterson bryant bias and then hap followed by hayward among the values based on the project lineup for today wilson contraris I think works from a if you're trying to be different But I think that the contrarian mindset. It's a one thing that works in his favor for today Dave what do you think about scuba for detroit? I think he's actually pretty interesting I'm interested for sure. The reason I'm interested is because he's been good recently Uh, let's go over to the pitching tab He is 8700 dollars facing the cardinals He is one of the guys who has had a Spin rate decline of late But in that sample where the spin rate has gone down He faced the white sox twice in the royals and in one of the white sox games he had 11 strikeouts So I feel good pulling a larger sample here for scuba And we have his past eight starts going back to his old change up 34 strikeout rate in that time 3.25 skill interactive era That means he has upside so Dave. I am on board but strictly only for tournaments He does give up a lot of impactful contact still with a 51 hard hit rate 41 fly ball right that means dingers can be an issue and he's facing a team that can put the ball in the seats in the cardinals so He's very risky So you got to make sure your risk tolerance is high enough to get there but if you are okay with uh the With the with the risk that comes with him and selling out for some upside I think that scuba actually is a pretty enticing option in one I do like for today. So Dave only if you're okay at the risk personally I am so I will use him But I just want to make sure you are okay with risk as well Jason is there a must-start pitcher on fan duel? Um, there's no such thing as like a must-start I guess I don't want to phrase things that way because like there are no defendants in baseball A lot of weird stuff can happen But my favorite pitcher for today is Zach Wheeler He is the highest salary guy at 11 for but I think he's worth it overall This is over his past nine starts with more sinkers 2.61 skill interactive era 34 strikeout rates 5 walk rates great bad at bald numbers He's an absolute stud based on the nationals don't strike out a ton, but They also don't have a lot of power The only downside I see with Wheeler is that they've seen him twice already Since the start of may they did see him earlier this month as well So, um, I do think that that's one thing to consider. Maybe you go geolito instead But for me, I think it's wheeler all things considered as the top guy for today followed by geolito number two. I would go Uh, probably freddy peral to three Facing arizona given their struggles clayton kershaw four and then tarik scuba number five for me for today DJ, uh, you loved robo garcia as a cub. Okay, so dj Is in favor of robo garcia. So, uh, who was it was asking about that before? I believe it was matteo. Yeah, so matteo, uh, Robo garcia has dj's vote of confidence. So there you go Stocked a jerry over on facebook. How do you feel about? The yankees white socks and boston stacks yankees facing brady singer He gets a lot of ground balls So I'm not super keen on stacking the yankees for today as a result of that love the white socks I did downgrade them as and I see if a white socks had in your avatar. So that's good. Uh, so making jerry happy via the white socks um I'm gonna downgrade them a bit because of the lineup being weird with Lauri garcia betting sixth and having good one in there as opposed to yasmini grandal So slight downgrade, but do still like them. boston is facing ryan yarbro kind of the same thing as before with The reason I was not super high on the yankees is that he does suppress hard contact The um sample I have on ryan yarbro He'll be the bulk reliever for today for the the race. He's not starting, but he'll be the bulk reliever for today. Um He has uh seven outings with fewer cutters. He's allowed just a 30 hard hit rate So that puts me lower on boston So of those options jerry, I'd feel best about the white socks by a decently wide margin Alvin for single entry would you target the astras or fade them due to possible popularity? For a single entry, I'd be fully in on fading them I think that it kind of goes back to what we discussed before alvin. We're like um The way I was trying to phrase it was like I want to take out my top ranked options and like reading content throughout today looking at implied totals. It seems like the astros will be One of if not the most popular stack for tonight So if you're trying to be different you kind of want to gloss over the astros and it's a 14 game slates We got a lot of good options elsewhere. We can just easily cross them off stack or volatile We might not pick the right guys. So I would say cross off the astros I think one team that is interesting for single entry is the white socks because their Implied total is a bit lower. It's been creeping up as the day has gone along for good reason I would say again down reading them a bit as a result of the weird lineup But I am still interested here for sure And I think that they're a pretty good single entry stack for me for today a's and cubs work pretty well too so alvin, I would say Check out the a's cubs and uh the white socks and for single entry. I would be okay Glossing over the astros for today. Let's talk to dj cole ervin Zach granky kyle hindricks peralta or stroman for me That is freddie peralta by a significant margin peralta is another guy with a spin rate reduction recently But he's been very good despite that in that sample the sample I have here on peralta is his past five starts where he has been Upping his curveball usage kind of becoming like a three-pitch pitcher But in that time 31 strikeout rate Still letting up a lot of hard contact and walking some guys But the diamond back is not a big threat. The roof is closed for tonight in arizona as well So I would say Of that group dj peralta is number one for me by a significant margin dj is Leary garcía worth a look for tonight I don't want to get there personally I don't want to say no to anyone batting sixth in the stack that I like especially when they are A super low salary, but I would say avoid if you can Is the way that I'd phrase that and he's someone I would prefer not to have in my player pool I think that's like the the way that I'd phrase that he's not Going to get your power oh 66 iso versus lefties Let's pull up the profile here for garcía to expand it a bit and see what he has done If we look back to last year because you know with platoon splits we do We we want to see Larger sample stuff like that. So let's go here with the splits with garcía versus lefties and That was only a plate appearance So the last time you had an impactful sample was back in 2019 versus lefties 131 iso That's not really enough for me. So I would say try to avoid him if you can Because there's just not quite enough power for me to be super enticed there Diffuse I'm trying to four-fourth the white socks, but can't with g lead as my pitcher So I think it