 What's up football fans? Thanks for hanging with us. You're watching Fandall Sportsbooks, more ways to win. I'm your host, Lisa Kearney, inviting you inside the Fandall Sportsbook here at the Meadowlands. It's week 12, you already know this. This season is absolutely off the rails. We've got more awesome matchups here on Thanksgiving week and we're betting them. Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family. Our NFL experts are breaking down the biggest games of the week, handing out best bets, as well as updated futures bets, including best value Super Bowl picks. That's all ahead. It is go time, so make sure you download the Fandall Sportsbook app right now, sign up for your new account and plug in the promo code moreways1000 to get your risk free bet up to 1000 bucks. All right, time to kick things off with the seven and three Rams headed to Lambeau Field to take on the eight and three Packers. This is a huge game here. We've got two teams that could be competing to represent the NFC at SoFi in February, but of course they haven't been playing like it. This game totally up for grabs. The Rams coming off a bye after losing two games in a row. Packers have lost two of three, including that 34-31 loss in Minnesota last week. Potential NFC playoff positioning for sure on the line here in this matchup. The Packers are giving one point at home. Dave and Ed got to get you guys in here to bet this thing. It is a good matchup on paper, no doubt about it. Dave, I'm coming to you first. Which side do you like in this matchup? Well, a couple of different reasons why I think the Rams are the right play in this game. Number one, Mass Effect loves playing against the Packers. He's thrown 37 touchdowns against them in his career with the Lions, more than any other team that he's played against. And he's gone into Lambeau in one game, so it's a 10 point dog. It's a seven and a half point dog with teams that really weren't that good. This is a Rams team that is good. They didn't look like it in their last game. They only scored 10 points, but when they've scored 15 or less points, they've come back to the next game and gone 5-0 against the spread. And also Sean McVay off of a bye, going on the road is 3-0 as the Rams head coach against the spread. So a lot of different things here, tell me the Rams are the right side. You are so pot committed when it comes to the Rams. I have facts supporting it. That's fine. No, I mean, they're not bad. The Rams are just fine, but I really do like the Packers in this spot in large part because I think the defense is not living up to the reputation that they have set for themselves over the last few years. Yes, I get that Aaron Rodgers may be a little injured with the quote unquote turf toe thing, but the Rams are not generating quarterback pressures to the same rate as they have had over these last few years. They ranked 20th out of 32 teams in that department. The big thing when it comes to Matt LaFleur's offense is throwing it short, keeping it fast, using tempo, those kinds of things. And I feel like that's going to matter a good bit in a game like this. I feel like in terms of play design, the Packers have the advantage and they should have the advantage in the game. Shocking statistics and take on the Rams defense given all they've put into that defense. Guys, great stuff there. Let's get the right take on this Rams and Packers matchup. For that, of course, we head to Chicago and bring in our NFL expert, Col Riot. Hey, Col, the Packers, a four N-O at home this year. Which team do you have winning and by how many points? Well, tell you what, I have to side with Ed here because he has that Packers pocket square looking pretty sharp right there. But the Rams, as you touched on, they looked flat over the last two games, only 26 points for Matt Stafford and Sean McVane that offensive juggernaut. Now they are averaging 400 yards per game and just a shade under 30 points, but they're going to need to tap into that defense that really allowed them to win seven of their first eight ball games on the flip side, Green Bay. Well, they're averaging 108 yards rushing per game, which sounds great, but it's really only middle of the packs. This team in the league and the forecast in Green Bay that throws in Tundra, not so frozen, 37 and sunny. So expect them to run the ball a lot, which sounds like a whole bunch of time to throw out all those numbers. So I'm going to have to side with Ed and Green Bay. Give me a pocket square as well, 27-21 pack. All right, thank you, Cole. If you roll with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers at home with those guys and give that point, a winning $50 bet means you're going to collect more than $95. Again, it's the Fandall Sportsbook app. You can download it right now. Now to a huge AFC matchup featuring two more teams in playoff contention here. We're looking at the eight and three Titans, the seven and four Patriots, Tennessee's six game win streak was snapped with that embarrassing loss to the Jaguars