 The following is a presentation of TFNN, The Power Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now David White. Welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. It doesn't matter where you're at as long as you're here at this time. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. So we've got a big bounce, volume was fairly light early in the day. We're going to take another look, move out of the way there. We've got some decent volumes, a little lighter than yesterday, 6.6 billion shares on the CBOE consolidated tape, and if you're ever wondering what I look at, I'll be glad to give you the link. Just email me at path at TFNN.com. We were looking for a bounce, we've got the bounce today. What I dislike about it is that the market has pretty much headed south every time we have the TLT wanting to tank. The low of the day was 143.46 printing, 143.90 right now in the TLT and that's the 10-20 year bond combination, good one to keep an eye on. So I would be more on the reticent side of getting out why the getting is good. If some miracle happens and we see the TLT get back up above 145, 145.5, I think the rally can persist. If I just look at the TLT today, it continues to look a lot, I'll be cleaning this up here a little bit for you. It's going to go down and get that 148 no matter what. Yeah, 138, excuse me. Let's go back a little farther here. That gap, there we go, just a little bit more room here. There we go. That gap up happened on June 8th with 11 million shares. My guess is that's where support comes back in. We had the opportunity to break back above the downtrend and gave it up today. We closed almost above it two days ago on Friday. Yesterday actually did close right at the downtrend line. Today, it started heading down. I thought they'd get pretty active at the Treasury and the Fed and prop bonds up a bit, but no, it looks like we've had one big gap down that started on the 23rd of September. We had the second big gap down on the 28th of September. My guess is we're going to get one more big gap down now. I thought maybe the Fed would get, maybe the Treasury guys would all get going with it, but no, not a goose eggs. I think it's right now, unless they do something fairly significant over the next day or so, I suspect we're going to, you know, you may get the Fed money and it may come into the equities a bit, but the overall broad indexes are going to be very tough to keep up if the TLT keeps heading lower. Lower, lower. Give me call today 877-927-6648 and see what else we have. I knew I had it somewhere here. And I'll find it eventually, but I can't find it at the moment. We'll go ahead, though. Anyway, if there's two things, it's a bonds, James bonds, since he's coming out this week, Taiwan, Taiwan and Taiwan. Of course, I thought the Chinese would try to lay off. They went back at it again, flying over the island nation of Taiwan. Interesting. I thought that they probably had rattled the sabers. This is all, of course, a vacation week for everybody in China. I don't know if that's part of it. But continuing to do this probably will make the resolve of many of the others out there, Japan and Australia, primarily in a lot of the small nations, worried about the Japanese version, although this time it would be with China of World War II, where they continue to just eat up all the countries anywhere close to them for their precious natural resources and just the control they get. But that's kind of it at the moment. So I'm keeping a very close eye on the TLT. But that would be it. Yeah, do we have kind of a bounce a little higher? I'm just glad that I'm kind of out of all my long positions, except one, which will continue to do better the more the Chinese get military like. Again, that's kind of it. Let's do a little history and then we'll move on to the rest of the show as we go on. I already did that. I did that following. Stop that. Here we go. During the War of 1812, a combined British and Native American forces defeated by General Harrison's soon to be a president. American Army at the Battle of Thames in Ontario, Canada. The leader of the Native forces was Tecumseh, the Shawnee Chief who organized intertribal resistance to the encroachment of the white settlers on the native lands. He was killed in the fighting. And of course, this is when our friends to the north came down and burned our White House Canadians. You got to watch them very closely. Anyway, that's kind of it. Just decided to be kind of a big pain. And we had to chase him down, I guess. You don't want to be on the losing side, I guess, is the lesson of today. We'll get to the rest of the stocks that are moving out here, though. Keep a close eye. Up 64 points on the S&P Dow up 439. Nasdaq up 240. What was the Russell here up 12? Gold was down like about 12 bucks earlier down five bucks. Crude oil, 79, 14. Probably one of the more interesting ones since that's a very artificially high price, mostly because of the current political. View of fossil fuels could easily be 50 bucks. They let it. Big tax on the lowest income earners in the United States. We'll be back in a minute. Are you grinding in the market, but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find the path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit TFNN.