 What if I were to tell you that mathematically, Tears of the Kingdom is going to win Game of the Year this week? Now, that sounds really crazy. We have the game awards coming up and how can we use statistics and math to determine if it's gonna win Game of the Year? If you wanna go by Open Critic and Metascore, we could try to go with like, get rid of the weighted systems and try to do fair ratings and look, we're not here to do that. We know that this game and these awards are voted on by a panel of 120 outlets that make up 90% of the total value of vote for something like Game of the Year with 10% coming from fan vote and there are just going to be certain metrics we cannot measure. But there is some fun stuff we can measure that shows that just from a pure math perspective, Tears of the Kingdom may very well take Game of the Year. Now, there are a couple of caveats we have to take in mind here that are gonna make this seem like a fruitless exercise. And so I just wanna know that this is more of a for fun video. I have no idea who's gonna actually win Game of the Year. And the caveats are because this, the voting panel of 120 outlets, we don't know who they're putting on that panel. We don't know how they're gonna handle those individual votes from the outlets. So we don't know how each outlet is individually managing how they're going to vote for things like Game of the Year. On top of that, there's a number of outlets that didn't review either game or any of the games up for Game of the Year. And we have no idea which way those outlets are going to lean. But I'm going to make a logic and mathematical based argument here using real raw data that is going to seem absolutely insane. But this raw data cannot be denied. So as a fun thought exercise, I thought it would be cool to look at how Tears of the Kingdom just might win Game of the Year this year. Before I dive in, hey folks, why not go ahead and subscribe to the channel and get smacked into the face by a bunch of eggplant and Oreos. You know, you get a little healthy. You get a little unhealthy. You also might get a little nasty. Don't ask me. You decide what to do with all those eggplant and Oreos. All right, so let's just get serious for a moment and dive into the math. There's this really neat Game of the Year tracker that somebody put together. I can't remember who it is. We'll put a image on screen crediting the person who sent this to me. So let's go ahead and put this up and you guys can see what we're looking at here. So this is a nice sort of Goaty tracker and you'll see that this deals with the scoring, the predictions, the 2018, the old, all right? So firstly you can get into a few things and we need to determine that this is really a two horse race. It's between Tears of the Kingdom which you can see listed right in this column and Baldur's Gate three. And what we're seeing here is what the different outlets that are up for awards voted. So as an example, Digital Trends gave Baldur's Gate three a 100. They gave Tears of the Kingdom a 90. So chances are they're gonna choose Baldur's Gate three as their game of the year. But then you see an interesting one where Tears of the Kingdom was given a 95 by easy allies, Baldur's Gate three didn't get reviewed at all. Then they also gave Resident Evil four a remake of 100. So you could maybe figure easy allies would probably vote game of the year as Resident Evil four remake. However, we don't know if easy allies considers this game a Goaty contender. Why? Because it's a remake. So we don't know. This is where we get into the caveats if we don't know, but let's just presume their highest review game is going to be the one they vote for. Then we get down to say entertainment weekly and this is where we see none of the games got reviews. So again, we don't know what they're gonna vote for. But when you look at all of this, you see Game of War with the 98 for Tears of the Kingdom, 95 here, nothing else is higher. They're probably voting Tears of the Kingdom. GameSpot, we don't know. They gave out four 100s. Giant Bomb didn't review Baldur's Gate three or Tears of the Kingdom. They only reviewed one of the games. That probably will be the game they vote for. We don't know. Same for IGN. Look at it, we don't really know which one they're gonna vote for. Same for Inverse between four and five here. We don't know what they're really going to vote for. And then you see a couple where they didn't review, Tears of the Kingdom because PC Gamer, obviously not a thing like that. GameRant as well didn't. They reviewed a lot of them for some reason they didn't review Tears of the Kingdom. But it goes the other way as well. Well, you'll see VG247 reviewed Tears of the Kingdom but did not review Baldur's Gate three. But then they