 For the second straight night, we've got what I would call affordable aces in NLB DFS We got guys with big strikeout upside who you don't break the bank to get guys in the low 10,000 range high 9,000 range who Legitimately have the ability to get you double-digit strikeouts on a somewhat regular basis and I love those scenarios I love guys with massive upside where I can still get to fun hitters. I think so we have for today We'll see what roster rates wind up settling out as because that may force you to deviate and do some different stuff But I do think you've got ways to play things here even if that does happen. So a fun slate for MLB DFS Let's dive on in now and get you all set welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Wednesday's 10 The game main slates will lock separate 705 p.m. Eastern for today The rain will be arriving in Cleveland's night for the Guardians and the Rangers I'm just not sure when looks like it'll be after the game But check back on that later to make sure that remains true because I do love the Shane Bieber in that game Rain also seems decently likely in Chicago for the White Sox and Dodgers There's a shot they could delay it and play later, but obviously that depends on patients that depends on The timing of the rain stuff like that So check back on that one later check back on the timing of the rain for the White Sox and Dodgers Guardians and Rangers those the two games that do have some potential funkiness in the cards for tonight We'll take a look at the pitching preview in just one second But first a quick reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast He'd wherever you get your podcast because our PGA podcast for this week is posted myself and Brandon Can do a lot breaking down the field for the RBC Canadian Open. It's a very interesting field in terms of Having a lot of really good studs, but it falls off after that So you broke down what that means for roster construction and much more get that by searching for the number fire daily fantasy podcast Feed wherever you get your podcast and as always if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well The NBA Finals are here and you can play a free daily fantasy challenge with a $10,000 prize pool It is the body armor inside edge challenge and it is easy to play the sector five player lineup I'll sing under the salary cap take advantage of the MVP the star and the Propositions to get point multipliers and to use hilly players if your team scores enough fantasy points You will be eligible to win part of the $10,000 prize pool the body armor inside edge contest is for game three of the series Which is tonight so make sure to enter before then you can sign up for the free contest at fan duel calm Slash league slash body armor again. That's fan duel calm slash league slash body armor Make sure to play this free DFS contest your chance to win $10,000 in prizes Pitching preview for this Wednesday maintenance late Nesta Cortez is facing the twins He is $11,000 followed by Aaron Nola at 10 to on fan duel Sean Maniah checks in at $10,000 Shane Bieber 97 Chris Bassett is 95 We got Tony Gonsolin facing the White Sox in 94 Nathan E of Aldi's was 92 Johnny Quinto based in the Dodgers 9000 with Dane Dunning Corey Kluber Adrian Houser Jordan Lyles and Marcus Strowman the others at $8,000 or higher the top arm for tonight Feels pretty obvious, but it's obvious for a reason That's gonna be Shane Bieber going up against the race Bieber's full-season numbers are just okay a 25% Strikeout rate, which is not even a top five mark on this slate and each guy's most relevant sample But that number is misleading. He had one start where he was struggling He had no strikeouts and 21 batters faced if you omit that one start his strike area goes up to 27% Now I don't think you should do that because the extremes count as well But the full-season numbers will downplay His single game upside we saw Bieber get 11 strikeouts last time out He had 10 two starts before that and he's also made just three starts at home this entire year One of them was that no strikeout game So obviously home doesn't cure everything But another one was gonna hit the double-digit strikeout mark for the first time and Bieber's been taking advantage of good matchups But he gets another one tonight facing the Rangers 24% strikeout rate against righties in their current active roster 6% walk rate 91 WRC plus I've got Bieber projected for a hundred pitches which puts his strikeout projection at 6.9 Which ranks fourth on the slate? That is the highest of all the guys who were at home for tonight So Bieber checks every box for me and he is just $9,700 you're getting a guy who can get you double-digit strikeouts for $9,700 I'm gonna take that pretty much every time so to me Shane Bieber rock solid play and be definitive top arm of the night I'm gonna put Erin Nola seconds He is still having issues with his results, which will burn you at times But the upside is there and it is really nice He's facing the Brewers on the road Nola in the past has had some pretty rough home road splits But those haven't popped up as much this year We've had Nola Get eight plus strikeouts in three of his five road starts and he's hit that mark in two out of six starts at home So he's been not better on the road, but like he's been just as good on the road But he has been better technically but like I wouldn't expect to be better going forward and the results have been good To you on the road Nola does seem like he's making some tweaks due to the bad results He has had he's throwing a sinker more often over his past six starts That has heard a strikeout rate of bits, but not too much strikeout rate in that time is still 29 percent with a 3% walk rates The bad of all data is not pristine So it's possible the results continue to lag behind the seller peripherals But the upside in the stretch has been really really good Nola held the braves to one run across eight in the third innings on the road He had ten strikeouts there He had eight against the Dodgers on the road to the Brewers not bad But not quite on that level in terms of the Dodgers and the Braves a 103 WRC plus against righties 24% strikeout rate So I know the risks with Nola do still exist and they've been present because he has still had some bad results I'm just okay accepting them and I think the upside here makes it worth it So Aaron Nola to me a Solid solid option the guy I will go to behind Shane Bieber now Nola is higher salary than Bieber and I don't feel as good about him But if that leads to his being under rostered relative to Bieber