depends on what your second stack would be. Oh, I guess you can't yeah Because he literally can't because g lead is your pitcher. So yeah, uh diffuse. I would say actually The best way to navigate bad if you want to go g elito and stack the white socks is just go three white socks Go abray you go anderson and go vaughn and just skip over The moncada and goodwin guys and I would say I those are the three I feel best about anyway So if you if you want to use g elito, I would say go abray you anderson and vaughn And just use your one off as being away from the white sock stack Use your second stack as being a four player stack Jerry I like the yankees middle of the lineup three five six in the boston two four six With white socks just anderson abray you. What do you think? I love anderson and abray you So i'm on board at that part for sure uh yankees Again facing singer. So uh, not overall super intrigued there Two four six is judge Stanton and torrez torrez. It's a rough position. So I think you can make it the justification there I'll I can never say no to judge and stanton. So those ones work for sure Red Sox two four six against yarbrough verdugo Uh bogarts and renfro I'd be a bit wary of verdugo because his power goes down a lot against lefties I know kittridge is a righty Which means the first plate appearance for a dugo will be versus a righty But his second and third potentially fourth plate appearance will be against the lefty So I'd probably try to dump out of verdugo there and find someone else as being an outfielder That's the one guy there I'm not super high on just because uh yarbrough likely to be the bulk guy for the rays for today Diffuse so I guess with that being said are there any third baseman? $3,000 or less you like as one office is related to the white sox question talking about the situation we had geolito. So let's take out wheeler and put geolito in there to replicate this issue for diffuse and go to third base and talk about 3000 or I'm guessing diffuse you probably had boncada in there and had to pivot away from that Matt Chapman has been hitting for more power recently He had a little binge a couple weekends ago and it looks like that's kind of carried over So I would say Chapman at $3,000 He'll face her at least in his first plate appearance Potentially a second depending on how far her and can stretch I doubt I'm going to find anyone I like more than Chapman You could potentially go with wisdom if he plays for the cubs. I've not seen their lineup as of yet But mentioned before I do like him So I would say Chapman's a great one great one off unless your other stack is the a's which it might be and then wisdom if it is The a's so if he plays again, he might not play so make sure you check the lineup But either way I think Chapman's a good option for a one-off at third base at $3,000 or lower All right. Jerry's looking for some home run calls. Let's do this. Let's go over to hitters here and again no ideal Weather conditions for hitting home runs for tonight. We got to keep that in mind We're not going to find a great park for for dingers for days Let's try to find a pitcher who is potentially prone to the long ball not scoobled doesn't let up enough balls in play Morgan is definitely someone I would think would do so. So we're probably thinking about cubs I think we got some jock jams tonight jock peterson going deep At least once we'll say at least once jock jams back on the menu for tonight I would say Rizzo is probably in that discussion as well, but That's kind of boring to go with two cubs. So we'll go with jock jams number one and our second home run call for today Looking for a homer who might be a little bit dinger prone Who I don't uh, I think we'll get a lot of strikeouts Potentially could be a dolus garcia. He has not been as good recently as he had been previously Let's pull up the game logs here for a dolus garcia and see what that looks like So a couple home runs recently. I misspoke All right, so I would say the home run calls for today for jerry We're gonna go with a dolus garcia And we're gonna go with jock peterson jock jams the two home run calls for today Jason I always seem to stack the braves no matter who they're playing. I've done that a lot too jason It's kind of fun to stack them because they have a lot of power. So jason. I can't blame you I've been there too and it's actually worked out pretty well. So Keep on doing it. Whatever is working there dj. Would you start andrew heaney against the giants? Probably not they've got a lot of righties in there and heaney Has some pretty serious issues the numbers I have for heaney over his or over his path three starts the decreased spin rates Still getting strikeouts, but it's still letting up a lot of hard contact. The giant's pretty good So he need not someone on my radar For me personally jerry likes jock peterson too So if jerry's on it and I like it too, I feel like we just we maybe got a bump into two home runs for jock Is that like too much? I don't know. We'll see Jason you can tell which pitchers we're using sticky spin rate drop. Yeah, that's actually I thought I might get a question So I actually had garret coals baseball savante page hanging out up here Cole not super high my list for tonight the numbers I have on him are over his past five starts with decreased fastball movement 3.47 skill interactive erase who's still been good, but the strike area down to 26 percent. So I'm okay being lower on coal for tonight dj likes machado and tates for his home run calls Okay, so dj's got machado and tates jerry and I locked up on jock peterson and I'll go with the doula scarcia As my other one for today Vladdy going deep according to jason. Okay, so we got some good home run calls jerry likes tates as well I'm gonna stick with garcia. I think I think I might be on an island here But a doula scarcia going deep with jock peterson for today Jason likes vladdy and jocks. We're all aboard the jock peterson train He's probably not gonna play now. That's just the way things go. So, you know, we've jinx jock. It's done. Oh, well Um That is all the time that we have here for today on the fan dual fantasy q&a big Thank you to brandon gandulla for the lead in for today talking to pga dfs embedding Make sure you follow brandon on twitter at gandulla 13 gdu la 13 also check out our pga heat check dfs podcast If you want more dfs discussion, we broke down the travelers championship our favorite golfers in each salary tier And how are doing things for this week over on fan dual also a big Thank you to calvin fia bald our video producer for running the video side of things here today Thank you cal as always if you have additional questions for me. I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s Thank you everyone for tuning in for today. Let's all cheer on jock peterson together and let's go jock good timing cal That was perfect. We'll talk to you all once again tomorrow at 4 p.m This has been the fan dual fantasy q&a