last week. Quarterback, Ryan Tannehill throwing four picks in that game, easily the worst game of the season for him. As for the Patriots, they've now won five straight, sitting as the hottest team in football and their defense has definitely led the way here, giving up just 10 points per game during their win streak, including 13 total combined points allowed in their last three games, including a shutout. New England is a six point home favorite in this matchup. Pony, can the Pats cover that number? I don't think so. I think a pocket square wearing analytics professor on the show once said, don't succumb to recency bias. And that's what you have with this line in this game. It's gone out of control. It's blown up, Dave, because of what New England did to a bad Atlanta team and because Tennessee lost the Houston in shocking fashion. I'm not going to buy into it. I think the Titans are still, even without Derek Henry, a formidable team. Yes, they're not at full strength, but the line here has gone crazy. New England's 17th in total offense. They're not complete on that side of the ball. Matt Jones has played well, but I think it's hard to cover sick at home. Give me Tennessee. This isn't recency bias, Pony. The Titans are done. Stick a fork in them. They are absolutely finished. They're losing the division to the Colts who are going to go on a big run here. Tennessee is going to lose about six games in a row, starting with last week. They also lost to the Jets, by the way. They're embarrassing. You picking them is even more embarrassing. The Patriots gave up zero points last week, seven the week before that, six the week before that. Tennessee is going to get skunked. The Patriots should be favored by 20 in this game, Lisa. Let's get that guy with the pocket square in here. Maybe a monocle this time. I don't know. Let's go a bit deeper on these Titans and Patriots. We're turning into next-gen stats to get an analytical perspective on this matchup. Of course, you know this by now. The NFL analyzes the location, speed, and acceleration of every player on every play and creates these various data sets that we get to tap into here on more ways to win. So, Ed, you're our analytics guy with the pocket square and the whole thing. Give us a next-gen stat that you're using to pick the Titans Patriots game here in week 12. Fun fact, I use a pocket protector for my pocket square. Not since the season opener, did we see a performance as horrid as the one we saw from Ryan Tannehill? But look, I think there's reason for hope here as you look at his passing chart because of no backfield depth and the scoreboard, guess what, Tannehill had to sling it 52 times and still his completion percentage over-expected was a positive 1.3%. Titans have a handful of injuries, notably at receiver with Julio Jones, Marcus Johnson, AJ Brown may not be 100%. Titan receivers were only open 44% of the time. That's what happens when you have a lot of backups. What may help Tannehill is running more play-action. It was done only 11.5% of the time. You do not need a good running game to have effective play-action. Assuming Brown gets healthier, Tannehill's misdirection should keep this contest closed and for that, I am taking the points and backing the Titans. All right, well, there you have it. Awesome info there. A next-level stuff from our next-gen stats. That's Ed's breakdown, though. I always say this on the show. You have to do you. Thanks anyway, Ed. If you want to tail Ed, you like the Titans to bounce back this week and take the points. A winning $50 bet means you're gonna collect more than $96. Do what you feel is right. And a reminder, you can make your first bet on the app risk-free right now. Just sign up for new Fandall Sportsbook account using the promo code Moreways1000. You're gonna get a risk-free bet up to $1,000. Again, that promo code Moreways1000. As we continue on here on Moreways Twin, we gotta get to another huge Week 12 matchup here. Tom Brady in the seven to four bucks had to Indy to take on the six and five Colts. The Buccaneers got their swag back on Monday night, beating the Giants 30 to 10 to end their two-game losing streak. As for the Colts, they've won three in a row led by running back Jonathan Taylor. Ed massively called him out last week. Hope you guys put him in your lineup. The second-year star coming off his best game as a pro, 185 yards rushing. Five total TDs in the Colts win in Buffalo. That was Week 11. Here we are Week 12, Indy, a three-point home underdog, though this week against the Bucs. Ed, coming right back to you here, which side are you backing? Well, it's interesting when you look at Tom Brady's season, he's doing some things that are a little bit unusual. Normally when a quarterback is pressured, their stats tend to go down, but when it comes to Tom Brady, he's actually performing better under pressure for whatever reason. When you look at the number of touchdowns that he has thrown under pressure, it's six. That's tied for the best in football, but when Tom Brady