 Hey guys, it's Nate, aka the Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. I'm going to answer a very important question for you guys today as we enter into the full game release period of FIFA 20 and that is keep or sell. And that's a big question that a lot of people have and that's something that we need to clear up today. Kind of like a rise or fall, keep or sell type thing where we're going to look at which players are going to be rising after the full game release, which players are going to be falling after the full game release. So there's a lot of different types of players we're going to look at today, but there's really going to only be three different categories with a couple exceptions in terms of types of players that we will have on this game. So we're going to look at some lower rated cards that are currently kind of inflated or higher prices. We're going to look and see if those are going to go lower or if they're going to still maintain that hype and stay high. And we're also going to look at some middle-range cards, maybe somebody like this Delialli, this Sancho, this Arriola, stuff like that. And then we'll look at some higher rated cards, maybe a Malinkovich, maybe a Neuer, and then some stuff like that. But I also want to cover some of the tricky situations like this Furline Mendy. He's going to be kind of a tricky situation, maybe hard to read. He's low rated, going to get packed a lot, but he's got a ton of hype. So we'll talk about that for a second as well. First person that I want to look at, and this is the first category that we're going to look at today, we're going to look at the lower rated players that are currently pretty high price. So Joe Gomez is a current player who's actually dropped down a lot in price. This man is pretty cheap right now. He was 5-6k for the last week since the web app has been out and since EA Access has been out, he's been around 45,000 coins. A lot of pack supply already has hit the market for this card. This card is the most used card in FIFA Ultimate Team. According to Footbind's PGP graphs on the PS4, this card is the most used card. So a lot of people would like this card. And I've had a number of people ask me, is this a good card to invest in? That's a kind of a simple answer for me, though. The answer is no. He's an 80 rated card. Yes, he is good, but you can tell that he gets packed a ton. If we go over here to Footbind and check out his graph, look at this. Started around 3,700 coins on the first day of the web app. EA Access comes out, he gets into starter teams, boom. He's up to 6,300 coins and look what's happened since then. Tuesday we get the pack supply, Monday and Tuesday we get the people getting onto the full pre-order release of the game and boom. He's down to 4,000 coins and dropping on almost another 1,000 coins in the last couple of hours. If you actually look at this graph from Wednesday, he goes from 4,000 coins in the morning down to 3,700. He's been all over the market, up and down 1,000 coins. And this card just keeps dropping. So is he going to fall? Yes, he is going to fall, not rise. Even though a lot of new people are coming onto the game and a lot of people are going to be starting out FIFA, this is going to be a card that I think stays below 3,000 coins. Probably stays below 2,000 coins actually. I think on Friday you're going to see this card get packed a ton and be very, very low on the market. Again, perfect for a starter team. If you're just getting into FIFA right now, this would be a perfect card for you for a starter team. 2,000, 3,000 coins less than that actually. But I think this card is going to fall. So I would not advise investing in that Joe Gomez card. Maybe another card that fits in that category would be somebody like this Saar, right winger, is Malia Saar. I think right now he's around 4K as well, somewhere around the 4,000 coin mark. And falling, obviously 94 pace. Obviously pace is huge in FIFA, but he's 78 rated. He's going to get packed a ton. I see that card price dropping as well. Somebody who I also might throw into this category as well, even though he's going to be out of packs, somebody like Pulisic. Yes, he's getting a once-to-watch, he's going to be out of packs. But what is he right now? Is he like 4K? He's almost, actually he's like 3,000 coins. So he's actually not that much. But I think there's going to be some panic selling on this card, even though he's going to be out of packs for once-to-watch. Some of these lower rated cards are in a once-to-watch like Joe Wellington, like Pulisic, like Wabi Saka. I think you're going to have to be very, very careful with. We'll talk about some of those once-to-watch cards, once-to-watch cards in another episode soon too, to specifically focus in on those. But again, lower rated guys. I'm talking 80s and below. Maybe even some 80 ones. I guess you could throw Yedlin in this mix as well. Deandre Yedlin is a 76 rated player. I think right now he's somewhere around 5,000 coins. 