if you think the Bieber is too chalky I think no one's a fine pivot. He's not gonna go overlooked, but He should be much lower rostered due to the fact he has higher salary and on the road Which should you know tie things down a bit for Nola from a roster a perspective. I Do like the stud pitchers a lot tonight. I'm very into them But there is a value guy I am willing to use despite that that guy is Marcus Strowman at $8,300 and actually feel pretty good about Strowman and it's not just the matchup He gets Baltimore. They're about a league average team against righties So it's not necessarily a plus spot from that perspective. This is really just about Strowman He missed a decent chunk of time due to COVID-19, but since he's returned Strowman has been leaning way more on his slider and less on his sinker I love that switch because sliders are great sinkers suck for strikeouts and DFS That slider is his best pitch according to members of baseball savon The results haven't always been good, but the peripherals have been in those four starts Strowman has a 3.32 skill interactive ERA with a 26% strikeout, right? His walk rate is 6% The fly ball rate has come up. It is 32% So I don't know if this which is permanent where he could always go back to that sinker That could happen for sure, but for now I'm on board We saw Strowman get seven strikeouts in the rough start last week He had eight against the Reds six against Arizona And he shut down the Brewers in his final start before COVID where he also used that slider a lot there So I could be too high on Strowman here He could switch back to using that sinker more, but he has upside as long as he is using that slider So I actually do like him enough to use him a lot of times where we have this many studs on his slate I might not get to the value play. I'll talk about it. I might not use him I will tonight think I think that I like Strowman enough to go there use the excess salary on some of the stacks I think there's enough in Strowman's profile to justify that so Strowman to me will be behind NOLA will be behind Bieber But very much on the radar as a value play for today Let's dive into the stacks mentioned that I could use some extra salary potentially there Via going with someone like Strowman I would allocate that towards the Yankees first and foremost They're facing Chris Archer who's gotten good results recently and I think that's a product of the teams he has faced So I like the Yankees here Archer has let up just six earned runs in his past four outings He let up just one in three of those four outings But all four of those games were plus matchups He faced the A's the Royals and then the Tigers twice You'd expect someone facing that slate of teams to do well in those matchups And the results were good The peripherals weren't quite as flattering The most relevant sample on Archer is seven starts since he started to mix a mix and a change up more often His skill interactive ERA in that time is 4.67 with an 18% strikeout rates 43% hard hit rate at a 40% fly ball rate Basically, he's living dangerously right now and he just hasn't faced any teams good enough to take advantage of what he's doing I think the Yankees are Dangerous enough once again right now their active roster has a 121 WRC plus against righties. They have a 178 ISO So the twins are letting Archer go through the order just twice and the twins bullpen is pretty solid So the hope here is that the Yankees offense will have done enough damage Where the twins aren't putting their best guys out there in the middle innings after Archer leads So I like the Yankees a lot here and we'll be in on them tonight I have no lingering reservations about John Carlos Stanton off his injury had a home run last night In his first game back, he put two balls in play both of them were barreled only one of them was a hit The other one was a one is double one is an out, but he's fine Stanton, I think the salary right now where it is gonna go up 35 hundred dollars You're not gonna get him for 35 too often this year. So I would say take advantage of that Rizzo is also pretty low salary So the Yankees to me the top stack on the main slate Jared Koenig is making his big league debut for the a's tonight. He's a former indie baller It's his age 28 season. So Pretty cool to see a guy go through all that and finally get the call Here in 2022. I'm not sure what to make of him I do think we should stack the braves against him though. Just it's uh, there are some risks here for sure Koenig spent last year in double a he had a 10 swing and strike rate there with a 20 strike out rate He's been better in triple a this year with a 30 strike out rates But his swing strike rate is still 12 percent That means his strike out rate in the majors is probably gonna settle in around 20 percent or so And it could be a bit lower because the bats, uh, Derek Hardy's projections have him projected for a 17 strike out rate as a starter So let's bump that up to 20 percent just to be generous Just bump it up based on what he's done in triple a if The fly ball rate, which was 37 percent for Koenig in triple a follows into the majors And he has a 20 strike out rate We'll probably be able to stack good teams against him Assuming those two numbers are where he settles in The braves are a very good team. They have a 122 w RC plus against lefties a 213 iso That is the best mark on the slate Plus this is the best park for pitch or for hitting on the main slate It is also the second warmest So I do worry about stacking against guys when the opposing hitters have never seen them before And that could be one issue here But I think the other factors line up well enough to make it a worthwhile stack So to me the braves definitively the number two stack behind the Yankees You want to put them first no pushback the reason I put them lower is that that factor of no familiarity of the guy Who was an indie baller then a double a then a triple a that could Potentially pose an issue to hitters the first time that they see him I'm not sure if William Contreras will play But even though his salary seems really high for a guy likely to bat low in the order I want to put my like stamp of approval on him Like it's not often you see guys with a super high salary low in the order be worthwhile for DFS I think Contreras is that guy he has a 50 percent Hard hit rate this year with a 16 percent barrel rate stupid numbers And it's not a huge surprise because we saw him break out last year in triple a he had a 226 iso there It was 184 in the majors. So we see him and darno in the lineup a lot together But