 We've got Spencer Strider on tonight's slate for Daily Fantasy baseball And typically that means Spencer Strider will be our top arm and that could very well wind up being the case for today But I do feel like there is at least one legitimate contender for that crowd We're gonna break down who that guy could be for today what the Alec for Strider is and a pretty difficult spot and get you ready Which should be a fun slate of Daily Fantasy Baseball welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fangirl podcast network and fangirl research. I am Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for a fangirl research here to break down tonight's six game main slate with locks that for 640 p.m. Eastern again lock for tonight 640 p.m. Eastern So make sure you get those line. It's ready a bit earlier than usual as a result of that There is a high chance of rain in Detroit tonight for the Tigers and the Angels that game could be pretty dicey So if you're banking on players in that game, I would be sure to check back on that one later on That is the load weather node for tonight though We'll dive into the pitching preview the contender for striders crown and much more here in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire Daily Fantasy podcast be wherever you get your podcast If you like what you hear leave us a five star rating on on Apple podcasts or Spotify our PGA DFS preview Of the 3m open is now up over on the number fire daily fantasy podcast We get that wherever you get your podcast to get ready for this week's event up in minnesota We've got some exciting news over at number fire beginning now You can find all the number fire content from the analysts You know over at a new home called fangirl research fangirl research is on the fangirl domain meaning You can now do your own research on the same site where you play spats and submit daily fantasy lineups And don't worry all the number fire tools are still in place over at number fire calm See your daily process can remain the same for right now as I thank you for all your years of loyalty We'll be running free rolls over on fangirl research now Through the end of nfl season to check out this week's free play for the women's world cup for the us nevelins Go to fangirl.com slash research and click on the welcome to fangirl research article on fangirl research And there you just find a link for that contest along with a helper for it written by uh, brandy gudula Be sure to check out all the great content on fangirl research while you're there again All of us all of the analysts, you know are over there right now All the content you're used to is over on fangirl research plus formula one sims for me extended series truck series sims a lot of new stuff and a lot of fun stuff too So go to fangirl.com slash research to find all that plus the free play link Pitching preview for this wednesday main slide spencer strider Of course comes in with the highest salary and fangirl his salary is eleven thousand two hundred dollars followed by front of all That's a ten three We got marcus stroman shaking in at nine six facing off with lancelan who is 94 brian bao is 92 with michael lorenzo And patrick sandoval as the others at eight thousand dollars or higher Let's talk through strider first and outline Why strider is going to be likely the top play of the night, but at least Some question about that and part of the question comes because strider is in a less than ideal situation He is on the road in a lowest strikeout matchup. So That's going to downgrade him at least a bit. He's facing the red sox here, which is not a great spot They have a 108 wrc plus against brides with a 21 strikeout rate So they're not a team we target super often with pitchers and it is also a tough part for pitching as well But again, we're talking about spencer striders So the downgrade can't be too big because strider has a 2.56 skill interactive e r a this year Where they 40 strikeout rates those are absolutely monster numbers and the sample is 20 starts Which is a big sample and he has been an absolute beast Plus the hard hit rate allowed for strider is just 37 percent It's like he's been bad in that regard. So he's had some Rough matchups and rough situations, but I still think that he's a phenomenal option He does get danged here for the matchup get stinging for being on the road But even with that accounted for my strikeout projections have strider at 9.1 Which is a massive number and again, it is accounting for those downsides So we want to make sure we don't double count here and be like, okay 9.1 strikeouts, but Because the butts already accounted for in that regard strider to me is the top guy in the slate I feel really good about that But I do think again, we can downgrade him a bit as a result of the matchup And as a result of the fact that he is on the road I don't think you necessarily have to use strider tonight though I would like to but I think that lance lin is at least in the discussion For the top pitcher tonight because he's lower salary to 94 and he also has big upsides Let's talk through him and why He's in the discussion if he's not quite on par with strider just yet Lin has gone back to throwing a curveball recently That's a pitch he had gotten away from but it's a high strikeout pitch for him 37.5% whiff rate on it according to baseball savants and It's not a surprise when you hear that that he's That he has been getting a lot of strikeouts since adding that pitch back into the mix Across seven starts with more curveballs lin has a 3.30 skill interactive eray with a 33% strikeout rate He has had six plus strikeouts in every start But the upside is a big thing here because he has had outings of 16 and 11 strikeouts And that's what just two of those starts being at home He isn't home tonight. He's facing the cubs. They have a 103 w RC plus against righty So about average there, but