 Hey, what's going on everybody welcome inside studio 34. This is the fan duel hurry up I am Frank Stanfield joined by number fire analyst Jim Sonis getting you ready for NASCAR DFS That's right the Daytona 500 this weekend We have six DFS plays that we're going to get into and I want to start at the top here Jim with Brad Kazalowski at twelve thousand two hundred dollars Jim. What do you like about Brad Kazalowski? Yeah at Daytona Frank essentially what you want to do is you want to identify drivers who are Starting poorly and are going to finish well because at Daytona you're not going to get many drivers who lead a ton of laps Because they're only 200 laps available, which means 20 points for laps lead on fandals So basically if you want upside you're going to get it from guys starting closer to the back and Brad Kazalowski Happens to be starting almost all the way in the back He's starting a 35th for Sunday's race and essentially what that means that if you're filling out a cash game roster Kazalowski should be basically a lock button for you because he is starting so far back and because he is one of the better Racers on restrictor play tracks that we have in NASCAR. He has traditionally done well Overall on play tracks and look at him at Daytona recently the history for Kazalowski is not great because he has finished outside Of the top 20 in now eight of his last nine races But the one where he did finish inside the top 20 was a win So Kazalowski can win here the betting odds for him are super short despite the poor starting position So Kazalowski has a shot to win. He's starting in 35th He he essentially is starting there just because he had some issues on Thursday night in their qualifying race So I think that Kazalowski is a lock button for cash games. He is also a tremendous play for tournaments So not a lot of rosters to me this week They will not include Brad Kazalowski at twelve thousand two hundred dollars Brad Kazalowski might be a popular pick this weekend But Jim really likes his chances of winning and especially starting at the position of thirty-fifth twelve thousand two hundred dollars steep price tag But make sure to get Brad Kazalowski in your lineups this weekend up next We have Chase Elliott whose starting position is 18th for the Daytona 500. You're getting him at a Fandall salary of $11,000 Jim what do you like about Chase Elliott? Yeah Chase Elliott's not starting quite as far back as Brad Kazalowski So for cash games, I'm not going to prioritize Chase Elliott because I think that there are better options deeper in the field Like guys will discuss later on but for tournaments I do think there is quite a bit to like about Chase Elliott now his history at Daytona is not great He's never finished better than 14th year But that is a small sample for a really talented and young race car driver The thing that you have to love about Chase Elliott is what he has done so far during speed weeks back in qualifying back on Sunday Every Hendrick Carr so Chase Elliott Alex Bowman William Byron and Jimmy Johnson They were all crazy fast And I think we saw a little bit of that during the clash last Sunday and then also on Thursday night The problem for Chase Elliott was that he got mired back in the pack and had no one no teammates with him to help Him move his way for he was trying to do so basically all by himself did a pretty admirable job of doing so as well So I think these Hendrick cars have speed We just haven't seen it work in a draft just yet outside of Jimmy Johnson during the clash last Sunday So make sure to see what Chase Elliott can do coming up here from 18th spot He also does have a teammate with him this time Jimmy Johnson is starting 17 So I think if you want to build a tournament stack of Rick Hendrick racing cars It makes sense to go with both Johnson and Elliott under the assumption They can work their way forward get you some place differential points and also get you a solid finish from this starting Spot chase Elliott hasn't had a lot of success here at Daytona But you heard Jim talk about it small sample size still super talented starting at 18th here But $11,000 we like Chase Elliott this weekend at Daytona 500 Up next we have Kyle Busch in the mid tier dropping down a little bit in salary. His starting position is 31st You're spending $10,300 on Kyle Busch Jim. What do you like about Kyle this weekend? Yeah, I mean the salaries amazing for Kyle Busch and I get the reasoning for having him be this low and it's because his Recent history at Daytona hasn't been that great But the long sample and Kyle Busch is very good He has seven career top 10s here or a seven career top 5s here and the same thing as keselowski Bush is starting towards the back He had issues on Thursday night, which means he is starting 31st and he has the same other blend that keselowski has He is a good driver who is in really good equipment and is starting from the back That is exactly what you want for DFS if you're looking for a driver who has both floor and upside now from choosing between Bush and keselowski I would favor keselowski because he's