 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot? My name is Tom Vecchio. We have a four-game MLB slate tonight It starts at 7 0 5 as always This is one of the many shows on the Fandall podcast network You can find that anywhere whether it's Apple podcast whether it's Spotify make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe Leave a review that be greatly appreciated and you can follow me on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio 1 Before we hop into things NFL seasons underway and get set for incredible offers from Fandall America's number one sportsbook right now new customers can bet $5 and get 200 in bonus bets guaranteed Plus all customers who bet $5 will get $100 off NFL Sunday ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV Now is the best time to join Fandall the app is easy to use and you can bet on everything from spreads to player props and more Fandall official partner of the NFL must be 21 plus and present in select states Fandals offering online sports wagering in Kansas under agreement Kansas Tarkasino LLC First online real money wager only $10 first positive card bonus issued as now drawable bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook.com gambling problem call 100 gambler or visit Fandall comm slash RG in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee or Virginia Call 1-800 next step or text next step to 5334 to in Arizona call 1-888-7977 or visit ccpg.org slash shag Connecticut call 1-800-9 with it in Indiana call 1-800-522-4700 or visit KS gambling help in Kansas Call 1-877-770 stop in Louisiana. This is mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland Visit 1-800 gambler net in West Virginia or call 105 to 2-4700 in Wyoming Hope is here visit gambling help line MA.org or call 803-270-5050 for 24 seven support in Massachusetts Or call 1-877-8 hope and wire text open Y in New York NFL Sunday ticket offer ends 9 18 23 no refunds terms and embargoes apply 100 100 off NFL Sunday ticket not YouTube TV YouTube TV base plan required to watch YouTube TV redemption requires a Google account and current form of payment commercial use excluded All right, let's get into tonight's smaller for game MLB slate lock is set for 705 You know some day games going on we're gonna stick to the main slate We do of course field on tonight's late, which is the last game 840 and the weather note for tonight is that the course field game is set to have Just a tremendous amount of rain. There's really no other way to describe it It is going to be cooler not only in Colorado, but we're starting to see some cooler temperatures come across for all stadiums But a massive amount of rain in Colorado sub 60 degrees and Very strong wind blowing in 10 15 miles per hour No indication as of now whether this game will actually play We're we're hours and hours away from happening But the expectation is that there's going to be a lot of rain tonight So this is a four game slate that could very easily turn into a three game slate So and not to mention the fact that it's course field This is obviously the best spot spot that we want to be looking for hitters So if you're rolling out one lineup You may not want to have exposure to course field simply because there's too much of a risk and the game getting postponed If you're running on multiple lineups, you can go about it Obviously multiple ways some lineups have exposure course field some don't you mix and match whatever might be Obviously have to get updates throughout the day on what this weather situation Will look like because it does not look good as of now Let's jump into pitching starting off the top where Kyle Bradish at 10,600 is the most expensive pitcher Filed by Kevin Gosman at 10.3 Logan Webb for the Giants. He's at course field 9.5. Nathan the Evaldi 9.2 Aaron Savalli 8.7 Kanta, Myeda at 7.6 Chase Anderson 6.2 and Jose Urina at 5.7 So again only four games could very easily be three before we know it and we have two pitchers that are above $10,000 Kyle Bradish for the Baltimore Orioles has looked great as of late Showing a really high level of consistency He comes with a 24.7 strikeout rate only on 0.80 homeruns per nine a 6.6% walk rate Which is great to see he has a 3.82 skill interactive ERA and not surprisingly He's keeping the ball down with that point eight zero home runs per nine He's mainly a ground ball medium contact pitcher 60% medium contact rate is absolutely unbelievable along the 48.5% ground ball rate So he does not allow any damage or limits of damage greatly The question becomes is how do we approach this slate? When we have two expensive pitchers both, you know 10k and above between Bradish and Kevin Gosman and you know Frankly, I'll just say that I think Kevin Gosman is the better pitcher of these two not to say Kyle Bradish isn't good But