 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. As we start the show off today, S&P has been kind of unchanged here, did go lower, did try to go higher too. Options is something I wrote about in the newsletter this morning. They're kind of showing that there's probably a fairly big berm at 4,400 on the S&P cash. And we tried that today. And didn't do much. We'll wait for the volume to come in today, but right now actually fairly good about just a hair under eight billion shares on the CBOE consolidated tape. So not a weekday, not a W-E-A-K day. But that's kind of it. Dow, is that right? Let me update it just to make sure. Dow up 97, Nasdaq off 124. So in Steve Rhodes parlance, Mr. Max, Mr. Mix bag himself. And the Russell's off about a percent, which is about 20 points. We get out to the oil market bouncing around 110. On it, gold's up 13 bucks at 1936, silver's up six cents at 25, 25. The Bitcoin 42, 283, it's down 1,400 points. Kind of languishing out here. Probably the most important thing that I watch out here today is the TLT. We had the Fed testimony, and we also had one of the Fed presidents out talking and she threw a bunch of cold water on them not raising rates and that kind of sunk the market early after and been up a little bit. But not talking 50 point rate coming in on the 16th, but it didn't sound very dovish basically saying that Russia would become a is a much bigger deal on inflation and they would have to fight it with all the tools that they have that kind of meant that maybe expect one or two more rate hikes this year than previously planned. And the market's kind of trying to ignore that now. We'll see what's happening. Options, as I said, pretty much show 4,400 kind of a big berm. We need some very good news to get through that. But that's kind of it on that. We've got Tim Ord here in the next segment. We've got a bunch of charts I sent here, a bunch of symbols I sent him last week as they were testing Lowe's. So we'll look at how he looks at price and volume on those. We have one from an individual and we'll be looking at that. If you have any tickers, email them to me now. And I'll try to get to him. Maybe he can get them up and running during the breaks. But that'll be it anyway. We'll check in with him for everything else that he sees in a general overlook. But that's kind of it. Let's go ahead to a little bit of history. On this day in 2004, Michael Dell, founder and CEO of Dell Computers, announces that he will step down from his role, his famous role, not a dinner role, while maintaining his position as chairman of the board. Dell president and COO Kevin Rollins will assume his role. On January 31st, 2007, about a year after Dell fell behind Apple and market cap, Rollins will resign. And Dell will resume his role as CEO due to the poor performance of the company. He would take the company private again, clean up what he could, and certainly put whatever he could underneath the sweep, whatever he could under the rug to bring it public again. Pretty much is when he left in 2004, it was all about cashing in much like other big titans like Bill Gates did. And going ahead and starting a second chapter in their life, he never really got to do that. Of course, it's public yet again, but then not many people talking about it. Again, he's just trying to make sure everything goes well as he sells more shares all the time. You can give us a call, including Tim Ord in the next segment at 877-927-6648. You can give us an email at pat at tfnn.com and that leaves us a couple of minutes here to look at. And go back in the way back machine and we'll go back a stunning one day. I was asked about two stocks. I was not sure about what the other one is, but I was saying the one I didn't like was OKTA. This one did gap down today. Volume's fairly good. Looks like it's going to go back and retest 151, excuse me, 152. 151, which is February 24th low, so there's not much there. Come on, what are you doing? Why is that not doing it? Eh, do not know why. Because it locked up as well. Oh, that's why, because I copied it. I pressed the wrong button. So we should be able to just do this. There we go and get back to it. Did a question on MOS from Mimi and Mimi didn't say, maybe she'll email me, say whether she kept her energy stocks or not. That MOS company, of course this is a Russia trade as they cut off a lot of nitrogen stuff potash, that kind of stuff for fertilizer. This thing's been kind of going up for 44 bucks to 56. I wish I would have thought of it, but I didn't think about it, but it started moving well. Looks fine, nothing really here, really to report no real big sign of a reversal yet. Most people don't know that Florida is absolutely large in the nitrogen and the potash business. If you go about 100 miles southeast from here all the way down through Seabring and almost over to, I think it's almost over to the other side of the coast. There's just a ton of it. One of my race partners, wives worked in this business and they were always either importing it or exporting it or moving it around or trading it, but apparently all this stuff does get moved around quite a bit. She does not do that any longer, but I remember she was big in the company. We'll be back after this. Steady as she goes. I don't see anything changing. