 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 177-873-7618. Now, David White. Welcome everyone to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour and it doesn't matter where you're in or where you're at, it doesn't matter if you're trying to sell ice cubes to Alaskans or having a long L&T in Nebraska, you can be anywhere as long as you're here at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So we've got one of the lightest volatility days in recent history on options expiration, assuming that they've got that all out of the way on the way up. Got some questions? You're pretty close to 4700 on the S&P cash. That suggests that you're probably going to see the VIX stabilize today. You're going to have to probably move 20 points up or down to get it really moving from here, sitting at $20.57 last tick ice show. So once a month we get this wash, rinse, repeat cycle where the option market makers take the longer term options that maybe have been out there for 30, 60, 90 days. When they get to the last seven trading days, generally that's where they can lose a lot of money and they probably already made 75% of what's going to happen. If you want to think about it this way, think about it as the warranty on your car battery. By the time it gets to the three years in the four year cycle, you get $20 for the $100 battery toward the purchase of a newer battery. That's what it is. They tend to get down to darn near nothing at this point and why do they want to hang on to that kind of risk? Well, they don't. So if they're long one thing, maybe they short the equity on the other side. Maybe if they're short something, they buy the equity on the other side. They're going to lock in whatever they have and take whatever the premium decay is left and what's out there. Maybe for the VIX, high, but it's not 50, 60. It's actually fairly low for what I suspect the volatility is. But that's it. We've got a lot of things set up for volatility. We're up a little bit more on crude, up 63 cents. Hasn't made any difference at least down here in the Florida region on gas. The gas price looks for regular or irregular. At about $3.29, it's stuck. The $10 down didn't really do much to shake it, but it didn't go up that much down here. We would buy almost everything from Venezuela. It all comes in here at the Port of Tampa. Anyway, as we continue to look at what's going on in the market, a lot of people are at the point where it's the end of the year's over, there's no way that the market could go lower. Everybody's gone. All I can say is there is a death of short sellers, which is never a good sign when you're going back up. You always want those folks that you can squeeze regularly, not irregularly, on the way back higher. So the upside is probably muted extensively from here. Doesn't mean you can't go up a little bit each day, but there's not the amount of folks that we had get short at the low. We've had, for the indexes, which mostly trade on the American Stock Exchange, we had one of the lowest recorded trends ever, which suggests that we are fairly overbought and the advanced decline line tells you that not that you're headed lower, but that you are probably not headed higher anytime soon. So not really surprised to see, at least in the S&P, a move of only a 10th percent higher as we go forward. But generally, a few things happen. When markets go sideways, people go to commodities. So keep a close eye on those. Those are probably where the action is going to be between now and the end of the year. Question, do I see 4,700? So far today, option market makers are still betting on 4,600. They really haven't changed much. All they've done is sold tons of calls on the way up, mostly in the last 30 or 40 points on the S&P. So yeah, there's probably a pretty good chance that we've got everybody in. There's a lot of action in the market, I would say a lot, but there is action in the market that comes when literally everybody that can ever go long is long. And I would say the other thing you really want to watch out here is the TLT. Triple tops, 149.06 is the last on the TLT. You got the government ready to spend again. The TLT tells you a couple things. One, we had both the Fed and global market money coming in mostly because of the bad behavior of the Chai comms. Those are the Chinese communists if you live in Lutz, Florida. But we've got that. So no, is everything rosy? No. Is everything perfect? No. But we have a market that's set up and priced for perfection. When you don't get that perfection, we have something like we had today, which is earnings disasters. It's the Titanic. It's the Poseidon adventure. It's an enigma wrapped in a riddle, but certainly not something you want to see today. If your owners of this, at one point it was down almost 28%, and that was stitch fix, seeing a lot of these companies that did very well during the pandemic continue to sell off. And again, it's hard to tell exactly, but the courts have once again pretty much a death knell on mandates. So the chances of having some kind of federal lockdown is slim and none, whether you can have that on the state level, which is where these have always been, because we have such a vast and wonderful country from sea to shining sea and across the fluted, the across the fruited plane, we're so large, those kind of health things have always been left to the governors of the state, and they will be again as to the rulings lately. So you can't really look at a shutdown as we've had in the past. In fact, almost all the other stuff, even mandates for government employees and that stuff look like they're in trouble. So I don't think we're going to have any real shutdown, question is the Fed going to continue to pump as they did going into what looks like another $2 trillion added to the government debt in the next couple of days. Are you grinding in the market, but seeing little to no return, or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades, support and resistance, define the ranges at which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find a path of least resistance. 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From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, educating investors. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. We return as Pat did to the Philippines. We take a look at the first question of the day and it's from Pete. Pete says, can you tell if most of the call buying volume was done this week was on Friday's expiration? It's never going to be. There's generally eight to 15 times as many options in the monthlies expiration than there are in the weeklies. Generally all you have in the weeklies is everybody buying puts and calls and apple. You have a very thin market for weekly options. They're there but it's nothing like the monthly and the ones that go out 60-90 days. That's where the volume is in that market. It's never going to be the most. What you would probably want to do if you had a question like that is pose it a slightly better way and that is historically is this week any bigger for call buying than other weeks not in monthly options expiration? I would say no. I think it's running along the lines that you would think it would. Anyway, questions about where options are pointing to? As I said at one o'clock it was about 4,600. That doesn't mean a lot because almost all the time you're going to get some kind of definitive or not definitive larger movement by the end of the day. What you get is a fairly good indication of where they started from from about one to two o'clock changes and generally you have a huge amount of sandbagging going on where a lot of stuff just shows up at 3.30 or 3.45 or even right at the close. Most of the time I don't spend a lot of time until the Thursday when we talk again here at the show or in the newsletter in the morning saying that maybe something had really changed but at the most part nothing really has changed yet. So just think of it that way we have a fairly good indication it probably take a lot to give it up get it up to 4,700. There's nobody I know who thinks the stock market's going down and that's always tells me that probably the cheap side of options and the ones that are probably priced incorrectly are the ones to the downside. Does it mean it happens? No. But again I will go back to probably the Bible of options trading long term and that is fooled by randomness where a lot of people don't know that you know that there's the trader who you know has a 55% batting average right just a little bit better over the over the flip of a coin but he does enough and cuts his losses quickly and he makes money. Some of those folks actually make a lot more money on their trades but they keep doubling up and everything else. So you know what there's just a lot of that kind of thoughts until one day when you get a move that doesn't stop and those people get wiped out and those people like I said so often what's her name from ARC Kathy Woods reminds me exactly what he was talking about. He asks him to leave in the book says take the opposite side of that and he says you know what I can lose 10 times or 20 times in a row because when the payoff comes it's 50 to 1. Now you don't always have to go that far out but you can kind of turn odds on their head and that's generally what I do which is yeah can you take some small losses. What you don't want to do is see options that are cheap and go you know what I'm going to add a whole lot more risk because these options are cheap. Options are there to reduce risk not take more on. So when you have volatile markets options are a good bet mostly because if you're on the wrong side of huge moves as we've seen in the last 10 days you don't get blown out you don't lose 50% or 25 or 30% as you would have today on stitch fix actually look fairly good coming in but there's a difference between good trading asymmetric trading and just gambling and you know you really didn't have anything out here that said it's really time for the market to take off to the upside for stitch fix you didn't really have a lot pointing on the downside the only thing I have to say is whatever it was stitch fix options were probably cheap compared to the loss you took if you were on the long side. Okay what else do we have I got more emails here let me take a look at that okay I did a scan a stock percentage gainers yesterday many were we're at a head high short interest were near the 52 week lows before the week's rally more signs of just