 football fans. Welcome inside the Fandals sportsbook here at the Meadowlands. It is week four and we are here to bet it. Thanks for hanging with us. I'm Lisa Kearney. We've got a huge show for you today, including actor, comedian Anthony Anderson joining us to talk about his Raiders and his Super Bowl pick. That's ahead. But right now, gotta give all the love to my teammates. What's up guys? Our experts breaking down the biggest games of the week. Of course dropping their best bets on the board. Plus we've got your best value. DFS plays as well. It is go time. So make sure you download the Fandals sportsbook app right now. Sign up for your new account. Do not forget plug in that promo code right there at the bottom of your screen. More ways 1000. You will get a risk free bet up to 1000 bucks. All right, they're calling this first game. We're getting to the return. Bucking ears at Patriots or Tom Brady at Bill Belichick. Yes, it's being referred to that as well. We've all had this one circled on the calendar. The goat returning to Gillette Stadium for the first time since leaving New England. Brady said he's quote not going to be thinking about 20 years of history here. He's going to be thinking about one night of football. Gotta respect that both the Bucks and Patriots coming off double digit losses here. Tampa Bay is a seven point road favorite in Brady's former home stadium. Dave and Ed got to get you guys in here to bet it. It's going to be an emotional one on Sunday night football. There's no doubt about that. Dave, which side do you like here? Well, my problem is where Tom Brady is returning from this week in particular coming from California research every game of his career. He's only gone from California back to the east coast and consecutive road games twice he's owned to against the spread. If you count Vegas last year, he went to New York after that didn't cover. This is just a tough spot for Tampa. I think with all the travel that they've had to do and I don't think Tom Brady is really going to be on the field that much. Anyways, Tampa Bay's defense just has not been stopping teams on third down. The Patriots are very good at converting first down. So I think Bill Belichick really wants to limit Tom Brady's opportunities and it's going to do everything he can to control the ball. This number is too big for me. I like the Patriots. I'm getting so emotional just talking about this game, right? All the emotions. I don't care. I really don't care about the emotions. All the familiarity back and forth. It doesn't matter. Focus only on this game at hand. And to me, the Buccaneers have a much more sophisticated offense than the Patriots do when it comes to pre snap, shifting and motion. The Buccaneers run it 53% of the time. That is 12th most in football. The Patriots run it 26th most in football. So I look at this and I say, Okay, sophistication matters a lot. Tom Brady has a PhD in the NFL. Mac Jones. I mean, he's doing football one on one at this point. Pre snap, shifting and motion. Buccaneers are way more sophisticated. Patriots won 12 personnel to Titan personnel. Much more. That's not good when you're playing from behind. I don't think the number is too big. I'm going with the box. Okay, well, speaking of sophistication, let's get the right take on this bucks Patriots matchup for that. We had to Chicago bring in our NFL expert. Hello, Cole, right? Cole. Brady said it is a homecoming, but he's not expecting cheers for him. Which team do you have winning it by how many points? Well, Lisa, someone needs to queue up that Adele track because it's going to be one heck of a homecoming. It's going to be all eyes on Foxborough on Sunday night football and Tom Brady. Well, he's in Drew Brees's front yard when it comes to kicking in the door when it comes to that passing record. So we'll see Tom, of course, makes some history, but it's hard to imagine that he's going to break that record in Foxborough as a member of the Bucs. But either way, it's also hard to imagine that the Pharaoh threw for over 400 yards on 41 of 55 passes and he lost to the Rams. So it's going to be more than a tall task for the teacher, Bill Belichick to beat his former student. We know how that usually goes and no James White. That's going to be a huge setback when it comes to New England's playbook. So you have to go with Tampa here at 31 to 14. Tom terrific. They roll. Okay, go ahead and tail Cole here. If you roll with Brady in the box, a winning $50 bet at the Fandals Sportsbook means you're going to collect more than $93. Hit up the app, Fandals Sportsbook app. Now to a huge NFC matchup featuring two undefeated teams. The NFC West looks good early, right? The 3-0 Rams hosting the 3-0 Cardinals. Arizona tied for the league lead in points. The Rams ranking second. A lot of offense here in this one. Tony, the LA Rams, a four and a half point home favorite. Which side do you like? Well, I know Dave's going to tell me about how historically the Cardinals