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges David White is able to find the path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter The Path of Least Resistance is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market-profile-based scanner. Powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms this feature-rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500-plus global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodities, futures and forex. This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation to show you emerging trades before they happen. At a time you can save $100 off your first month by using the promo code UPGRADE and you still get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Level the playing field with the TAS Profile Scanner which you can find under the services tab at TFNN.com. Sign up today. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV. Live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. TFNN, educating investors. Tim Ord. Tim Ord has been a market timer and with a newsletter for over 30 years. Been trading, I guess, you said since the early 80s? Is that right? Actually, I was a stockbroker in 77. That's pretty much when I started trade. We can. I was a stockbroker for several years and got out of that business and started the newsletter. Back in the 70s and even early 80s, Teclon Alps was kind of a witchcraft. It was all fundamentals back then. The witchcraft was not the preferred method of market picking or stock picking. Now it's the other way around. Pretty much everything is technical and fundamentals is kind of a checklist after you've done the technical fill. Anyhow, you want to look at some of these charts? Yeah, we'll go ahead. Let's start with the Russian chart, RSX. Yeah, okay. This chart goes what? 2007, whatever. Actually, I went in and put an order in to buy Russian index. The last low was 2009. So I was going to just buy some shares, put a limit at $686. The only reason why I'm doing that is the top is RSI there. Every time the RSI... This is a monthly chart. So when the RSI gets this low, it's really low. And all the news is out. I mean, Russia's invading the old news. So it's nothing really new to assume. An old trader told me, you know, this is go back, you know, and find the last major low. Actually, it worked on Gold II back in 2000. I think that low was something like a 1984 low in Gold or something. And if you did that, you would have picked the bottom. Oh, this is kind of the same thing here. So, most likely, we're just going to probably test the 2009 low. And with the RSI, already below 30, you're pretty much done to the downside. So the bad news is out. So, you know, can the war drag on? You know, maybe. But probably on a bigger timeframe, I would say testing that 2009 low was a buy. And actually, I tried to buy it. Went to Meritrade, put that order in. And they wouldn't let me put the order in without sanctions on Russia. So, at least Meritrade wouldn't do it. I don't know if any other brokerage firms would do it, but I don't think nationwide you can actually buy that Russian index at ETF. That's interesting. Yeah. I don't know what other brokerage firms are saying, but they said, no, you can't do it. You can't buy or sell Russian stocks, at least through Meritrade. They're halted even in Russia. How are they? Yeah. They don't trade there either. But that is interesting. Maybe if that does change, then you might have found your low for a long time. Yeah. You know, buy on news, sell on fact, or the other way around. You know, the fact is war. So, I guess once you start trading, the damage has already been done. He went from eyeballing, it was about 30. You want to print this chart, it was 7. So, and Russian economy is going to keep going. It's not like it's going to go to zero. But anyhow, on the bigger time frame, I think it's a buy. So, that's my opinion. If you start trading or touches that low of 2009, I think that's probably about the lowest you're going to get. So, what else do you want to go to? I sent you over several charts. Yep. The next one is Zotis, ZTS. Yeah, I said, this is all from my list from last Friday, right? Yeah, this is from you. I just, I took about four of them and they're all kind of examples of the same thing I want to kind of talk about. But in this you know, this is a daily chart. ZTS is a symbol. Anyhow, you had a pretty good sell-off and finally, you kind of had a climate glow back in, looks like about January, I don't know, 26 or so. And it rallied up and that low is pretty high volume rallied up, come back down and actually the day before, you know, a big volume day, the next day you had a light volume day, but did touch a new low, then reverse one up higher. Well, you take the low, the lowest low and you take the volume of the biggest day going into that low and you compare them, then you do that and you make a retest of the previous price low and you did that on, I don't have the date there, February 24th, 25th and you couldn't, you know, you went actually below that low so that's a new low then you closed above it and that's a buy signal. So Mark can't hold below the previous low, which in this case is that low in February 24th, I'd say that's the date. If you can't hold below the previous low, it will attempt to take out the previous high. So this predictor stock has a price target around 205 back in, you know, kind of early February there. So on a certain basis, this is a buy signal. What happens when you get to 205? Kind of depends