 What's up everybody welcome inside studio 34. This is the fan duel hurry up. I'm Greg Sussman happy to be back Even happy to be joined by the newly engaged Jim Sanna. It's all Jim. It's all good Greg Pretty fun past weekend, and I'm looking forward to the WGC Mexico coming up this weekend, too You know a little bit different I suppose then then engagement But still I think it's it's pretty exciting thing to get going down there to Mexico with a really fun field So I'm good. How are you doing? I'm doing well. I'm doing well Still engaged as well. So that's good And ready to rock and try to win some money in DFS golf this weekend. Hopefully it'll help me do that We'll see that's that's the plan at least we'll see absolutely the tournament the AT&T WGC Mexico Championship and we begin with one of the best players in the world if you're paying up Why is Dustin Johnson the guy to pay up for yeah? I mean when I was trying to you know look at the stats of this event I was trying really hard to find a way to not use Dustin Because it finishes the past two weeks Greg They've been okay 45th two weeks ago and then ninth this past week and you get up to a really rough start in that one too So I was like trying to find a reason not to use Dustin John's I looked at a really small sample to pass 36 rounds on fantasy national calm But even when I did that Dustin Johnson still appeared to be the class of this field the over that 36 round sample He is first or fifth in the field in distance He is ninth in approach and second in putting on poa greens which are the greens They'll be using this week down at a club day to pull the pecs So really just good across the board still in that sample and if you look back just before the past two events That was when he was at Saudi International and he won that event as well So honestly with Dustin Johnson. Yes the past two PGA tour events 45th and 9th That's not going to blow you away, but he did have that win at Saudi International And that was against a really tough field and last week over the final three rounds He was basically Dustin Johnson again So we're getting him at not the highest salary on the board that it belongs to Justin Thomas He does not have the shortest betting odds on the board either So Dustin Johnson, I kind of think I'm going back to him this weekend despite the fact the past two weekends Maybe haven't been ideal, but I think that honestly straight up. He is still the best golfer in this field Never a bad time to take Dustin Johnson You know, he is coming off a bit of a rough stretch and hey like you said It's the one of the best golfers in the world playing in this tournament. He's an obvious selection Another one of the best golfers in the world. Some of that's even ranked higher than Dustin Johnson right now It's Brooks Kepka. Kepka Johnson. How are you gonna fit both in? