 The following is a presentation of TFNN. Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your humble, lovable, and squeezibly soft host. As always, we'd like to come to you at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So, what do we have going on today? Well, we came out of a long weekend, down about 10 points at the open on the S&P cash. We're up about one and a half points now. The Dow's down, you know, it's called 39. Let's update this just to make sure. 40. Nasdaq's up 11. The Russell's off and let's call it six. When we look at some of the other stuff moving crude up a little bit on some cyber rattling in the mid-east. And it's kind of interesting to me that they even care since 2012, a good hunk of the oil goes to the other side of the Strait of Oman because they put in a big, huge pipeline so that the Iranians couldn't basically cut off all the oil. They can kind of cut off some of the oil, the short-term oil. But if they do, then that's probably it. They'll probably move all of the facilities back over to the other side to the left-hand side of that peninsula. And that will be it. They haven't actually done that since, well, it's been a while. They like to cause little problems, but I don't know why they keep shipping oil from that side as long as Iran is over there. Maybe it's a little cheaper, but it always gives them a little bit of leverage on the Saudis and the rest of the Arab oil. I just would take it away from them. I don't know what it is, maybe 50 cents a barrel to pipeline it over to the other side instead of doing it. I mean, you've got to put it in a pipeline somewhere and then get it there. Then any of the firing or shooting wouldn't really bother you that much, really, unless they went in, landed and attacked you. That's a whole different thing. That's probably why we're up a buck 78 on crude, just the thought that whatever it is actually escalates to something that truly matters. There just isn't what should matter at the moment. But I guess that's it, because literally if they don't, Iranians don't attack that peninsula. Even if they stopped all those ships, they could just move them to the other side of that peninsula, which is, like I said, something they probably should have done a while ago. I think they kind of like the fact, the Arabs kind of like the fact that when Iranians, the Pejans, rattled the sword, you know, price goes up a little bit, gives them a little extra money. But I don't think that there's a whole lot to it. I thought we were very close to a high in crude already. So my guess is that they were more than willing to give a little bit of extra support to the price of crude. What do we got? Crudes around $2.80 right now here in the Tampa area, but not as bad as it could be. What else is going on? We opened up a little lower, went a little higher, and now it's all about earnings. We'll look at a few of those stocks. Today they're going to be have earnings this week. But again, it's one of those things where it's kind of a hurry up and wait. I think it's just whirlpool after the bell tonight. Let me make sure that I didn't tell you wrong. But I think that's it. I think it's just whirlpool after the bell tonight. Yeah, whirlpool, WHR at 410 today, expecting an EPS of $3.04, revenues of $4.83. They could probably be the beneficiary of any real trade deal as one of the big things is to keep white goods production, washers, dryers, refrigerators, that kind of stuff all here in the United States. Now that's not much, but really what happens tomorrow is we get a lot of these high volatility. Tech stocks starting up and of course some of the military spending. Twitter, Verizon, Lockheed Martin, Coca-Cola, Procter & Gamble in the morning. Harley Davidson, United Technologies, JetBlue, Allegheny Technology, ATI, Hasbro, Fitbit. I don't know if Fitbit's even anything else anymore, but certainly we have that. And then of course, after the bell tomorrow night, it's Snap, eBay, iRobot, which had a big move last time on earnings, Texas Instruments, Ameritrade, and Six Flags Holdings. So we'll look at that. But for the most part, fairly quiet and we'll continue to keep an eye on what's going on. So what is happening? Well, as always, a little bit of history. As you said, it is always repeating. Well, not exactly, but it does rhyme. On this day in 1945, Adolf Hitler, learning from one of his generals that no German defense was offered to the Russian assault at Eberswald and met to all his underground bunker that the war is lost and suicide is his only recourse. Almost as a confirmation of Hitler's assessment, a Soviet-mechanized corpse, I could pronounce it like Obama, corp, corp's core, reaches true Britson, which is about 40 miles southwest of Berlin, which I've been to. That's a nice little town. Now, probably not so good on this day in 1945. And they liberate a POW camp, among other things. So that's about it. Again, fairly quiet day. And I don't think we have much else to say about it other than that. And we'll talk about some of the stocks that are actually moving today. We'll get into that. I guess probably the big mover today on earnings news was Kimberly Clark. I think it's earnings news. I didn't look any well. Yes, strong first quarter earnings on it. It is a breakout with a sign of strength. There haven't been a lot of those, maybe one out of 10, maybe two out of 10 stocks with earnings