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk free with our 30 day money back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right. Information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market profile based scanner powered by its acclaimed TAS proprietary algorithms. 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Live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN. Educating investors. Call now. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. As we return the market already in progress of 63, 64 points, at probably a fairly decent resistance level, you'd like to see about 12 billion shares today. We'll see what that does. Of course, you can always email me at path at TFNN.com. And I just remembered the parody version of the War of 1812 song. And that was the Where Are the Boys from Cap Kungamanga. Man, I remember that now. That was kind of like a, what was that guy's name on Sunday night that used to play the weird songs, Dr. Demento, that's what it was. Anyway, what else do we have going on here? Let's get, let's go ahead and get to looking at some charts already. We looked at that. The, I was very interested in how the market would react when they found out that there is a possible strike going on for everybody in film production, film, movie production. A huge move here today. And I don't know if that's going to last or if that was just running the shorts out before it. But the union voted with 90% of the union members voting, 98% to strike. So this may not be as easy as everybody had, but it seems like the market, if you find something that has a weakness, everybody wants to buy it even before the weakness has shown up. But certainly a big day, but not a lot of volume at Netflix. See if there's anything going on with Disney on that. They haven't actually struck yet. They just voted to let them strike. Maybe the more of an issue for the newer streamers like Walt Disney that need a lot more content than Netflix that has a lot of content made. And the other thought I have is maybe it bounced on the thought that they wouldn't be spending any money because that's what they kind of got and beaten up over for the last quarters in Netflix. Disney up a little bit again, very, very light volume up here. And did I do this? I can't remember if I did this, but I had a request. Dave's not here. Yes, I am. So just to say that. I've got a few more questions about NVIDIA in the IDE. You know, I mean, we're back here to where you would want to buy again. Bounce on fairly light volume. You're going right into the downtrend on NVIDIA. You get 20 million shares, a little less than that against 34 to the downside yesterday. And it's just hard for me to believe that no matter what anybody's saying, even though this is a little bit on sale, that everybody isn't worried about Taiwan semiconductor and being invaded by the Chinese. A lot of people think that they would probably sabotage a lot of the machines in production there. And if they did, it may be several years before we start seeing any kind of quantity of any semizer. Just won't be a shortage. There will be a blight on all of it. And you just never know. But I think these semi-connectors, although supply is OK, demand is great. The worry of waking up one day and to seeing the Chinese all swimming over to Taiwan to take it over after Chiang Kai-shek. Always like saying that. Chiang Chi-shek can't even say it now. King. Is it King Kai? Can't remember now. Anyway, all the capitalists ran off to the island where the communists took over the rest of the country. And, of course, it bloomed a lot faster than China did. China is trying to catch up and go over there and borrow their neighbors goods and wares. Just don't want the land. They want all that ability to make semi-conductors to rule and imprison the rest of the world. Doesn't look like they're wanting it for any good purpose. Anyway, Nvidia, nice little bounce up today. You got a couple of them that are up. AMD, I was thinking AMD would do better. It is above the downtrend line. I don't know if there's a lot of weakness here. With the TLT up, I don't want to be really pushing it now that we've had the bounce. In fact, I got out of the last long position that had to do with semis this morning and want to stay rather loose. In fact, I'm kind of on the side of being a bit bearish here just on that TLT, so we'll keep a close eye on it. But, yeah, we see a nice run into the close on the TLT. I suspect that gives us all the information we need to know without some kind of major intervention. We're probably going to 138 on the TLT. Advanced micro, as we said, up on light volume, which doesn't make you feel good. We'll see what the end of the day comes in. We have almost nothing in earnings. And the Chinese markets all closed until Friday, so not much going on there. This may be one of the reasons why all the action is happening, why the markets are closed for China. They may all stop on Thursday night, hopefully. But that continues it. What's let's take a look at the SMHs real quick. We've been looking at these things kind of trying to break through the lows of the uptrend on the bottom side of the SMH. You