stick against the Rams. The Rams have won seven in a row in a series. Going to go to those notes from three or four years ago. I look at 2021. The Cardinals score 30 points in every game. So you know they're going to be a high scoring unit when the line is this big at four and a half. I want to take the points. I mean, they got a really good chance of going into LA and winning this game. So why not take a team that's getting more than a field goal? Give me the Arizona Cardinals. I don't have to go back to 2018 or 2019. You can look at last year where the Rams dominated Arizona. Look, there's going to come a week where I pick against the Rams. I want to actually, but I just couldn't do it here. There's seven on one against the spread. Last eight against the Cardinals, but not only just covering the Cardinals are averaging about 11 points a game the last four seasons against the Rams. The Rams are scoring over 31, seven of the eight times. Look, Arizona's, you know, they've been sloppy, but they've been able to get away with it against Jacksonville and against Minnesota. They can't get away with that against this Rams defense. Too much defense from the Rams. Rams cover. Okay, there you go. There you have it. Time now to dig deep into the NFL's next gen stats. We move on as the NFL analyzes the location, the speed, acceleration of every player on every single play and then uses that information to determine various data sets here and we are using that information to bet this game. So Ed, you're our analytics guy. Got to bring you back in here. Give us a next gen stat that you are using to pick this Cardinals Rams game. Lisa, if you look at weighted opportunity among all Cardinals receivers, you aren't seeing DeAndre Hopkins near the top of the list. Instead, another veteran, AJ Green. Here's his route chart from last week. Green's catch rate over expected, which measures how tough each of his five receptions were. Came in second highest among qualifiers, 37.1%. Notice how there weren't too many yards after catch in that game. Much of his yardage total were air yards. A lot of white there, not much green representing that yards after catch. One of many options for Kyler Murray is AJ Green, and that suggests even a stout defense like the Rams will have problems. I have the Cardinals covering. There you go. Dave, I mentioned Kyler Murray's starting quarterback. No, I'm not going to get into that. All right. Thank you, Ed. Awesome. Next level info from those next gen stats. Ed stated his case, but if you want to fade our guy, go with the Rams at home. Giving the points, you're going to collect more than $97 on a winning $50 bet. Got to do you. And a reminder, you can make your first bet on the app risk free. Just sign up for a new Fandals sports book account using the promo code more ways 1000. You will get a risk free bet up to $1,000. Again, that promo code more ways 1000. Let's move on here. And since we're talking numbers, let's just keep it going. Time now for our DFS download. Of course, that means a chance to win millions in prizes for free. Yes, Fandals hooking it up for you for free. Just head to Fandals.com. Sign up for the weekly free DFS contest and play free each week. Just sign up, set your roster, play and win. And of course, our job here at more ways to win is to help you score as many points as possible. So, Fandal Editor-in-Chief, JJ Zacharyson is in house with his best values here for week four. Hey, JJ. Hey, Lisa. I know he hasn't done a whole lot over the last couple of weeks, but I do like Davante Smith this week at $5,900, going up against the Chiefs. If you look at his peripheral numbers, his usage really hasn't been that bad this year. He ranks in the top 30 in target share on the season at wide receiver, and you have to like him against Kansas City. The Eagles could very easily face a negative game script. That could lead to more passing. And so far on the season, Kansas City has been the seventh best matchup for wide receivers when looking at adjusted fantasy points allowed. So, I think that Smith makes a lot of sense given that he's still under that $6,000 mark. The next guy, he's kind of obvious, but it's Chuba Hubbard. He's $6,300 this week. He's going to be the lead back with Christian McCaffrey sidelined. Hubbard saw the majority of the backfield share when CMC went out last week. He outattempted Royce Freeman 11-5, and more importantly, he outtargeted Freeman 5-1. And I say more importantly because targets are hugely important for fantasy running backs, and it shows that Hubbard could be game script proof. And even though Caroline is the one team this year that hasn't run a single offensive play while trailing, they've got their first real test against Dallas this week in a game with a pretty strong overunder. So even if the game script does get out of hand, Hubbard should be on the field. That's why he's a great play at $6,300. And then finally a little bit more expensive than that is Aaron Jones at $7,400. The matchup against Pittsburgh isn't great on paper, but we should be more concerned about usage and potential game flow with most of our running backs in fantasy football. The Packers are big favorites this week. Jones has now had back-to-back games with at least 70 percent of Green Bay's running back rushes to go along with a target share per game of 14 percent. If Green Bay gets a head in this game against Pittsburgh, Aaron Jones should see a lot of work, and that means he's going to give you some good fantasy output. Awesome stuff as always JJ. There you have it. Go to fandal.com. Sign up for free at DFS competitions right now. And each week of this awesome NFL season, use JJ's info for a chance to win millions in prizes. Of course, follow our guru at Late Round QB on Twitter and Insta. Hit up his podcast, The Late Round Podcast, on Apple Podcast as well. Back to our game previews now as we rip through here and AFC West Showdown is going down on Monday Night Football. The 3-0 Raiders travel to Los Angeles to face the 2-n-1 Chargers. We're bringing in a ringer here to help us bet this one. Actor, comedian Anthony Anderson says Raider Nation will get it done on Monday night. Hey Anthony. Seems as if the Raiders are three and a half point underdogs, but I'm still going for my Raiders. You can play the money line or you go for the spread. I'm going for the spread. That's my pick. Raiders, Chargers, Raiders, Raider Nation, baby. Raider Nation, baby. And Anthony's taken the Raiders, taken all of those points. They're actually getting three. Which side are you backing here in this one? Yeah, a little bit of a move here, but here's a situation where I think this is the game that I'm most looking forward to. Maybe not so much the Tom Brady return. This is the game I'm most excited about because this is a contest with two offenses that are very, very different, but have similar output, similar success rates. When you look at the Chargers, EPA, they're 0.118, which is 14th best in football right around average. The Raiders are just a few hundreds of a percent of thousands, really. 0.109, 15th highest in football. But they do it in different ways. Raiders are an 11 personnel with three wide receivers, 35.6 percent of the time that is third fewest in football. The Chargers run 11 personnel, 55 percent of the time. That's 19th most in football. And so they do it different ways. Should be a very, very close and exciting game. And because of that, I want points. Give me the Raiders. Well, here's the deal with the Raiders. They have been winning big with that home run ball. Specifically Henry Ruggs has had five catches already for 20 or more yards. Here's the problem. The Chargers just do not give up those home run passes. They're defensive, secondary, both their corners and their safeties. You know, Gilman, James, Adelie, Samuel, all these guys have been doing a phenomenal job. I think that the wide outs for the Chargers are actually going to have more successful plays than the wide outs for the Raiders. I'm going to go with the Chargers, Lisa. And I know Pony's probably at some point going to reference that painting behind Anthony. It's just going to happen. Yeah, yes. He has that queued up right now. I'm going to get to him in just a moment. The three N.O. Broncos will be watching that AFC West matchup very closely. Denver has given up just 26 points on the season, including a shutout against the Jets last week. Yes, there is that home saying it was the Jets. All right. Denver now gets the Ravens who are coming off that incredible 66 yard field goal to win it in Detroit, which pushed them to two and one pony. You are called into you are called into this match. Broncos are one point home underdog in this one. Which team do you like? How could I not reference that painting? The guy had a furry beard. I've never seen that before. Dave's painting would have a glue ripped up exact and trifecta tickets to it. That would be the Dave Weaver portrait. Look, I like the Ravens in this matchup. The Broncos to me are still paper champions until proven. Otherwise, they've beaten teams that are combined 0 and 9 or yeah, 0 and 9 to start the season. Baltimore gets it done close game, but I like him getting you know, just a point here. Yeah, I'm with you because remember Baltimore, they beat Kansas City in Kansas City a couple of weeks. So I had every reason to regress a little bit last week as they went into Detroit and look, they were also missing for their front seven defensively to the COVID list. So they're getting a lot of their starters back. This is going to be a much different game. Don't worry about them having to doink one in against the Lions to win from 66 yards. Oh, by the way, Justin Tucker might make one from 70 in Denver if he needs to. But I'm with you. I think the Ravens are the better team here. All right, you guys, and yes, hold tight because we'll get more Anthony and we will get more of that painting in just a moment. Great