5,500 Yedlin. So he's still holding his price. That's because there's not many right backs in the prem that have the kind of pace that this guy has. I think he's still going to get packed a ton. More people are going to be going to use Ricardo Pereira, Hector Bellerin, because those guys will drop in price as well. Maybe that card stays around 2-3k, but I think it's going to take a hit, because it's really hard to explain to you guys just how many packs are going to be opened on that Friday of the full release, even into Saturday as well. The next person I want to take a look at though is kind of the middle tier player that is inflated in price, but he's very hyped up. And that is Lucas Mora. Lucas Mora is an 83 rated card in FIFA Ultimate Team. One of the most used cards on the game as well. 83 rated, nice pace. Four star, four star. He finally got an upgrade from his 82 rated that he's been in many years. I'm sure he plays very great in game, 93 agility, 92 balance, 90 jumping, good finishing, great speed. And his passing suffices stamina is decent as well. So I think a lot of people are putting him in their starter teams. But again, he's 48,000 coins and he's 83 rated. He's going to get packed a decent amount with all the people coming onto the game. What's going to happen with his price? Well, we could kind of learn a little bit from seeing what supply did to him on Monday and Tuesday. So over the weekend Monday, 49,000 coins drops to like 46, 47 on Monday Tuesday. He's risen up back now. He was actually 50k at one point today. Yeah, he was 50k at one point today. I knew I had seen that. A little bit of panic selling now before we hit division rivals rewards, which is when I'm recording this video. And he should be on his way down on Friday, I think. I think this card is probably going to maybe dip under 40k. It's tough to weigh. These kind of cards are more of a tougher situation because they're kind of low rated, but they're still pretty meta. So a lot of people are going to use these cards in their teams. But again, they're 83 rated, so they're going to get hit with some supply. And that's kind of a tricky scenario. It just kind of depends on the card and on the hype. I would say that Lucas has a chance to withstand the onslaught of packs, all the packs being opened. I think he has a chance to withstand all those packs and maintain a higher price than maybe some of the other 83s do because he's prem, he's Brazilian, and he gets great links to other Premier League Brazilians for hybrid squads and stuff like that. I think his price will fall somewhere around the range of maybe 35,000 coins. I think he could drop 10k on Friday, but I also think you might have the opportunity to rise back up as well. Some of these cards that are middle to high rated, you might see a dip in price on Friday when all the packs are being opened, but Friday night into Saturday and into the next week, you could see them shoot up as well. So this kind of card scenario interests me. It scares me a little bit because I'm curious to see how many people actually want to use this card if he stays at 30,000 to 40,000 coins. But I also want to see the pack weight and the pack weights going to interest me the most. So I would maybe if you had this guy on your team, if you really, really want him in your squad, I would maybe take a look at selling him Thursday night before Friday. I expect the Thursday market after rivals rewards to push up a bit. People go buy some of their teams, get some the first big reward set. We had squad battles, but I think a nice reward set would probably push people to go get some cards for their teams. It would push some supply on the market, but I think it would also push some of the market up. So maybe look and see if you can snag one of those guys, get rid of one of those guys on Thursday and look to see if you can snipe one on Friday during the panic. So that's how I kind of feel about Lucas Moro, somebody else, maybe an 83 rated also that I would feel the similar way about. It's kind of a tough one. Who's another 83 rated that it's kind of inflated in price? Maybe we go with an 84. I think an 84 could fall into this category. Jadon Sancho. Jadon Sancho, however you say his name, right now he is very cheap. I heard these 32, 33,000 coins right now on the PlayStation 4. A little bit of panic selling before awards again is what I'm seeing right here as I'm recording this video. 