over the last couple of earnings cycles have had legitimate breakouts. Most of them have been false breakouts where no one showed up. As they used to say in the advertising business, we'll run the flagpole up in Peoria, Illinois, and we'll see who salutes. Well, most of them not saluting too much, either failing on earnings or having good numbers and not able to break through the previous highs. And we'll talk about that. We got a lot of stocks to look at today. Again, if you're complaining today about not having much action, I suspect that you will curse your wish for action in a couple of days. It's going to get busy. Business is picking up. Taz Profile Scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence? As you begin your trading day, it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions. 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We have a couple more already. You can always e-mail me at path at tfnn.com or you can put me on the speed dial at 877-927-6648. Okay, what else do we have? Okay, Kimberly Clark. We've got 4.4 million shares already, which is a pretty good day compared to 1.4 million shares. That's kind of the average in that range over a million. So certainly a sign of strength with volume. You got to 1.3247, and we're pulling back. Now on Netflix and FLX, is Netflix toppy? What do you think of today's strong move higher? Do you want to short the text man? Let's take a look and see what shorts are actually doing in Netflix. Well, you got pretty decent shorts. You got it almost 30% on Thursday and 27%, almost 28% on Wednesday, and then almost 28% on Friday. You got a lot of people hammering on this stock. Short interest is about what it has been the last, I'm going to call it last six reporting cycles, but really hadn't expanded or contracted. You only have about two days to cover, which is the good part of it. But you've had kind of a fairly standard percentage here and not a lot of signs. I just don't like any kind of stock where 25 or 30% is a normal thing. Just a lot of times people get rather early on shorting stocks and that's the biggest problem. The place that I pulled the trigger on this short, if volume remains very light, I think it does, which way you have today. 8.2 million shares, it's not that bad. My guess is that this is going to go to 390, 395 or maybe even 400 bucks and close the gap. The earnings is, I'm going to say Wednesday on this one. I don't like being shorted or hanging through earnings on it. Let's check in FLX. I want to say Wednesday. Is that it? You've already been out there. I thought it was coming up. No, it's not. Next date I have is July 16th. So we must have had it fairly recently. Was that two or three weeks ago? July 16th, that would be May, June, July. It's got to be during this week, doesn't it? Maybe somebody in the den knows. Maybe this number is off. I think I have it here. I think I do. Hang on a second. I'll have to check on that again. A lot of shorts in this though. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. Comparatively, at least high daily shorts. And generally what you want to do is wait until that short number drops by about 50%. If you go back and look at Tesla. That's about exactly what happened back up here. About 345. And then it slowly came down to about 30%. And it hit 20% short interest at about 345. Back up off this bounce for the second time just before it fell apart. And for stocks that are in trouble, you are going to come back down. You want about that 50% short interest drop over time. If everybody knows it, you know, you can look at GoPro about the same thing. I think we'll have to go back a lot farther than that. Don't want me. See, okay. 9845, which is October 7th, 2014. Put you in what five years ago now. Almost five years ago now. And at that point, they ran everybody out at about a hundred bucks. And that is when the thing really started coming apart. But at that point, they had a huge amount of shorts. Everybody probably that was short, were looking at 100% losses or larger. That had been shorted and it just finally gave up. Now, if you were going to short it, what you want is exactly the same kind of patterns that you see here in GoPro and in Tesla. And that is a couple of bounces out here. And you find out that resistance is really in this case in GoPro about 85 bucks. Then when it finally doesn't have any juice after a couple of times, then the big guys get in and they start shorting this thing. And, you know, the problem is that, you know, went from 99 bucks down to 37 bucks and then bounced to 65 bucks. But that's not uncommon. The problem is that once if you were lucky enough to get this thing at 85, you probably want to sit on your hands and curse anybody that tells you that and tell something has changed. And that is it. Anyway, you can give me call it 877-927-6648. And I will let you know. Other things going on, we've talked about Boeing. It was down a little bit. But of course, making a bit of a change in the Dow, certainly, but not enough. Fairly light volume out here for all the negative press that these folks are getting. You continue to see kind of some fairly decent bottoming action in here. You got your first bounce at about 360, what was that, 3? The low of the day was 362, 363. You're probably going to come back in here and find support at about 372. See what it's actually trading out right now. 