 of TFNN. The Tom O'Brien Show is produced every business day. Tom takes your phone calls toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. Let's go to Eddie and Booker-Ton. Hey Eddie, what's going on? Hey Tom, how are you, man? I'm doing great, man, yourself? Good, good. It is a treasure to have TFNN every hour during the trading day to be there to help you to guide you. And even to give you some peace of mind or like did somebody else is there with you while you're trading this crazy market? These are up or down. Well listen, we appreciate you growling and prowling us out here, because we wouldn't be out here, folks, if we didn't have all you guys, gals, tigers and tigers as clients. And the market teaches you every single day, man. Now, Tom O'Brien. Welcome, folks. This is Tom O'Brien of TFNN. We have five days a week. We go seven hours a day. We go 24 hours a day on the internet at tfnn.com. Always remember, folks, whatever you think about, you bring about whatever you focus on grows. Hope everyone's having a great day, safe day. It's a TGIF, folks. Let's make it a great one. Always do your best. Take action on your ideas. This is always a great weekend card. Doing your best means to take action on your ideas. You've got many great ideas in your head, but without action, upon an idea, there'd be no manifestation, no results, and no reward. Market-wise, let's take a look at it out here. We have the Dow Industries down 197. NASDAQ off 152. S&P's down 39. Gold. Gold contract up $11.90 traded at $19.92.50 an ounce. You get silver up 50 cents, $23.54 an ounce. Light sweet crude down 62 cents. $88.75 a barrel. Notes and bonds. A 10-year note. Up 19 ticks, trading 106 flat. The third year up 22 at 108.17, and $king dollar. King dollar's down 93 ticks, trading at 106.160. The year was at 105. The end is trading out here at 149. The British pound is at 121 to one U.S. dollar. Our phone number's 877-927-6648. Give us a call, folks. One note's going on in your world. So let's go to the world of the futures first, because you get option expiration coming in at the close. We'll take a look at the futures first. It was a straight line move down this morning. So you don't have a high volume low down here. So that's actually saying that we are going to, well, what we did is this. With a straight line move down, you took back maybe that 50% of it sort of looks like. Yeah, you actually took back 61 points. Yeah, it took back 61%. So this is going to get interesting, because you get some volume up there. So we'll see how this shakes out. But you have a shot of going right back up to where we just did that counter-strand bounce. Now, that being said, if we go to the spy, what you're going to see is that you're trading at the 322 area. Well, yeah, 322. And it's the 320 area that's right at those lows. 320, 322 is the number. And what we've done so far is this. You've done 85 million shares. You're going into 113. Yesterday, we did 121. So bottom line is that we don't have a rejection of lower price yet, but that's the bottom of the consolidation. And something to keep in mind is this. When we were talking with Tim Ward yesterday, the bottom line is that if you have this area does not hold, well, your next area is down to 4,000. That sort of comes down to really. You get something at, yeah, 400 on the S&P. 400. Yeah, realistically, that's the next swing point. Let me do it a different way. One second, I'll put the SPX up. Yeah, your next level, you're at 4,242. Put it weekly on this. Yeah, it's the same deal. It's not that much lower, actually. That's interesting. 4,159. Yeah, it's not. So this 4,159 is going to have, this is on the cash S&P. And the cash S&P is trading 4,243. Well, it doesn't trade, OK? The way the cash S&P works, folks, is that all the S&P stocks, they add them up, and then they do the weight instruction. That's how you get that number. Yeah, so we'll see if this baby's going to hold at the first consolidated bottom, which has held in the past. Cues, the queue's down to $55 million right now. Yesterday we did $72 million, and we could still do $72 million. Yeah, we're going to do $72 million, because option expiration, you're going to do some numbers here. The $351 million is the bottom of this consolidation. Then we go into the note and bond market. Now, this one's going to get really dicey, because the note and bond market have been a one-way trip on the way down. We've got to bounce out here today as 1.6 million shares, kind of contract rather. Now, what that is, that is a rejection of lower price on lighter volume. But the way that the note and bond market's going, you need some follow-through, man. That's the real bottom line. First off, you need, on the 10-year, we're at 106, you've got to get back inside the 106, well, 03, which is not bad, to get just in a higher range. If we take a look at the TLT, the 20-year plus, what you're going to see out here, yeah, you have $0.43. Put this back, though, on a monthly and see what we're looking at. OK, so oh, I see, one second, hold it. Now, this is where this gets tricky on the, yeah, see? So what happens here is this, folks, on these ETFs, you've got to really wrap your head around this when we're looking at charts. So the expense ratio on the TLT is only 0.15 of 1%. Now, that's not a lot. It is a lot, however, when you're going back, now watch this, because I pull this back and I've got to go back 20 years, actually 10 years, just to find out what it's going into. It's actually 20 years. So you can imagine that amount of time, multiplied times 0.15, will give you the aspect of just how much is shaved off the number because of the fact of the expense ratios, you know? So you've got to take that into consideration when you look at it. What we did have out here today is that you've got the rejection of lower price inside of the notes, the bonds, and the dollar is still on the lower end of its channel line. So the dollar was saying it's going lower. Take a look at the dollar out here. 89 techs, and you can see you're down the lower end of it. Stay right there, folks. Show my back. Currencies, commodities, and bond markets are as important as ever right now with how they're driving the volatility in equity markets across the globe, which is why it's a great time to try out Teddy Kegstad's Tiger Forex report. Teddy Kegstad breaks down the forex markets every Monday using his 30-plus years of experience as a trading veteran of futures, forex, stocks, and options. 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Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. Welcome back, folks, as out. Down investors right now trading down 208, you get an ASIC up 155, S&Ps are down 39, and so the, and the House of Representatives, Jim Jordan just went down for the third time, and you know, the thing that's crazy, man. So this vote was 112 to 86, and then we're seeing the next victims coming up. So Republicans who just announced to bid for speaker include Kevin Hearn of Oklahoma, Austin Scott of Georgia, in addition, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Jack Bergman of Michigan, Dian Mouser of Pennsylvania, and Jody Arlington of Texas are considering it. As is Tim Urn of Minnesota, they're all gonna be victims, man. I mean, they just, the Republican base, not the base, the House of Representatives, they're so divided, it's like pretty intense, and there's nothing to stop anything. That's the bottom line. So who knows how this is gonna shake out, but as I said, I think they're gonna be the next victims. Forget the nominees. Victims would be a better word. And you can see why, you know, you can see why I remember when Bain resigned, and like that almost came out of nowhere, but it didn't come out of nowhere because the fact of the matter is, he knew that he was gonna get smoked, you know, and not be able to pass anything. So it's like, time's precious to you know, what are you gonna do? You gonna stay there and fight the rest of your life for nothing? I don't think so. So this is gonna be really, well, it is not, it is going to be right now. And of course it's for Friday, so now what you're gonna see is everyone's running to the freaking airport, getting home. And we go into another week. You know, we'll see if they're gonna basically give Henry, I just don't see they'd have a way out of it. I just don't. But there's gonna be a way out of it. We know that. I just don't see where it is right now. And the thing that's amazing is that when you think about it, it was just the one vote that got McCarthy out of there. And I'm sure he's elated right now. Yeah, I'd be elated, man. I mean, can you imagine? Yeah, anyway. So let's go take a look at the good old oil market because that between the Middle East, you know, supply and demand issues period. Okay, so this came, got to 90, 78. It's at 88, 75. Oh, one second. CLA. We're rolling right now. What's happening? Not that that makes a difference, but it. Okay, so let's take a look. Well, we're right into where we came down. It couldn't hold price. So this is almost like ice. That's actually saying that, you know, this thing could have come back down. So last low that we had out here was the 81, 50 area. Right now you're at 88, 75. And it looks like that we are going to come back down into those levels. So that's how this is setting up right now. Do I get a call out? No, sir. Okay. So if we take a look at the silver market, you're going to see silver's taking the top of the B point out with volume. You get 77,000 contracts out here. It just took out 66. And we got like, it was such, it's not bad. It's almost a 3.8 to B. Just going to get to 25. Yeah, that makes sense. We're 22, 53 and 25 is game. I mean, put this on a continuous contract and see what happens when we get to 25. Yeah, well, the top of this range, the next swing point is 25, 25 