 What's up, everybody? Welcome to Olympic week for the men's golf competition at Kasumi Kiseki Country Club. We'll get the women next week with the PGA Tours back with the WGC event for next week, but it's good to be back after a week off. So I'm excited to break down this 60 golfer field. The Olympics does come with a pretty mixed bag of golfers and we'll get into, you know, virtually everyone, not necessarily the golfers who are total long shots outside the top 200 or so in the official World Golf rankings, but there's a lot to break down. There's a lot about the course that we need to figure out, but also in addition to everything else, it is a 60 golfer field with no cut. So it's a small field, 72 holes guaranteed. What does that mean for our Fando lineups? What does that mean for our vets? Get those questions ready? And I will answer all those questions that come in my way. So just hit up the YouTube, Facebook, Twitter or Twitch comments and I will do my best to go over everything because this is the Fando PGA Q&A, but it's not technically a PGA Tour event this week. I'm your host, Brandon Godola. I'm the managing editor over at numberfire.com. I'll be talking about the fields, the betting odds on Fando Sportsbook, the daily fantasy slate on Fando, my win simulations, and whatever else you want. This is a Q&A format. I'm still got a little bit of vacation brain. I got home after midnight last night, had a long drive. So, but just bear with me and I got all my research done. Talk about the field and Kasumi Koseki. I think there's a lot of angles that we need to go over for this week. So I'm going to break down the field as I always do first, just kind of getting a lay of the land from the betting odds. We have Colin Morikawa, Xander Shafle, and Justin Thomas all representing the United States as the three favorites, specifically with Morikawa plus 700 on Fando Sportsbook. Xander Shafle plus 900 and then JT plus a thousand. Following that up is Victor Hovland and Hideki Matsuyama. Matsuyama playing in Japan. Both of those golfers are 11-1. Roy McElroy, kind of surprising to see him at 12-1, but it's important to remember that this is a smaller field and that is naturally going to affect the odds. But Roy's form was something we can get into, kind of problematic. However, it's probably also overstated with how bad he's been. And in a 60 golfer no-cut event, there is naturally going to be more like tighter exposure to every golfer, Colin Morikawa probably going to be about almost 50% of Fando lineups just based on the form that he's in. So from that angle, from a game theory standpoint, Roy McElroy actually really, really intriguing. Paul Casey, Patrick Reed plus 1400. Casey is actually like the best golfer in this field over the past six months or so. His T degree numbers are really, really impressive. But yes, it is an Olympic format, but we have a lot of strong golfers. It does drop off pretty quickly though. And again, I'll get into that. So get those questions up on YouTube, Facebook, Twitter or Twitch for this week. Question from Dodger 2021 Champ. Give me three guys who you think it's a homerun tonight. You need to stick around. You do not want my homerun picks. Jim Sonnis will be on in just a bit to talk baseball for this evening. Comment from Michael. Love me, Sabrina. Thank you, Michael. It's good to be back. I'm sure Jim and the team held things down very well while I was out, but I'm excited to show my spreadsheets and my research for this field and this event. Another question about stacks. Again, you guys stick around for the MLB portion of the show with Jim. I'll make sure Jim gets back to these questions. Yes, Aaron from Facebook. Golf first then MLB. We'll make the switch over at four o'clock. So four o'clock Eastern. Jerry Winters said three. So I'm assuming he's in a non-Eastern time zone, which, you know, I like the Eastern time zone quite a bit. So one thing that I am finding really intriguing about this week is just the way that the field separates. We have three of the top five golfers in the world, all representing the United States, and they're the only top 10 golfers in the world. But we have a few guys nearby with Victor Hovland, Patrick Reed, and Rory McElroy inside the top 15. But if you keep scrolling, you'll see in total 28 golfers inside the top 100 of the official World Golf rankings. And the official World Golf rankings do have their share of shortcomings. I think sometimes the overseas, just basically the non-PGA tour events can be a little bit inflated with how important they are in deriving these rankings. But even with that, it's never, it's not the worst gauge to get a feel for things. But realistically, we're looking at 28 golfers in the top 100. And then that leaves us 32 golfers outside the top 100, but also 20 golfers outside the top 200. So a third of the field is actually outside the top 200 in the official World Golf rankings. And so I think this is important to keep in mind because it's a no-cut event, but there's no differences with how we construct a fandal lineup. It's those six golfers, same salad cap, everything like that. So what does that actually mean for how we construct our lineups? Well, I've done some research into past optimal lineups for PG tour events. So this will apply for this week. But really the one thing I would recommend reading this if you're very curious about game theory and how optimal lineups are put together. But I'm definitely not going to go over all this because it takes some reading and thinking about to figure out what it's actually showing. There's some notes at the end. But among the 126 golfers in the optimal lineup for no-cut events over the past few years, I published this last fall, but it's a pretty good sample even of no-cut events. Only 11% had a salary below 8,000, and that is compared to 17.2% in events with a cut. So if your instinct in a no-cut lineup would be to roster some golfers at a $7,000 salary, so that you can play Calamorcawa, so that you can play Zander, that you can play JT in the same lineup. Yes, your golfers aren't going to miss the cut, but they can really fall behind no-cut events. This is a little bit of the outlier, but when you get a no-cut event, it's usually like a WGC event or a FedEx cut playoff event. The fields are smaller because they're better. And so the golfers who are at the bottom of that tier of overall golfers, they can really fall behind over 72 holes. So I just want to pause at that this week because it can be enticing to punt, but it's kind of not what we see in optimal lineups, which goes a little bit against convention. Okay, so question from Michael on YouTube. Statue we're focusing on for this track. So presuming a Seki is a little bit hard to figure out because it's 100 years old, 100 plus years old, but not a whole lot of information about it, no pro events there that we can kind of dig back into. I think there was an amateur in like 2010 here, according to the GCSA, but a few things that we know for sure. It's a par 71 over 7400 yards. The stint meters registering are 12. And for anyone who doesn't know what that means, it's just how fast it's a little device that shows how fast