376, 377. So in that range, you don't have a lot of volume, 2.7 million shares. So fairly quiet on the western front since it's come back down into there. I think one of the big players in the plane and the aviation business, the passenger market, said that they were going to buy 437s over the next few years. And I think that was enough to tell everybody that there's not going to probably be a long-term issue with this, although it's not fairly, it's not good to ever have these problems. It doesn't look to me, I guess I have a question here in the email. If this looks to me kind of like Chipotle over time, you just, I don't think you got the destruction that you have in Chipotle. But actually Chipotle, I'm kind of looking at this thing thinking maybe, maybe this is the one getting close to a top. No one talks about it anymore. It's quietly gotten back up here. I don't see lines in school. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30-day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. 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Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the link in the description. And don't forget to click the button on the bottom banner on the front page of TFNN.com. And we've got crickets, crickets and more crickets. Up one point on the S&P cash down about 40. On the Dow, I think about 30 of that is maybe 20 is Boeing. NASDAQ up, let's call it 11 points. My guess is that we'll close out here today. Flat. All the action is going to come out. We're going to talk about some of those earnings that we talked about. In fact, we've got a ton of earnings this week. And I've got a long list. We'll just kind of try to go through them alphabetically. What's happening? And then see if we can see anything in it. American Airlines out this week. Lower highs, higher lower highs, higher lows. So, you know, you've been doing that back into the December 3rd high. So this thing is kind of winding up. Probably a little bit of headwinds with higher crude prices right at the moment. But I don't know if it's that big a deal. Aaron's Rents. This is why I probably wouldn't trade it. And I think I've traded it a few times in the past years. But nothing in the last two or three years. Good sign on what these guys tell you about what's going on in the economy for the people that live check to check. If these guys are doing good, then generally the economy is starting to weaken. They are the first sign of at least trouble in the downtrodden of the economy. I don't see a lot in it. But I will pay attention to it. Bevy, ABBV, coming back and testing today. I'm going to go back and review it. $74 and 78 cents. That's the January 29th low. And see if there's anything really to read about that. You're coming back into it with about 8 million shares on last Thursday today about what's called 3.3 million shares so far. So not much going on with that other than testing a previous week. I don't see a lot that this market couldn't be pushed fairly severely either up or down by earnings, as I said tomorrow morning and through Thursday night. And actually Friday morning this week, Archer Daniels Midland, ADM supermarket to the world. What do we have on that? Talk about flat. This thing just pointed back to this. On 2nd of February. Not a lot of juice here. Everybody's talking up farm and farm business and agriculture. This one's not giving you a clue of anything other than there's not a lot of pressure upwards or downwards at the moment. We're looking at that AFL, which is a flack. I dislike these folks because they used a joke to get rid of one of their spokespeople. I like Gilbert Godfrey and they did a horrible thing to get him off to cut their advertising budget and he was a comedian. They knew when they hired him and then they took something that no one in the world saw or heard and made it into a big deal over. Not my biggest fans. I kind of think of them as weasels. You know what? You're back into support. We're not in the right or wrong business. We're in the higher or lower business. You're going back into this 5.5 million share low from April 3rd at $48.29 with 1.2 million shares. You're probably going to find some money around there at $48. But I don't know if there's going to be anything in earnings that moves the market other than the fact that a lot of those companies have a lot of investment and if the market's not moving well, they don't do well either. Applied industrial technologies, AIT has kind of done a retracement here. Let's get a little zoomy, a little bit more zoomy in here. Let's go just a little longer here. The time frame. Let's see what we've done for a retracement so far. Well, you got the 382 retracement. That would have been 60, what is that 62 32 and you've got 63 21 as the spike of Thursday . 