 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Photo Count, and welcome back to the channel. Prices on the FIFA 23 market seem to be headed one way, and that is down. I wanna take a look at why people are losing a lot of coins and take a look at these player prices that are dropping and why it is happening. I think there's three reasons why the market is dropping off, as much as it is. It's kind of like a little equation. We're gonna break that down in today's video and talk through why in the world Usman Dembele is down like 10,000 coins. Why in the world Benzema is down from 60, almost 70,000 coins, and now he's like 58K. Two days later, a little bit less than that, even prices are going down, and there's a little bit of a reason why. So I wanna take a look at that, and of course, what could happen today on Sunday? We hopefully have three more mini-released rule-breakers cards dropping in packs today, and of course, a player SPC? That's kind of a question mark for me. What other content could we have? Of course, we have to talk about that hero SPC that I think is one of those three factors of why the market's dropping off so much. So we're gonna discuss that all today. If you're excited for it, hit the thumbs up. Subscribe if you're new. Let's take a look at these player prices that are dropping because it is not really pretty out here on the market. Guys like Usman Dembele going from 66,000 coins, now down to 55K. That was the story of most of the market yesterday, especially gold cards. Even your higher tier gold cards, like Kevin De Bruyne, 124,000 coins, he started yesterday at 137K, and has just been dropping off all day. Again, we talked about this in last night's video. If you stuck through and watched the whole video, you definitely heard a lot about this. I felt like this was coming because we hadn't had a drop off in the market in the last week or so, right? It was like a week and a half since the last drop off that we had. We were getting a lot of supply, and we really, the content's not been that great. And the new promo cards are super cheap, and that's some of that equation that I wanna break down and talk with you guys today is just how everything right now is a little bit stagnant on the game, and when the player prices are super cheap and when the market and content is really stagnant, a lot of stuff ends to dip off, right? Before we have some pretty insane content is coming. So let's talk through it. Again, why is this stuff going down? Well, we mentioned an L content, right? The content that we have had recently is just okay. We've had some decent SBCs. We've had some decent cards released in packs, but like these Dodo, Sheraldo, Becker, Falcao was cool. The Play of the Month Messi was a pretty decent SBC. Again, not that big of an upgrade, but I think people are doing it because it's like one of the best and most exciting pieces of content that we've had in the past week or so during this Rule Breakers promo. The content's just been very average, right? SBCs have been decent value, but they've been for mid-level players. The cards in packs are cool, right? You take a look at Rule Breakers cards right now that are in packs. Like the Ramos is a card that I wanna try out. I wanna try out the Kai Havertz card, but also when you take a look at these cards, it's like, man, they're so dirt cheap, there's not a ton of hype for them, and they must not be that exciting because they're so dirt cheap. Nobody in this promo team is over a million coins, and only a handful players are over like 300K, like Ramos, Tiago, Havertz, and Ribri, four cards over 300,000 coins, and now Kai Havertz is dipping underneath 300K. So that's kind of why I think part of the gold cards are dropping, right? Here's an example for you. Why, if you've been using Hyunmin Sun for the past like two or three weeks, Hyunmin Sun is now like 55,000 coins, right? Or under 60K, 57,000 coins for an 89-rated Hyunmin Sun. Now, why would you use that when it's a brand new Emile Smith roll card that is on the game who could play in that left mid position? Although, of course, this pains me to say, as a Spurs fan, I would rather use Hyunmin Sun, but when a new card like this comes out with similar stats, a dynamic image, four-star, four-star, a work rate change, and then just a brand new card, wouldn't you want to try this out? I think that's what's going on, right? People are selling some of their gold cards they've used for a while and trying out these brand new promo cards because they are cheap. Now, also with that comes the supply. We've had a lot of supply on those gold cards since the beginning of the game. That's one thing that we see all year long is gold cards start at their peak and just start to trickle downwards except for the SBC fighter cards. And supply in this week's promo has been no exception to the matter. 