the greens are. When I initially dug into this course, there were reports that would be like a 9 to 10, which would be really, really slow compared to PGA tour standards. A 12 is about average. I think it's probably like 11 and a half as closer to the actual average on PGA tour, but we're not going to get super fast greens, but we're also not going to get those really slow greens either. So I don't think I need to do too much variation with the stats that I'm looking at in terms of putting splits for this week or how I'm kind of going about about putters based on green speeds. So we don't have a whole lot of information to go off of, but these greens at 7800 square feet on average, this is actually a two, they have like two greens per hole, but they're kind of modifying it. But what we need to know is that their average green size is really, really large for the PGA tour. The average is usually around 6,000 for courses. So that's something to keep in mind, you're going to be able to hit more greens in regulation in theory, but you also, you know, you can pick up a green in regulation and be super far from the pin. So I think something like three putt avoidance is usually a really bad stat to rely on because it doesn't account for things like that. But, you know, I would say strozing and putting from like 25 plus feet stuff like that would actually get elevated with how large these greens are actually registering. So that's kind of something I'm looking at. But also one thing, and this is in my course primer on numberfire.com, one thing I like to do now is go hole by hole and break down courses. This especially helps in, you know, for courses that don't have a ton of information about them, because you can go hole by hole and you can say, well, you know, a course is going to play 200 to 300 yards longer, whatever it is, than the average like par 71. But how is that like, where do those yardages come from? And at Kasumi Kiseki, we see seven holes rating out at at least 109% or longer for the median hole of that same par, which is kind of a mouthful, but it's basically comparing par fours to the median par fours on the PGA tour. And if you see something like a 237 yard par three, that is, you know, about 120% longer than your average or median par three on the PGA tour, which is around 200 yards. So long par threes, there's a breakdown here to two long par threes, three long par fours, two long par fives, but also some shorter par fours as well. So I think for that, from that angle, driving distance is going to be a separator. There are also some reports that the fairways are maybe too wide. So that also puts an emphasis on driving distance compared to driving accuracy. But as always, we're looking for stroke scan approach, because iron play is the most important stat virtually weekend week out on any course that golfers play, driving distance, and then birdie or better, it's actually bumped up to third for me for this week, because in a no cut format, you will see golfers, let's say they each finish 15th, they're going to get the same scoring bonus, but over 72 holes, the golfer who makes more birdies and finishes with the same score is going to score more fandal points. It's always more advantageous to go birdie bogey, rather than par par over to a whole stretch, you just get more fandal points. And so that is something over 72 holes that we really should keep in mind. The greens are bent grass. So we do have some splits there, especially if you have access to a site like fantasy national that does break things down by surface split. And then I do I do have show scene around the green on the list, but it is the least important of the stats. I realize that this now these these stats show driver irons wedges putting there's the four facets of the game. So I'm basically saying you need to do everything. And I think there's some truth to that, though, because over 72 holes, if you are lagging behind in any key stat or like any of those four stats, you will fall behind, you will become irrelevant. And you you won't have golfers miss the cut. But you will be you'll sink your lineups if you have some of the golfers who are, you know, 10 shots out of contention through Saturday. So this is kind of why I like the key stats to be approach and distance and then also just kind of birdie conversion in general. That's kind of what I'm looking at for this week. Question from Jerry Winters on Facebook. Do you think Kepka carry enough value out of all of the other golfers? Kepka is not in the field. So I don't I don't know. Question from Mr. Jackie Moon. I made a random bet on a guy named Hideki from Japan. Is he any good? Yes, Hideki's great. There's going to be a lot of that added pressure on Hideki. But I think that there's a lot to like about him, which is me not finishing this, not setting this up right. But Hideki has a lot going for him from a statistical standpoint. Virtually anywhere he goes. The big question mark for him is always the putting. I've been a 21st percentile even in a weak, weakish, small ish field. But he is on bent grass where he's kind of close to neutral, which is fine for Hideki. But a good, you know, I guess nice birdie numbers here for him in the 69th percentile relative to this field. But what really kind of intrigues me about Hideki in a no-cut event is like the non-drive or non-putting stats with the approach and the around the ranges are big positives, big green lights for him for this week and for, you know, the past year once adjusted for fuel strength and recency. So Hideki's got a lot going for him. And you see the, you know, 11 to 1 odds, one of the favorites. So I can't, I wouldn't really talk anybody out of Hideki. I think it's a good bet. So good job, Mr. Jackie Moon. So I think I'm all caught up here. And I'm going to go ahead and break down a few of the other golfers in the high salary tier. Let's go Rory and Patrick Rady who replaced Bres and Sham, that's why. So these are some of the highest salary golfers in the field. Morakawa easily the betting favorite at 7 to 1. Not necessarily the win simulation model's favorite bet to win. He's really kind of overvalued at 7 to 1. But he does rate out well enough behind Xander Shafley at almost 10% likely to win for Xander. But over the past year Xander is the better player. This does adjust for recency and fuel strength. So for me, I like Xander more as a DFS player even though it's a little bit scary. And in my research on popularity percentages on Fandall, if you're the highest salary golfer, you're probably a guarantee to be the most popular golfer. And if you're the betting favorite, you're pretty much guaranteed to be the most popular golfer. And if you're both, which is usually the case with that overlap, you're going to be the most popular. So I would think Collin Morakawa comes in around 50% likely to be around 50% rostered overall on all Fandall lineups. And so does that make him a terrible play? No, he's more than 50% likely to top 10. And that's okay if Kamal pens and doesn't win and you roster him so long as you roster the winner, which is kind of obvious. But I would say that I'm a little less likely to play a significant portion