 Hey guys, it's Nate, aka The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. Rule Breakers is here. Our next promo, Rule Breakers is starting today in FIFA 23 and there's a lot that could be going on in the game today. With the leaks that we have right now, the potential SPCs and content that we could see and some new packs that have been added to the code that could really bring tons of supply to the market today and potentially drop prices further, that's gonna be one of the main talking points that we discussed in today's video and all the different kind of scenarios that could happen on the market today. It's gonna be a pretty crazy promo Friday. It always is when new cards are coming out into packs. We do have some leaks. I wanna take a look at those. I wanna take a look at the current state of the market. Talk about road to the knockouts. Could those be good buys today? Depending on how the promo Friday goes. And of course, there's a lot of people waiting to buy teams for Weekend League. We'll talk about that situation in today's video as well. If you're excited for Rule Breakers today, hit the thumbs up, subscribe if you're new. Let's quickly go through the leaks and the cards that we are expecting to see today. I do not believe these stats are confirmed. Just to put that out there at the beginning, these are all the leaked cards that we have right now. I believe there are 10, so we'd expect to see a couple more because we would at least hope to have 11 packs, 11 cards in packs today. But there's some big names in here and some massive cards dropping today. Cristiano Ronaldo is headlining the team. Messi last week, Ronaldo this week. We've seen that card. Zaha, we're excited about. Fikir is leaked to becoming PK. I think it's gonna be a really meta center back if he gets the right pace boost. Chicha Hernandez is added to come in this team as well, but here's a massive one. Franck Ribéry, 90 rated center forward. Now we'll see what these stats look like because again, the whole Rule Breakers promo, as it has been in the past couple of years, is just based around giving cards some pretty like crazy, right? If they're breaking the rules of what their card normally is. So Holland got plus 25 paced last year, but they decreased his shooting by four, right? So they decreased a stat in one area and crazy increase another stat in another area. So I'm really interested to see how a lot of these cards look today. And that's some of the most fun with the Rule Breakers promo. But Ribéry is a big name. That could be a really insane card. Five star, five star French player at this stage of the year. I think Ribéry and Ronaldo are by far gonna be the most expensive promo cards in the team today for sure. Moving on, Ed and Jekyll. That could be a pretty good card with the length he met as well. Calvin Phillips getting a Rule Breakers card. That could be a nice one. Jesus Navas was leaked. So you got actually two La Liga defenders in here with Jesus Navas and Piquet. So watch out for those La Liga links today. Last leak that we have right now is Herrera. So we have two Mexican players both in the MLS between Hernandez, Chicha and Herrera. So a lot of those MLS guys have gone up in price specifically Landon Donovan as a hero card giving those links. But those are all the leaked cards that we have right now. So looking at this promo team, it looks pretty good, right? It looks decent. Comparing it to last year, last year we had Holland, Dembele. Rule Breakers team last year was like team one at least. It was good. It wasn't absolutely insane, but it just brought out some fun new cards. And I believe last year a lot of these guys were decently priced day one because of the packs that we had. And it seems like that might be a similar scenario this year as it was last year. Here's the packs that I'm talking about, right? These were added to the code yesterday. And this is the first one that scares me big time. A Rare Players pack plus a 50K pack. Mind you, we have not even seen a 50K pack in the store yet this year. The biggest pack we have seen in the store is a 45K pack, I believe, besides some of these random weird ones that they've had in here, right? Like the Road to Knockout, whatever. But the biggest one that we have seen is a 45,000 coin pack. And that was, I think, last week with Road to the Knockouts. Now, if this pack drops today, the scary part about it is, yes, it's a 50K pack, biggest pack we have seen this far, but inside of it, it includes another Gold Players pack. So everybody who opens a 50K pack on the game today, if this drops, would also get a Gold Players pack inside of that. Same thing with the Premium Gold Players pack, which is a 25K pack, I believe. Inside of that, you get an extra Gold pack, which isn't anything crazy, but this is the one that could bring a ton of supply to the market if it is dropped today. Now, it's not guaranteed, of course, it's just added to the code. We've seen a lot of other crazy packs added to the code, but since it was added to the code yesterday, it almost makes sense that it would be dropping today. So that's got me thinking a little bit about some of these cards that could potentially drop a lot just because of the supply. That's what I'm worried about. I mean, remember what we saw on Wednesday when we had, or Tuesday when we had UEFA Marquis matchups and what happened to a lot of these cards on the market? They just continued to drop lower and the lower rated