on how high that volume is when you're testing that high. If it's higher volume, you'll probably eat right through and go up to another higher high and if it's on a lower volume, that high will find resistance and what you got then is a trading range and you got basically 185 as support just create a trading range. So it depends, I'm pretty sure you'll get 205 depends what the volume is at that 205 range compared to the previous high. So right now it's on a buy signal so it should work higher up to 205. So go ahead. We can go on to another one unless you've got questions on this one. Now we just got a minute left here in this segment so I'll see if we can't go on it. What do you think about the general market with about a minute left to go? I got a buy signal on the 23rd next day it gapped down and came back so right now I'm still on a bullish buy signal from the close of February 23rd you know the next gap open was down but it came back so we tested the previous low January 24th and we compare the volume it's a lower low same thing we're doing right here right now but we tested the previous low on the higher volume and the same thing happens if you can't take out the previous low and higher volume or reverse and take out the previous high. Well the previous high on this case at least I'm looking at the SPY is up around that 460 range which is basically the 1st of February, mid-February so that's my target up there for right now. 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things and gold and the major indexes and you can always find him at or dash oracle.com what's going ahead i got a twitter account too i just thought i might put that out there and i think twitter is owned by the devil okay we'll move on i'm just kidding i'm just kidding you can you can tell us what your twitter handle is it's at oracle i think i don't know how to look at my handle but if you just google my name it'll come that twitter account will show up i post on there quite a bit some charts i like whatever you know stuff i do in my newsletter sometimes it's pretty good posted on that twitter account so anyhow this is another way to follow me but actually if you want to go to there's inflation deflation ratio i don't know if you see it i just centered over to you i think i was looking at my email so i'll have to check that yeah it's on that the charts i sent over this morning and you know this is PRII then PRDI now didn't get it i've got ADT RSX WGO and WTS i didn't send that over you can send it during the break we can still get to it in the next segment alright i'll send it over i thought i did but okay we did we did Russia which one you want to do next when we go to ADP ADP alright ADP ADP actually that was a selling climax and i got a little point there a selling climax when volume jumps around 50% or more compared to the previous volume and that's kind of exhaust move to the downside so when volume gradually increases the market goes down that's usually not a good sign but if everybody heads through the exit at the same time you get this exhaustive move and that's when volume just jumps up and and everybody's talking about how bad the stock is or whatever and that takes all the energy out of the market on a short term basis so when everybody is to sell but at the same time there's usually very little downside once that selling climax happens and that's what happened here so yeah the selling climax looks like about January 25th, 26th whatever that date is and the market made a lower low a couple of days later so you use the volume as a selling climax flow you use the price low as the lowest low so anyhow the market rallies up if you notice it rallies back and it goes back and test the gap of the selling climax I got a red line I can't see really the gap there but there is a gap now the market went into that gap and tested that gap on lighter volume which is resistance so the market can't get through the gap and I'll try going down and it goes it goes through the least resistance area so it can't get through the gap it'll go back down to the previous low well the previous low is at January low when we test that low it looks like about February 25th whatever and it tests that low price low and on much lighter volume because you compare the volume to the selling climax volume so it can't get through that low so where it's going to go I was going to go back to the previous high well the previous high is back to the gap area again now the more time the minimum upside target is around 210 the more time you test a support or resistance level or a gap level is considered resistance the more chances it's going to go through so this time that gap may not hold as resistance so I'm thinking I don't know what the volume is going to be there but if the volume is lower than that first gap test but if the people are greater they'll probably move on and pass it and probably go higher so you got a big base here a decent base anyhow it's about a month long and maybe an attempt to take out the previous low can do it so I'm thinking it's probably going to get through that gap and go up higher how much higher it's hard to say but it's got enough cause there to probably rallying in the 230s there's a resistance up around 235 that could be an upside target for that one so market actually looks pretty good probably speaking here but it depends how the volume is going forward from here I've been along