of Morakawa knowing that he'll be so popular because his win odds are even generously will say 10%. That's not, you know, you're never going to see better win odds than you do with popularity numbers for the most part aside from like the guys who really fly under the radar. But, you know, it's not enough to make Morakawa a must play. I'm more intrigued by Xander Shafley from a daily fantasy standpoint, because he's just the best golfer in this field once you once John Rom had to withdraw. No red flags and just green pretty much across the board. So he's the he's always like the farra if anyone plays Overwatch, but green across the board for Xander, aside from fairways game, which is not a key stat. So I'm not really worried about that. And just one of the best bent grass putters, one of the best overall putters in the field and also the best birdie maker over the past 100 rounds on the PG tour. I know not everyone plays in the PG tour heavily for this event, but if you, you know, again, not really looking too far down the field because we don't have to offer this week. So I think the PG tours that still carry a lot of weight. JT is a really fun pivot because he's got 10 career small, small field, no cut wins. But Rory McElroy is the one golfer at the top who I really don't have a whole lot of interest in unless you're making the case for a tournament differentiation piece because people are souring on Rory. Rory's also come out and said he's not super engaged to the point that he used to be because he's got that newfound perspective of being a father. So take that for what it's worth. I don't like to reduce players to narratives, but overall there's not enough to like talk anyone out of Rory. I think he makes for a really strong pivot play because people won't be in on Rory as much as other golfers, but for me, he's not the best process play. I do like Patrick Reed quite a bit. He's got a lot of travel concerns with all the shifting around. He's done, but one thing that really stands out to me that's always surprising, the more that I kind of, once it clicked for me, Patrick Reed's a good birdie maker. He's so good with the wedges and the putter that it doesn't really feel like he's a good scorer, but he really is 91st percentile and birdie or better at gain over the past 100 rounds. So for me, I like Patrick Reed quite a bit. I like him as an outright bet. He always seems to play well when he's representing the United States, which he is this week. So for me, Reed makes a lot of sense over a 72 hole event. He's also got multiple short field wins, two WGCs, tournament champions, a few others in there. So I like that angle as well. Question from Todd on Facebook. Do you think lower ranked players in the putting aspect will be neutralized because of slower greens here? So I'm starting to look into what green speeds actually mean for putting success. It's hard to kind of figure out how to look at things. The most obvious one is to look at a player's baseline and just kind of say like, oh, these are good putters. These are median putters. These are like poor putters. And how do they sort of vary based on green speeds? But frankly, there aren't a whole lot of slow green speeds on the PGA tour to compare to. And with the stent meter actually registering around a 12, I think it's going to be more average. So I'm not looking for too many variations on putting splits. Again, you can kind of look at it from any which way where slower greens will allow better putters to be more aggressive and go for putts because they're probably going to find the right line. Whereas fast greens are going to be, they're going to blow it past the hole just like everyone else. But I've kind of found a mixed bag. So I'm trying to figure this out so that we can get more of a leg up. But again, the green speeds are actually now registering a little bit more average. So I think we're playing it. I'm playing it pretty straight this week for putting question from Mr. Jackie Moon on Twitch. Yeah, I don't know anything about grass types and all that for golf. His name stuck out. So Ben and him referring to Hideki. Hideki Matsui. Yeah, yeah. But I mean, there's a lot to like about Hideki. And again, the putting is the big concern. But if he does put it together, we know the teeter green is going to be there. And we know that he's going to be locked in just because of all of the context here. But I think Hideki makes a ton of sense. I do think he will be a bit more popular than some other golfers in that high end range. So I'll actually pull up the full field here. And I'll just filter it by golfers above 10,000. I know I have a lot of stats here. So it doesn't really display well, but just kind of want to get a feel for the top of the field. I think more Cala, he's not highlighted in green, but this doesn't mean I like don't like more Cala. It's just that I prefer other golfers when I'm because I know more Cala is going to be popular. And Zander is rating out for me better overall from a stat standpoint. I like JT as well from that no cut angle, not super intrigued with Rory. Again, I think he's a fine tournament play. But Hovland, I'm kind of warming up to more and more Hideki. Again, kind of a popularity thing in the long term form has been a little bit worse than other golfers. But I think you kind of throw some of that out the window, given the context and given the the recent win at the Masters. Paul Casey has been great. So this is actually a really top heavy field. And we get that also in the low 10,000 range where there are four names that I like with Cameron Smith, Joachim Neumann, Corey Conner, Sung J.M. So I know it sounds this is almost like a major field at the top where we have really, really strong options. And then things fall off. Sung J.M. and Sue Kim, in case anyone doesn't know, skipped the British Open to focus on the Olympics, because if they do metal this week, they will be exempt from two years of military service in South Korea. So they have those narratives and I would expect them to be a little bit more popular as a result. But the 10,000 in uprange is pretty much all in play for me, partially because the like the 9,000 range is actually quite small overall. There are six golfers who even have a nine in front of their salary. I don't like Tommy Fleetwood that much. I think Tommy Fleetwood is a little bit more of a fan favorite than he is a great golfer. So nothing against Tommy. I like him a lot myself. But he's not for me this week. Sam with Leechman, Christian on Pzadenhote seems to be getting a lot of love from the betting standpoint. But he rates out kind of well in my win simulation model relative to all these other golfers. But the upper nine K range was only three guys and I'm not super sold on any of them. The low 9,000 range does stand out a good bit with Garakiego, who actually need to take this off of Alex Noran, because I don't like him that much anymore, just because the short game is what carries him. But Garakiego, Siou Kim, Guido Miliosi, Mackenzie Hughes even makes some sense because he's just pretty good long term. And then Jonathan Vegas can make a lot of birdies. So we do have a lot of value options this