to 30. Well, it's got to be intriguing here is this. So look at this. We have actually gone sideways. This is pretty amazing actually. Five, my God. We've gone sideways in the silver market as in a consolidation since 2020. Now, when you look at this and how it's set up, these, that $30 a number is going to be a huge number. No, Den, sorry about that, man. Here we go. Thank you for the update there. There we go. Okay, so if you take a look at this consolidation, you're going to see this is quite a consolidation, man. You break this consolidation, you're going to go to the moon. That is quite a consolidation. And the other side of that consolidation is up at the 40 at all, though, which was 2011. So we're going to learn quite a bit about what's happening in this metals market because you can see the silver, you break that consolidation at 30, you go on a 40. And the price projection would be, the price projection is actually a little bit more than that. Let me pull this back a little bit more. I say, okay. Yeah, we've actually hit 49 at one point. The problem, you know, and folks, this happens on a continual basis. If you're going out there and you're going to decide you're going to buy the silver gold, right? The premiums are the problem in a monster way. Meaning, you know, like an ounce of gold right now, you're going to pay 75, or an eagle this says, 75 to 100 bucks an ounce of gold, right? And when you sell it, you're not going to get that. You know, well, let's put it this way. You are going to get it if you're selling into a market that where gold's up 30, 40, $50, okay? You don't get it when you basically have already accelerated up and then you start going sideways, or you've accelerated up so far that then everything just turns into spot. That's what happened. You know, like we're at much higher levels now than 2011, but the bottom line is that because the accelerations were so quick that when you got up to those highs, well, the bottom line is that, you know, the buy and sell narrowed and that's about the only time that you actually see that. Down, that's just down 250, that's except 180, S&P's down 46, stay right there folks, come right back. Steve Rhodes started his trading career as a student almost 20 years ago and the student has now become the master. Steve won the prestigious Timer of the Year award in 2018 and barely missed that mark again in 2019, finishing at number two for the year, an amazing accomplishment. 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There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. In the Tiger's Den, you can look over the shoulders of Tom O'Brien and the other TFNN hosts while they analyze charts during their live Tiger TV programs and join an interactive trading community with hundreds of members exchanging ideas, interact with other tigers and tigers as they share trading ideas, news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day, even at night and on the weekends. The Tiger's Den at Discord is accessible on mobile or tablets as well. So it's always at your reach. To sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders, just visit the front page of TFNN.com. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back folks to down investors right now, trading down 212 NASDAQ 1.6 S&Ps down 41. Let's go to our man Ray in Sarasota. Ray, what's going on brother? Hey Tom, I'm over stocks. We can go yesterday I called you regarding when we talked about HECLA I was wondering whether or not wondering if you have a point of view on where it's going from here. I know that mine is still an issue from the fire. Yeah, let's look, so Ray, the next day that it was so wild that HECLA went up 10% because I was watching it, okay? Meaning when we got off the phone which is great for you and I'm really glad for you. Yeah, HECLA's on its way man, that's the bottom line. So if we take a look at it, what you're gonna see here, let me bring this back this way first. You're gonna see that it held the bottom, okay? And it held the bottom, it went into the strength that goes all the way back to this 2020. That's what it was trying to do. Well, that's what it did do. Not to the very bottom of it, but that's what it did. It missed it by, let's see, what number is that? That was 308 and we went to 350, 355. So now the top of its game, that's the 939's game. You know, you already went through hell, just hang on for heaven, man, you know? All right. And so what should happen here is this, as they steer step up, you know, you saw what I just did with that silver chart, right? The actual silver chart, the physical metal. So the physical metal, if that breaks 30 dollars, we're going to 40 dollars in like a heartbeat, which will explode these silver stocks. If we go over to Pan American Silver, you know, Pan American Silver has also, you know, come off that bottom, come off it nice. I mean, we were trading down there, what 1348 or 1546 