had a lot of volume yesterday with 4.8 million shares. You got about two and a half million shares so far still hasn't broken above the downtrend either. You may have one more day up on that. What else do we have? Facebook was getting a grill on earlier this morning. Didn't have a chance to watch it, but they were back in front of Congress. I think everybody's trying to defend it now on Wall Street. I heard some fairly unrobust thinking running around about it doesn't matter on Facebook, but, you know, reputational points, goodwill still mean for something. And these guys have a whole lot of nothing and they also may have an opening now to dig into more of the emails and find some stuff that may be in context, maybe out of context, but will be used out of context, no matter how or what to make Facebook try to get away from going after a kid's version of Facebook, specifically. Just a spinning top inside day so far for Facebook, a volume about half of what it was yesterday and this isn't anywhere close to breaking back above a trend line down and probably going to be beat on for a while. We'll be back after this. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex Predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. As we return a question, should you get Windows 11? We talked about this, I don't know, two weeks ago. If you got, it's a free upgrade, don't have to worry about it. Support for Windows 10 continues for four years from today. At that time, there will be no support anymore for reinstallation and or security upgrades at all. And if you're familiar with the way Microsoft works, probably within a year, they're not gonna spend a lot of time. Though the worst-offending security issues will get an update for Windows 10, but they'll have moved on as many people have. But I still haven't got my trusted platform module, although I ordered it some time ago. Probably not gonna be around until the 20th of October. I don't see any reason to upgrade without it and let them get some of the early bugs fixed. Probably one of the biggest reasons for Microsoft pushing out Windows 11 is they can have new laptops that look a little bit faster, need a cleaner, more Mac-like is what a lot of people are saying. But we came down on some fairly decent volume, even after the discussions of the buyback. But on the 28th of September, you had 43 million shares down. Today you're up on about 15 million shares so far. Still, could you get another two, three bucks out of this? You could. I'm not a big fan of being short this or a lot of other companies can be a lot worse off if the market starts heading lower. But certainly maybe a couple more bucks would be where the next ABC down could set up to the extent that they don't buy shares back. Just looking to see anything else is going on here that really makes me wanna go home, but not. So we'll go through the rest of the usual sus specs today. Amazon continues to come down. We've been waiting for a long time for this gap at 3,400. When it came down, we were thinking that these gaps down below at just under 3,200 would be the ones that would start to get challenged. Certainly we hit that yesterday. Not a lot of volume, but certainly more than the August 20th low in Amazon. The gap up was only 3.3 million shares that goes back to May 14th. And you had another big day, 4.6. It's not a blowout. I think a lot of people are expecting the shortages for Christmas to continue. And therefore, Amazon probably not doing as well as it did a year ago, just on supply constraints from a great deal of different products. So I think that's kind of the thought right now. When those things ease, if they do, and we're not in World War III with China over them taking over Taiwan, kind of a big thing. But I think someone told me some 60% of everything Amazon sells comes from China. That's always a big risk in a company of that size to have everything coming, or not everything, but most everything coming for something. Oh, on, oh, on. So we're on with oh, on, I guess. If I can quite make it over to the end. Let's see, let's take a look at this one. Um, distribution sports products worldwide, it offers its products through infinite retailers online based out of Switzerland. Company was founded in 2010, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, a place that I have been. The broadcasting convention was always in Montreux, Switzerland, in the middle of the summer. And it's damn hot there. And you couldn't get a hotel with an air conditioner there. That was in the 90s. I don't know what was wrong with them, but talk about hot and miserable, although on Lake Montreux. But all I remember is being hot and miserable and being stuck with the guy that ran the English, the England office in Surrey and him just saw on logs. I got no sleep in four days and I went home. Okay. Don't see ants up today. You got no volume though. Again, I don't know a lot. It's based in Switzerland. I, you know, if any stock today, I would worry about the supply chain and I don't know enough about this one for the supply chain to Switzerland. My guess is everything's being made in China too or made at least in Malaysia or Vietnam, if it's clothing. So I'd keep an eye on it. Maybe it's made me India. Anyway, it hasn't broken above the three by three. I really just kind of fell there. So you're up against resistance. Any pop above that, you'd probably want a little bit of a pullback and then the next pop-up might be what moves if the abroad market does too. Up 67 on the S&P cash. Okay. Getting ready to go challenge the lows again in TLT. We'll do a drive-by on it real quick. 