week. And so I know I talked about liking a lot of the high end plays. But as I talked to Jim Sonis on the heat check this week, where we broke down the full field, some of the guys with the best current form are just straight up favorite picks. I went over roster construction and I think for me, it's going to come down to just honing in on like four to six of those guys above 10,000 and then rotating in the other golfers if I'm playing multi entry. And for a sort of cash game, a smaller tournament, a head to head, anything like that, it's going to be more balanced. So I'm not going to play more cow up. I might start my line up with someone like Patrick Reed, so that I can get multiple of like Corey Connors, who's under salary, I think, Joaquin Neiman, Cam Smith, those guys are kind of under salaried. So and I don't want to be digging around this range too much if I don't have to. So Carlos Ortiz is a great play. I think at 8400, best long term golfer in the field, most likely to win in the field. Sebastian Munoz, I have him in green, but I'm kind of, I much prefer Carlos Ortiz if we can get back up to him. Antoine Rosner, a really good tee to green player, or I should say ball striker. I can pull him up on data golf just because if you look at his ranks over the past six months, 18th tee to green, but ninth off the tee, 14th in approach, just a really bad short game, but over 72 holes. We should kind of get that to balance out a little bit. You should be able to make some birdies. And then Mito Pereira went from 150 to 1 to 80 to 1, which is not, that's a bit more appropriate. I was surprised that he was 151. I didn't know if I was missing something, but he's got two recent wins. And then on the PGA tour, missed his first cut, but has two top sixes in his past two. Drives the ball over 305 yards on average on the corn fairy tour. And again, we went that distance this week for me. So I think Pereira makes a lot of sense as a value play. Mr. Jackie Munoz says, well, I feel a little more relieved after making that random bet. I've been getting desperate. Yeah. I mean, golf can, you can embrace cold streaks. You just have to embrace those cold streaks sometimes. But again, looking more at top 10s, group bets, matchups, top 20s, is a good way to kind of protect yourself against the all or nothing. I typically find that I have a few golfers flirting with a win, or at least the chance and outside chance to win. But, you know, I bet the measures to outrides and they finish 10th. And then it's like, I don't get anything. So I've been really playing, playing a little bit more, you know, with those top some each ways, things like that. So, you know, that that's golf. It's very volatile. And it's going to be volatile this week as well, even though it's a no cut event. Again, no, no cut event does not mean play multiple golfers in the 7000 range. As you can see, there's only one golfer who I even would consider below 8000 and that is Pereira. So I'm playing at a little bit more balance this week, even though it is that no cut event as I went over. So I'm going to go over my win simulations and look at things from just an outright perspective. So my simulation model has Xander as the most likely to win at 9.9%. Caldmore Cow is 8.9. Victor Hovland, who I have, I think I'm sleeping on him a little bit, I guess, because my win simulation model likes him a lot. I'm not quite there. Based from a stat standpoint, I think I'm drawing in more on, you know, Xander, Thomas Reed, because their success in smaller field events, no cut events, this easily could be a course where Hovland just thrives. So I'm warming up to Victor Hovland quite a bit. But Xander, again, the favorite according to the model, a slight, slight, slight negative value. But anytime we get someone like Caldmore Cow and Justin Thomas, who are overrated from a betting standpoint, we will see value elsewhere. And we see that at least the even value, which is, you know, it's really tough to find huge mismatches from a betting standpoint whenever you see that our golf event, because for the most part, lines are very efficient. But Hovland, Casey, even values Abraham answer, slight positive value. But Corey Connors is the one name who does jump out as really undervalued at 700. Connors is on a bit of a hot streak, to say the least, the putting is getting better for him. And he's also just been really good in these tougher, higher profile events. Seventh of the players, eighth of the masters, 17th of the PGA, did miss the cut at the US Open, but 15th of the British Open, just one of the best TD green players that we have in the world. And he should be able to come through again with a strong showing over 72 guaranteed holes. So Corey Connors, a lot of intrigue for this week, but it is 359. I don't know if Jim is around, Jim. Is he around? Yeah, Jim. Allegedly. Wow. Jim. What's up? How's it going? What's up, Jim? I heard you warned me to Victor Hovland. It appears that I have been persuasive today. Is that correct? Yeah, I think for once I've listened to you, which is a little bit ironic because you don't listen to me. And why would I? So why would I? Maybe one reason why I should? Because I could have had Calamora Kawa at the Open Championship. You could actually list things here. You're just choosing not, you could dunk on me so easily. No, no, no. Just letting me, letting it hang there. And I'm a bit uncomfortable. I'm trying to let you do this. I'm letting you obliterate me and you're not. Well, I was actually waiting because I had Calamora Kawa at the PGA as well. So I didn't know which major win you were referring to. And I was just okay, buddy. I was just waiting to see which one you were gonna, you know, talk about. But I guess the more recent one makes more sense. Sure. Yeah. I'm so glad you're back from your vacation. I'm not bitter about this at all. This isn't terrible. It's not the worst either way. Good luck to you this week, except in our bubble hat or head to head lineup. Hope the bets go well. And I appreciate the welcome. Yeah, you got, you got a lot of people were asking me about baseball and stacks and stuff. And so I threw out some, I threw out the A's and the Phillies. What? I don't even know. I mean, the Phillies are kind of fine, I guess. I don't know the A's are facing the A's. The A's get Chris Paddock. Are you stacking against Chris Paddock? That's kind of, it's kind of bold. I like it. Dude, I gotta, I gotta trust my A's. The worst things you could do, I'll tell you there are worst things you could do the seconds Chris Paddock right now. He's kind of broken. He's lost me some money this year. So, you know, I don't, I don't hate it. I'm just saying, you know, it's, it takes some guts. Yeah. I mean, I'll listen. Well, maybe I won't. Not recommended. Did you change your sheet? No. You want to see it? I considered changing it to, because Brandon had, no, no, you don't even have to change it. You just had to use the other one. Brandon actually made it with like the color gradient that doesn't make your eyeballs want to burn and he gave it to me and I kind of considered it because it is objectively ugly, but I feel like I have to keep it the bright colors