Kevin Gosman is a different level and really the type of picture that we want when it comes to bringing fans the upside So when it comes to Kevin Gosman, he has a 31.5 percent strikeout rate 6.4 percent walk rate 0.91 homeruns per nine Comes under the super solid 3.2 once here also medium contact ground ball pitcher not as much as Bradish But 46.7 percent medium contact rate 42.2 percent ground ball rate for Kevin Gosman Yours comes under the 12.9 percent swinging strike rate, which is absolutely awesome Gossum Gosman awesome for Gosman. Gosman is a great pitcher in that type of picture that we want for that type of fantasy upside Really bringing the potential to rack up the strikeouts go, you know for double digits strikeouts as we've seen he's one of the You know top options for Cy Young I don't think he'll win it this year, but he really has been having an awesome season The question is these are difficult matchups The Rangers, you know, they were going slow on offense for a couple weeks All of a sudden they've turned up their offense to a new level and they're piling up the runs each and every night against the Blue Jays Tampa is no doubt a tough matchup as well When it comes to Tampa Bay for Kyle Bradish with their current active roster versus righties They come in with a 23.6 percent strikeout rate, which is the 11th worst in the league Texas comes with a 20.3 percent strikeout rate with their current active roster versus righties, which is 24th in a league So there's no doubt that the higher strikeout match that probably lies with Kyle Bradish But Kyle we have to remember Kyle Bradish has a 24.7 percent strikeout rate and Gosman is up at 31 percent And really no picture on tonight's lake in touch what Gosman can bring individually in terms of the strikeout upside Now when it comes to Tampa Bay on offense, there are solid versus righties And so is Texas. Tampa Bay comes with a 121 WRC plus their current active roster versus righties Which is the second best in the league and Texas is right behind them at a 114 WRC plus Which is the fourth best in the league and their ISOs are nearly identical 186 for Tampa 183 for Texas So no doubt these are difficult matchups for both pitchers So how do we decide? Well, I'm just going to simply side with Kevin Gosman because he has a higher individual striker He brings more skill to the mound compared to Kyle Bradish, you know, if we're going to pick one pitcher on tonight's lake Who's going to be going for 10 plus strikeouts? It's going to be Kevin Gosman So I will take him in what I'm going to say an equivalent match in terms of difficulty I'll take him and what is it 300 less expensive? That's not too much But I guess every salary dollar helps when we're dealing with a very very small slate So let's just say course field does play tonight Right. We we get some news. Maybe the storm comes early. Maybe it's going to hold off whatever might be just a hypothetical here No rostering a pitcher That's over 10,000 is difficult to do when we're trying to get these hitters At course feel that are you know very very expensive You know, we have hitters that are you know in the high 3000 So if you were to roster Kevin Gosman And drop him into your line up immediately your average remaining per player is just under 3100 and that's obviously very difficult to do When we're looking to get some hitters from course feel that are 37 38 39 whatever it might be So is there another pitching option that we can look to tonight? I think so kentomieta at $7600 for the Minnesota twins they are on the road going up against the chicago white socks now kentomieta has missed a little bit of time this year With some injuries did not pitch all of last year. We have to keep that Give that in mind and he only has 86 89 innings pitch this season. He had 106.1 innings pitched in 2021 66.2 innings pitched in 2020 and 153.2 innings pitched in 2019 I'm going back as far to just to show that his 25.8 strikeout rate this season is certainly very solid And I think we can trust that even though it's from a smaller sample size because This is what he's really done over the past few seasons 24.9 strike rate in 2021 a 32.3 strike rate in 2020 and then a 27 strike rate in 2019 So yeah, he's missed a bit of time this year due to injuries But I think we can roll with the stats because this is where he's been Roughly over the past few years a 6.5 walk rate isn't that far off from the 7.1 He had the year prior. He's allowing a few more home runs this year that he has in years in years prior It's kind of always been his thing It's a 1.52 home runs per night this year 1.35 the year before 1.22 the year before so we're roughly within the same range I still expect some of those home runs to progress because he's mainly a medium contact pitcher He's not giving up a whole lot of hard