also a 24% strikeout rate, which is a bit above average So that helps upside for lin So no lance lin is not as good as spencer strider, but he is at home He isn't a higher strikeout matchup and his salary is 94 hundred dollars So lin is a good option and he's good enough or i'm not fully fully committed to strider Which is a big deviation for me typically i'll just you know use him plug him in figure out the rest later But to me, I think it's actually a discussion of whether you want to go lance lin or strider for tonight for me I go strider by a hair, but lance lin in that same tier in a guy I want to make sure is my player pool if i'm multi-entering on fandwall for tonight Among the value plays the only guy I feel even kind of good about is carlos rodan Now he's looked rough since he came off the aisle So I would understand if you want to Skip through the section and not deal with it But I do think rodan is better than the results indicate So let's start here with the bad and then we'll talk about why i'm in on him for tonight The era for rodan is 7.36 his strikeout rate is 17 percent with a 14 walk rate Wolf wolf and wolf and it leads to a an era expected era of 5.78 That's not something we want to get into for pitching maybe for stacking against sure We'll we'll deal with that. We'll happily take it but not for pitching But rodan does have a 12.7 swinging strike rate It's not what it was last year, but it's much better than what you think What do you look at his strikeout rate and his walk rates the hard hit rate allowed for rodan is not outrageous And he's had some tough spots. He had two games against teams that are pretty good against lefties One of those is that course field as well He's throwing his slider plenty, which means he's got faith in that pitch His villa was down a bit from last year, especially last time out, but it's not terrible So what i'm saying is he's not what he was last year But I don't think he's broken not as broken as he has looked thus far The seller for rodan is $7600 He is facing the mets here who have a 96 w rc plus against lefties They don't strike out a whole bunch, but I still think that rodan does enough to be viable I'd rather spend up because I feel a lot better about strider and lin But if I am spending down it would be on someone like rodan who at least is a path to Getting you a lot of strikeouts and that path is getting back to what he did last year, but also Living up to the underlying data with the villa the pitch mix and the swinging strike right all saying he's Close enough to what he was last year So top three pitchers tonight's spencer strider and land slam followed by carlos rodan as a top value play Let's go now to stacks and talk about the astros facing andrew heaney tonight Heaney has made some gains at times this year trying to counteract the hard contact But the baddible data is still really bad and the astros can still hit lefties So I think they're a good option for tonight. Heaney has gone back to his slider recently It's a nine start sample doing that while throwing fewer change ups and Heaney's sierra in that time. It's 4.58, which is not terrible But he's letting up a 45 hard hit rate with a 46 fly ball rate Those are rough numbers we can stack against for sure the astros have a 108 w rc plus against lefties They hit a lot of fly balls and even some rougher teams have gotten to heaney in this span He let up seven earned runs the nationals though They're not bad against lefties let up six earned to the tigers and the astros a better team than both of those so I think even with heaney having some good starts The astros have to be our top stack of the night. So the astros to me are going to be number one You were down alvarez still not back yet. Uh, he could be back for tonight But another lefty on this team crushes lefties. And that's kyle tucker tucker 134 plate appearances against lefties this year. His iso is 235, which is a very good number with a 41 fly ball rate He has six stolen bases as well This is not new because tucker has hit lefties. Well his entire career So I think it's a good reminder that we should not downgrade kyle tucker against lefties In fact, maybe upgrade him because people may be more skeptical of him with a lefty on lefty matchup But he is a phenomenal dfs play phenomenal hitter across the board So kyle tucker definitely got to focus on and hopefully they do get alvarez back tonight too because that would boost this entire lineup Number two stack. Let's talk about the yankees fosate facing hosei kintana As we discussed the yankees much better against lefties and righties and kintana is a lefty And kintana did look solid in his debut But I think the yankees are worth looking into here and the park does help a lot It makes balls and play a lot more dangerous and kintana Will let up those going back to last year He's made 13 starts with more sinkers and fewer change ups and his strikeout rate in that time is 19% Which is not ideal in general But it's tougher when it's at yankee stadium Against a good offense and the yankees offense at least against lefties is good They're awful against righties, but against lefties 111 w rc plus in the current active roster 190 iso which ranks third on this slate So if this were in a less advantageous park, I might not do this But we do get a lot of dingers at yankee stadium So the yankees are solid here and I don't mind giving them a swing despite how bad that offense has looked at a lot of times this year Jean-Carlo Stanton obviously Surging back up a bit as we discussed But harris and beta are also looking really good his iso overall is 175 It's better against lefties, but it's in a super small sample his fly ball rate is 48% And that's the highest number of his career and that's a good strategy here If your yankee stadium might as well put it in the air and see what happens So beta to me against the leftie key part