stuff by you guys. And I can't believe I'm even saying this, but the one and two chiefs who are still Super Bowl favorites, by the way, we're going to get to that a little later in the show as well on the road at the one and two Eagles this week. Kansas City last in the AFC West will try to turn around this week against this Philly team that got absolutely embarrassed on money and I football losing by 20 in Dallas. Pony short week for the Eagles here. They're getting seven points at home is seven enough. I think it is. I like them because I think they can win the game. You know, we saw the way that Lamar Jackson is a dual threat quarterback, did such a number on the Kansas City defense. I'll ask why Jalen Hertz can't do the same thing. He's been the Eagles leading rusher through three games. You know, now Mahomes has got to worry about nine year olds giving him the double birds when he goes into Philly this weekend. That's a problem according to Eli Manning. So I'm going to take the Eagles as a big number in that hostile environment. Give me the birds. Well, Lisa Pony, I'm working on getting one of those paintings like Anthony Anderson. It's off to the side right here in my office. But either way, I think go through you guys know that the theme this week for Kansas City is going to be ball security because last week they were flat out sloppy versus a less talented charger team. There's no doubt about it in turnovers. Well, that was their biggest setback. Patrick Mahomes with a pair of interceptions. And we know that Tyreek Hill and Clyde Edwards are there and they spit out the seat as well. And that can't happen. And it won't happen this week versus a Philadelphia team that plain and simple likes to spread the ball out. We know Jalen Hertz was able to hook up with nine different pass catchers and Philly schedule from here on out. When you take a look at it, well, it's a plain old hornets nest. This is going to be a loss one in a string of four straight cheats. They go on to win this one pretty big. 2717 guys. Great stuff, Paul. Hey, Ed. I know you already have yourself portrait hanging up in your office. You also already use these next gen stats to fix the Cardinals Rams game earlier in the show. Now I want you to give us three bets based on that next level data that you think are really good values on the Fandalsports book app right now as I like to say the board is open where you taking us? Well, let's start with Carolina. The offense has its star wide out. DJ Moore crushed it last week against the Texans and here's his route chart from week three. More than a third of the time Sam Darnall targeted him leading to an air yard share for the entire team of more than 54 percent and a catch rate over expectation of greater than 8 percent more than used his explosiveness for a handful of yards after the catch. I'm expecting more more against Dallas and I have the Panthers covering next even a loss Jimmy Garoppolo did some good things Sunday night but here's the deal his passing chart against the Packers win Green Bay you know had some issues there defense sent only four rushers as expected points added was 2.6 not bad given his game is predicated on short throws and having his receivers do the rest with yards after the catch. It's why nearly all of the attempts are within 10 yards from the line of scrimmage Jimmy G will have to work on pocket presence having been sacked four times and having a sub par EPA when blitzed but I still think the Niners can cover in this situation. Finally let's check in on Bill's quarterback Josh Allen and see if we can figure out if he is back to a successful form from 2020 or if he's regressing to me I think he's somewhere in between his throws behind the line of scrimmage are all below league average in terms of passer rating if a defense can force those options or short over the middle throws they just might have success but anything beyond 10 yards that's Josh Allen forget it he will destroy a defense Houston they don't have the defense to contain Josh Allen or the slew of Buffalo receivers even though that spread is mighty I'm still going to take the bills great stuff awesome stuff by you always I love those stat segments so intuitive that information take it now use it to place your bets on the Fandall sports book app right now you can place a wager on the bets we just talked about here or hundreds of others they are available for you right now it's the Fandall sports book app time to speed things up hit our betting markets rapid fire style shouting out your local teams as we rip through the rest of the week for Slate here guys I give you the game you have 10 seconds to give me your picks Pony you're in Pittsburgh the one and two Steelers are not they're getting six and a half at two and one Green Bay how do you play it numbers too big TJ Watt should return for this game the last time he played a full game the Steelers upset the bills on the road I'm going to take Pittsburgh plus six and a half day