starting further back and because keselowski drives a Ford and Ford's have been hugely successful or stricter play tracks since the start of last year So if you're picking between one of the two I'd go keselowski, but you don't have to pick You've got five slots for each roster here on Fandwall for this weekend So you can go both keselowski and bush and then build from there. Yes, they're pretty expensive And I think that yes that does make a tiny bit more cumbersome But when you look at the way the the salaries are distributed for this event I don't think the salary cap will be an issue at all There are a lot of cheaper drivers starting towards the back who also have talent and we'll talk about some of them later on here Today, so I'm not worried about the salary cap personally I think that guys like keselowski and like bush are great for both cash games and for tournaments If both these guys could win the race and if they do so starting outside the top 30 It'll be a monstrous day for DFS So I love Kyle Busch across the board and that salary being as low as it is just makes it even makes him even more desirable You heard Jim He likes keselowski and Kyle Busch because both are starting outside the top 30 And he thinks he both have upside to finish very high in the Daytona 500 this weekend You don't have to choose between one or the other you can have both because Kyle Busch only $10,300 this weekend Up next we're creeping down a little bit lower here in the midst here We're going with Eric Jones starting position of 28th here at only $8,800 Jim. What do you like about Eric Jones? Yeah, we talked before about stacking the Hendrick racing cars in the middle of the pack with Johnson and Chase Elliot But I think you do the same with Jill Gibbs racing in the lower part of the pack because Eric Jones is back there with Kyle Busch Both JGR cars trying to work their way forward together and Eric Jones Kind of like Chase Elliot where he has a small sample at Daytona and two of those races for Jones at Daytona have not ended Well, but he is actually the most recent winner at this track Is he just nudged out Martin Truex jr. Last year in the July race Truex has in that race also in a JGR Powered car so that team can compete at this track Even if they haven't had the same level of dominance as the Ford's have shown a restrictor plates the past couple of years Joe Gibbs racing cars are still very good when you get a guy like Eric Jones to his crazy young and crazy talented Starting this deep in the order. I think that can only end well So Eric Jones to me when I'm looking at you know drivers who are then my cash game considerations Jones makes that list because He has the ability to finish well as he showed last July He's starting deep in the order and he has good equipment and he has a teammate back there to help him work his way forward So Eric Jones kind of checks every box $8,800 really solid price to pay for a guy those talents And I will happily do so on Sunday in any format fun fact about Eric Jones one most recent race back in Daytona Last July starting position of 28th this weekend $8,800 pretty good price tag for Eric Jones this weekend Let's get into the value plays here Jim and Daniel Hemric starting at 29th position here $7,300 what can you tell me about Daniel? Yeah, Daniel Hemric is a rookie He's had just two career races in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup series He's a fresh face, but he's got a lot of talent Bob Pock rastered a prospect ranking for ESPN back in November and on his prospect Rankings Daniel Hemric was the number two prospect in all of NASCAR trailing only a guy He's not even the cup series this year and Christopher Bell So among rookies this year Daniel Hemric may be the guy who was the most talented and he's going to a team that has some at least Decent equipment at these tracks that is because his teammate Austin Dylan actually won the Daytona 500 last year So Hemric going to a pretty good team now if you look at what Hemric did in the Xfinity series back when he was there It wasn't a lot of great finishes for him on the restrictor play tracks But I think the experience he gained on Thursday night should help him because he was able to hang in that draft Even though he was a lap down He got some good experience racing with good cars And I think that should help Daniel Hemric in this race as mentioned He does have the teammate of Austin Dylan also Tyler Redick who his minimum price is driving for Richard Childers racing as well So three RCR cars in this pack one of them is starting kind of close to Hemric as well So I think Hemric is interesting for 2019 in general because he does have some talent and because he has at least decent equipments I think that could get out to a good start here in Daytona. Hemric $7,300. He was starting all the way back in 29th I think now is not a bad chance to buy in on this guy See if the talent does translate into good finishes and get yourself a driver starting low in the pack along with that as well This time of the year you're gonna hear a lot of people talking about MLB prospects for