65 91 would be a 50% retracement and 69 40 would be the retracement for the 6 1 6 1 I don't see a lot in this one, but certainly I suspect this is coming into a lot of resistance from this down move off of September 21st last year and you're back into this candle and you've got some fairly decent volume for a low volume stock but I don't know if there's a lot in that line technologies. This one this gap here was on earnings back on October 25th this thing does have a tendency to have some fairly wicked gaps on earnings it too is done. It's kind of retracement see if we can get in here close this down get a little closer here and get a little problem here I need to fix that too okay I see that but I don't know why it's happening okay we'll look at that tonight but not much okay last get air group a lot of gaps in this thing you know I can't see a lot in this bounce but 64 dollars is probably where the only good risk reward is to probably short this you got 62 10 last Wednesday you're down coming down a little bit off of it but you could still do a little bit more work to get this to about 64 before it would be a short position A L S N which is Allison transmissions this is going to tell you a great deal about the trucking business and big Ford and Chevy and Dodge pretty nice on this one take a look at this one retracement and it's doing it twice okay see what else we have we did about a 50% retracement on that okay Alexion pharmaceuticals pretty much came down to the gap that goes back almost two gaps actually go back to February 12th those had 1.7 million shares and 300,000 shares so you got into that with about 2 million shares on Thursday not today but just no juice that one looks fairly weak and of course we talked last week about the IBB and all of these doesn't look any better today we come back continue going through stocks and earnings this week nothing really stands out right at the moment but we'll see another segment to go If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment look for you the security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida the tax act of 2018 set up tax free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits which makes these lots valuable the investment is anywhere from 30,000 to 75,000 the interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis according to bankrate.com the best rate for a four year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1% the four 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such as traders or active investors distributor for side fund services LLC don't forget you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV that's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV for the latest market information and we're back continue looking at this Ameritrade as we look at this as we go on certainly to AMD and again going sideways I don't see a lot in that one Amazon back up to and through its resistance level of this big day down with 11 million shares that was back on October the 10th actually 11 million shares on that day into it now with 2.6 million shares today but we'll look at that to ATI ATI and we talked about that AVB which is Avalon Bay communities kind of interesting that we're seeing some of the weakness that we are in housing numbers this morning pretty much said that high-end housing is dramatically down in the last 30 days after being up the previous 30 days really looks like a lot of people were fighting to get their closings in and now it's dropped to a whole lot lower of that AZN which is AstraZeneca this gap up on earnings back on 14th of February that happened with 12.4 million shares just got into it with 5.5 million shares on Thursday today you only have about 3 million shares there's a double gap right here at 37 bucks and that's where I suspect it's going we already talked about Boeing let's talk about baby which is not a not as baby this one actually is setting up very good I got out of it thank god but I wouldn't have only lost a dollar on a $25 stock so not the worst thing in the world but certainly it didn't move much I think got out with 50 or 60 cent loss on this so basically flat this thing went sideways for a very long time did look very good up until last Wednesday when it dropped down but you still didn't really get any kind of volume and you haven't leased last couple of days any close back up into the trading range and this one will look fairly good it's not like many of them BIIB which blew apart also on earnings in the biotech space this one tended to do this we caught it once with a put made a bunch of money I think what was it 600% it's been a few years ago I didn't see any kind of had the same setup I just didn't see it as clearly as I did a few years ago certainly down strongly on March 21 that was 22 million shares you did come back and make a low on March 25 at 21612 that was with 8.5 million shares and you kind of got into those candles on Thursday with let's call it 2.34 and 3.25 million shares so coming back here and testing fairly light but again as long as we have some true revolutionaries in the government you want to I think socialism is the way to go for healthcare you got to kind of stay away from it that is their target we are better places to go and go fishing let me put it that way than that Blumen Brands which I think it's coming up on Friday if I'm not mistaken Gap hire on the 14th of February looked fairly good now we're coming back in that Gap hire came on 4.7 million shares got into it on Wednesday last week with 1.2 million shares and of course what do we have here Thursday we had 1.1 million shares not doing much today but just 500,000 shares but that one actually looks fairly good if you can get anything going and what do we have Bristol Myers Squibb certainly this Gap move hire or actually Gap lower on the 3rd of January was one of the first to fail he did that with 80.4 million shares got back into it on Friday with 23 24 million shares today about 9.6 million shares