 Thank you very much for coming at the launch of this book on Britain and Europe, what we think is the end game and it's from an Irish perspective. It's the third book in a series on Britain. We published a book in 1996 on Britain's European question and in 2000 on Blair's Britain and England's future. I think what the book traces is the disengagement of Britain from Europe and also that we actually believe that it's now the end game in the sense that a decision has to be made about Britain's future in the Union or not. We think it is possible to do a deal, if you like, with the United Kingdom and to settle the question for a number of years between the United Kingdom and Europe, what we call a bespoke solution. We think that's possible, but another possibility, of course, is that they might leave. If they do leave, of course, the consequences for us are enormous. The reality is that the British question is unsettled, it's uncertain and it's unpredictable. We believe a referendum is inevitable, whether it comes in 2017 or a bit later. We also believe that the notion of British exceptionalism, the feeling particularly in England that they are different to everybody else and need solutions different to other people, that's a reality. And other realities which exist now, which may not have existed in quite the same way in the past, are Scottish nationalism, and that's not a settled question, and English nationalism. So there's a possibility not only that the UK might leave Europe, but there is also the possibility that the UK itself could break up. The consequences for, for example, for Irish trade, the consequences for our relationship with London, consequences for Northern Ireland and for the relationship at the border and across the border, all of those are really very important, and all of them quite possibly could be disrupted in a serious way. So what we're trying to do with this book really is to start a debate, if you like, to contribute to a debate, and to perhaps address something that Cameron himself used in an article in the Financial Times last Friday when he talked about the possibility of Britain sleepwalking out of Europe. The format for this evening is that I'll ask Brendan to talk first. He'd be followed by Paul, done by John Bradley. John in particular will deal with the implications for Ireland and the implications for Northern Ireland, and then I'd call upon Paul again just to talk about the end of the book where very unusually we present, for this institute, we present an agenda for Europe and an agenda for Ireland, and after that we'll take questions for as long as you like, as long as you allow us to go away for dinner eventually. So, Brendan.