cards got packed a ton. Like Antony, earlier on this week, was still 37,000 coins. Today, he sits on the market at 26K. Cards like this that are gonna be in packs are going to get hit with a lot more supply. And especially as we move further and further on in this game, the Gold cards, and we've been talking about this for the past couple of weeks, this is kind of just the whole, the process of how this game works and how the market works. The lower tier, lower rated Gold cards are gonna get packed a lot today and so many people are gonna be continuing to upgrade from those cards and those teams. Those are the cards you're gonna have to be watching because they're gonna drop off a lot. Now, other cards like Enkunku, Neymar, Kunde, your higher tier meta cards, yes, there's a lot of demand for people to buy these cards for the weekend league teams because yes, you have seen their prices drop considerably in the past few days. Now, prices rose up a little bit yesterday, right? You saw this, the young at Rival's Rewards last night was 66,000 coins and right now he sits at 80K. I do believe that there will be a little bit more panic selling today on Friday because again, if this word of this pack is gonna be spread around, people are talking about it already, there's gonna be a little bit of panic selling on the Gold card market, I believe, on anything that's gonna be in packs today, I think you'll see a bit of panic just because again, people know that this pack would bring big time supply to the market and it would really start to drop a lot of these prices. So, that's what I'd be the most worried about today is if that pack drops. Now, if it doesn't, it's probably gonna be a week like last week, you'll still see some supply hit the market today regardless of what packs are in the store. People are gonna open FIFA points to try to pack Ronaldo, try to pack Ribbery, try to pack these new promo cards, that's just how it goes. So, I would expect to see supply regardless but if it's those 50K Rare Players plus packs that give out the extra pack inside, it's gonna be a lot more supply. And, you know, what we've seen the last couple of weeks as well is like on your most popular players like Vinny, like Neymar, like Mbappe or Christiane Ronaldo, you've seen these guys' prices jump up very quickly after the content drop because everybody kind of waits to see what content is, then they go and they buy their team. While there is a lot of demand today, I think that it might be worth waiting to see what packs are dropped in the store and what SPC has dropped with content, what player SPC has dropped because that could crash the market further if those crazy packs are out and if we get a really good value SPC, last year on the first Friday of Rule Breakers, we had the Enkunku player pick. You guys might remember the Enkunku, one of them had, you know, the higher shooting stat, one of them had the higher passing stat. I think a lot of people went for the passing stat Enkunku, that was a pretty big SPC and the market did have some movements because people wanted to get this guy in their team. Now also you see one of the screenshots here from what I tweeted last year was that the Rule Breakers out of a 50K pack, you see rare players pack, they dropped 50K packs for this promo last year, although it was two weeks later than what it is right now, 5.1% from a 50K, you know, that's semi-decent odds, but what'll be interesting to see is how that compares to today's promo team when it is dropped. I remember specifically last year on the promo drop that there were some of these cards on the lower tier, since those packs were so good, right? 50K packs, that's a lot of supply regardless. This Onyeka card, so many people were buying him super cheap in the first 15, 20 minutes of when he got released, his price shot up in value for like the next hour so after that, and then he went lower later into the night. I would watch out for some of those first hour flips today on cards as well. If they drop some of those big boy packs, your most rare cards like, you know, we talked about the Ronaldo, we talked about the Riverry, maybe a Zaha or a Fakir, if they drop those crazy packs in the store, the supply is gonna flood onto the market in the first 20 minutes or so. Some cards might get really, really low and then potentially rebound higher in the next hour or two after that. So I would watch those market fluctuations today as well. Some of that happened last week with the road to the knockouts. Now again, for the rest of the market, right? Let's talk about other cards. We're talking about like road to the knockouts. What's gonna happen with road to the knockouts today because these guys just continue to drop in price. Their prices are so low, but they're going out of packs today and yes, these are live cards. So people think, hey, should I be investing in these today? Well, here's what I think. These cards are not rare. Road to the knockouts in past years have been pretty rare, but we've seen every single day this week when they've dropped pack supply. Think about how much Lucas Paqueta and some of these cards have dropped. You know, a guy like Obamian is a lot more rare than some of the other ones, but like Thomas Muller is 30,000 coins, which in the grand scheme of things, you might think, Nate, this guy's gonna get a plus two, right? So he's gonna get upgraded. Isn't this surely a buy? In my opinion, we don't have any more Champions League