contact. It's a 54.6 percent this year And over the past two years that he's pitched in 2021 and 2020 He was both at he was at a 50 percent hard contact rate Excuse me a 50 medium contact rate in both 2021 and 2020 He's not a hard contact pitcher. The fly balls are a slight issue for him this year But they're higher than they've been since 2017 for him. So I expect the fly balls for kensameida to regress Now ultimately we're looking at kensameida for A few reasons one he's 7600 Which is a great bit of salad relief that we'd love to have on a very small slate And then two the match up versus the chicago white socks is something that we're going to be very interested In going to currently with with their active roster the white socks coming with the 21.8 strikeout rate versus righties Which is 17th in the league. So they're not striking out at a super high clip, but When it comes to offense overall for the white socks, they are bad They come in with a 28th in the league right now and they have an 87 w RC plus and a 144 team iso versus righties, which is also 27th in the league So it really is a super easy matchup for kensameida And he hasn't been putting up massive numbers as of late But in terms of his salary in terms of point per dollar in terms of what we may need on this slate Given the lack of value options just because it's only three, but it's only four games could be three games kensameida Is actually shaping up to be a pretty solid option now, of course If you're making one lineup kevin gossman is still probably the answer of who you should be going to So that does it for pitching. Let's move on to the stacks. It's obviously Uh, you know, I would say a tougher slate just because We have so few options and then again, we have the potential for course field the spot that we'd all love to be going Uh, you know, not just on any slate, but really on a on a four game slate We'd love to be going to course field, but obviously it has the potential for this game to be Reigned out So where else can we be going? So of course field plays like I said Feel free to load up those hitters from the Giants and the Rockies. We know what course field can bring outside of that I think it's come down to Going to some of the Minnesota twins here is going up against hosea urina Urina has been with multiple teams this year multiple teams last year He's just not a good pitcher at this point in his career. He's really not The walk rate this year is at 14.3 percent. It's coming from a smaller 20 22.1 any sample size if we look back to last year when he had a 97 any sample size It was still at 10 and the year before it was at 9.2 and the year before is at 12.5 He's just not a pitcher that has a whole lot of command on the mound He's allowing over one home run per nine in each of the last five seasons this year It's at 3.36 home runs per nine began a very very small Sample size this year too much hard contact Flyballs not to give him any favors and I think the Minnesota twins are a team that We really should be looking to trust tonight and frankly Might be one of the best options we have if there's going to be no course field Now when it comes to the twins Royce Lewis at $3,700 is their most expensive player Jorge Polanco is $3,200 For them those are the only two hitters that are above 3k for the twins So realistically they're looking like a pretty favorable team to stack Because of the salary relief that we have Royce Lewis has been great this year And specifically he's been hot as you know in recent weeks But they have a lot of options You know in their lineup that we could certainly be going to each and every night, especially when we're getting Let's see Jeffers, Correa, Kepler, Julian Walner any of these player Cureloff any of them who you decide to end up rostering they're all 2,900 and below So when we see Royce Lewis, yeah, I would love to have him in his 259 iso Versus righties in my lineup, but we also have to factor in his salary Can we go to Cureloff with the 135 WRC plus sure good Ryan Jeffers 132 WRC plus sure max Kepler 120 WRC plus Yes, the list kind of goes on and on for the twins who are all good hitters They may not all have a ton of power upside But their salaries are really really friendly tonight when it comes to roster construction If you're trying to pay up for uh kevin gossman or kyle graddish So the twins are just objectively in a great spot and they're actually what we need when it comes to line of construction tonight based on a smaller slate Based on some expensive Uh pitchers and their salaries that we're trying to get into our lineup. So sure hosey arena Has a small sample size this year, but looking back over the past few seasons I'm not going to be worried about literally anything that he's done And I think the clear upside lies with The hitters from the twins so