a bounce in the downtrend okay you think TLT is headed to a new low well it certainly does not look good I suspect it's headed back down to 14650 okay I made a comment somewhere and it's kind of interesting to see that comment on a Google platform and then you get a handful of days later a ad for that product that you mentioned somewhere on YouTube shows up in your Amazon feed you don't think they're talking especially when this item is not something that if I give you a million guesses and the cataloged Amazon you would ever think of so you know they're watching and reading and watching and learning and hanging out question about fascist book or as I call it the the metamucil there is a question today from one of our gentle listeners about what's going on you did gap up over the last couple of days but they're in front of Congress over the next couple hours I don't know if there's going to be a lot happen he did make kind of a low here on lighter volume for metamucil and otherwise known as meta platforms running away from the name of Facebook which is now kind of up there with Ebola anyway you you pierced it you're up but you're not you don't really have much in the way of volume today a little bit better out here today than others let's take a quick I didn't get to history and we'll do that and break the rest of the charts already in progress over most of these tfnn stations are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the tigers den trading room only at tfnn.com the tigers den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange 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charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month we are so confident that you're gonna love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com on this day in 1949 as they steadily lose ground to the communist forces of Mao this little red book Chinese nationalist leaders depart for the island of Taiwan make it a virtual paradise compared to the mainland where they established their new capital build the largest semiconductor manufacturing capability in the world nationalist leaders Chi Chi Chi Chi Chi Chi Chi he said left for the island the following day the action marked the beginning of the two Chinese scenario that left mainland China under the communist control and vexed US diplomacy for the next 30 years also signaled the effect of the end of a long struggle between Chinese nationalist forces and those of the Communist leader, Mao Zedong, through scattered Chinese nationals continued sporadic combat with the Communist armies. But of course, maybe an extra 100 million dead, no big deal, but always the eventual result of all communism deaths. And as they say, the difference between socialism and communism. Communism starts with a gun to your head and socialism ends with one. But on this day in 1949, we got to see the difference between two different economic theories, one that only until they changed to at least a little bit of capitalism. Did you see how big a difference it made? Now there are, of course, going back and thinking about how they can once again dominate the world with a bankrupt philosophy. We'll be back in talking about this, ad nauseam. Anyway, Metaflat forms up, not a lot of juice, had some questions about the queues, which we'll get to right now, to get a gap up. What you're really looking at is the, or I'm looking at is two volumes. That volume is 78 million on the first. You had 56 million shares yesterday. You got 27 million shares on the queues today. And that pretty much goes with what we find when we look at volumes in the market. Especially if you look at the advanced decline level. Has it gotten a little bit better? Yes. Is it anything to write home about? I would contend no. I got the wrong one up here. Maybe I'll find the right one here. Advanced decline. That's what I wanted to look at. Okay. I've got three screens and I still have not enough room on my screen here. Let's get this up. One of the things I did want to bring up, as I said, is the trend. We don't talk about it a whole lot, mostly because it only works about three or four times a year. But what I want to show here and bring your attention to, and we'll make it bold. There I did. I bolded it on what's in my newsletter every morning, but this is just the raw data from the CBOE. But more important to me yesterday was the advanced decline line. It has gone just the opposite way it was back on the first. That was massively overbought to maybe the most, excuse me, to the most oversold, overbought. So when we're looking at a 0.12 on the AMEX, remember that the AMEX is where most of those things like the Qs and other ETFs that are extremely popular, actually trade, right? So even the other ones, they'll be in a range and stuff like that. But in a world where a lot of people look at ETFs and or indexes like the Qs going after it, when you see a 0.12 on a trend, that's kind of like saying that this is maybe the most significant move. And why I said that the markets probably have a very low probability of any higher. But if they're going anywhere, probably lower. But always a good indication if you look at the AMEX advanced decline line and see what you're talking about, what's going on. Even yesterday, just