143, 46. The only thing you can say about today is low volume so far in the TLT. That's September 28th low, 143, 46. What's the low of the day here? 143, 46. So we've tested the low. Got lighter volume, 12 million shares, but I don't know if it's gonna matter a lot if it close at these lows once again. So again, we'll keep an eye on it, but it's dancing around all over the lows. It may not be a good close for the TLT. Okay. How do I get back? Okay, let's go back and look at some other stuff. Do you feel any different about Twitter? Most of these socials have the exact same problem that Facebook has. Twitter has a bigger problem in that it has the same kind of overreaching problems that Facebook has without all the great monetization. So, if you had a beer commercial, this would be the less filling of here. You had more volume yesterday than you had on September 13th, and you have a little bounce. I thought at best this is a $38 stock and I've thought about it for a long time. When it went to $80.75 back there, if I'm not mistaken, that was one of the times there was a big lie about what they were going to do. The move back up to $73.34 was yet another big lie about how they were going to make a bunch of money and subscriptions. I don't think that anybody's going to believe much of what they have to say in the near term, other than if they're making a lot of money. We're going to have to bring it. We'll be back after this. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets, Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value, or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. From the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating, Tiger Real Estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market. 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The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, four-side fund services, LLC. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. As we return, we got a call from Andre in Colorado. He wants to talk about Tesla. How you doing today, Andre? Oh, I'm doing great. I just wanted to compliment. I love your program. I listen to it every day. I'm a professional trader and I made some money off some of your stuff. So I was just wondering if you could set up Tesla for me using your methodology. I see a nice double top, conventional technical analysis, swing point around six, I think 670, 665. And what is it, seven? I'm sorry, seven, 6500, 800. I'm looking to go short. I'm looking at a target down to 670. So could you set up, see what you think on Tesla? Yeah. You've got you've got a very, well, I wouldn't say extremely, but you've got a fairly un-energetic leg up from the 546-98. You tested the previous high on really, what, 50 million to 30 million? Probably good round thing. I'm kind of looking at the daily, the daily little double top on just like month or two months. I see that you have on, you know, a lot of huge. Yeah, you see the little, yeah, the double top. And what I like is the light energy from less low, I've got it in my power log vector. Here's what I dislike and why I haven't pulled the trigger on this yet. On the 29th and 30th, people started getting froggy and started getting the short interest in the daily. At about 18, 19%, which is nothing compared to a couple of years ago, but we only got 13% short sellers yesterday in it. And so I'm not really kind of surprised that we don't have a lot going on this today. I like it. It's going to be a reversal today, didn't it, dude? Somewhat of a reversal. It was up, up 10. Now it's unchanged or down a little. Yeah, I call it a spinning top. I call it a spinning top, which isn't a whole lot of anything. Generally what I want is some kind of pattern develop up there that tells you it's okay. And I would say that the first part of that would be a close below a three by three. Let's look at some of the bigger, longer ones here. Let's go to a seven by five. I mean, you almost need 10 bucks down to get any kind of selling started on this significantly. So my guess is that there's going to be something going on here. Maybe it's a news story. You're going to have to be fast-fingered on. They don't give you a lot of opportunity to get in and out of this stuff depending on what's going on. But I like the setup. I like the fact that there's a ton of new EVs coming out that we'll have to compete with. Most of those EVs will be getting an incentive that you won't be able to get with the Teslas because each company only gets Saturn or whatever, so much money. Tesla ran out of that a long time ago. So you could literally make these things fairly, you could have a good one. I'm thinking it's got to be the pickup that's really going to kick Tesla. And we've got a couple of them being shown. And I've been waiting to see, I know that the Rivian, I think the first one for sale