so far ok bro BRO what is this one brown and brown I think they're insurance company trying to get back into this high of September 14th that was $31.37 1.7 million shares did it with less than a million shares last Wednesday and a little bit of a pullback but no signal so far Boston Scientific double topped did so though with higher volume so this one might be interesting back to 41 bucks no real signals yet though Caterpillar as we talked about this one a multitude of times trying to figure out let's do this 140 65 on December 3rd of last year 140 65 with let's call it 9.4 million shares got into it with 4.4 million shares February 25th on last Thursday came into it with 4.5 million shares tried to make a newer high and now back into the trading range once again we talked about CMG C&C how about what is that C&C Centine Corporation did break through on lower volume than the March 27th low that was a 49.65 with 35 million shares it's gone below that on last Wednesday with 20 million shares on Thursday 18 million shares and about 5.6 million shares so far today COF which is capital 1 financial credit card companies have been kind of weak this has gotten back up made a new high and it's done nothing but go sideways for 5 days now without any kind of signals you could call that at least a break above this trading range of about 85 bucks without a sign of strength and no follow-through so far but you probably going to hang there tell we have earnings ok what else Cabot oil and gas off a little bit shy about 3 million shares at this 27 dollar high certainly didn't have much off this February 8th low though so kind of very light energy on the way back up to a specific Canadian Pacific we got a few railroads coming out this week this is one of them we are right up to the previous high at 710,000 shares from the December 3rd high that was 216 55 so what we have today 223,000 shares going up against that 700,000 share high December 3rd take a look at that we'll be back I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life it's the most common trade that we tigers and tigers share if you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done which is how to time the markets I'm Steve Rhodes author of mastering probability and for the last 12 months I've been tracking my 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this is the go to newsletter that identifies, monitors and profits on mostly little known cutting edge companies with great long term prospects David's experience is as an inventor of Emmy winning animation products for TV and Hollywood that propelled a company public match that with 14 years as a full time trader and he's uniquely qualified to guide you through the light speed world of ever evolving high tech to arrive the next big technology full market for less than $40 per month log on to TFNN.com and get your 2 week free trial to the technology insider get in on the ground floor of the next big thing today since 1984 Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman Wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s Basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later Basil found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy in calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman Wave sequence using the Chapman Wave methodology along with other indicators Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a 2 week free trial to the opening call Basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of TFNN.com cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing get your 2 week free trial to Basil's newsletter the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com and we'll do a little wrap up here and that is we're flat on the S&P cash let me update this just to make sure flat on the S&P cash which I'm not expecting a whole lot again Whirlpool after the bell tonight that puts us in dows off 50 Nasdaq's down about 10 Russell's off about 10 so we've got that off about 4 on Boeing which is kind of a lot of the weight on the Dow everything else is pretty much flat awaiting a lot of that earnings tomorrow morning anything else going on got a question about Tesla Tesla had a bad weekend or Elon Musk did one of his capsules blew up a lot of orange smoke it was a hypergolic propellant it was orange so it can only be one thing but that's extremely toxic by the way so if the capsule blew up didn't kill them then the toxic gas probably would have it's down about 10 bucks today so I don't know if you can bring up anything I think earnings are after the bell on Wednesday I continue to think that Tesla's actual value is somewhere around 40 bucks it may be one of the more overpriced stocks certainly in automotive history don't know if there's a lot else out here to talk about but again as I said yesterday the as I said earlier in the show the Chinese curse is may you live in interesting times and those interesting times start a little bit after the bell tonight with whirlpool but man do they get fired up tomorrow morning and they won't quit till Friday morning and of course weeks and weeks and weeks of earnings to come so find us on your AM dial or FM and I think that's about it get ready to rumble and I'll see you back here at 4 o'clock we'll talk about how whirlpool did and some of the other wrap ups for the show so when you can not when you have to we'll see you here tomorrow