one new high in any of those doesn't mean we're back up to the levels we were before. Just people changing horses and eventually with the volume, it's telling you that so far we haven't come back in. Okay. So anyway, Qs, volume didn't increase on the gap higher yesterday, didn't increase yesterday. The Qs were the weak sister on the way down and pretty much on the way back up to showing more problems. Okay. Okay. Yes. Yes, I know that Meow is Meow. Someone said that today. I've been hearing it several places. So it must, someone must have said something and it's gotten all the way around. Yes. Mal is a cat. And of course, they're big on their cats in China. Both his pets. I won't say, I won't say eight, seven, seven, nine, two, seven, six, six, four, eight. So what else do we have? We're up six points on the S&P cash. Anyway, we were looking at some of these others. Let's go back to the ones everybody goes to in times of trouble. Mary, come to me singing words of wisdom. Let it be. Microsoft not holding yesterday's gap higher didn't quite quite get a little higher. But man, you've got a pretty big wall at about 335 for resistance, volume pretty light today at 13.7 million shares. So you may be doing the regular thing in LX. We'll go through the fangs real quick here. See if anything else is going very light volume bounce in Netflix, just up to where resistance is as shown by the three by three and the nine day moving average. Let's go back to the displaced moving average. So you're back up above it. Again, any kind of low, like the 594 low is not a low in my book until we go back and retest it. Yeah, you don't have to go all the way to the low, but you know, it'd be nice if this came back to like 605 or even 610 and then started back higher. I'd feel a lot better about it. Okay, what else do we have? Let's look at the Amazon. A lot of PR from these guys lately. In fact, I think a lot of the bounce for them yesterday was on the articles that they put out about how they're so much better with their own supply lines to the orient that they're doing okay. Nice bounce yesterday. Just going sideways today, about half the volume so far of yesterday. Back in a minute. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay Area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. 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The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, four-side fund services, LLC. Don't forget, you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to tfnn.com and hit watch tiger tv. That's tfnn.com and hit watch tiger tv. As we return, we take a look at the S&P's up four and a half points. Dow down 28. NASDAQ up 64. Russell up 16. Crude oil up 58 cents. And so, well, let's go back to this. Anyway, Dave and Buster's earnings out overnight. One of the ones to the upside actually saying that they're seeing renewed traffic, people coming back in, especially since they cater to a younger demographic. They may be easier to get people back in and playing games and eating food inside, still problematic in some cities. But back up to where the same gap down on the 26th of November, that gap down to 1.2 million shares. You're up by 2.3, 2.4. Some of these retailers actually doing okay. What else did we have out here? I had a question to go back and look at the 3D printer companies real quick and see if there's anything going on. The same problem that we'll look at SSYS, but I know 3D systems as is not a problem with manufacturing so much as a problem with the supply chains reaching back to China, where a lot of the motors and other things that they build up are made and it's hard to get around that. But up a little bit, but not much. I think the supply chains, or they're going to have to start making this stuff in Mexico or somewhere where they can get it earlier or easier. Still a big problem for these guys. SSYS. Stratasys, a little bounce out of here. Kind of same kind of thing. And that is these companies have a huge bright future. The question is, when does it take off? I do have to say that I saw a great new device. Again, a lot of this stuff started off with the technology of a hot glue gun and a CNC machine and a great deal of the consumer things that people think of as 3D printing are still there. They've gone on to some really neat new technology, but it is more kind of industrial and people haven't really seen it or know what it is. But certainly using a technology like LCD screens for actually turning goo, kind of a gelatinous goo into something that hardens up to the object that you want to print is there. One of the problems is that technology still means that you have to clean up the part when it's done. It's not ready to go. One of the newest technology that was shown just over the last seven or ten days, I'll have to put it in the Tech Insider on Friday, was a technology where you don't have to do that anymore. You kind of print something that's about the consistency of what would you call it? Toothpaste. So it can kind of stick for a little bit and instantly shine you a heavy UV light on it and it will cure it almost instantaneously or enough that it's not going to move and you can use a little more UV light on it later. But this means that you can actually