 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday April 5th 2023 This is Chief Mirovich John is with a long month public media Thursday April 13th So we don't have a Friday the 13th this month. I will be the third quarter moon in the early morning sky The Sunspots are kind of rotated away from us as you get Two weeks for Sunspots to travel all the way across to go around the backside basically Again drought conditions from last week to this things got a little worse since southeast and a little better on the southern mountain ranges Working nationally. We have huge lessening of the drought in the West. It's largely being wiped out lakes are filling up It's great little worse though on the Great Plains. This is a remaining area that needs some springtime relief Let's look at the Quasite animation of the snowpack and see it's staying up high and then last few storms kept it rocking rocketing very high We have really good snowpack on a state average. It's a hundred and thirty nine percent Fantastic, and we got a little bit more. I thought this is going to be a pretty minor storm half inch to an inch and a half We did get an inch and a half on coming up to Tuesday another two inches, so Yeah, it we got snow More than I expected another storm that is over performed right on Boulder three four five inches of snow or so, so Yep, I'm gonna have to Dive in and keep track of those to you Looking for the precipitation. It really was a front range northern mountains central mountains Type storm but lots of more great more great water. That's horrible English. Sorry smoke nothing really to talk about we have our two-frame animation of the Severe weather probabilities climatologically Sorry, thank you computer for doing that And it's inching our way definitely in reality lots of severe weather has been occurring in the south and southeast Lots of large tornadoes lots of damage so Wednesday was another day for that marginal risk on Thursday and then a huge area of slight risk on Friday so crashing after crashing storm in the eastern US We get the surface map. There's a Wednesday today. We have a little chance of precipitation In the afternoon, it's not much right now. The skies are blue, so Thursday clear and dry Friday clear and dry We actually begin quite a long period of clear and dry and some above normal temperatures going into the 70s Maybe even approaching 80 on the planes in spots ever little chance of showers Wednesday night Not much until almost 10 days out. There's a signal of something coming along. So we'll talk about that in a second Our water vapor satellite image not so important for Forecasting as it is in the summer you have the moisture for thunderstorms So you can see trough in the west and it's a big swoop of the jet stream coming in to feel the severe weather out here in the east Our next notable upper air features a giant ridge moving over Monday and Tuesday. That's when we have our warmest temperatures coming up Yeah, it's gonna be really warm Extra Friday, so 10 days out is the next time we get a trough in to our back The woods way too far up to see how big of a storm this will be but at least today's model of this run And initialize in the morning on Wednesday shows a pretty strong low and on the planes Some rains and thunderstorms where I hit a system cold front down south and wrap around precipitation in the mountains nearby planes See if that does anything so the next 10 days our trough from our early week storm pulls up into the Great Lakes Replaced by a big ridge and warming warming warming Have that little ripple there coming through Sunday, but it's just not going to do much It's nearly replaced by the even stronger ridge Monday and Tuesday we go to sort of southwest flow keeping us warm and dry into Wednesday and then a trough approaches from the Pacific Northwest really sharpens up cuts off almost Yeah, there's some cough right there and then it rolls over the state It's a pretty good position for some stormy activity We start with the colder that's already in place. We had the cold front come through a few days ago It's down in Texas. It's creating all the severe weather out east. We warm up really fast with the southwest winds As we're going to Sunday the entire west really starts to warm up for the first time This is gonna be a problem for snowmelt in California and the Washington, Oregon and the interior mountains We really get hot look at that way above normal then the cold front begins to push down on Thursday first week gets pushed back by heat then a stronger cold front comes down on the weekend and Starts to sweeping. I'm sure more severe weather out on the plains So let's look at the precipitation our current storm is just dropping snow on the mountains And maybe a little bit on the plains not giving it much of a chance and then it just stays dry here Saturday Look at the West finally getting a break from storm after storm after storm. That's a good sign for them Looking at Monday Tuesday that's little ripple goes way north of us. There's a low here, but it's starved from moisture Okay There's a big strong strong white jump right past it Wonder if I should let play again. Okay, let's go ahead and do it. I Am getting a new Mac. So this one is just not keeping up with the video demands and play back Then I'm trying to do here. So who knows what it's doing in the background. It's a problem. So here we go into Sunday again Super dry It's Monday and Tuesday Past us to the north Storms down here looking very spring light low intensifiers on Thursday Another low in and then we have storms snow wrapping around hitting the front range in the plains rain further east So the next five days a little bit of shower activity possible. This is mainly Wednesday and Little bit of snow possible. I see something was days It's 10 days no more moisture, but it's still less than a 10th of an inch And then snow wise it's still less than an inch Obviously that can change a lot. I've been kind of burned by two storms recently So we go from 40s to 50s and 60s and 70s for the weekend and then early next week We have 70s and maybe cracking 80s for the first time right here in Longmont We're from really dry conditions throughout but keeping an eye on those western snow and It's not snow-free. They're still gonna get some storms and we're gonna still get some significant strong places 10 13 Over here is 20 24 inches or so a couple feet in these high mountains. You see the snow levels rising So it isn't snowing at the lower elevations, but that means it will be rain, which will increase runoff and Mudslides, so California is not out of this. This is just the beginning of the cycle. It's gonna be crazy Longmont later, Broomfield later local weather you can check on and lots of local news This has been Chief Meteorologist John Insworth. Keep looking up