50K packs dropped on Friday and then yesterday on Sunday, they finally dropped the 50K Rare Players Pack Plus which gives you an additional tradable pack inside of the pack that was already released. They also dropped the Premium Gold Players Pack Plus. So we had talked about these previously being added to the code knowing that they were gonna drop some supply on the market and I think this is another factor as to why player prices are continuing to go down is that we have a ton of supply happening in the store. So L content and supply, that's the first two parts of the equation and the third part of the equation is that upcoming key row pack, SBC. People want to have coins ready to get that SBC when it does drop. And again, I really think people are preparing for that. I mean, we've already talked about investing in SBC fighter, right? Your SBC fighter cards are still at a decently investable price because there's been so much supply that has hit the market. I think that's why a big reason why a lot of prices are dropping on the market too in the meta cards, in the out of packs meta, even some of these rule breakers from team number one, a couple of them have gone up in price but others have just gone down in price. Take a look at Ed and Jekyll who a lot of people thought would rise out of packs because he was one of the more hyped cards in the first week of rule breakers. He's now under 140,000 coins and continuing to drop, especially as that hero pack draws near and especially with the hero pack drawing near, a lot of people are starting to panic sell heroes and I want to talk about this a little bit too is, heroes are where I was making some money on the market yesterday, but these prices continue to drop because there's more and more panic. Every single day that goes by, people are continuing to get scared and to be fearful of this hero SBC dropping on the market. I mean, if we take a look through some of these hero prices that I'm seeing right now, I mean, Yaya Tore last night was like 1.17, he is down. TCO is 600K and going under 600,000 coins. Diego Four Lines, nearing 300K, Govus, smaller like every single hero card that I look at. Even the ones that are above 87 rated that are not even going to be able to be packed from this SBC, like Morientes is 89 rated. He's not going to be in the 87 max hero pack. He's 138,000 coins continuing to drop. Joe Cole is down. I actually bought one of those tonight, try to trade with. I bought Robbie Keans yesterday. This is again, how I said I've been making coins about Robbie Keans really fast. There was some panic selling heading into content. I bought two Robbie Keans at 265 and I sold them at 285 literally like in two hours later because his price kind of rebounded up from that panic. I think you're going to see the same thing today on Sunday. You're going to see hero cards as people are, you know, today and tomorrow are like the top two most popular days for where this hero SBC pack could drop. And I think there's going to be even more panic today on the heroes as these guys' prices just continue to go down as people are getting ready for this big time SBC to drop. So I think that's kind of what's covering the market right now and kind of explaining why we're seeing these prices drop off as much as we are. It's the combination of L content. The players that are out, that the content that's been released are really cheap. People are changing out gold cards for promo cards to try it on their team. The supply is pretty big and we've got this impending content that is making people not want to go spend coins on teams as much, maybe rock a little bit more with untradables. And the people that are wanting to invest right now are investing in SBC fodder. And I want to talk about fodder because it still looks halfway decent. And now with the bigger packs that were dropped yesterday, some of this higher tier fodder looks even more investable than it was earlier in the week. 88s, 25,000 coins, take a look at Gold Donoruma, right, 25,000 coins for him. You can see on Wednesday, or sorry, not Wednesday Saturday, yesterday he was like 28K, dropped down to 25, had a bit of a kickback, but of course that's down from where he was on 30,000 coins early morning Friday. Now this guy's down to 25,000 coins. So this higher tier fodder, albeit again a little bit more of a gamble because it's up so much already, I think these cards are ones that you'll want to keep a watch on too. And if these drop any lower today on Sunday, if the icon pack does not drop today, and again we think it's gonna be more of tomorrow and Monday, but definitely keep a watch on these higher tier cards now as well, just because they have a potential to rise as they're dropping with the supply. 85s are still looking decent, I think that, if you can get under 9,000 coins, that's a solid price. I mean, again, seeing they were 12,000 last week, especially if we get that team a week pack, as we see again, these guys on bid, I think that's gonna be your crucial way to get them for a little bit cheaper is to get them on bid. 84s under 2K, fantastic. 83s at discard, you can't go wrong with that all. So I think the SBC fodder market, it's kind of unchanged, even with, and this is one thing that makes me maybe like, SBC fodder investing a little bit less, if I'm being honest, is that we did have a lot of supply this weekend with the extra packs that were added to the store that maybe makes me like fodder just a little bit less, but again, you think about a hero pack that we are about to see dropped in this game, that's a lot, a lot of hype for a hero pack. There's gonna be so many people that wanna do it and get it done. So I do think that even though fodder is very invested in, I think fodder is still gonna end up going higher in price because there's gonna be so much demand for people to try to pack these big boy heroes, especially with so many new heroes this year in FIFA. So I still think fodder is investable if you see prices drop down a little bit, get on those bids, buy those players, like we talked about yesterday, with a lot of potential there. One investment that I'm not a huge fan of this