build parts out out of acrylic instead of plastic. And a lot of people are raving about this for sign making and other new ideas. Again, this is kind of the whole 3D printing thing is kind of the early innings. Think about what the computer business was like even before 1990. It was probably the internet in 1995-96 that really got a lot of people adopting having a computer in every pot. Maybe pot with every computer guy. Don't know. Anyway, random thoughts go through my head. So anyway, what we have is some new technology that could really make the hot glue gun kind of go away and get replaced with something that's much better along with finished parts. The big idea of going from thermoplastics and all the other variety of plastics, some of them putting out nauseous gases and other things, is that this new technology allows you to sand and paint parts along with having color in it to begin with. But I'm thinking that it's, you know, this is kind of newer stuff and it's just out. Like I said, I think they showed it for the first time. But the demo was then printing a 12 foot car in one print out of the whole thing. But they were printing about a six foot section of that car in about a day. And if you know anything about 3D printing, that is pretty amazing. Generally what these guys are printing are small parts. Maybe the build volume is 12 inches by 12 inches by 12 inches. And then that takes a half a day. So if you could print an entire car or half a car in six hours or in a day, pretty much a order of magnitude speed increase. And what they were showing on the trade floor that I saw on YouTube was them doing this with life scale models of cars. Instead of in the old days or even today, cars are mostly prototypes are put out with clay and they'll sculpt the clay. I think everybody's seen commercials of them doing that. And then they'll maybe make a mold off that and then make fiberglass on it. Imagine just being able to print out various versions of a car ready to go just to hit with a little bit of a paint. The clay model sculptures may be a thing of the past. Now that the build volume is up to the size where you could actually print something like a car or door panel. So again, early innings in this. A lot of stuff happened. 3D printing is not going away. But certainly we're getting to that kind of second inning where we had computers that were basically toys through the 80s. You know, you could do a few things that were actually business-like through spreadsheets, word processors still in the early days. But if you were a legal office, you know, it made sense to use one, maybe a few other things. But by the 90s, how many people weren't using a word or something else. So maybe it takes 10 years. Maybe maybe eight years down the line with 3D printing. A great deal on kind of the low end. And generally, the low end pushes the high end to get something more like it did in this thing. But anyway, Stratasys, 3D systems, not much now. And it's all the supply line, which these guys are 95% for something about printing your own thing. Always interesting. Probably the neatest comment I've ever ever seen on Amazon was for a 3D printer. And the guy says, if I buy this, can I print my own 3D printer and then return this printer? I always thought that that was kind of the, you want to talk about meta or an endless loop. Isn't that cool thought? Of course, you can't do it. Cool thought. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. 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Zach asks, what do you think of long-pressure pressure hardware at this level? Well, you almost got railroad track bottom out here. You got some decent volume off the low, but no follow-through now. My belief is the best pattern, not that that's what this stock is going to follow, but the best pattern would be a dip back below something like 570-ish. And then the next move back above would be the one I'd want to buy. I'm not a big fan of thinking a lot of this stuff goes higher before the end of the year. In fact, stocks in the downtrend are notorious for the last few weeks of staying in that downtrend until the first of the year. Just people continuing to sell and take the losses if they're retail traders out. Of course, we've gone through the window for the big guys, the big men of the street, as they're called, for their tax selling, which ends at the at the end of November. But we still have a lot of people in retail and overseas, stuff like that, looking for offsets. And if you're not doing well in a losing position, you made a bunch of money and you took the cash somewhere else. Maybe you sold a big winning position on the downtrend. And you want to use this one's a loser. So you take it. Generally, that runs until the end of the year. So I think don't go to your lawyer, don't ask me, but I'm pretty sure that as long as you sell within the last three days of the year, that that qualifies and clears. I don't know if you can still do it on the last day of the year. I'll be a question for my accountant. But yeah, if you're in a downtrend, don't expect a lot of change. In the end of the year, this is the end of the year. Wow. So when you can, not when you have to, we're going to see you here tomorrow. Stay back and thank you.