32k for this card. He was literally just 50k on Sunday. So this is a card that I don't know if it's hurt, if he's being hurt in price because everybody getting a loan version of his card, but this guy is 33,000 coins. There's a lot of Bundesliga hype that's going to be happening in the next week. And he's still dropping in price. I like this card as an investment. If you see this, if you want him in your team, I think you go and buy this card. Right wings in the Bundesliga. There's not many of them. Nabri, Sancho, maybe forgetting one, but those are kind of the top to your guys in terms of how this game is going to play. So he's English. He's Dortmund. A lot of links to Dortmund wants to watch cards. Again, some Bundesliga hype with a center attack and mid to Coutinho team in the week and card impacts and a player of the month, Levandowski coming out as well. I think this is a great investment, but it's also kind of that range where yes, pack supply could hurt him. 33,000 coins. He might go up to 35, 36, 37 before Friday, but does he get hit with the pack supply on Friday again, dip down and then rebound? I definitely think this card would rebound back up after a pack supply and more people coming onto the game on Friday, but it's just a matter of will this card fall or rise? I'm thinking this card is going to straight rise. Maybe a small dip, but then a rise on this card, 84 rated. So his pack luck will be kind of in the middle, but I think a lot of people will be gunning for this card. He's a cover star on FIFA 20. If you look through the menus, you'll see him around. There's Venetius and Van Dyke. There's John and Sancho right there on Division Rivals. So he's a cover star. You see his face all over in the game, and I think that helps the popularity of the player a little bit. So that's a card that I could see rising instead of falling. And then one last guy that I want to look up, this covers the high range. Somebody like Hyunmin Sun will look up Hyunmin Sun card over here on Footbin. 450,000 coins right now. His card is even down a little bit lower than what it was earlier. So if you want Hyunmin Sun for your team, this could be an interesting opportunity to buy. This is a card that's not going to be affected too much by pack supply on Friday. Yes, you could see a few undercuts. You could see his price dip early on in the day, but as people open packs, as people get coins on Friday, opening packs for the ones to watch promo or getting onto the game for the first time and opening up some FIFA points to start their foot journey, I think you could see this guy maybe dip down a little bit, but then he's going to skyrocket. Very meta. One of the best cards in the game that you can play in the prem, either at center attack in mid or at striker, a very, very well rounded card. He gets links to a team of the week Auriere. That's just this card, but a card like this Firmino would be in the same boat. Ericsson, obviously I'm thinking of center attack in mids. Somebody else like Kante, like David De Gea, like Van Dyke, Abameyang, Aguero, those are going to be all types of guys that will rise up after Friday. So we've seen a massive rise in these cards from the web app stages up until EA access. And from there, they've just kind of been trending the same in years past. They've kind of done the same, maybe trickle down a little, but Friday and Saturday is where they boom. Saturday is specifically is because so many people get onto the game. It's hard. It's just hard to really just show you guys how many people get onto the game for the full game release. The market today on PS4 was on Wednesday when I'm recording this, hit a peak of about 5.6 million transfers. I think I can actually check this on Footbin as well. I saw 5.6 million transfers today at one point. Yeah, somewhere in here, 5.537 is what it says on Wednesday, September 25th. So that's up, you know, 5.5 yesterday for Tuesday as well, and then Monday 4.3. I would not be surprised if we saw somewhere around 8 million, somewhere between 7 and 8 million transfers on Friday. There's going to be a lot of people that come onto the game and it's going to boost the live transfers and just the sheer number of cards in the market very, very much. So that's going to boost up a lot of people and it's also going to make a lot of people fall. So this is why I wanted to do kind of like a rise and fall video looking at some of these cards. Now there's a couple other cards that I want to say and just say a few words about some kind of some cards that are in between. A lot of cards are in that increased price range level, but they're very OP. They're very sought after, but their price reflects that. Edgar Millet's how right now right around 21, 22,000 coins, he is in the running for a ones to watch SBC. I think a lot of people were thinking that vote we had earlier in the week was for a card to go in packs. This card is not going out of packs. If he wins, the SBC will come out on Saturday the 28th and it will be an SBC. His card will still be in packs. Now maybe they require his card for the SBC. Who knows, but this card is not going out of packs. That's not a reason to invest in it. He's 81 rated. He's going to be packed a ton alongside Furline