week, and we saw a couple of weeks ago with team of the week number three. I'm not a huge fan of investing in team of the week cards this week because of the one thing that we talked about already in this video, supply. Remember team of the week three, we had the Wave and Marquis matchups on Tuesday that dropped their prices and people ended up losing coins on team of the week cards like Rafael Liao, like Ben Yetter, that team of the week is the one that I'm talking about, right? It didn't go up that much. I'm feeling the same vibes with team of the week number five. Now, a couple of these cards might still rise up a little bit out of packs, but everybody is thinking back to last week with team of the week four, where we had insane rises on Cancelo, Tamori, Frimpong, Pedri, like half of the team of the week rose very nicely out of packs. We didn't have you Wave and Marquis matchups on Tuesday of last week because it was an off week. We have it this week most likely with team of the week five getting supplied extra there up coming on Tuesday. We have a big hero pack this week which could hurt the supply on these cards as well. Potentially, if it's like two segments and they drop tradable packs in between those segments like they did with the ICON pack, that'll bring some extra supply in. And from what we've seen already, the 50K packs and the 50K pack plus that are in the store, I really don't like this team of the week. I feel like it's gonna take a lot of demand to push these cards up. With that being said, there are a couple of them that maybe still could rise a little bit. You know, Tony Cruz, Badella, Joe Gomez, Sané, Neymar, probably some of your favorites from this team of the week. But especially with these cards already being up a bit, 71K for Badella and on Friday night, he was 66K, 65,000, 64,000 coins on Friday night. That was a really, really low time for these cards. I think so many people are wanting to invest in the team of the weeks. I am not a huge fan with the extra supply that we have upcoming this week. So that's just one word of warning I would put out there. Now, if you want it for your team, it's definitely not a terrible time to buy. And of course, Neymar being in this team of the week, a lot of people want him. He's gonna be a super rare card. But I would just say be very careful with the team of the week this week. I don't like the potential that it has for an out-of-packs rise, like I did last week's team of the week with the supply that we have to worry about. So, how am I making coins right now? Magnate, how can I make coins right now in this market when it's dying and price is just dropping as much as it is? The hero cards, right? Every day that goes by where the hero SBC is not dropped. If there is no hero SBC today, I think there is gonna be some panic leading into 6 PM UK with content. But if that SBC does not drop, you're gonna see the prices shoot back up a little bit again as people go out and play those weekly games as there is a lot of demand. So the same sort of trading fluctuation there. Yesterday on Saturday, I bought Nakata at 150, sold at 167. I bought two Keynes, like I said, in the 260s. I bought two Aloha Riyans in the 230s, sold at 257. So just watch for the panic cells on these hero cards because the fluctuations are great. Be very careful with these promo cards. I lost coins on Smith Row. I made coins on Tiago. I made coins on Kai Havertz. I'm not really expecting to see Havertz, even though Kai Havertz did really, really well yesterday and so did Tiago. Those guys were some of the best risers from Friday into Saturday. I didn't really believe in Havertz. I thought he may not go up that much, but he ended up going up. Looks like he maybe could go up again today a little bit from Saturday into Sunday. One thing I will say though is we do have Sunday mornings bring us squad battle rewards, which should bring a little bit more supply to the market of these cards. I just wouldn't expect to see really, really big fluctuations on any of these cards, even though they've gotten a lot lower and their prices seem really, really cheap. Again, like we talked about, there's so many people that are just waiting for this big hero pack to drop and then I think you'll see the market kind of unlocked again to another level. So maybe if I can snag a Ramos tonight at like 320 or lower, since he dropped off a lot from where he was yesterday, I would think about trying him out for a couple of games in the club and then maybe trying to sell him for a short bit of profit, but be very careful with these rule breaker cards. Let's talk about today on Sunday, a little bit more content-wise as well, the mini-release that we're expecting today, these were all cards that were leaked last week or on Friday, I guess you could say, was Davenson Sanchez, Merino and Roldan. So another MLS player dropping today. Of course that Merino card, a lot of people got excited about and you know what this really feels like to me? It feels like Robert Tone, 2.0. It really what it feels like. Robert Tone is one of those cards from Rule Breakers team one that's actually gone down in price. He's like 41,000 coins after he was almost 50K on Friday after content with people investing in him with the Avila card in team two. People are like, wow, this guy's gonna go up. So he's down in price, but just remember how crazy his hype was last week. Remember when after a week in league rewards from Sunday night into Monday, this card went from like 60,000 coins