out of like, you know, principle at this point. So, they're still there and they're going to be there indefinitely. So, I appreciate the effort, but like I'm very stubborn and just like it's not going to change now out of principle. Okay. I just did it, I did it out of the love of the people tuning in, but this is what this is how Jim feels. So, since Brandon loves you, we're going to kick him out and see you. I'm going to roll with the rest of the show by myself. This is the Fandual Live Q&A. Thank you everyone for tuning in. Thank you to Brandon, despite his refusal to dunk on me for the, for holding it down for the first half hour here, talking some golf. Hopefully that goes well for you. We're here to talk some MLB and it is a loaded 15 game slate for today, which means we have a lot to discuss and there is one change since this morning because we do have a trade. Tyler Anderson is not going to start for the pirates for today. He's been traded to the Philadelphia Phillies. They have not announced who will start yet for the pirates. I'm guessing it'd be Luis Obieto because he was called up in triple A last week. He is on seven days rest from his last start in triple A. And I think that if we do assume that Obieto wants to be getting the start, I could definitely feel okay stacking the brewers here. Of course, Christian Yelch now on the IL due to COVID. So we can't use Yelch, but I do think that the rest of this team is viable from a stacking perspective. Haven't seen a brewer's lineup yet, likely because they didn't know the hand in this, the opposing pitcher. So we'll check in on that once it's up. But I would say if you are someone who does listen to both the solo shot and this, the big change is I think the brewers are in play for stacking under the assumption that it's Obieto or just a bullpen game for the pirates for today. Let's talk to Jackie over on Twitch. Are you stacking the Phillies because of Hideki Matsui? Hideki Matsui is probably 50 right now, and I still think he might be able to hit a home run. So we can pull some strings. If we can get Hideki Matsui, I'm going to say Matsuyama. Hideki Matsui back in the big leagues. Also, Jack, your mind is it is Dinger Tuesday. So get your bets in for Dinger Tuesday today over a Fandal Sportsbook. Jackie says that was, what was the promotion event for DFS baseball tonight? I wasn't sure what exactly meant by the money for home runs. Well, funny you should ask, you got that pulled up right over here. They're giving away $500 for each home run hit in Tuesday's MLB squeeze contest. So one home run equals $500 cash for one user. So what I'm guessing that means is if there are like 16 home runs hit across baseball for tonight, there will be like whatever 500 times 16 is. I don't actually want to do the math. I could do the math, but that's pretty difficult. 32, like 48, something like that. No, is that right? I don't know. Either way, either way, they're giving away money for home runs. It looks like whoever gets the first home run tonight will split $40,000 of everyone. So either way, free money, never turn that down. Let's talk to Savag over on YouTube. How do you feel about Tampa Bay? Let's go over here to the sheet and check out Tampa Bay facing Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery is not necessarily in the best of form right now. The sample I have on him is over his past six starts with decreased movement on his sinker. 4.01 skill interactive ERA is not bad, but he is letting up a lot of hard contact and a lot of fly balls. The reason I probably won't get to the race personally for tonight is because they are a much better team versus righties and versus lefties. You think about the rays, the key guys in that team outside of Nelson Cruz are Austin Meadows and Brandon Lau. Both those guys are lefty who do get downgraded against the lefty. So I think like Nelson Cruz could work as a one-offs to them on. I think that I could definitely feel good about that. But from a full stacking perspective, they're tough to get to just because I don't tend to use them as much versus lefties. But again, Cruz does help back quite a bit. Jackie says, you're trying to bet Hideki Matsui. You bet on the Masters winner, Hideki Matsuyama. Okay. So you bet on the guy who won the Masters. You can't go too wrong there, Jackie. You should be okay there. Let's talk to Kyle. I was hoping to use Zimmerman as a one-off today. Any other options you like at first base for the same salary? So I'm assuming that means he's not in the lineup. Boo. That's annoying. So no Zimmerman. What is Josh Bell's salary out of curiosity? He's, whoa, $3,600. Okay. Just kidding. He was like 3,000 a couple of days ago. So I guess that's out. I do think that a good one, assuming Kyle, you're playing on Fandall, you can use a catcher slash shirt for a spaceman is old Mitch Garver. He is going to be betting fourth for today for the twins against Tyler Alexander. Good matchup for the twins. Garver has a lot of power overall, but also versus lefties. So I think that Mitch Garver's really saw an option. He's $100 less than Zimmerman was. So I would say Mitch Garver's going to be your go-to guy in that salary range at catcher slash first base. Let's talk to Jerry, favorite stature today. He likes Washington, Philadelphia, Boston, Miami, and the Cubs. How would you rate those? So I'll start with the Cubs. The last one on Jerry's list, it depends. We saw Javier Baez hit last night, but I think the injury that he has is more so due to, or Morgan's still going to impact fielding. So I don't know if he'll be in the field today, despite the fact he was able to hit last night. So waiting to see how that cranks out. If Baez plays, I like the Cubs a lot. If he doesn't play, I still like him. I think they work, but I would put them a bit lower on the list. Washington, very good option for me personally. Facing that more, there are much better team versus lefties and versus righties. So definitely like Washington. Philadelphia is facing Eric Feddy. I can get behind that as well. They wind up being lower on my list because they're not a great offense, but I can still get to, especially like Bryce Harper, and the actually good individual guys in that team, I will like for sure. Boston is facing off with Robbie Ray. Hard pass for me. Want no part of that. I know they had a couple of home runs against them last week and they're seeing him again, but I want no part of that. And then Miami is facing Spencer Watkins. I just don't like a lot of the Marlins hitters. I will say that Lewin Diaz, I think he's probably minimum salary fed, I guess. 