 Hey, what's going on? I am Greg Sussman joined today by Davis Maddock of dailyrotor.com Wish you to break down this weekend's PGA tournament. What's going on here Davis? Well, you know, it is a little bit of a come-down with the PGA schedule going from what was I mean that Sunday at the PGA Championship, I mean it was it was insane that leaderboard was was nuts and now we are coming to one of the one of the least prestigious events on on tour where we head to the Sedgfield Country Club to play the Wyndham Championship But you know, it's still gonna be great golf stronger field than we normally get for this event Just due to the way that the PGA tour schedule is working So still still some stuff for us to wager on still some bets that we like I was never worried about having bets that we liked but it is definitely a come-down from last weekend and PGA Champ is it was just awesome. We got gop in prime time We had a leaderboard leaderboard full of stars I mean everybody tied at the top 10 different people It felt like we're in the lead on Sunday at PGA championship before Colin Maracara walked away with victory with that unbelievable t-shot and Hopefully this weekend will be just as fun. So let's begin and let's start with the golfer that has low size that you like We begin at 33 to 1 and that is really Horschel So Horschel is a guy whose game has been extremely up and down since the restart But when we look at the Sedgfield Country Club, this this really is kind of an old man Grinders kind of course, you know, we see guys who hit it 280 off the tee You know, they hit their pitching wedge 120 yards like those guys actually can't succeed here We saw when Tiger Woods returned from his back injury This was one of the first golf courses that he did really well at with his new You know not bombing it off the tee game and Horschel really hits that profile And you know if you look at web Simpson versus Billy Horschel and you take strokes gained putting out of the equation They've been pretty similar golfers since the restart Horschel just hasn't been you know on fire with the putter So 33 to 1 we we really like Horschel. It's not one of these tournaments We've talked a lot about where it's all about the Bryson de Shambos We just bomb it down the course and you just pray with your putter here It's a little bit old man's game We're getting to a lot of that here in a few moments But Billy Horschel at 33 to 1 just with the ways of playing in this course setup. It works out He's 33 to 1 and it's worth placing a bet on One guy that you usually or I guess last season talked a lot more about was Sung Jae in sunny him at 34 to 1 He's no Benny on but Sung Jae in this week in a good spot at the Wyndham outcome So Sung Jae has been terrible since the restart he just he's been awful right like and and because he is such a Grinder he's still making these cuts, you know, there's literally been There there was a tournament where he had to birdie like a pretty difficult 18 pole to to make the cut And he hits a miracle approach shot from like 180 to make the birdie to make the cut And then he just you know t54s or whatever However, I think there are some signs that he is putting things together You know, he was not great at the PGA championship or anything like that But also, you know, he wasn't losing like a crazy amount of strokes Like he wasn't one of these guys who missed the cut going plus eight or anything like that And if you look at he's a long-term form He's still about 25th on tour in strokes gain total and this is an event where you know We're not seeing Rory McElroy. We're not seeing Bryson like we're not seeing these guys at the top of the board So I actually think that a really solid betting strategy this week is just pounding the mid-range of like I think you could bet, you know, six guys from 30 to 1 to 65 to 1 and have that be like a really profitable plus EV card and Sung Jae fits that mold for us I love when you start talking about a bet and say this guy's been terrible like that that really inspires confidence Just get ready to go. It does and Sung Jae will have the opportunity to at least bounce back here a little bit Make the cut and do some damage or so we hope at the wind of this week. It's a bit of a different feel It's a bit of a different feel as well. So hopefully here Sung Jae M will do enough to at least make it interesting on Sunday Staying in that same range a little bit greater. It's 41 to 1. It's Ryan Moore It's not the older guy. We're gonna get to a few moments Ryan Moore. He has had some success He has played a little bit better than Sung Jae M. He's at 41 to 1 this week Why is Ryan Moore on the card? So Ryan Moore is a favorite of data golf our our projections provider over at daily roto And you know, I actually think it's pretty easy to see why I mean He has been he's actually been playing above his baselines this year on the PGA tour like he is already what we think of as You know a pretty solid golfer overall 40 second on two were strokes gained off the tee 33rd on two were strokes gained approaching the green not a very good putter not a very good wedge player But you know like just just a very very a very solid player is I think how I would describe Ryan Moore and Very solid players in weaker fields are gonna get an edge and also he's a guy who has racked up You know five PGA tour wins over the course of his career. I think that win equity does matter It's always easier to bet on someone to win when they've already done it right and and Ryan Moore has already done it and More is one of like the three or four highest plus EV bets this week from data golf So we are definitely in on him this week at edge field Yeah It's just easier to get behind when they've done it before like you you've seen it right like you've seen it happen before that They can actually finish it on Sunday Although there's no crowd screaming them on and cheering them going nuts To be able to clinch it at the end to survive the last grueling holes on the back nine on a Sunday It matters Ryan Moore has done it before. He's a good bet at 41 to 1 especially in this field. I think you have to like a Guy that's