bringing it back here to New York Giants looking for their first win of the season getting seven in New Orleans it might not win but I think that's too many points they've been a great road dog over the last few years nine and one against the spread I don't think James quite has found his rhythm with those receivers yet I'll take the Giants and you get when you're getting Washington and they're in Atlanta both teams one and two but Washington a one and a half point road favorite in this one we need to have some real talk about this Washington defense they have not been playing well this year I know defense is volatile from one season to the next but now they're getting Matt Ryan and I feel like Atlanta can win I'm taking them on the money line Cole coming to you you're in Chicago one and two Bears had one passing yard last week amazingly they are favored by three points at home against the Lions who you got yeah the offense dead last passing offense dead last but Detroit we know it's the Detroit Lions so there you have it it's going to be a perfect storm for a bounce that game I see the Bears getting this one and cool in that Arlington Heights talk they win 21-9 recently all right speaking of struggling offenses here the winless Jets have scored six total points in the last two weeks Pony, New York getting seven at home against the two and one Titans yeah the Titans don't force a lot of turnovers and as long as Zach Wilson takes care of the ball I think they'll keep it within that touchdown spread I'm going to take the Jets at home right great stuff by you guys that was our rapid fire style we move on now because the Jets will be right here at the Meadowlands on Sunday just across the parking lot from the Fandals Sportsbook where I am standing right now the Fandals Sportsbook at the Meadowlands will be absolutely happen this weekend and of course open all seven days of the week watch wager win with your favorite teams and players right here again located right across the street from MetLife Stadium on game day just hop the free round trip shuttle from Lott G if you don't have a parking pass all good too head to Reds Restaurant and Carl Stat catch the $10 shuttle to MetLife and then head to Lott G for your free ride to the Fandals Sportsbook mass transit of course available as well so many ways to get here and absolutely worth your time mark your calendars as well and get here for the 2021 Breeders Crown taking place right here at the Meadowlands race track that's October 29th and 30th get your friends come out for an awesome time here at the Meadowlands and of course the Fandals Sportsbook and tell them Lisa sent you we'll see here and we continue on here on more ways to win from ponies to dogs time to give some underdogs a little love Cole you're absolutely crushing these Moneyline Moneymakers four for four in your last two weeks of upset picks including the saints and falcons last week what you got here for us in week four well Lisa this week I'm only going to focus on one don't want to give too much good information away and last week as we know the Titans well and Indy they weren't able to take advantage of Tennessee's to return over so the Colts they also had to deal with King Henry rattling off 28 carries for over a hundred yards rushing in Miles Gaskin well he's no Derek Henry and we know that the Colts are going to button things up on defense they're going to rattle Jacobi percent just a little bit they're going to squeak out the wind get out of South Beach a 21 to 17 you can count on that one and so all they need to do is squeak it out go ahead and tail Colts upset pick or hey make any bet on the Fandall sports book app right now risk free up to $1,000 all you got to do sign up for that Fandall sports book account new users get a risk free bet up to $1,000 just be using the promo code right here more ways 1000 and our experts are giving you their risk free bet of the week here Dave Ed it is week four shout out to you guys though because you've each nailed your last two risk free bets Dave you had a moneyline parlay with the Rams and Vikings a $1,000 risk free bet paid out more than 4,300 bucks yep Ed you had the Rams minus five and a half on an alternate spread you love the alternate spread your risk free thousand dollar bet paid out about 2,800 bucks guys rolling in it let's do it again here Dave where is your money going this week here in week four we're going to keep it as a two teamer but try something a little bit different than the moneyline parlay we'll call this the three yards and a cloud of dust parlay a lot of runs a lot of running clock I love the way the Dallas defense showed up last week Carolina we know has one of the better defenses in the league that game's going under and then the Jets just flat out can't score Tennessee's going to run the ball all day long the clock will be moving in both of these games under and under alternate total in the Colts Dolphins game I don't know what's going on with the