the S&P since January 23rd and if it keeps this market going higher we need volume to push it higher and so the key is how the volume test these previous highs on these stocks if the volume is not there then you probably got a huge trading range kind of like same with the last we looked at if we can't get through 210 on this ADP thing then probably we're going to go back down to the previous low again which is high volume it was about 193 area so and just probably stop there hold there and probably try to go up again so I'm thinking the market is actually going to move higher here but since how this week's volume goes if we go into Friday and volume is really lackluster chances are I'll go back to neutral again but the volume is halfway decent today and tomorrow I'll probably hold my position over the weekend so volume is kind of real key here so we can move on if you want okay we got about one minute for the break here so just make sure and let me get back what you see how about Winnebago WGO the thrill of the open road with incredibly high gas prices yeah that's right kind of the same thing here selling climax happen it looks like about January 20th as far as volume goes made a lower low the next day came back down tested that low in the end of February there is so much lighter volume can get through that low probably going to go back to the previous high of February it looks like about the first week in February up around 70 range so what happens there depends on volume if you got good volume going into that high the higher volume mid-February high is probably going to be resistance if you got higher volume testing that high then we're probably going to go back to the previous high of early January looks like about 78-79 so so I'm thinking at least we're going to go to 70 here there's a good chance maybe get to 79 okay if you got a chance to send me that chart you're talking about during the last segment I sent you another symbol email so we can do that we'll be back in a minute with 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then hit Watch Tiger TV that's tfnn.com and we are back with him and I got you inflation chart here so you can go ahead and talk about that and I got you inflation chart here so you can go ahead and talk about that All right. This is a really a big time frame. It's a monthly chart and the chart goes back to 2013 and They showed it's inflation deflation ratio and Ping No Praying he's been around for years. I forgot his first name Now he created this part part in Praying the guy's name PR. I ng yeah Martin Frank Yeah, Martin Pring. He created this chart inflation deflation Actually created the two Indicators and I combined him made a ratio out of it and And so it works pretty well Judging the inflation deflation as a ratio and you can see and and big down mark is this that's the ratio falls and If you notice we pretty much been going sideways basically since 2016 and I got a monthly Bollinger ban on it if you're above the Bollinger ban It's usually a bullish sign if you're below its bearish and I But the Bollinger bands and also it we've been kind of squeezing the Bollinger ban here, which is That's the bottom indicator when it's low. It means that Bollinger bands are kind of pinching when it's high They're all spread apart and back in it looks like about December of 2021 they start coming together and Suggesting a big move is coming when the Bollinger band to get tight What that you know price what that means is price Is very narrow and that suggests at some point we're going to start Price is going to start spreading apart that could be an uptrend or a downtrend in this case I thought it'd be an uptrend and because I had other indicators seen Eventually these gold markets are going to start to rally and that's what's happening here and This over the last couple of weeks Since it's the monthly chart We did get above the mid Bollinger ban on the monthly timeframe putting this Deflation inflation deflation ratio in an uptrend and we also closed Above a trend line connecting the highs going back to 2016. We just closed above That I think was last week on that trend line So we definitely got a breakout to the upside and the top window is the RSI of this ratio and anything above 50 Suggests the market is an uptrend and we're like 59 right now. So there's a lot of evidence that We're busting up to the upside and that's basically we started Really kind of busting up. We you know, we had a in 2020 we started to get above the trend line filled a bit below it came back above it But it's been in a narrow range since 2016. So we're probably going to start it doing an impulse type wave That vote may look similar to the decline that started back in 2014 and 2016 that was a downtrend I think something opposite of that may happen here and This whole thing may just be start to rock it up the rocket might be the wrong word But trending up so and this flation the way I'm expecting here this inflation deflation ratio Should continue higher in the coming weeks if not months So it's more of a longer term. The only reason why I say that is has such a huge base This basis is what six years long, you know, I really didn't have inflation deflation ratio Really hadn't done anything for six years. Just pretty much moved sideways so That builds a big base for an impulse wave and I think the impulse wave will be up So I'm thinking if racial probably