also done it before and this is what you were saying at the top here Davis that it's common old man's force We get the Jim Furek. He's 70 to 1 here He certainly has all the world experience. Why is Jim Furek here in play this week? So Furek is like actually good He won his very first start on the champions tour two weeks ago And and I think that you would probably look at Jim Furek and be like well You know, there's no way that he can hang with the guys on the PGA tour But what he does really well relative to the field is he is one He's still at his age is one of the best players on tour strokes gained approaching the green So, you know after he hits that that short knocking 260 our drive Really, there are few players on tour who are better at getting their shots in birdie position than Jim Furek He it with 34 measure grounds He is 17th on tour in strokes gained approaching the green and even losing strokes off the tee which you know And in this day and age in golf, it's very hard to keep up if you're not gaining strokes off the tee He's still 70 second on tour in strokes gained total We think that this course is going to play towards kind of the you know You don't need to bomb and gouge off the tee as much though. Obviously hitting it far always helps I actually think Furek at 70 to 1 You know if I was making my bet sizes corresponding to how much I like them instead of just doling out the units before and Furek at 70 to 1 I think would be my biggest bet. I straight up think he can win here It's great that you're betting on someone that you actually think can win like that's a really good start here And even yeah, I think that's going to be very healthy for my long-term betting career If I stop betting guys I like and start betting guys I actually think can win Absolutely, and I think this is a good start in fact unlike Sanjay in where you're just like this guy is terrible You know Jim theory is actually pretty good and now I'm kind of believing it And you think that this guy even though he's on the champions tour He's not a young spring chicken anymore. What he's doing around the green is what other players are not if he could just keep Keep a tee shots in play and do enough He's gonna make some noise this weekend as David says this guy actually has a chance to win You're getting about 70 to 1 so place the bet Now we'll get to your favorites here. We'll get to Jason coke rack is a hundred and fifty one this week Coke rack has been long-term staple for you Davis. No surprise going back to him this week Yeah, it's just one of those things where if I'm gonna I you know in my recent past I have bet coke rack at 75 to 1 I bet I'm at 80 to 1 and We all of a sudden we see him at 150 to 1 in a weak field event I mean, that's just that that's pretty much just a slam dunk and actually go back and look at how he's done at this event in The past he had a t6 at this event last year in 2019 coke rack tends to be one of those guys in weaker field events who because he is just like he's probably gonna make more Birdies than Jim Perrick. He's gonna make more birdies then some jam It's just a matter of limiting the damage of the bad holes because he can definitely Spray it from time to time but a hundred and fifty to one for him Just it really does kind of just seem like like a layup though And he actually was gonna make the cut at the PGA championship He was he was on the road to making it and then just had this horrendous back nine where he went He went bogey bogey bogey to start the other back nine and I just it really got away from him on on Friday You know so what can you do at that point really nothing to screw you Jason coke rack and going bogey bogey bogey to start off the back Exactly when you need to make the cut and you're right He's gonna make some birdies to put himself in a position here this week It's can you limit the damage he was not able to do that last weekend Hopefully with this field will come to you a little bit different. He will be able to get that job done We've been on at 75 to one. We'll double that it's 150 to one this week Jason coke rack So let's get him in there You want to talk about Davis Maddox guys? That's what we get with Hollywood Hogey here Tom Hogey 250 to one He's your boy. You're seeing him at this number. How do you not so? Hogey is like the best ever course fit at this golf course because he has that old man game Where he you know he kind of just bunts it off the tee But he really is one of the strongest wedge players on tour He actually did make the cut at the PGA championship played pretty well all four days and and his Approach his off-the-tea game has gotten a little bit better for example He's better off the tee than Jim Durick is he's actually had success at this golf course before in the past When he came on my podcast we talked about his appearance at at the Wyndham championship in the past because It was the first time he ever played with Tiger Woods he went out in the final group with Tiger Woods two years ago and you know did not I mean didn't have the the best ever round of his career, I think partly because he was playing with Tiger and He was super nervous, but he's had success at this golf course He's a really good course fit with how strong his wedge play is and I mean 250 to one just I also think you can bet him T10 and T20 if you don't want to just straight-up bet him outright You know you think the win equity is pretty small because you're getting really good T20 odds I've always had some success at this course. He knows it well He's a friend of Davis Maddock You may get 250 to one to win it all and if you don't want to do that you want to go to T10 I'm gonna T20 that's okay, too Because 250 to all these eyes are just way too big right now for Hollywood Hoagie. So take a shot put him in there That's a little for us here on the fan bill hurry up. Davis. We appreciate the time. Good luck. We'll talk to you next week Beautiful. Thanks for having me and now let's come back to a Tom Hoagie victory. That would be awesome For Davis Maddock, I'm Greg Sussman. Thanks so much for joining us. We'll do it all again tomorrow right here. I'm a fan duel hurry up