of a stack and the yankees in general just Pretty easy to stack because their salaries are so low. No one wants to use them against righties Nor should they but it does drive down their salary even though They haven't been better at times recently stanton salary 3000 glaber torres 3000 as well harris and beta 39 or $2,900 so they're pretty easy to stack and I do feel good about the yankees for tonight The final stack is out in san francisco And I think you could consider either side of this one I prefer the giants because they're the better offense But we'll talk about the a's in things to watch too the giants are facing hogan harris who has not been awful by any means But he has struggled so far in the big leagues He has thrown 53 innings with a 6.11 e r a He's been trying to curb that by throwing more change ups his past seven outings And it has led to some strikeouts, which is good But he's also letting up a 40 hard hit rates with a 47 fly ball rate Some of that did come against quality teams, which is fair But five of those seven were at home And that should be a good spot for pitchers But he's still struggled and that's reassuring for tonight because again, they're in san francisco It's only 61 degrees there, which is way down from what we got at the other parks for tonight And it does hurt offense quite a bit But I think that after accounting for that and the matchup, etc, etc I do still think the giants deserve to be within our top three stacks for tonight We have not seen louise matos really click so far in the big leagues He has an o74 iso across 118 plate appearances But he did it for power in triple a and the plate discipline numbers are elite thus far So it's not like he's overmatched. He's seen the ball. Well, it's not hitting for power yet And his expected woba is 46 points higher than his actual woba So I think the matos will have some big games eventually And I don't mind buying into him before that happens because I think that we've seen enough in the data Both between triple a and the majors to say He's at least got something going on here and we can buy into it might not be a huge outing yet But I think that's within his range of outcome. So matos a guy I'm willing to go to 49 mlb dfs, especially because he does save you a lot of salary at $2,500 I'm actually trying to look it up here right now Yeah, $2,500 if you want to get this rider matos can make that a lot easier Things to watch on this late from braval des obviously tremendous pitcher I think we should be willing to consider him above lance lin but his matchup stinks and he's in a funk right now He's facing the rangers who have a 130 wrc plus against lefty's even with no chorus eager on the active roster Valdez has had some rough starts recently too So maybe he's a good tournament pivot is bylo, but I won't get there myself I think i'm okay going with the other guys we discussed earlier on As mentioned, I don't mind the other side of the a's giants game either The a's are facing likely alex wood. That's not officially announced as of yet But what's having a really rough year the a's are bad against lefty's They're a very lefty heavy team, but zakilov. Maybe he can help things at least a little bit in that regard to improve them He's a righty Might be able to just go at him as a one-off value play But in general, I think look at the a's line up pull it open see what happens At least worth checking on If they do get the tiger's angels game in I don't mind stacking the angels They're facing michael arenson who's had great results this year, but He faced a ton of weak opponents. The angels have a 114 and wrc plus on the current active roster against righty's So they could do some damage here worth considering But again be very wary of that game because there is a good chance. They are not able to get it in Let's finish up here the dinger calls for today the boring one I want to go cow Tucker again lefty and lefty matchup, but does not matter for him He still crushes lefties andra heaney struggles against everyone with hard contact and five balls Obviously not the platoon advantage you want at or the the hand this you want for houston, but it's cow Tucker, man So we'll go cow Tucker as a boring homerun call For the fun one we've hit three straight nights Thanks to all nationals players and unfortunately the nationals are not on the slate So I've lost my safety blanket. Um, we hit, uh, lane tom this friday We had uh jamer condolario monday stone garret last night So no nationals, which means the streak is definitely done But just in case let's toss one out there and see what happens Harris and baiter be our fun homerun call for tonight hasn't done a ton recently but Facing a lot of righties in there getting back against the lefty should help Uh, and it's a lefty who doesn't get a lot of strikeouts So a lot of fly balls at yankee stadium that could lead to good things So homer calls for tonight are cow Tucker and harris and baiter That is all that we have here for today on the solo shot again pretty fun slate We actually have someone who can contend with the spencer strider for that top spot So like in what i'm seeing for tonight's slate as mentioned You want to find our pgadfs podcast check that out over on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed Check out our insights on the 3m open you can find the solo shot here on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed along with the Fandall youtube page and over on fandall tv plus if you've got any questions for me I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s you can also follow the fandall podcast network at fandall podcast Want to thank you all for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your mlb dfs lineups for tonight We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down a small thursday slate This has been the solo shot right here on the fandall podcast network