least go back to the 2014 highs Which is point seven, you know, it could go higher Hard to say but we're in the early stages of this ratio going higher So there's a lot of stuff saying we're in an uptrend here. So that's just beginning Is there now that Yes, inflation deflation ratio goes up. Most likely you know, gold stocks and gold will go up with it That's why I'm implying here. So kind of in the first inning, right? Yeah, we're in the first inning, you know, and really like I said before it, you know, we really haven't done anything since 2016 It's just base that went up went down went up But really didn't move much and when you get that Bollinger band pinching on a monthly timeframe, you know something a little longer term is starting to Come to a rotation here So, you know, it looks good for you know, the next couple of years but that way Just because it's such a big timeframe by facing No, yeah, that's the reason why I wanted to show you this chart is just another angle of How the market you can go to view the the bull market Got a question from somebody in our trading room here. He says, you know what this actually tracks No, okay, I think Pring if you go to Pring's website or you Google him He'll tell you what it is I'll do that at the break Lastly, we've got one last stock to take a look at here and that is task TASK There we go, right All right tasks ahead of selling climax looks like about you know eyeball here January 20th volume, you know jumped like 300% 400% from so that was exhaust move to the downside Made a little bit lower low couldn't get through that low because energy right dissipated to the downside So you can't really go down so it's going to try to go up Well, the first resistance is the gap area well that gap Had huge volume because that was selling climax low and so it can't get through the gap Point you know point there is a gap retest so can't get to the gap They'll go down to the next support level which is basically a selling climax low again Well can't get through that Tested that low Much lighter volume so now we're back up to the gap area again Well, you notice we're not backing away from the gap and also we're starting to test that gap or the last high which is where That high basically in February 10th We're starting to test that on a higher volume if you look at the volume over the last couple three days here The volume really kicked up and so my my thoughts That volume is going to be higher on the test of that mid-February high and this is a Second time we're testing that gap again the more time to test the gap the more resistance the less resistance it has So I'm thinking we're going to move higher here and probably Look to the next resistance area, which is based that consolidation back in January early January You know up around that 50 range so Pass to me, you know, it's 34 now, but It looks good probably going to go higher here So and the next resistance against the 50 I guess probably we're going to come close to that somewhere in that, you know 45 50 range and what happens there? Let's see what the volume looks like but if you notice volume is picking up and that's what this You know rally knees needs volume to pick up and because salvation is unique long to be lighter Well, I want to thank looks pretty good. I wanted to thank you being on once again Tim or to the org dash oracle calm. I'll see you in a couple more weeks All right. 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That's 877-518-9190 catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of TFNN also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on TFNN We're down about 20 points on the S&P cash again got a few things going on now Tuesday We've got Apple With its dog and pony so you may see next week a little bounce if they can get anything going But 4400 from options and all my chart work as I said yesterday Look kind of like a wall and we're starting to see more of that in options as we set up for options expiration generally Quad-witching months like this are not as good, but you get a general indication or general range Which I had in the newsletter this morning So you do see that but off 20 on the S&P dows down 58 Nasdaq's off 197 if you are interested in that Chart for Martin Pring that Tim was talking about if you email me. I'll send you a link To the web page that explains it and tells you where it's at and you can see along a Live version of it if you're interested in any of the charts that Tim talked about today I've got them all you just email me at path at tfnn.com and I'll send you a zip with all of them in it So we can get that done Anyway, as we start looking the volume actually Like I said, not bad 8.8 billion shares as we get ready for the last hour of the trading day But probably not enough in the 15 or 16 billion that you're looking for a Giant sign of strength in this market to go blow through 44 50 So at the moment probably at trading range Again, we're getting into the options expiration cycle mid-wit next week And you've got a little bit in technology you go with Apple on Tuesday. They always tend to push that it is Position but I'm kind of thinking that maybe you go sideways in technology and maybe you go much slower in the S&P Not a lot of shorts out there in the market right now So any kind of surprise could be big to the downside So when you can not when you have people see you tomorrow same back panel same that