and we bang this out. Let me put this back in on. Yeah, the top of the consolidation here is going to be the same thing. Well, this was a little less, but you're talking 19 dollars. Yeah, good, good, good. And, you know, we went low enough. My take is that we actually did go low enough and people were on, you know, the seat of their pants, like, okay, we're going to break through here. And for some reason, you know, this whole gold move is really intriguing in the context, Ray, of I understand the dollar's pulling back so gold should go, right? But in the context of it, some of these, you know, we just went up a hundred and something dollars on gold and that's telling me that it's like a, you know, train that is really just getting going because that's very unusual when you can come off lows. And, you know, we got one, two, we really got three signs of strength so far. That's a lot, man, you know? And they can catch people on the wrong side of gold pretty easy, you know? So it looks to me like the dollar's gonna go low, gold's going higher, silver stopped, not only stopped picking up today, I mean, silver, blue, where it's swing point today with volume, so that's the end that we got action. And then, you know, it seems like they're, you know, not that we want turmoil, I don't want turmoil, but the turmoil this time is a little bit different. And what I mean by that specifically, folks, is this. So picture, if you're dealing with the mid-east and you're dealing with all those different currencies, right? The reality is that as there is movement of people, you're gonna have movement of people, even if they buy an eighth of an ounce of gold, a quarter ounce of gold, and I think that's what's moving this gold market. You know, there are very small incremental parts of it that add up to monster dollars. And that- You're saying it's individuals versus institutional? Yeah, I am, yeah. And what happens is this, see the institutions have continued to buy. The central banks are buying, you know, I mean, they know what's going on. The central banks have been buying a long time. But the individuals, and even those small quantities, when millions of people stop buying those small quantities, that's when things go haywire in two seconds. And that's what I think is happening here because we'll see, but I think that's the get-go and it has to do with everyone's currency, you know? The dollar's still the strongest in the whole world. And other than that, you know, in the Middle East, you're dealing with the euro, while the euro's still running around here, that it very well, no, it's 105, it's not bad. But if you had the choice of a couple ounces of gold in your pocket and you're trying to find a new country or a new home, I think that probably makes more sense than having currency and then transferring the currency again, do you know what I'm saying? So, you know. I think you've got an extra moment. What about the Canadian dollar? Canada is a commodity, country, oil, energy, precious. Do you see the Canadian dollar strengthening in this environment? So, right now we're trading at 137. Let's pull this, it's kind of at the top of this range. Yeah, I mean, you can see that going back down to the, you know, getting stronger and the Canadian dollar would be like going to 120 folks, okay? We are at the top of the range. Maybe I just pulled this back, you know, 20 years. You have two spikes up there at the one faulty level. But the last time we were up there was at the 139 and right now we're at 137. What does happen, I'm glad you brought this up, Ray. This is what does happen in the metals market. This is really important folks to wrap your head around. In 2011, and I think in 2016 also, what happens is that if you own a Canadian equity that's doing business in Canada like an eco-eagle, okay? What happens is that as our dollar goes down and the Canadian dollar goes up, right? What happens is that they make so much less money. You know, the first time this happened, it happened in 2011. I'm looking at these stocks, I'm saying, what is the disconnect here? Well, that was the disconnect, folks, is that the Canadian dollar goes so strong that it was a problem for the mining companies. What a trip that is, right? It's just the opposite of what you think, you know what I mean? But right now they're all on the movement. Right now, if this is the run, you know, we're only at 1992, 2700 is game, and the way gold goes, you know, the 25 to 2700 is only a one-to-one ABC up. Gold loves doing a one-to-five-oh. You know, I don't want us to do a one-to-one, point six, one-eight, because then that's the end of a market, but I think we get action. Have a great one, have a safe one, man. Stay right there, folks, come right back. If you're looking for potential trading setups in the stock market, then Rocket Equities and Options Report is a newsletter you should try. 