is not being pressured, he ranks 15th in EPA per dropback, and that's among all qualifiers. And so he's roughly in the middle of the pack in terms of starting quarterbacks. Normally you'd expect that to be their way around. What does this mean? Well, I think Tom Brady this year is a little bit more matchup dependent than he has been in seasons past. Fortunate thing for him is that this Colts pass defense is suspect. They ranked 29th in terms of defensive success rate, and so I feel like this is a favorable matchup for the GOAT, so I'm backing the box. Well, it's all about Tampa's defensive line, being able to control the Giants last week and stop that running game and get to Daniel Jones, but they're not gonna be able to do that against this offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts, who's just phenomenal, and they're finally starting to realize Jonathan Taylor is the real deal, feeding him the ball. They gave him the ball 32 times last week. He ran for 185 yards. Going up to that point, 10 carries, 13 carries, 17 carries, so they know what they need to do, pound it on the ground, and I think that the Colts can win. By the way, Tampa's 0-5 against the spread this year, Lisa, and their point differential in those games has been terrible. They're not even coming close to covering most of those games. Interesting stuff, guys, thank you. Let's turn it up now and get to prime time, and we're starting with the Sunday night matchup, featuring two AFC North rivals here. We've got the six and five Browns, traveling to Baltimore to take on the seven and three Ravens. Both teams are coming off very low-scoring three-point wins. Cleveland beat Detroit 13-10, and the Ravens beat Chicago 16-13. That was without Lamar Jackson. The Ravens quarterback is expected to be back this week, and his team is a three-and-a-half point favorite in this matchup. Pony, which team do you like here in this matchup? Well, you dig into the matchup is what you do, and you handicap these games, and you look at where the game is played, what teams do well, what they don't, and for the Ravens, they're second in the league against the run. And that's problematic for the Browns because, look, they go as Nick Chubb goes. If they don't get their run game going, they're going to get destroyed. And so I think this has blowout potential. I'm going to play Baltimore. Dave, you got Emily Mayfield sticking up for Baker. It looks like it's a disaster there in Cleveland. He's not 100%. I think the Ravens win big. He hasn't been good against this division, too. These big games, these big divisional games, two and nine against the spread, his last 11 against the AFC North. And, you know, the two games last year that the Browns played against the Ravens, the Ravens hung 85 points combined. And I think that they'll be able to have another big offensive output. I'm with you. I think too much Baltimore here for the Browns. All right, guys, let's get to the bright lights on Monday night with the struggling three and seven Seahawks, taking on the four and six of Washington football team. This game is going down in our nation's capital. Seattle's offense is sputtering. You heard me just say it's struggling. Yes, scoring just 13 total points in the last two games. Courtback Russell Wilson coming off that hand surgery has gone back to back games without a touchdown pass for the first time since the 2016 season. From Washington, you look at the football teams, won its last two games. They were underdogs in both of those matchups. So riding a little bit high there in Washington, but Washington does sit as a one point favorite in this one. Guys, Pony coming right back to you, can Washington win this matchup? I think so. You know, the odds makers here made a conscious decision to tear up their initial line for this game. One thing FanDuel does is you get lines, usually a week in advance you can bet on. And Seattle was favored by a solid three, came down to two and a half points. And once they lost that game to Colt McCoy in Arizona, and in Washington one Lisa, it flipped all the way to Washington being favored, which tells me the odds makers don't think what's happened to the Seattle offense is a fluke. They really think it's broken. Heineke's playing better ball. I'm going to go with the football team. Well, I think it is a fluke, Pony. And as crazy as it sounds, like you conducted a blind resume when it comes to a team's offensive and defensive measure bowls. Do you think that the Seattle Seahawks were actually the Washington football team? They're 30th both ways, offensively and defensively. And Russ, well, he hasn't been able to cook like he usually does as of late. Just 207 passing yards in that 10 point loss to the Arizona Cardinals and Colt McCoy. No Kyler Murray in that one. Now the Hawks, they are two and three on the road. They've dropped their last two games, but I don't see them falling in three straight. Pete Carroll, I expect him to go out there and exploit the matchups. They have to get a win versus a team like