came off the line last week. I'm waiting for just to start seeing some news articles on it that aren't deep inside trading. Kind of more general stuff of the Rivian of the Ford F-150 of some of these other ones. Biggest problem I think right now for the short on Tesla is the same problem that Tesla had, which is cars burning up. General Motors batteries are having problems. So Tesla still has some problems. They've been able to mitigate some of it, but not all of it, a great deal of it. The other car company is going to have to go through that same kind of teething pain. And I think I'm a technician, Dave. I'm thinking the, Did he just fall off? Yeah, just, I was just going to mention that I'm a technician, the fundamentals. That's all I know is Tesla wasn't invited to that AB conference. Yeah. And what does that mean? I don't think it means. It's invited to the ABV conference? I don't think it means a whole lot other than the rest of the car companies hate them because they don't have unions and they sell direct. So it's, there's a lot of the political infighting. I think the problem becomes much tougher when you can actually buy a car that you can trade in. I think a lot of people just go for that. They're not going to worry about keeping their old car and selling it. I see, I see. And especially with the confluence levels. Look at the beautiful off-trend. No doubt about it. Tesla's a cold stock. They're buying it, you know, for whatever reason, but look at all the different confluence levels that can be done with the A1, A2s. Just using the pivot point way down there, you can look at 38% retracement, 50%. So I'm thinking, Did you hear me, Dave? Yeah, you cut out a little bit for me. Oh, okay. Well, I'm just saying is the confluence level. So you look at the, you know, you can do the retracement, you're a double top on the small and the big off-trend. And yeah, there you've got the, it looks like you've got some of the Fibonacci retracement. I need a 38% retracement here from, let's see, the pivot point. Yeah, one of the pivot points that, I can't see the exact, I think that's very possible. Well, yeah, that's one of the reasons why I've been talking about this. I think they look really healthy. So I think it can come down quite hard, I'm thinking, but, and then the volume is not there on this. I think it's a nice short here, but, I could do one. Yeah, I'm just, I'm just waiting. I'll put my socks in. I've just always learned on Tesla to wait for some day where they actually run everybody and then it gives it up later in the day. So I'm kind of waiting for a bigger thing, but you're right on the confluence, but the confluence for the longer term goes from about 547 to 583. So there is a, you know, there's $200 down on this if I'm playing it. And that is going to be fairly decent support level. And you've tested it twice, 539 and 546. So yeah, I think that there's some fairly nice room in it. I think when I looked at the options yesterday, You mentioned a way back when you think that Tesla's a $50 stock, I definitely agree with that. Yeah, it's just, it's, I just see this is like in a way like AOL. Remember, AOL was the baby and where is it now? Yeah. Tesla is like the AOL of the EV. Yeah, anyway, that's what I'm looking for. I just want a brighter signal than taking a stab at it. Okay, I guess you gotta play it. Love your program. Thank you. And I'm not holding you down on your Tesla. Okay. Whatever way it goes, it goes. 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A little bit of fun buying coming in, the volume though, at least through now, 7.3 billion shares. I wouldn't call it wimpy, but I wouldn't call it some kind of sign of strength, either. I continue to be extremely worried about the direction of bonds in the TLT specifically. 143.76, we gap down again, and that may be the next 100 points down in the S&P. So I'd be a little wary about being long. I wouldn't worry about being long in our day, but if we gap down, it'll be an overnight thing. More than likely, we're gonna have some fairly significant action on Friday, starting on Thursday night in the futures. As China keeps, starts opening up again, we start seeing what they think. But we shall see. I'm just looking at a lot of stocks out here. Almost all of them are not bouncing much at all. Kind of all kind of just floating up a little bit, but nothing really showing me a big sign of strength. We shall see. But I think Wednesday, we got one day really to fund buying being totally over. For all I know, all the money's already come in already, or it will come in before the end of the day and not leave a whole lot until tomorrow. They start seeing the market come up and then everybody pushes their chips in. But that's kind of it. The fifth is really, what do you got? Three days, two days. Maybe get a little bit more in the morning, but I'd say we start seeing this market head lower tomorrow. The TLT below, let's say it gaps down a buck. I think we're gonna make a B line to 138, 139 on the TLT and it's gonna make a giant sucking sound that Ross Perot would be very happy hearing. But of course, he's dead, so you know. So when you can, not when you have to. We'll see you here tomorrow. Save that channel, save that time.