20, or yeah, $2,000. So a minimum salary. If you need like a minimum salary guy to use for tonight, Diaz is interesting because had a lot of power in the minors, hits a ton of fly balls, a couple of bingers in 12 plate or 17 plate periods in the majors. So I would say from like a one-off perspective, you need like a true, true punt. Diaz is someone who grades up pretty well there. Probably not going to stack the Marlins because the overall team strength is lower, but Diaz specifically as a one-off is something I'm interested in. Let's talk to Sivan on YouTube. How do you feel about the Cardinals? Cardinals are facing Cal Quantrell. The reason I didn't get to, or the Cardinals for stacking today is because Quantrell is someone who does have kind of extreme platoon splits where you do want to use lefties against him. The problem with the Cardinals is most of their guys I want to use for DFS are righties. So you could use Dylan Carlson. I'm not a big fan of Tommy Edmond versus righties, but I think that like Dylan Carlson as a one-off could work and the righties aren't out of play. You know, Quantrell is not like amazing versus righties by any means, but I think that he's good enough against them where I would lower expectations for that set lineup. And because just the offense in general is not great, that does hurt me there. So let's actually just pull up here and see what Quantrell has done as a starter versus right-handed hitters to see what we can do there. We're going to change this to be just 2021 to lower that sample. Okay. 164 batters faced. Strikeout rate is 12%. So very low strikeout rates, but a lot of ground balls, not a lot of hard contact. So yeah, I would say maybe Carlson is a one-off, but overall the Cardinals lower on my list because of what Quantrell does versus righties. Let's talk to Alvin thoughts on the Reds and priorities for the Blue Jays. So the Reds are facing off with Albert Alsalay. He is very much an extreme platoon split-sky where lefties club him, righties don't. So I think that Jesse Winker, Joey Vado worked for one-offs. Tyler Naikwin's been pretty rough in July. And I was looking into him before the show, trying to decide, can I get to him given how much Alsalay has struggled with lefties? And the bad at ball numbers in July for Naikwin really underwhelming. So I saw Anthony on YouTube asked about a mini Redstack for tonight. I don't hate that with Vado and with Winker specifically. Those two lefties I think could be piece of solid. So if you have like two slots, do you want some power in there? I would say Vado and Naikwin would work there. As far as priorities to Blue Jays, the lineup is out, I believe. Yeah. So Springer, it is as expected to sit with Gouriel flipping up to 6th as opposed to Gritchick. So let's go over here and pull up the Blue Jays numbers versus righties. I should know these by heart by now, just because I feel like we stacked Toronto like 80 bajillion times in the past month. But just to keep ourselves honest, given that I did underestimate Randall Gritchick last night. Okay, so we're going to go Vlad 1, obvious. There's no reason to expand upon that. It is Vlad 1. I'll go Springer 2, 329 ISO versus righties in 82 plate appearances. That's sweet. Marcus Semian 3, I'll go Boba Chet number 4. So Gouriel's moved to 6th, but he's still not the biggest power guy. So I think I would go with Teosgar, take the guy higher in the order, put him 5th, and then I would go Gritchick 6th and Gouriel 7th. I know, again, Gouriel's batting ahead of Gritchick, but I do still like him. So Vlad Springer, Semian, Chet, Teosgar, Gritchick, Gouriel, the ranking of the Blue Jays for today. Jackie says he likes the Reds lineup versus the Cubs tonight because Patrick has hit hard. Yeah, especially about lefties. So again, I think that, sorry, Winker and Votto, good one-offs or mini stacks for today on the Reds. Let's talk to Mason over on Twitter. Would stacking the Astros tonight be good? Let's go over here and check out the Astros. They are facing Chris Flexin does a really good job of suppressing our contact in general. As you can see here is hard contact rates actually higher than I remember it being. So let's actually pull up the gain logs here for Flexin and see if that's a legit change, if it's a blip, if it's leading to some poor results or not. And then we can determine how we feel about the Astros there. Astros have not seen it a bit, so no familiarity here. The results still very good. So I would be okay passing over the Astros for tonight. I think there are other good stacks, full slate of 15 games, not the best park either. So I'm okay being lower on the Astros just for today. I'll probably back on them very soon. DJ, do you like Alcantra versus Baltimore with a Houston stack? Who do you recommend? Again, Houston not super high on my list for today. As far as Alcantra goes, his strikeout rate has been down a lot recently. 18% strikeout rate over his past eight starts with all third changeup movement. That's not ideal. Now it goes on the road, has to face a team of the DH. So personally, Alcantra not super high on my list. When you combine the rougher form with the trip on the road, team with the DH, I think that's enough to push Alcantra lower on my list for tonight. Savon on YouTube. Dodger stack today or not? Face the Logan Web. I think Logan Web is pretty good. He especially is good at suppressing fly balls. And I think that was true before he went on the ILTs. Let's actually open this up here and see what Web looks like if we look at the full season. So including the time before his injury. The numbers I have in my sheet are just as he came back. It's a three start sample with a limited pitch count. So do you want to expand things here and see what else we can get there? He's been pretty good for the full season too. A lot of ground balls. So not a Dodger's night for me. Logan Web. Pretty good pitcher. I don't want to use him as a pitcher for DFS tonight because I think the pitch count is probably going to be 70. I guess 80 or 90. Actually pitch count should be pretty high. But Dodgers repeat matchup. That's tougher for me to get to. Jerry, do you like Kenton Maeda and Tyler Anderson? If so, who would you take? So Anderson got scratched. He got traded. So no there. He'll probably start on Thursday for the Phillies, it sounds like. So that's the change there. I haven't seen an updated starter for the Pirates yet. Let's see here if they've announced that yet. It doesn't appear they have. I'm assuming it's Luis Webier though, but we'll see if that's confirmed before we go off the air for today. As far as Kenton, I do like him. He is my number four pitcher for today. Facing on the Tigers, I don't think that's a good matchup anymore. They're still a high strikeout team, but they're they're a tough team with how they've been hitting. So it's not a matchup thing with Kenton. It's more so just he's a good baseball player thing. The Silver's seven starts since he returned from the IL 31% or 31% strikeout rate, 3.60 skill interact VRA, really good contact suppression skills. So it's not like an elite matchup by any means. It's also very warm for today. And that's why I have him below Dylan Cease. I just like the matchup better for Cease and I like the length that are for Cease as well. That's why Cease is three. Kenton is four, but Kenton is very much in consideration of someone I'm willing to use. Let's talk to Adrian over on YouTube and he stacks on the Yankees for today. Yankees facing Shane McClanahan. I think he's great. So personally, I will not. He suppresses hard contact, gets a lot of strikeouts, going deeper in games now. So no Yankees me. I believe Aaron Judd just came off the COVID IL. So that does help them, but still no Yankees for