to 90K on Monday morning in a crazy, crazy couple hours of hype. I don't believe that's gonna happen again this week with Merino, but it almost feels like Merino is like the Robert Tone 2.0. So this card today, the league looked really, really good for him. So watch out for this guy. He's gonna be pretty hyped. And then Domitin Sanchez is just, you know, a meta-prem center back. We have so many prems center backs already at this stage of the year, which is kind of crazy to have that already. But we'll see what upgrade they give to Domitin and what kind of pace that he has, but that'll be another interesting card that people might wanna put in their team. So that'll be an interesting one today from a impacts content perspective. Now, the other league that we have is for a dynamic duo, which like I said, and like you guys probably know, dynamic duos have been dropping on Tuesdays, right? Think about the Rodrigo, think about the Jack Harrison, SBC, that stuff. You know, we have this Arnaudovic and Posh. So some Syria hype seems to be forming, right? We had the Dodo right back. We have this dynamic duo. Seems like some Syria hype is starting to form. So definitely watch out for your Syria heroes and other Syria special cards because maybe EA is kind of going away from La Liga and starting to push a little bit more towards Syria. That's something to think about. I just don't know if these are today, but I feel like we get some sort of player SBC on Sunday like every single week. I think last week on Sunday, we had Alex Tellez, right? I believe so. So maybe there'll be another league today. You know, there's some fake leak about Kimmich. I haven't heard anything like that. And Foot Sheriff says that he has nothing about Kimmich. So, you know, for today's content on Sunday, I'm expecting mini-release. Some sort of SBC, I doubt they leave us hanging in that regard. But, you know, we had Dodo yesterday. I don't know if we get the hero pack today. I really don't. I feel like that's more of a Monday-type pack. Like, I think EA is going to follow that schedule. But I feel like there's this much of a chance that it could be today on Sunday. So we'll probably check in and around content time and see if that happens. But I feel like it's a very, very slim chance and might just be another pretty quiet day today on FIFA. Waiting for whenever that hero pack is gonna drop and when that craziness is gonna happen. So again, really quickly with the Dodo SBC from yesterday, three-star, three-star, high-medium, five-foot-five. It is a really cheap SBC, but again, it's kind of like a mid-card. A little bit difficult to link, but not like really, really hard to link. So, you know, if that fits your team and you're happy with it, then GG. Definitely an SBC you might be able to craft. Now, where I'm looking at on the market mostly is a lot of out-of-packs cards and a lot of icons and heroes. Like I mentioned, if I'm trying to make any coins in the down market like we are in, those are the types of cards that I want to be trading with because they are the most rare. So when you see the big 10, like 15, 20% drop-offs on some of these cards and you're like, Nate, wow, look at the price of, you know, X hero card or even like Nakata, who I sold at 167K earlier today. Footbin has him right now at 150,000 coins flat. Like at 150K with how rare he looks back up to 170, I would think about buying that card because I think he can jump back up to that price. Govu, who I saw at like, I think 360 or 370 yesterday, Footbin has him right now at 340, right? So I do think there could be some more panic on these cards today, which again, makes me be a little bit leery and worry a little bit about a couple of these cards and how much they could fluctuate before content today. But if I was just trying to trade with anything on the game right now, that's where I'd be looking. And I'd be looking for those bigger price drops, players that are just continually going lower and lower that you're like, man, this guy's dropped down so many coins from where he was earlier in the week, especially with a hero pack coming, that's something to watch out for. Now I think the hero card prices will react at very differently later on this week and we'll talk about that in probably the video tomorrow, but definitely keep an eye out for these hero cards to rebound big time after the hero pack is released. Except, of course, that's for the meta ones, except for the ones that are like the low tier, really low rated ones that of course, everybody's gonna be packing from the hero pack, those are probably not gonna rebound too well. But that's kind of what's going on with the market right now. Again, it sucks to lose coins. I completely understand if you're losing coins on your teams, I know how it feels. A lot of player prices just continue to drop and continue to go down. And I don't think that it's gonna rebound that soon. I think it's just gonna keep going down even further today as it just feels like this market is in one big slide of a free fall right now at the moment. So hopefully that icon pack or the hero pack can start to spice that up, but I really don't think it's gonna be today. We maybe have one more day of pain before tomorrow and Monday, it gets pretty crazy. So we'll just have to see. But if you enjoyed today's video, smash a thumbs up on a comment level if you have any questions and subscribe if you're new. It's been Nathan with the account and I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.