baseball this upcoming season We're not talking about those guys. We're talking about NASCAR prospects. That's right. Daniel Hemric only $7,300 this weekend Our final value on the board here. Jim is Michael McDowell starting at 34th here at only $6,200. What can you tell me about Michael McDowell? Yeah, we talked about Hemric being a rookie and McDowell is very much not a rookie. He's in his mid 30s He's a very experienced driver with that experience as McDowell has gotten older He's gained, uh, you know, he's become a really good driver on these restrictor play courses Especially here at Daytona because he has been 10th or better In three of the past five races at Daytona has five career top 10s at Daytona Including one top five finishes. He was fourth in the 2017 July race So, you know, a really good racer at this event and he's $6,200 Started deep in the field all the way back in 34th Now, you know, when we look at these value drivers the big concern Is that they may lose the draft early on fall behind get a lap down and be in some serious trouble That could happen with McDowell because his equipment is not as good as guys like kyle busch and like brad keselowski But McDowell does have help in this race. He has two teammates in this race as well He has matt tift the rookie very young rookie also a talented guy as well He is $5,800 starting 33rd right alongside Michael McDowell and David Reagan is also a driver for this team He is starting in 24th So a lot of teammates in this field for Michael McDowell to help him if we get into crunch time That has worked out well for McDowell in the past Reagan also a talented researcher play racer So I think the talent is definitely there for McDowell and the big concern is the equipment But that has not stopped him in the past. So for me personally, I think that McDowell is Another guy who is a cash game consideration because he has traditionally been good at these courses He is starting deep in the field in 34th, and I'm pretty comfortable with his upside as well So Michael McDowell definitely on my list for cash games and for tournaments Given the rich history he has at these tracks Michael McDowell another one of these racers starting outside the top 30 this weekend the biggest difference He's only $6,200 look for Michael McDowell as one of your value plays this weekend Coming up next we'll have jim's best bets of the weekend at the Daytona 500 These were his top DFS plays over on fan duel. Don't go anywhere. We'll be right back Welcome back to the fan duel. Hurry up. I am frank stanfield joined by jim sonnis of number fire once again We just went over his top DFS plays for fan duel at the Daytona 500 Now we're going to get into some of his best bets and jim. Let's start with kevin harvick who has plus 1200 odds To win this weekend. What do you like about kevin harvick? I think that we what you have to love about kevin harvick is the faculty drives with ford Honestly given the way that things have gone since the start of last year ford said ben Just dominant on restricted plates. No, they did not win at Daytona in either race last year But if you look at the large sample, it seems like fords always had the best speed and who won both the duels last night It was kevin harvick winning one and joey legano and a ford winning the other So I think that really you do want to stick with the fords more often than not When you're betting this race and kevin harvick is the highest starting ford in the field He is starting third in this race and he started there because he was so good in that duel race last night He led 44 of the 60 laps in that duel And was pretty dominant the entire night And the other thing that harvick has going for him is that he has a lot of teammates Towards the front with him clint boyer starting sixth eric almirola starting eighths of steward house racing Has a lot of firepower out the front when they had that last year at talladega Which is the other restricted plate track They essentially formed a freight train with their top four drivers all controlling the front of the field And essentially coasting the victor with eric almirola I would not be shocked given the fact they have three SHR cars up in the front of the field again this year if they were to dominate and if they do so Harvick is a prime candidate to rack up some laps led and potentially find his way into victory lane plus 1200 dollars I think he's just a really good number for him. He's a two-time winner at atona He has nine career top fives here So if we look at the the top end fords, which are joey legano brad keselowski and kevin harvick Harvick is the one who has the longest odds and I am willing to take that at plus 1200 dollars for sunday Kevin harvick plus 1200 to win the daytona 500. He drives the ford jim sonnis likes him. What more do you need to know? Up next we have ryan blaney who's author at plus 1300 to win the daytona 500 this weekend Jim what can you tell me about ryan blaney? Yeah, we were talking before about betting on the top end fords and the top two guys are joey legano and brad keselowski And the reason that they are