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The Perspectus or Summary Perspectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. TFNN has launched the Tiger's Den. Hosted at Discord, TFNN has been educating traders for more than 20 years with live programming hosted by a variety of professional traders during market hours. The Tiger's Den. Available to all tigers and tigeresses for just $1 for the year. There's no catch or added costs when you join our community of traders. Sign up today and become a part of this educational community of traders. Just visit the front page of TFNN.com. This program is brought to you by Vista Gold. Traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. I'm O'Brien. Welcome back, folks, sit down. Now it's down to $2.69. Nasdaq's off $1.87. S&P's are down $50. And you got 15 minutes coming into this close and they're gonna bring it right into, well, they already got it into the lows. Yeah, no, we just broke the lows. So you just broke, you just broke the swing and we'll see where they're gonna take this, baby. $4.20 on the spy is the bottom of the consolidation. So let's pull the spy back up. You're at $4.21.64 right now. Yeah, it's laid out at $4.20.18, $4.20.03 around those areas. Now this is where it gets dangerous, right? Because what happens is this, is that we know there's gonna be volume today. Volume's gonna come in a huge way, right? So if you're coming into the swing with volume, expanded volume, well, your probability is what are you gonna do? You're gonna jump ice, right? You're gonna jump the creek. So we'll see how that shakes out. Let's go take a look at Vista Gold. We've got a couple of questions about Vista Gold and this is a trip, there's no doubt. Let's take a look at this first. So Vista, this is an exploration company. Bottom line, we've had Fred Erneston a bunch of times, the lows $0.35 and that's this week, the high $0.75. And if I give you this shot, now this is the thing that is pretty intense right now about Vista, is that you take a look at this shot and then yeah, you're coming into a swing, you are coming in with lighter volume, but what you don't have is a rejection of lower price. And what you don't have, which, you know, is a huge problem right now. I mean, I know how the stock trades, you know, it can come out of nowhere and then all of a sudden it's up in a monster way. But the bottom line is that the gold contract just went from, you know, 1833 to 1992 and we haven't got any movement. That says quite a bit. Now, no one's been selling Vista, meaning that the funds, the ownership inside the company itself, you know, bottom line have not been moving this thing out. Well, that says something, okay? But the bottom line is that when you can go up almost $200 and the price of gold and this doesn't move, well, you gotta be really careful. That's the real bottom line right now. We'll see whether we can get a sign of strength going because this hasn't had a sign of strength whatsoever. Now, when I put this on a longer basis, you know, it has that spike, you know, it has a couple of different spikes. One is a 140, one's a 210, but first we gotta get out of this deal down here. And, you know, if the gold contract continues to go higher and you don't see Vista going anywhere, well, that should say it all, you know, because these other equities have, you know, certainly come off the lows and a couple of them, like if you look at Anglo gold, this thing, well, this thing's powerful anyway. I mean, this thing, you know, in a couple of weeks we just went from the 1490 area to 1960. Now we own this and my take is that, I mean, this is gonna be a monster move on this thing. This, you know, like 30 bucks is game here, you know, because that's how big the top of the consolidation is. This, I've traded this quite a bit. This consolidation is huge and when this moves, this almost moves like a oil stock. You know, I can see when I brought this back, how many years did I bring that back? Yeah, that's three years. Let me see how you do five. Yeah, look at this. So it's been in the same consolidation and when it gets whacked, man, it gets whacked beyond belief. I mean, look at this. So the top of the consolidation is the 30, the bottom, I'm not gonna take the very bottom, but yeah, it's a 15, on a $15 stock, it's a $15 move and that's pretty intense and they do make money, you know, and they actually have a year and a half ago, they got a new CEO. You can see they're gonna take this year, they're gonna take in $4.7 billion and $1.37 to the bottom line and I think that's the one ran one second. Yeah, that's probably ran dollars. Revenue, they break this down. Okay, that's broken down. Africa 35%, no, 3.1 billion. Yeah, America, they're gonna goodbye to America, 1.1 billion. One of the gold, one of the silver equities that you're still gonna have to watch out for is Meg Silva. This is, this was the high flyer in a monster way, great company and you can see they're