Mendy. Neither of those two got ones to watches and they're very, very overpowered players that people are excited to use in this game for starter teams and for some more higher price teams because their stats look amazing. So a card like this, I would kind of put in the same boat as like Lucas. I would also throw to Soco and Furline Mendy in this discussion and and Dombele as well. They're both, they're all 80 to 81 rated. They're going to get packed a lot, but a lot of people want them. So I could again see this price dipping a bit more harshly on Friday when all the packs get open. You might see this card at like 15,000 coins. You're like, oh my goodness, he's down so much. I think he has potential to rise even though there's going to be a lot of supply of that card on the market. I think the demand could outweigh the supply and he could jump back up again to around 20K in the next couple of days after all the packs are opened. Again, it's so tough to gauge these types of cards, especially a guy like Soco. I'm a little more worried about Soco being 40,000 coins as an 81 rated. Yeah, 40K for an 81 rated card is just a lot. Looks like he's dropped in price a decent amount today. He's down under 40K. But that makes sense to me. If you have this card still and you bought him for your team and you're making coins on him, I would sell. This is a guy that I think could fall considerably. He's going to get packed a lot. Yes, he's very good. Beast looking card. He's going to get into a lot of teams, but I think he's going to fall before he would rise back up. So that's the basic thing that I wanted to talk to you guys about today. There's going to be an opportunity to pick up a lot of cards on Friday in that quick dip that I mentioned with a lot of packs being opened. But the general advice here is you want to be buying players for your team. As I show you my like 15,000 coin team, Mueller is intradable. He doesn't count. The rest of the team is about 15K. But the general rule of thumb here is if you buy before the full game release with the meta players, we're talking guys like Alan, we're talking Malinkovich Savage, Kula Baldy, Manolas, Sun, Aguero, Abameyang, Griezmann, you know, all those guys that are 85 rated or above that are popular, usable, meta and going to make it into a lot of teams, you're going to see those prices continue to rise up after the game starts. Insignay is another one, one of the center attacking mid slash strikers in the Serie A. Pretty good card this year, especially for a center attacking mid. Fits the meta, good dribbling pace, agility and balance. This is the type of card you might see get hit by some packs, then ramp back up. And the rule of thumb here is if you buy it earlier, even if you buy it on Friday, if you haven't bought a team yet, you've been scared, you've been watching prices, Friday is kind of one of your last days to really get in before a lot of this stuff will shoot up. I feel like Informs are going to shoot up as well, so I would put those, almost all of those into the rise category. Our year, even some of the team will be two cards, they'll be in packs on Friday. But I think these guys could also work like that, a Coutinho card, he won't be in packs, he's only going to be in packs two days. But a very desirable card like De Bruyne, who right now is like what, 680? 689. You might see this card dip down to under 600,000 coins for a flash of time and then shoot back up because it's an Inform, Informs are rare. Trent Alexander Arnold I think is overpriced. At the moment I think he's going to get hit under 100k and then maybe go up. I don't think his card stats are very good. But the rest of this team a week is just okay. But there's going to be a lot of good discard investments from this team of the week. I would just be careful investing in it right now, unless it's this card. But again, that should help you guys out with some rise or fall. What's going to rise? What's going to fall? And the main thing is stay away from the really, really low rated cards. Please don't invest in them. And I would be very careful with guys like Mendy, like Militao, Sissoco, and Don Ballet. And even some guys like Sancho and Lucas. I would be very careful with those cards as well because they could take a hit before they rise back up. But I want to get this video out to you guys because a lot of people have questions on this stuff. And I want you guys to kind of understand what's going to happen with this market in the next coming days as the full game of FIFA is released to everybody. It's exciting times. Hopefully you're ready for it and hopefully your FIFA journey is starting out pretty well. If you enjoyed this video, smash the thumbs up on it. Comment down below if you have any questions. And of course, subscribe to the channel if you are new. It's been Nate, The Foot Accountant. Catch you guys later. Peace.