Lewis polanco jeffers korea kepler julian wolner you name it get them into your lineups Twins very easy tonight again. We of course field. Where else do we want to be going? Gossman is obviously solid erin savalli is on the mound for tampa bay He's an okay pitcher. He's like not a pitcher that um He's not terrible, but he's also not great He's just kind of this middle of the road pitcher doesn't strike out hitters at a super high clip I know he had this high 12 strikeout game or whatever was recently, but ultimately he's still not a pitcher I'm super worried about on baltimore last night didn't come through. I'll be willing to go back to baltimore tonight uh, but I also want to be focusing in on the Toronto blue jays and they have been faltering these past few games and in a very very important series for their a wild card race And tonight they have a chance to pick up one, you know, really needed win Against nathan iovaldi for texas and iovaldi is recently returned from the il. He only has two starts under his belt He only went 1.1 innings against houston where he gave up Four earned runs and only one strikeout. He then pitched 2.1 innings against oakland on the ninth three strikeouts No earned runs So it doesn't look like iovaldi is going to be going super deep into the game He's 2.1 innings pitched. He's going to be i'm going to guess around four innings Uh, you know tonight, it doesn't seem like they're going to be ramping up at a super high rate, especially because the Rangers announced that scherzer is likely out for the season Unlikely for the playoffs or wherever the quote was that they may need to really kind of Take things slow with iovaldi if they make the playoffs, they're going to need a solid picture that they can trust So i'm not expecting iovaldi to be out there for super long It's probably in terms of the texas bullpen who I think are pretty average in the grand scheme of things so this will turn to the blue jays and again Kind of like muslin spots for the blue jays at this point in the season So Yeah, I want to focus in on getting some of their top hitters But it's going to come down to their salaries and what we can afford davis davis schneider at 3900 has really been putting up Impressive numbers since he has been called up. He's a 221 wrc plus versus righties Since he's been called up. We only 60 plate appearances a 327 iso is absolutely bananas But I obviously don't expect that to maintain if we were to extrapolate that over the course of an entire season But he is hot right now He should absolutely look to roster him if you can Then we have the normal cast of characters for the blue jays of Whoever you can afford whatever makes sense for your lineup george springer latty bobeshet whip maryfield that he's in the lineup spencer horowitz Recently called up. You can go to him as well 2600 I don't necessarily want to get someone like kevin curemeyer and my lineups would shoot for a player that has a little bit more power upside So really whatever's going to be making sense for your lineup. That's who you need to be focusing in on schneider latty beshet Springer is probably the order that I would I would target the blue jays in terms of their priority for the lineups tonight So it's a smaller slate again for games massive rain issues. We have to worry about when it comes to course field We need paid attention to that. We'll get updates throughout the day You know, we want to be focusing on getting kevin gaussman into the lineup So we can if that's not a possibility certainly look to kensomayeta going up against the white socks in easy easy match up All right, so that does it for today's podcast is always it can be oh, no Let's close out on some dinger calls actually let's close out on some dinger calls before we Before we close things out. I would love to pick an option from course field But i'm simply not going to be doing that don't want to be Looking to any of those options just because you know not expecting or i'm anticipating The worst and that would be the game gets postponed. So i'm not going to pick any options from course field Let's go with rois louis from the twins obviously insane power from him in the lineup for them always be looking there And then with erin savalli not again not a picture i'm overly worried about let's go with gunnar henderson the lefty future rookie the year for the baltimore oryals the lefty versus savalli so Royce louis and gunnar henderson as the two dinger calls to close things out today All right, so that does it for today's podcast is always going to be found on spotify on apple podcast You can find the video version on the fandal youtube page. They can be found on fandal tv plus can be found on fandal dot com slash watch You follow me on twitter at tom underscore vekio one until next time. Good luck in your contest