also reviewed all these other ones and you see they like to hand out a lot of 10 out of 10s. Same with VG Chronicle. And let's say it's between these two. Well, again, you'll see here that Baldur's Gate three didn't get reviewed. So you're gonna see this several times. Again, not reviewed here by Stevever. So then you're gonna see that Tears of the Kingdom probably has an advantage there. Same here with the enemy. Power, unlimited reviewed both. And it looks like it's gonna be going to there. But you can go down this list and I'm gonna link to this down below if you guys wanna look at it and just take a look at it. And really it's the end of the list where things get interesting. So as you can see, between the two games that are the lead contender for Game of the Year, 47 of the actual 120 outlets gave Tears of the Kingdom a score. 41 gave Baldur's Gate a score. So we have actual reviews for these two games. Of the scores, 27 of them were perfect 100s for Tears of the Kingdom. Only 20 of them were perfect 100s for Baldur's Gate three. And you see this is well ahead of all of the other games in the category. For 90 plus 44 gave Tears of the Kingdom a 90 plus 39. And this makes it a bit closer. A Baldur's Gate a 90 or above. All right. And then we see one outlet put it down in zero to 79 for Baldur's Gate three. If you look at this pure math, and again, there's so many numbers we don't know because it again, over half the outlets don't even review games or have game reviews. It looks like from a mathematical perspective, these are all of the outlets that are part of the voting jury that Tears of the Kingdom has a literal statistical advantage. And I'm going to give some more context. All right. Baldur's Gate three is deserving of Game of the Year. I think Spider-Man two is deserving of Game of the Year. I think almost every game up for Game of the Year is deserving. Yes, I'm biased and I love Zelda and I want Tears of the Kingdom to win selfishly because it is my favorite game I have played this year. But here's the thing. I do think of the outlets that don't review games, the voting panel, and we're seeing this just in the raw facts that Tears of the Kingdom was reviewed by more of these outlets than Baldur's Gate three. What we're seeing is it is far more likely all these other outlets that don't do game reviews that they have played Zelda rather than playing Baldur's Gate three. That's where I'm arguing that Tears of the Kingdom actually has a mathematical advantage. Not just in the raw data we actually have, but if you just think about it from a logical perspective, Tears of the Kingdom has sold three to four times more copies than Baldur's Gate three has. Tears of the Kingdom is a known property from Zelda coming off one of the biggest Zelda games of all time. I think it is much more likely, as we go back to this list, that a place like the LA Times has more than likely played Tears of the Kingdom but hasn't played Baldur's Gate three. And you can go up and down this list. The Verge is more than likely have played Tears of the Kingdom than they have Baldur's Gate three. Variety Magazine, same way. Wired Magazine, probably the same way. Tech2DO, Techmasters, Terragame on, Voxel, you know, CBC. A lot of these outlets, to me, there's a much grander chance that they actually played Tears of the Kingdom than they played Baldur's Gate three. Now that doesn't mean they're gonna give Tears of the Kingdom the award because they could vote for Spider-Man or vote for one of the many other games up for the awards but I just think that Tears of the Kingdom has a mathematical advantage and as such, I'm actually going in to the game awards with the expectation that Tears of the Kingdom is gonna take it. I know the fan vote is gonna be what it is and maybe it leans towards Baldur's Gate three. Here's the thing, this isn't a weighted jury. Every vote from every outlet counts the same in that 90%. I just think there's such a higher chance that so many of these outlets that don't review games actually played Zelda compared to a CRPG that I just think Zelda has a natural advantage and natural brand recognition that's going to carry it all the way to the title. Now I could be wrong and again, this isn't meant to be like, this is definitively what's going to happen and Baldur's Gate three to me is a massively deserving game for game of the year but I'm just pointing out that I do think that it's much more likely that not only do these outlets actually own a Nintendo Switch, that they played Tears of the Kingdom. So I don't know, you guys let me know what you think about this down in the comments below. Sort of a prediction but a mathematical one and we'll see what happens. Thank you guys for being here and I'll catch you in the next video.