Washington, Seattle. Expect them to get the W here 24-13, guys. It is a tight line. You can bet it right now on the Fandall Sportsbook app. Again, use that promo code more ways, 1000. And you used next gen stats to pick the Titans Patriots game earlier in this show. Now I want you to give us three bets based on that next level data that you think are really good value on the Fandall Sportsbook app for week 12. What stands out to you? Elisa, the Atlanta Falcons are not going to quit on the rest of the season. Maybe a week and a half worth of rest is the best thing for Matt Ryan. Here is his quarterback grid for the season. His passer rating has been roughly league average or worst at most parts of the season but it's most parts of the field. But consider this, his receivers are only less than 20% of the time open. That's seventh lowest in football. He's blitz nearly 30% of the time, which is a low rate, so that leaves fewer areas open to throw to. His average depth of target is a measly seven yards. That's fourth chalice. But the goal is to keep defenders guessing who's guarding whom. So that's why he throws a lot of seam routes. That rate is fourth highest. Despite all the shallow passing talk, Ryan has the third highest completion percentage over expected on deep passes. And so if it is there, he can still make a defense pay and I think he can do that against the Jaguars. Next up, in his first game back with the Panthers, Cam Newton performed as you'd probably expect. 27 passes, 10 carries. Let's talk about the latter. His carry chart against Washington. Yes, Newton led all quarterbacks in rushing yards over expected with 20 but his success rate running overall was only 30% that's fairly low. Why is that? What does that mean? Well, the decision went to run wasn't always the right one, but when he got it right, he was effective. Newton ran into a loaded box just 20% of the time. That's the second lowest rate among all rushers. Miami has had trouble stopping mobile quarterbacks. 20 second in EPA allowed there. Middle of the pack and past defense over expected, but they can disguise coverage well to attack a Viola can play. So I'm gonna lean dolphins. Finally, fair to say Denver quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater is limited in his arsenal of throws, but do not say that he stinks. He does not stink. Here's his quarterback grid on the season. Specifically, I want to talk about his short throws from zero to nine air yards. He is not pressured often, just 27% of the time. And when a defense throws an extra rusher at him, he is unfazed. His total EPA for the season, 27.1 second best in football. Again, on short passes, his completion percentage over expected is 8.4%. Tops in the NFL. And if you go by total throws, his CPOE is second highest. Overall on short passes, Bridgewater has an APF 60.3, outstanding Mark 11 weeks into the season. Denver, one of the few spots that still possesses a home field advantage. Chargers are middle of the pack, defending short throws. So I'm gonna take Denver in that one. I wrote down a lot of things during that segment, Ed. The biggest one being Teddy Bridgewater does not stink. Thank you for that. I appreciate the analysis. Awesome stuff, as always. Take the info and use it to place your bets right now on the Fandals Sportsbook app. You can place a wager on the bets that we just talked about, the ones Ed highlighted there, or hundreds of others they are available for you. Right now, again, it's the Fandals Sportsbook app. All right, time to speed things up and hit our betting markets rapid fire style. We're shouting out your local teams as we rip through the rest of the week 12 slate. Guys, I give you the game. You have 10 seconds to give me your pick. Pony, you're up. You're in Pittsburgh. Steelers are not the five foreign ones. Steelers are on the road against the division rival. The six and four Cincinnati Bengals. Steelers, a four and a half point road dog. How do you play it? Pittsburgh's defense is getting healthy. Lisa, here comes the Cavalry. DJ Watt, make a Fitzpatrick, and Joe Hayden will all return this weekend and that's why they cover against the Bengals. There it is, Cole, two teams fighting to try and get into the playoffs here. They can try. Minnesota at San Francisco, both teams here at five and five. The Vikings getting three points. Who do you like? Well, Lisa, this is a fork in the road game right here for San Francisco. We know that they won three of their last four with that most fencing win coming week 10 versus the Rams in Minnesota. Well, every single time you think they're about to turn that corner, all they do is run right into that wall and everybody down 49ers. They have a close cover here 21 to 17. They get to dub. Ed, a couple of teams headed for high first round draft picks facing off when the Jets take on the Texans. In Houston, both teams two and eight. Zach Wilson will be under center for New York. Jets are two and a half point road dogs. How do you play it? Who in the world doesn't have COVID in