me. Let's talk to Rudne over on YouTube. How do you feel about Caprellian at San Diego? Value pitchers, Maid and Cease have upside, but on the game log, they don't quite get the quality start bonus. Yeah. I mean, the pitch count for Maid has been a concern all year. So I think that's a fair reason to have some concerns. As far as Caprellian goes, the reason I'm not getting there against the Padres is low strike area for them. And he's had some contact issues. This is over his past five stars that you were sliders, 41% hard hit rates, 40% fly ball rate. And against a good team, that can get you in trouble. So I think that the downside dimension for Cease and Maid are fully fair. And for Cease, it's more so efficiency with pitches versus pitch count, whereas Maid, it's pitch count. And that's a fair concern for sure. But I do think that Caprellian, the matchup kind of tough, so I'm okay glossing over. And if you want to value play the Rudne, I would say Charlie Morton is right in that range too. I like him a lot. Facing out the Mets, no length concerns there. Went 107 and 102 his past two starts, a lot of strikeouts, not the worst matchup in the world. So if you want to value play, I would go with Charlie Morton. Jackie on Twitch, going with Nelson Cruz, Jesse Winker and Juan Soto for the home run challenge in DFS. I don't find anybody to push back on there. I think they're all good. So I think that those are some solid selections, Jackie. No objections there. Let's talk to Alvin on YouTube. Do you like Alcides Escobar in a national stack? I've not checked in on Alcides in about a week. So let's dive back in here. He used to be my arch nemesis back in the day when Ned Yost would bat him lead off, even though they had like hard hit, Whit Merrifield in there. And I just, it would drive me crazy because I want to stack the Royals and it made it harder because Alcides Escobar was batting lead off and did nothing. As the samples got larger on Alcides, the power has definitely come back to earth. Just a 113 ISO thus far, 2.8% barrel rates. Before he got recalled, he had a 177 ISO and AAA. So this is probably a line to who we should expect going forward. I don't really want to get there personally if I could gloss over it just because it's not a lot of power. It's only 23 plate appearances versus lefties. So I think we'll have to keep faith in the overall sample. So I do think that I'm okay being lower on Escobar if you can avoid him. If you got to do it to make the stack work, I think it's okay, but turn or so to a bell, I'd rank Harrison above him or rank Kaibum above him, even though Kaibum is batting sixth. I would still go Kaibum above Alcides for today. Michael was asking who would we prioritize on Washington after turn or so to a Kaibum. So good question. Good timing there. Michael, let's go over here and check out the numbers versus lefties. I'm pretty sure Josh Harrison is a viable option for DFS versus lefty. Josh Bell has been hitting the ball pretty well recently. So I think those will probably be the primary guys for me, but I do want to check that just to be safe. Josh Bell versus lefties, 250 iso, sweet, 162 for Harrison, 39% fly ball rate that is high enough for me to be good with him. So let's check out Harrison's salary. He is 28, I think, 28 for Harrison. So to me, I would say let's get my colors in there. Let's go Turner and Soto. And that means I'm probably going to need to scramble a bit at Sowers. Let's go Kaibum and put him at third base. And I'll probably wind up going Harrison, I guess, just because the salary savings for him are so much better than with Josh Bell. So I don't think this is a bad stack for the Nats. $2,700 left is kind of sketchy and it does make you scramble. But with the twins having a lot of value, I do think that that helps out quite a bit. Jackie says, going to put $25 back in my account for the Dinger Tuesday, need to hit it tonight, been so cold on my bets recently. Good luck, Jackie. Hope it goes well. But best of luck. I think that if you're on guys like Winker, Soto, Cruz should be in a good spot there. I don't, looking at like actual odds, the twins odds were shorter than I thought they'd be. So twins might not be from a betting perspective in the first place I go. I didn't mention them, but as an addendum to what I talked about this morning and liking the twins. Dr. Kenneth, thoughts on a Cardinal stack. Also a great call in the Astros yesterday. They worked really well at the beginning of that game and kind of cooled off later. I live on the East Coast. I went to bed and I was feeling good about the Astros stack. Didn't move a whole lot after I went to bed. Shohei did, which helped, but like little bummed. Either way, it worked out. So I can't complain in the order of it. As far as a Cardinal stack, again, it kind of comes down to the handedness against Quantrill. He does such a good job of contact suppression versus righties. Rightie heavy lineup. I'm okay being lower on them as a result of that. DJ is asking, if I did it, Julio Arias is my pitcher. Who should I stack? He's in the same range as Morton and all those guys at $8,700. I'm not a big fan of Arias for tonight just because I think it's a repeat matchup with the Giants. Let me check that. That might not be accurate. Pretty sure it's a repeat matchup though. Yeah, a repeat matchup. His strikeout rate does go down versus righties. So I would be lower on Arias, but I think it's the same stacks as everyone else if you're using Arias for tonight. Jerry is asking, are we in on the Braves for tonight? The Atlanta Braves are facing a bullpen game for the Mets. The Mets bullpen is not infallible, I would say. So I think you could get there. I am not going to actively seek them out because I'm guessing it'll be, I think it's Drew Smith. I don't think they've actually announced who will be starting. I thought it would be Drew Smith, but I didn't actually see if that was, oh, it's Jared Icoff. Yeah, so probably Icoff for a couple innings and then Smith at some point. I think you can stack the Braves for tonight. They're not going to be high on the list. I don't expect a lot of Icoff, but I do think that they are in play. Savon, how do you feel about the Cubs today, Chris Bryant, home run in Wrigley Fields? Potentially his last one, maybe, before he gets traded? So yeah, I think that they work. I do like them quite a bit. Again, it depends on if Javier Baez plays, because that does improve the entire line if he's in there. I don't think he will just, oh, yep, he's in there. Just kidding. Go Cubs. Cubs stacked today. Javier Baez back in the lineup. Bryant's good. Ortega good for a low salary play. Rizzo good. Contreras good. Cubs are a good stack for today with Javier Baez back in there. Jerry's home run calls are Ozzy Albies. Austin Riley and Danesby Swanson I'd assume in there. Yeah, I think that they could do well again, not as high on them, just because wouldn't expect Icoff to go super deep, but they definitely do work. Jackie Soto somehow leads in ads and home runs versus lefties. He's one of the best hitters in the league versus lefties, despite being a leftie. Jackie says he normally avoids lefty and lefty matches, but