quarterback situation in Indianapolis that's a big concern and then with Miami going with the backup quarterback yeah a backup can show flashes but consistency is a big problem I'm going under 39 and a half thousand-dollar risk-free bet nets me more than 2400 bucks I'm going with one of the cool futures that's on the board one of the betting options at Fandle right now is the team to finish with the worst record and the giants 0 and 3 again you look at the gauntlet the schedule they have coming up they could be 0 and 10 I don't think they'll be favored in a game until Thanksgiving so for that reason you're getting great odds right now on New York big blue to finish with the worst record in the NFL there it is they have people in New York don't want to hear that but hey gamblers make sure to sign up for a Fandle sportsbook account right now to place your bet bet with your heart if you want to do your thing and remember use the promo code more ways 1000 you'll get a risk free bet up to 1000 dollars it's easy it's legal it's live you take your winnings if you hit and you get your money money back inside credit if you don't I call it the best mull again in the business not just football on this show we're bringing you news from the track as well the breeder's cup world championships returns in November to where the turf meets the surf in delmar california the world's best to thoroughbred racehorses will compete for championship honors in more than 31 million dollars in prize money it's all happening friday november fifth and saturday november sixth tickets are available at breeder's cup dot com breeder's cup dot com right now and for those of you who can't make it to the track you can watch all 14 championship races on nbc sports or tvg and tvg not only your place to bet the breeder's cup but you can bet every race every day right now by downloading the tvg mobile app and before we go here on more ways to win we're three weeks in so let's get some updated super bowl picks here the chiefs have lost to in a row still the favorite here our guys are giving us their best value picks in just a moment but first we're getting we're bringing anthony anderson right back in here he says it'll be a different afc west team holding up the lombardi trophy at the end of the season take a listen i gotta go with my team they lost vegas raiders and you know what i want to see you know who i want to see them play i want to see the raiders play tamper bay last time my raiders were in the super bowl we lost the tamper bay in san diego i was at that game so i would like to see that again passionate man that anthony anderson raiders are plus 4100 dave i get my whole team in here dave give me your best value bet to win it all who do you got pony shamed him into changing his selfie angle to cut out the picture good job pony i'm gonna go way down the list keep going keep going the bangles at 120 to one look they got the jets coming up they got the lions come up let's just say they get midway through the year with a nice winning record the stealers are down the ravens are down young team get some confidence i'm saying it's a huge value there 120 to one on the bangles now i agree the afc is wide open at this point given what the chiefs have shown us through three weeks but it's not that wide open let's take the baltimore ravens they've been my pick from day one i'm gonna stick with them i was convinced by the wardrobe change the pink sweatshirt i'm gonna take the raiders just like anthony they're three and oh and yet they're still 41 to one to win the superl they've been the most impressive team in the afc so far so you get great odds with them at the moment well you know what i like arizona and kansas city the numbers they look great with the card knows that at plus 3400 but you know you have to hang your hat on what kansas city is able to do i'll roll with them last season and you take a look at all the weapons that patching my homes has nevermind the record throw it out of the window when all the dust settles i'm gonna go with kansas city at plus 600 yeah pony that's a relaxed look that the pink sweatshirt rolling in here um guys great stuff by you all again that was a raiders plus 4100 that picked by anthony anderson great having him on the show today game picks best bets dfs all the goods we covered it all week four is here you can bet it right now check out all the best we talked about on the fandals sportsbook app new users sign up with the promo code more ways 1000 to get a risk-free bet up to 1000 bucks from all of us here at fandals thanks for hanging with us we'll see you right back here next week after an unprecedented year apart the time has finally come to say welcome back to the prestige and excitement of witnessing history firsthand this november beautiful del mar we'll welcome back the world's best thoroughbreds the brightest stars and most passionate fans to the breeders cup one experience that's a breed apart tickets on sale now at breeders cup.com