still doing gangbusters. They're gonna take in $402 million this year, they're gonna make $0.60 to the bottom line, they're gonna take in $548 million next year, $8, I mean, $0.84 to the bottom line, but what everyone's worried about, see what, watch this. This is a one-mine deal and that mine happens to be in Mexico. So the problem is, we pull this back, so the problem is that if they can change the rules any time they want now in Mexico. So the problem meaning and the amount, I mean, this was the, this went into 24, like nothing. And bottom line, you've come down and it's not getting any traction. So this Mexico deal is a big deal. They, the mining concessions themselves, they haven't pulled them back yet, but they have the right to pull them back by over 10 to 15 years. Now, 10 to 15 years on a mining concessions mean, let's say again, 40 to 50 year mining concession. Well, if they pull them back, that's huge. The other side of that, and this is gonna hit more so the small Canadian exploration stocks is that if you claim a mine, then you have to start spending money within two years. So most times exploration companies, that's not even close because the fact of the matter is you have to go out and you claim the mine, you go raise some money, then you do a couple of drill holes, you get the result of that. Okay, you'll do a couple more drill holes. You start really slow in the mining business because the fact of the matter is if you don't get what you need out of the first two or three drill holes, well, guess what? Your speculation is probably wrong and you're gonna have ore, but you're gonna have ore that does not have the precious metals inside it. Or, let's put it this way. No, there's always precious metals. There's not enough precious metals in order to basically take it out of the ground, bring it to the mill, and then actually get something out of it. That's where this whole thing comes down. That's the, what is the type of ore you have? What is it? Once it goes into the feeder, what comes out the other side? That's what it comes down to. Now, Dow Industries right now at 271, you get the NASDAQ 192, SAPs off 51. That's a downdraft out here, folks, of 1.4% in the NASDAQ, 9.10% in the S&P as well as the Dow Industrial. Stay right there, folks. Come right back. Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Introducing Tom O'Brien's award-winning newsletter, Market Insights, your key to successful active trading. 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First-time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee. If you're not satisfied, let us know, and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up. Subscribe to the Fibonacci 24-7 newsletter today. tfnn.com, educating investors. Don't forget, you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to tfnn.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's tfnn.com and hit watch Tiger TV. Welcome back, folks, to Dow. Dow's off $279,000 up $198,000. S&P's down $52,000,000, and we're gonna get volume here. This is gonna be pretty intense because we're going into $113 million inside the spy. Now you're $102,000. We're gonna get way over with $113,000,000, man. So we'll see how this shakes out, because it's gonna close right at, you know, this 420, 421 area. Right now you're at 421, 25. And your bottom of that consolidation, which it has held is the 420, 18, the 420, 03. You know, but if we come in with like 123 million in volume, that's telling me that, you know, the beginning of the week will blow right by that. What we will get out here today is that when we're talking with Tim Ord, we're talking about that 10 day arms. What we are gonna have right now is that it's expanding, you know, the bottom line you can see is right now it's at 1.29. So you very well could get closing arms right up there. But you can see that on Monday and Tuesday, you know, you had a 0.40 to a 0.54. Well, what that means is that they were actually buying handover of a fist, okay? Versus, you know, of course today they're selling the same stocks, the 1.29. We're going to the cues. We take a look at the cues out here. The cues are gonna have a lot more volume because when we pulled it up earlier, yeah, it already does. We're at 65 million. Yesterday we did 72 million. Now the difference is that with 354, the bottom of the range of the cues is 351. So that has longer to go on the way down. And what did happen last time is that it was a one day wonder. We broke the swing point. The swing point being that 354, 71 actually and where it's 354, 66 right now. And then it rejected it the following day. Always remember folks, the bank and claw your heart out. The bull can run you over and thank God. There's always another trade. Health happens in prosperity. Have a great weekend, folks. Have a safe weekend. Come back and visit Tommy Monday morning. Kicks us off 9 a.m., great show, folks. Well, yeah, look at him, folks.