Soto is disgusting. He's absurd versus lefties. Defuses asking if we should buy low on a Rios. I think that that's okay in general, because this pitch count's been up recently, but I want to wait until he's not facing the Giants for a second consecutive game. So holding off there will be an eventually, but not for tonight, given the repeat matchup. Keyboy DFS asking, do you like a Toronto stack? Shockingly, yes. Who could have guessed that against Garrett Richards? Richards actually was pretty good last time out. I was very frustrated, honestly, watching him pitch because he was getting some pretty bad swings and misses against him. They did eventually get to him as they got more exposure to that new change up, and now they're seeing him in repeat time. So yeah, I think that the Blue Jays kind of by default have to be the top stack for tonight. Let's talk to DJ, sorry, DJ. Mason is asking, your favorite play for tonight? I'm assuming this is pitcher. I would say Lance McCullers. I like McCullers quite a bit facing the Mariners. I know the Mariners got to least Garcia last night, but he also had nine strikeouts against them. McCullers been really good recently. This is past five starts with more sliders and fewer curveballs. 32% strikeout rate facing a team with a 26% strikeout rate. So to me, Lance McCullers a 10-5. It is high-salary, but we can do it for today. And I think that the NAT stack we had before was with him. It was. So we can make that work for sure, given the low-salary guys. Let's talk to, okay, so Michael posted the Cubs line up there. That's good. Alvin is asking for a single entry pitcher. So it's between Morton and McCullers for me. And I can honestly see it going either way. I haven't really decided on what I want to do for single entry tonight. And I do want to play single entry because it's a 15-game slate. For me, the larger the slate, the more I want to play single entry just because it's so hard to cover all your bases when you're doing it other ways. So let's check out, oopsies, wrong ways. So if we're trying to judge roster rates, McCullers probably going to be a little bit higher than Morton. So I think it could go Morton. I wouldn't push back on either of those. So I would say Alvin, go with your gut between those two guys. Between McCullers and Morton, both are good. Right now, I'm probably leaning towards McCullers, but it's tough. I think both guys are very viable. Jerry is saying they do a Byron Buxton and Trey Talks. They do. Jerry, it breaks my heart. Every single time the tweet comes up about Buxton being involved in Trey Talks, my heart dips a little bit more. I get more nervous. Apparently, it might not happen until the offseason. So at least I have two more months, my darling, darling boy, to watch him play baseball before he gets traded elsewhere. And I will cherish those two months to be sure. DJ is asking, Cease versus Kansas City, yes. I think that that works for sure. Cease is my number three pitcher. Got McCullers, one. I've got Morton, two. Dylan, Cease, three. High strikeout guy facing a not elite offense by any means. The reason I can't get higher than three for Cease and I can't go to Cease outside of tournaments is that it's a really bad hitting or pitching environment. 93 degrees in Kansas City. That's great for home runs, great for offense in general. So that's why I can't get higher. But I think from an upside perspective, Cease, one of the better upside guys for tonight, given the strikeout rate, given that it does have a log pitch count, just need to be more efficient with this pitches. Kansas City is kind of free swing image helps, but that does keep them third on the list for me right ahead of Kansas and my ADA. Okay. So Jerry's home run calls are Soto, Devers and Stanton. Devers is facing Robbie Ray. That's pretty tough. So you'll probably be by yourself, which is good on that one. Robbie Ray does let up dingers, but very high strikeout guy. Soto, always good. And I know it's against the lefty, but again, as we're talking about with these DeFuse or Jackie Moon, Soto disgusting versus lefties too. Jean-Carlo Stanton is, I believe, facing a pretty good pitcher, if I recall correctly. Oh yeah, McClanahan. So Jerry's targeting some pretty good pitchers there. I like it. It'll be bold, Jerry. Should be by yourself. So good luck with that one. Any updated forecast on the weather in Boston? Let's go over here. Check out what dark sky weather is saying. We'll refresh this one last time. Number fire pulls via dark sky weather. So we'll see what their timeline says for tonight. Looks like we should be okay, because that has the rain rolling in sometime between nine and 10 o'clock. So I would say we're good to go, Todd. Hopefully it's a situation where they get that game started. If it's the same way that I was going through Syracuse, I live in Syracuse earlier on today, there was a storm, but it was pretty fast. So feeling optimistic for right now. Michael says the $1,900 savings of Morton as opposed to McCallers is quite tempting to go with and spend up a bat. I agree. The reason that it didn't go automatic in Morton in that sense is that a lot of people probably think that, which could lower the rostrator of McCallers. So I agree. Like if you have a lot of high salary guys who want to use, like if you want to go nuts on the Blue Jays, which honestly, you should, I do think that Morton would make more sense there. I'm okay going with like a twin stack to save some salary. I could probably go Blue Jays there too. Let's actually just do a twin stack here quick. While we're here, just for funsies, we're going to go with Rooker. Get a Rooker rocket in there. And we're going to go with Garver. And then I want Donaldson and Polanco and see where we're at there. And Polanco at, I guess we'll go shortstop. So that leaves us at 33.25. If you go with like Grinchick or Gouriel, you could probably get some good Blue Jays in there. So it is kind of dicey, but I think I can make it work. And I could go Polanco at third or second base if I want to get Turner and go with a nut stack. So the twins work pretty well with both the nuts and the, what was the other time I was talking about? They work well with the Nationals. They work well with the Blue Jays. So we're going to make that work, but you do have to, you do want the salary savings if you are going with the Blue Jays for today. I would try to get the Blue Jays with my colors and see if that works. And I think it will. So we'll see how that goes. That is all the time that we have here for today, Betta. But as always, we are back once again tomorrow for PM to talk about your MLB DFS lineups. So make sure you are subscribed on the Fandl YouTube, Twitch, Facebook, or Twitter pages. So go there, hit subscribe, come back once again tomorrow at four PM Eastern and talk some more MLB DFS. Big thank you to Brandon Kajoula for the lead in for today. Follow Brandon Twitter at Kajoula 13. Big thank you to Joy Affleck, our video producer for today. Thank you Joy once again as always. And thank you to everyone for tuning in. Good luck to you tonight. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow. This has been the Fandl Live Q&A.