that quarterback room if you are the New York Jets? I think Zach Wilson just kind of gets it by default. But look, I like Tyrod Taylor as a quarterback. Huge disparity at that position here. I'm backing the Texans. All right, Dave, the Giants coming off that Monday night loss in Tampa to drop to three and seven. They host Philly in an NFC East division match, a big blue getting three and a half points. Yeah, off to coordinator Jason Garrett fired after that loss. Freddie Kitchens is in. Freddie Kitchens doesn't get me all that excited about this offense. Anyways, Eagles have won eight out of nine against the Giants. They'll make it nine out of 10. And the Giants will be right here at the Meadowlands on Sunday. Great job, you guys, on that rapid fire rip. I'm standing just across the parking lot from the Fandal from MetLife here inside the Fandal Sportsbook. And that means the party is going down here this weekend at the Fandal Sportsbook, because the Giants are right over there. The Fandal Sportsbook is open seven days a week. Come watch, wager and win with your favorite teams and players. The Sportsbook is located right across the parking lot from MetLife Stadium. And it is easy to get to on game day. Just hop the free round trip shuttle from Lot G. If you don't have a parking pass, it's all good as well. Head to Red's restaurant in Carl's Stat, catch that $10 shuttle to MetLife and then head to Lot G for your free ride to the Fandal Sportsbook. Mass transit, of course, available as well. Sunday is gonna be absolutely hoppin', so get your friends come out for an awesome time here at the Meadowlands and the Fandal Sportsbook. Watch, wager and win and have a ton of fun. With us. All right, time to give some underdogs a little love. Cole, you've been rockin' these moneyline moneymakers all season long, including picking the big moneyline upset of the Colts winning in Buffalo last week. I'm sure you got a lot of people telling you before that you're crazy. Well, here we are in week 12. Give us a couple underdogs you think are gonna win outright this week. Lisa, some say crazy, some call me a soothsayer, but one thing I do know is that the day after Christmas last year, well, that was the last time the Bolts and Broncos laced them up and the three point win for the Chargers. It was 19 to 16 in that one. So this time around, I think it's a little bit of payback for Denver. Broncos, still alive and well at five and five and their defense, it's fit in the league. So I'm going Teddy B, I'm side with Ed 28, 24 in this one. And on the flip side, the Bolts, they gave Big Ben and Pittsburgh all they could handle on that Sunday night football shootout, shootout in every sense of the word. The Bengals, despite some of that early season success, not as efficient as the Los Angeles Chargers. So I'm gonna have to lean Steelers in this one, a close shave, 21 to 20. I'm rolling with the steel curtain. Awesome, Cole. Thank you. Go ahead and tail Cole's upset picks or make any other bet on the Fandals Sportsbook app right now and you can do it risk-free up to $1,000. All you have to do is sign up for our Fandals Sportsbook account. New users get a risk-free bet up to $1,000 just by using the promo code more ways 1,000. And our experts are giving you their risk-free bet of the week. Dave, let's start with you. Hey, it's week 12. Let's do the same thing. Give me your risk-free $1,000 bet. I'm gonna play a parlay. I'm gonna use two alternate spreads. Gonna buy up both the Patriots. They'll win by at least 10. And then the Rams to win by seven. If those two things happen, $1,000 gets me back more than 7,000. Alternate spread. So I'm looking at it. Alternate spread. That's my thing. That's my thing. Dave, you stole my bet. Twice. Yeah, twice. Yeah, happy Thanksgiving to me. Same game parlay, Monday night football. Over 46, alternate spread, Seahawks minus one and a half. Look, Russell Wilson maybe hurt the last two weeks, but when he gets it going, he's going to be lethal. And that could happen this week. Pony. Yeah, so Ed, I'm playing the long game here. I just can't believe the odds on this. Can't be the number one seed in the NFC. Plus 400. So you can take $1,000 bet and collect five grand on them. I think if they beat the Colts this weekend, they're going to win out. Their schedule is very favorable. The Cardinals still have to go to Dallas. That is a great value play on Tampa to be the number one seed. We've really settled in here to week 12. The tension, yes, I can feel it, all of it. Gamblers, make sure to sign up for our Vandal Sportsbook account right now to place your bet. And remember, use that promo code, moreways1000 to get your risk-free bet, up to $1,000. It's easy, it's legal, it is live right now. Take your winnings if you hit and just get your money back in site credit. If you don't, I call it the best mulligan in the business. Have fun playing. Now let's take a look at a couple of popular futures bets on the board right now. We've got some updating to do here, guys. The first one is the