I hope they do that again tonight. I really do think that Contreras is legit. So again 3700 dollars batting potentially eighth or seventh or so That's usually not gonna fly But I'm still willing to do it here. So Contreras Maybe he's better suited if you're going with like a uh with a stromen lineup But I did want to say that like even though it's a bit counter what we usually do I'm okay with him for sure like officially giving the same approval for Contreras for today for a third stack I never really want to go to san francisco. It's a wretched part for offense But they're facing Antonia since the taila today So the giants are high on my list for once tonight since the taila Really struggling this year his era is 5.40 skill interactive era is 5.12 And that skill interactive era gets where it's at due to a crazy low strikeout rate just nine percent since the taila's gotten by in the past Despite the low strikeout rates, but he did that mostly Because he had high ground ball rights getting a lot of grounders That's not happening this year. His ground ball rate is 42% now most of that is going to line drives and A line drive rate takes longer to stabilize than the ground ball rate or a fly ball rate so I'd expect The ground ball rate to increase as a year goes along as those line drives aren't always going to be line drives But when we get back to where it was go up 10 percentage points It'll need to if he wants to survive with the way things are going right now his expected era is 7.24 Which is way too high for him to get by And this translates to when he's on the road too Since the taila's had two starts outside of Coors field this year and he let him fiver and runs in both those One of those was against a terrible tigers offense The other was against this very same giants team in san francisco. That was back on may 10th He faced them again on may 16th. Uh, he went two innings and then left due to an injury so It's actually a good amount of familiarity here not as much as you typically get for a guy who's faced a team twice but I think we should you know Suck it up here and stack the giants despite the terrible terrible park for offense It's not a great park for offense or a great slate for offense in terms of park factors in general So the opportunity cost is a bit lower. That does help me feel better about this one for today It does help here that righties are hitting Since the taila especially hard this year Because the conservative giants is always at a lefty. We'll use a lefty They'll get yanked once the right-handed starter is out But here we can go at the righties too. Wilmer flores evan longoria assuming that they start our Good building blocks here flores went deep again last night. Both those guys hit righty as well I might just wind up building around those two making them kind of the core plays assuming that they play But I think that because We can feel more secure in them playing the entire game I think that flores and longoria wind up being really good focal points for stacking So I think to me Guys I want to build around evan longoria wilmer flores because Their righties will stay in the game for the entirety of it Let's go now to things to watch I am broadly very in on shamanaya and I do like his upside against the mets But he lets up a lot of hard contact and fly balls and the mets can generate those things So i'm not going to cross off manaya, but I do feel good putting him below beaver and nola and Honestly, I might go stroman above him too. I think that the one guy I might put the one other stud I might put above Stroman would probably be quartess just because he's really good obviously the twins getting healthier against lefties right now But there's still not a threatening matchup by any means. So I would say to me beaver Then nola Then probably going quartess and then that's where I get to stroman as being the next guy up manaya below all of them for me Despite the fact I broadly am very on board with what he does We talked about the red socks yesterday against three debt mers. I wound up being jose suarez facing them It is debt mers for today confirmed I'm still on board with stacking against him. I think I'd put them below the other three teams so below the giants below The other teams we talked about the braves and the yankees. I forgot already who we're talking about so yankees braves Giants and then probably red socks number four But they're a rock solid four like very much in the same tier As those other teams and one I'd be very willing to go to just want to mention that again that Against debt mers the red socks very stackable if they do want to playing in chicago playing through that rain I do like stacking the dodgers tonight They're facing johnny kweto who has a 2.92 era in four starts, but the peripherals You know, they're not bad, but they do show some cracks with a 42 hard hit rates The ground ball rate is high But minimal strikeouts lots of hard contact. Um, I think that That can allow us to go at them if the weather allows so the dodgers to me In play for stacking if we get the green light on the weather there despite the fact that kweto is not a perfect Stacking candidate. Let's finish up here with some homerun calls for tonight the boring one I'll go with the guy we discussed earlier on john carlo stanton just Hitting the heck out of the ball as he always does coming off that injury no concerns about him I think that it's arrows up as always so john carlo stanton 3500 dollars Just keep on using in there while you still can the more fun one I'm going to go with enrique hernandez Probably going to hit lead off for tonight if I had to guess given that it is a lefty Hernandez hasn't gone deep in a bit last homerun for him was back on may 29th, but Facing a lefty because of a lot of hard contact and a lot of fly balls Um, we get kike back in los angeles. I guess anaheim back in southern california Just kind of fun. So a little bit of a homecoming narrative there Either way a homerun calls for today john carlo stanton and kike hernandez That is all that we have here for today on the solo shot as mentioned the rpg adfs podcast For the rbc canadian open is posted Check that out on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed and if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well If you have any questions for me. I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcasts big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your mlb dfs lineups We'll talk to you once again on thursday for another slate of mlb dfs This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network