up there is because they drive for for penske racing and penske has been dominant at researcher play tracks both At daytona and talladega So if you wanted bet on penske, you're gonna have tough sledding because the odds on both those guys are much shorter than they are for The rest of the field you could still talk yourself into them because they're very good drivers on restrictor plates Or you could take the discount still bet penske but go with ryan blaney instead because he is their teammate He is a young driver He is super aggressive and that leads to to high variance finishes for ryan blaney But in betting I want high variance and I want to go with a guy who has the ability to get out front Lead some laps and win a race that is very much ryan blaney's mo He led 118 laps in last year's daytona 500 finished second or finished seventh in that one Didn't quite close it out But that was a year after he also finished second before he even drove for penske racing and had This awesome equipment that he has right now So I think that blaney's just a guy who's going to win at daytona soon enough because he has that that high variance approach That you like he is aggressive. He wants to lead laps and he has the best equipment in the field with penske racing So ryan blaney gets the access to penske racing at just plus 1300 So to me blaney is a really smart bet who could get his first win at daytona this weekend Heard jim mentioned that ryan blaney led for 118 laps in last year's daytona 500 We'll look for him to capitalize a little bit more this year at plus 1300 odds Up next we have daniel suarez plus 2500 to win the daytona 500 jim. Uh, why do you like daniel suarez? It's kind of the same line of thinking we discussed with ryan blaney where I wanted to get access to penske racing With daniel suarez I want to get access to steward haas racing the other big forward team on the cup series circuit You know, you got eric elmerola climp bowler kevin harvick. All those guys have short odds They're all 16 to 1 or shorter whereas suarez is 25 to 1 and the reasoning for that is because suarez's history at daytona is not great Bob he's had a pretty pretty rough stretch here overall But now he goes from joe gibbs racing over to steward haas racing and joe gibbs racing has tremendous equipment And i'm not not trying to knock them again. They did win here in july last year But it's really hard to get better than steward haas racing So it's likely an equipment upgrade for daniel suarez and he has shown what that equipment can do So far during speed weeks during the clash last sunday He was driving aggressively making some really creative and interesting passes out there And this time he's going to have his teammates out there with him in elmerola bowler and kevin harvick So suarez starting a little bit deeper in the field and that's why his odds are longer He also doesn't have the same history at daytona as those guys But i think just by being a steward haas racing driver his odds should potentially be a tiny bit shorter than this So for me at daniel suarez I think that it just makes sense to take advantage of the team changes So i didn't take advantage of the fact that he is getting you access to steward haas racing at a much better price And uh plur him out there at plus $2,500 You heard jim mention that daniel suarez's history is quote not great bob But jim also likes him to turn it around here and i trust jim so we're looking at daniel suarez at plus $2,500 this weekend Up next we have alex bowman. You're getting at plus $2,200 jim. What can you tell me about alex bowman? Yeah, our entire focus today frank has been on the fords and that's because the fords You know last year were so dominant. They also won both of the dual races on thursday night So fords have been dominant alex bowman's not a ford. He's actually driving for chevy But when you look back to sunday during single car qualifying It was the rick hendrick racing cars who dominated they had the four fastest cars in the field for that single car qualifying Which means they've got good engines under the hood and we could potentially see a scenario in which it's actually them Who dominate this weekend if that does happen you could be tempted to bet chase elliott He has 16 to 1 jimmy johnson is 18 to 1 Or william byron who is 32 to 1 But what alex bowman gets you is a little bit of a better price when you get on elliott and johnson And he is also starting higher in the field because he is starting on the front row alongside byron And he also has more experience than byron does because he you know, he's been in the cup series for a while Long time filling for dale earnhardt jr. Back in the day as well And he's used that experience to finish well at restrictor plates in the past He was uh, he had two top tens on the restrictor plates last year He had a top eight average running position in both. They tone erases. So kind of like blaney he is a young driver who can run up front and uh be out there when it matters most so You know bowman I think it's more of the assumption that that the hendrick cars show the same speed They