games until over a week from now. The Champions League does not continue this next week besides Arsenal playing a game. So Odegaard really is the only card that I would think about watching and I would rather wait on a card like that until maybe even later this next week. I'm a little skeptical to invest in these cards today just because I feel like there's more opportunity to trade elsewhere on the market and especially in an investing context, right? I am not looking at investing in these cards today and holding them for a week and a half or two weeks or three weeks until they get their upgrade just because there's so much content that could be coming out in that timeframe. Think about the packs that we have in the code as well. We had a new base icon, 86 max overall pack that was added to the code. We've got a hero upgrade that was dropped. Last year during rule breakers, they dropped the first hero upgrade and it crashed the market. During the second week of rule breakers last year, they dropped the base icon upgrade and 50K preview packs and it killed the market. I'm sure some of you guys remember that. It was absolutely devastation on the market last year in early November when they did that. So yeah, could it be a little bit early to start thinking about some of those things that happened in early November last year? Maybe, but we have multiple icon packs in the code now. We have that hero upgrade pack. I'm not looking at these cards as a good opportunity to buy and hold. Some of them might go up later tonight on Friday with people going back out and buying their week-end league teams, but with the way the market has been this past week as well, if I'm buying anything, it's a quick flip. I'm not sinking my coins into an investment other than SBC fodder. And this is where I want to talk investing for a second because I do think there is a really good potential investment with SBC fodder this weekend. It doesn't have to be today with all those packs that we have added to the code. Like I said, the hero, the base icon, two different ones added in the code now for that. And then just great potential player SBCs that couldn't be coming out with the rule breakers promo as well. I like SBC fodder because this is the time of the year that SBC fodder goes up. And if you take a look at a few of these prices, fodder's been going down as the market has been going down this week too. I mean, Oblak was 33,000 coins. Yes, you consider him a little bit of a meta card, but probably also fodder at this stage. Down to 27K, he's down a little bit. A card that's been fodder this whole time, Tony Cruz, right? As an 88-read card, he was all the way up at 27,000 coins. He was even like in 24 to 25K range and is now at 20,000 coins. With more packs applied today, some of this fodder could get pretty cheap and it might end up being a fantastic buy and hold for the next week or two because I really do think that with the way prices continue to react on this game year over year, let's take a look at last year's K. Lornava's 88-read card. When did he spike last year? In the middle of October, he spiked to 22,000 coins. He kind of went down, so maybe we have a big supply this weekend and cards could go down a little further, who knows? But then, look what happens in November. And in the late stages of October, this guy explodes, right? And we have 88s that in the middle of November with Black Friday reached 33,000 coins. So I'm not expecting a huge crash on fodder, necessarily, because EA's continuing to put out really good content, really good SBCs. And I just don't see a huge crash coming with this stuff. I do think that those 50K packs could impact it. So I think this weekend is just a time where buying fodder to stock it in your club is a solid idea because we're getting towards that time of the year where those base icon SBCs, the hero SBCs, that stuff makes fodder go up the most and I think that stuff is on the horizon of content to come. So that's kind of what I'd be watching for. If you wanna try to make an investment, get on bids, right? I can't stress enough that everybody tries to snipe cards. Bidding is so overpowered when it comes to especially cards like that. The second hour after content, think about it, right? Everybody opens packs right away at 6 p.m., 6 to 6.30 p.m. An hour after that is when all those cards that people packed and listed up for open bid are starting to expire. That's when you wanna be bidding, is an hour after content because those cards are expiring, great time to get deals for the next couple of hours as people continue to release cards. So make sure you're watching out for that sort of stuff. Now, other content we should see today with rule breakers. Like I mentioned in SBC, I would assume we get a rule breakers player SBC, kind of that player pick that we saw last year within Kunku. We saw that a couple times, I believe. I forget the other player that they released, but there was another player pick SBC that they dropped during rule breakers. So if that sort of content idea comes back, that'd be nice because that was cool, right? Because you could choose, hey, if I wanted a passing boost or a shooting boost on that in Kunku card. And I think back to some of the more crazy promo Fridays that we have had in the past couple of years of FIFA, when they drop really, really good player SBCs, some of the Friday content just gets centered around that player. I think of like Flashback, Benzema. I think