 at 80 minutes past 12 and a wet start to the day here in the northwest and winds are going to increase as we know through the afternoon becoming strong then this evening and there's an orange weather warning coming in for the northwest and that is from six o'clock so Alan O'Reilly from Kerala Weather joins us now Alan a second big storm in a matter of the days where what direction is this one coming from? it's pretty similar actually to Asia the last storm so it's out to the west it's going to track to the northwest the center of the storm between Ireland and Iceland but it's quite a big storm it's got a large kind of outer band and large wind field so that heavy rain is is from the outer bands of storm Jocelyn but the winds are really starting to pick up now and they'll really get going in the next few hours and then the worst of the winds will hit the west and the northwest after six o'clock when that orange warning comes into effect now the orange warning says in effect until two a.m but probably the worst of the winds are going to be between six and probably midnight but it is going to gust again over possibly 110 kilometers an hour so you're looking at you know I suppose problems and not the problems for those that areas that have still no power which is a lot of areas obviously in the west and the northwest and anything that's been weakened any trees anything maybe that's hanging on or people haven't noticed maybe is damaged then Jocelyn's going to come around and probably give it its final blow in some cases which is obviously not going to help matters the rain will ease off there will be still showers but the heaviest of rain will clear through the afternoon so the rain will be less of a problem this evening it's mainly the wind it's hard to be precise about these things but you'd be hoping that Jocelyn just won't be quite as powerful as Isha yeah no it won't be as powerful in terms of peak wind speeds and wind gusts but it's still you know compared to Isha it's probably kind of a compared to the worst storm we've had in the last year and so in its own right Jocelyn will be a significant enough storm but no compared to what has gone and we won't be seeing the ghosts of over 130 kilometers an hour most likely maybe get near to some of that on the very exposed coast but the weather models don't show the same level of winds I mean they've they've fairly clearly showed the red level winds in the north west for Isha but they're not showing this for Jocelyn but as I say it's still a significant enough storm in its own right why so many storms this season is there you know is there something bigger at play is it is it down to global warming or is it just one of them things yeah look it's a bit one of those things but certainly climate change is playing a part in terms of the intensity of the storms and the amount of moisture that they're holding and but we have seen we have seen a lot of storms in the past I think it was 2016 we got as far as k and so we have seen that in the past but we were very lucky last year we didn't get our first name storm until august and so it's kind of just weather being wetter and then on a little bit extra unfolds from climate change in terms of the the velocity and the power of these storms the jet stream has been powering them up and and the jet stream really is coming right over us again which is that conveyor about the storms and then the really cold weather in the north america that intensifies the power of the jet stream which powers up these storms and but we do look to see a bit of a break coming early days and next week because the jet stream looks to be moving more north of us and but we do have unsettled weather and a bit cooler weather coming up so it's it hasn't been nice and I think certainly the cold weather had its challenges but it's a lot easier to get out and about under blue skies and frosty weather than it is um under this kind of wind I know obviously you had snow in the north west when most of us down the rest of the country was dry and obviously that melted snow on top of the heavy rain yesterday has risen river levels quite high again so we don't see as much rain from the storm but obviously any rain fall top falling on top of flooded areas can cause problems and as you've mentioned already what could cause problems this time around is trees and structures that have already been weakened by isha yeah that's it exactly a friend of mine in in the west coast in claire uh tree just came down in his power line in the last half hour and he said like the tree had stayed during isha but now it's come down but it may well have been weakened by isha so that's exactly what you're going to see and obviously the sb crews have been doing formidable work I mean absolutely unbelievable to get back over 170,000 people reconnected but they're going to be hampered as well during this weather because obviously they can only work when it's safe to do so so that's going to obviously add delays and as they say it's not particularly cold but it's not particularly warm so you know houses start to get cold pretty quickly when you don't have a heating fan for two days so um I suppose maybe just check in on the elderly and the vulnerable if you're in an area that has no power because make sure that people are able to stay warm all right well listen thanks to that thanks to my name for taking a wee bit of time out and and giving us that update Alan appreciate it look after yourself take care