showed in qualifying on sunday and qualifying under strict your plates is very different than actually racing in a pack But if that speed does translate into a good showing on sunday, it could very well be bowman who benefits He is a third uh third cheapest driver on hendrick motorsports at plus 2200 So I think that bowman does make sense for this weekend if you make the assumption At the hendrick speed carries over into sunday's race Heard jim mentioned that alex bowman is not driving a four It's something that he's been looking for in other racers But he is starting higher up in the field and you're getting him at plus 2200 Just some of the reasons why jim does like alex bowman this weekend at daytona 500 Up next we have paul minard who you're getting at plus 3200. All right, and now we're talking a little bit Let's make some money here jim. What do you like about paul minard? Yeah, he's got like this witchcraft at restrictor play tracks where paul minard Somehow is always able to avoid calamity. You know, he couldn't avoid calamity on sunday in the clash But that's because he was at out front and he got wrecked in that clash on sunday though Minard led 51 of 55 laps. He does have that pensky equipment He's not a pensky car But he is in an alliance with pensky which means he has their equipment And he showed the strength of that on sunday in the clash leading again 51 of 55 laps He has also been good at daytona Historically he has finished sixth or better in three of the past four daytona races a lot of times You know winning at daytona or talladega Is just being a driver who can get to the finish because there are so many crashes and so many big crashes in these races And minard again Is kind of a wizard at avoiding wrecks and making sure he is still in contention at the end of the race Also, he's with woodbrothers racing. They do have an alliance with pensky But as mentioned before they themselves have finished well on this race before back in 2017 when ryan blaney was with the team They finished second. So minard is a good driver on these tracks He's with a good team and he's starting high up in the order in seventh place And he has shown already in the speed weeks that he can do well Thanks to how well he did on sunday in the clash. So a lot of things working really well for paul minard He's plus 3200 dollars. I don't think he should be that long given his history at these tracks So, you know, why not take a little bit of a risk here frank so we can go without a paul minard Because I think that he's a little bit better than the odds are saying he is here A little bit of risk here with paul minard But Jim mentioned the history that he has here sixth or better in three of his last four races at daytona Again, you're getting paul minard at plus 3200 seems like a pretty good bet Last but not least we have chris boucher here at plus 7500 dollars and jim Now we're talking now. You're talking my kind of language here one of our long shots at 75 to 1 What can you tell us about chris boucher? Yeah, I think that daytona is a track that gives you a little bit more flexibility when it comes to betting because You can focus on drivers who have good talent and may not have the best equipment chris boucher does not have the best equipment But the dude can drive a racecar He is a former xfinity series champion and at tracks where talent matters more than equipment boucher tends to do pretty well. Those are short tracks Road courses and restricted play tracks and boucher showed last year He can compete at these tracks because he's finished fifth in both these races last year He was tenth in the race before that and he also had a pair of runner-up finishes That restricted play tracks in the xfinity series back when he was racing down there Boucher does not have to come all the way from the back of the pack if he wants to win this race He started this race in 15th position, which means he ran really well in his dual race He was running around fifth for most of that race I'm not sliding a little bit towards the end, but the guy knows how to drive at these tracks And I value that a lot especially when we can see that he's plus 7500 We saw the speed he had in single car runs too. He was not bad there So, you know, it's probably not going to happen, but chris boucher back to back top buys here He is a talented driver. He has done well here in the past in the xfinity series as well So I think it's 75 to 1 it makes a lot of sense So I'm not going to complain about it for chris boucher I think you should probably be closer to around 50 or so and as long as it's 75 I will totally take the dive here for sure. I heard jim say quote dude can drive a race car So I am in I'm sprinkling a little bit a little bit a little bit of salt bay here this weekend on chris boucher Those were jim sonnis's best bets for this weekend at day tone of 500 If you missed any videos from today, make sure you go on over to fandal.com slash to dual click on videos Or subscribe to the fantasy sports network youtube page for jim sonnis. I am frank stanfield. Thank you guys so much for watching and good luck