NFL MVP. There's been a lot of movement over in these odds over the past few weeks. Don't look now, but Timeless Tom is the current favorite. Let's get all of your best value MVP picks. Guys, and Dave, I'm gonna come to you to start us off. What do you think? Well, you know when Lamar Jackson won the MVP back in 2019, he threw for 3,100 yards. He already has 2,400 yards with seven games to go. He's on pace to shatter that. And if the Ravens can finish up strong here, I think it's got a big chance. Well, you guys picked up that closing line value for Tom Brady earlier in the season. All the values pretty much gone here. But if you want a dark horse pick, go with Kurt Cousins, currently 60 to 1 here. It is entirely possible that this Aaron Rodgers Packers thing completely implodes and the Vikings still have a chance to win that division and get a really good seed in the playoffs. And if that happens, it'll be because of Kurt Cousins. He's got an outstanding quarterback EPA right now. I throw one shekel his direction. I'm embarrassed because I have the same exact pick. I think of everybody, I do. Of everybody on the board, I think Cousins is the best value right now. The analytics community. Dave, this is no joke. The analytics people think he's the best quarterback in the NFL right now. Tony, I don't know what to say. Last week, you were side with me when it came to Kyler Murray. Now, you're going with head and that golden pocket square. It's unfundled. But either way, don't go and say I didn't tell you. So Kyler Murray brings home that MVP trophy because we saw Carson Wentz. He got her. Like Kyler Murray is getting hurt. It's season not over with. I'm going to have to go with Kyler right here. All right, great stuff, guys. You had so much fun with that. I'm going to let you rip through the same drill. For the Super Bowl winner, the Bucks are favored to repeat as champs right now. But there are some really other teams, great teams, that are on the board that would lead to a really big payout as well. And that's what we're looking for is the value. So Dave, give me your best value bet to win it all. I think Pony called this one before the season started. But the Chargers right now, at 20 to 1, look enticed to me. If they play their absolute best game, I do believe they can beat anybody in the NFL. They're going to have to do that multiple times. But they have some talent. Even though they lost to the Texans and the Jets, the Tennessee Titans still own the top seed in the AFC. And I think in the AFC specifically, having that game off is going to be huge because no one is playing that much better than anyone else. And at 16 to 1, there's some value there. But they're going to lose out and miss the playoffs. Pay attention to the guy standing right next to you. No chance. One of the things I do with these is I just rank the teams and then see if the fan dual list matches mine. And I still have Arizona number one, so a plus 850. They are value. How about that, Cole? All right, Pony, we're back in the state mindset right there because I'm feeling about Arizona. I have a plus 850 in Colt McCoy. He's like the 2021 version of Brock Osweiler. Just the seed form for Kyler Murray, the potential MVP. When he comes back to the place that Lamarti Trophy, no wavering here at the beginning of the season. I'm sticking with Arizona. You have been riding Arizona. The all season long, Cole. Thank you. And finally, taste the season. I want to tell you about the Fandall Casino app. Yes, it's all the fun of a casino right from the comfort of your own home. The Fandall Casino app is a secure online casino that has the best online gaming action. Fandall has partnered with the top game developers to give players the most innovative online gaming experience, including live dealers for some table games. There are also a ton of promotions and bonuses that you can take advantage of. And here's one of them just in time for Thanksgiving. Check it out. The Turkey Trap promotion starts on Thanksgiving Day and runs through Sunday. Each day you can play $100 on the Fandall Casino app and Fandall will give you a $25 credit. It's that easy, free money, free casino credit at the most wonderful time of the year. Just play $100 on the Fandall Casino app. Fandall will drop 25 bucks in your casino account just for playing with us. So download the Fandall Casino app right now. Take advantage of the Turkey Trap promotion and follow Fandall Casino on Twitter and Instagram for more promotions and bonus cash on the way. And I think that'll do it for us. What a show. It flew by game picks, best bets, futures bets. We covered it all right here. Week 12 is here, guys. You can bet it right now. Check out all the bets we talked about on the Fandall sportsbook app and new users. Be sure to sign up with that promo code, moreways1000 to get a risk-free bet up to $1000. And from all of us here at Fandall, we wanna wish you and your family a happy Thanksgiving holiday. Thank you for hanging with us. We'll see you right back here next week.