 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday, October 5th 2023 This is Chief Meteorologist John Insworth for Longmont Public Media, and yes, it's throwback Thursday at school I'm throwing back to the 1480s Friday October 6th is our third quarter moon Gotta get up early to see that and the pretty good amount of activity on the Sun right now This is gonna be a short video because there's not much to forecast For drought conditions, they've gotten a little worse in the Southwest and Western slopes Nationally, it's a little better on the plains from Texas up, but in Arizona and like that kind of dry smoke we're all clear for now and precipitation was pretty light in most places the Southeast and some of the Southwest part of the state got some good water we have Severe chances in North Texas and Oklahoma and then Thursday it just moves off and down and away Surface map shows a cold front responsible for that with a low right there Cold front pushes down and close us on Thursday in Friday Normal temperatures go from 77 to 66 now for highs So we are really taking the dive into fall. It doesn't feel like it necessarily, but yeah, it is cooler 41 to 37 around the 30s now So won't be too long before we have normal temperatures below freezing for precipitation It is dry there's hints of something out here on the 12th 11th, but it's dry Water vapor or satellite image showing lots of dry air coming into the Southwest But basically over the next five days or so. We've got this ridge sitting around for should say Thursday Wednesday night, sorry got typo there on Wednesday night on the 12th is kind of the next ripple So there is a chance of precipitation coming in we Do did want to mention that Snowstorm which would have been tomorrow Totally and absolutely vanished the next day from the models and we are in complete Dryness instead. So yeah, I can't trust a model that far away So it really won't need to spend much time on this these animations today But we'll we'll spend it here on the 500 millibar map You can see the ridge just getting established in the West and the deep trough parking in the east It's Ridge Ridge Ridge And It's Tuesday here's Next Wednesday here comes that trough. So for the end of next week There's a possibility of something do a little hurricane Forecasted to form and affect the Baja, but that's a long ways out for that For temperatures for cool right now with that cold front double cold front that came down You can see there's another pool of cold air up here, and that's going to slide over on the weekend I'll be camping, but hot on the western slopes It's a big blob of cool air for the south and the east amazing and see the warmth coming off of the lakes So I'll warm the water is there warming up the air pretty cool And then after that we're kind of above normal for a long period of time water vapor satellite image It's not Water vapor satellite. This is precipitable water and yeah, it's hard to do forecasting with chain mail on That's just kind of dry. We have at or Below normal amounts of precipitable water in the atmosphere for the most part Do points are also very low I'm just gonna show a few days of this because it really doesn't change much. We're in the low 30s mountains are in the 20s and teens more super dry air slipping by with that big cold front and Really is anything to show here. I mean Maybe yeah, I think on the GFS going out to Wednesday through the next week. It does not paint anything Here's the next five days completely dry precipitation wise next 10 days a little bit down here or the New Mexico But it's just random here's snow over the next 10 days. Nothing even the highest mountains so we have 60s and 70s and then being of next week we sneak up above normal to 80s But we're just mostly clear and dry Check out Longmont leader for frequent weather and news updates I won't need to update the weather much for a little while, but we'll get into some fun weather again This is chief neodra stone. It's worth urging you to keep looking up