of Winter Wildcard Zaha, where so many cards that were nice links to those players. If there's an insane SBC today, whoever it could be, if that player is very well priced, has really good stats and is just super popular and a lot of people go and do it, the links to that card will go up. Now last week we had the road to the knockouts Kulu Sevski that was released on promo Friday. I did the SBC, but I know a lot of guys didn't because they were like, hmm, overpriced, not an insane card. That's an example of a card that would not probably move link investments too much. But again, just watch for today and see who is leaked. I would imagine there's gonna be leaks today on Friday of who our SBC and objective players would be. As of right now, of course, Goosens is gonna be ending. We don't have any objective leaks. I would imagine almost certainly that we would have an objective player dropped today on the game as well. I think, I feel like I remember something last year about like during Rule Breakers, there was some milestone SBC for like a 50K pack or something. So we'll check objectives today. Hopefully EA is nice to us and gives us a nice grindable content there. So, you know, that's kind of how I feel like the market's gonna go. The last thing I would say too is just to kind of finish the conversation on team buying and stuff. If prices are just gonna get hammered with supply today and you might be like, Nate, so when do I really need to buy those cards for my team if there's gonna be a lot of supply? I still think that you can buy maybe like, you know, an hour or so after content. You just have to watch and see how big the price drop offs are right away. If player price is like, let's say you wanna get Kunde for your team. Kunde is 67K. Last night, before Rival's rewards, he was 58, right? Let's say today in a Friday, Kunde strolls into 6PM, he's like 63K. Let's say there's a little bit of panic selling, but not a whole lot. We'll have to see how that goes today. But let's say he's like 65K rolling into content today. If Kunde, after like 20 minutes and everybody's opening those insane 50K packs today, if he drops to like 45,000 coins or like, let's say 50K flat, that's a huge drop off. This is still a very, very meta, very popular card. And of course, you do have a PK today that could be a replacement for a guy like Kunde, but also, you know, people might need to buy a Kunde to put next to PK and their team and link them together. So, you know, that would be a very interesting scenario today, but if you see like, I'm talking like 25 or 30% drops, that's kind of like the magic number. If you see 20 to 25, sometimes 30% drops on a lot of these cards, that for me is like a, you know, it sets an alarm off. It's like, okay, that's a crazy drop. Surely, there's a lot of demand for some of these meta players that if they drop off that much, there should be a rebound happening. So, I'm really curious to see what packs they put in the store today. If they don't put those 50K packs in the store, I think, again, you could see those players like Vinny Jr., you could see those players like Neymar, who last night I was like, man, Neymar's 430,000 coins. Like there's no way he's not gonna be like 450, 460K in the next couple of days. Neymar, I think, went up to like 460 after Raffles rewards and now he's at like 430 again. Like if Neymar is 400K today, buy it for your team, man. Use them in weekend league, have fun. And then my biggest advice to you would be just as you are playing weekend league throughout this weekend, just be careful with the cards that you're holding onto. Don't hold onto them for too long because their prices, as we fall into the late night, tonight, Friday, this is a common trend with promo cards as well. We saw it with Road to the Knockouts last week. Just watch out for some of these promo cards and the rest of the market probably dropping off a bit in the late night hours tonight. Like I remember Abamiying last week, I bought him, I bought Foden last week on Friday night, early Saturday morning. People wake up on Saturday, they like to buy cards and try them out. So we will be watching that, of course, that's a normal kind of fluctuation that you see. Just so just be careful, monitor the prices. If you're gonna go try a card out, just use it for a couple of games and then probably move him onwards on a Friday, especially players that get dropped in packs on a promo Friday are usually their most expensive on that Friday and then they continue to drop throughout the rest of the week. So it's gonna be a crazy market day, it really is because depending on what packs EA put in the store, that's gonna set the tone. We're gonna be reacting to it on the market, trying to make coins live as always, today on Twitch, around the content drop. Make sure you check in, link down below in the description. It's gonna be a lot of fun. Maybe, I don't know, maybe EA will put out some sort of like nice pack as we see today too. Upgrade packs on Fridays like never happened, but I'd like some sort of opportunity to pack a Rule Breakers card today. That will be fun. So we'll see what EA Sports brings for content today, but it's gonna be a very, very interesting day on the market, that is for sure. So if you're excited for it, hit the thumbs up, comment down below if you have any questions and of course, subscribe if you're new. It has been Nate the Photo Count and I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.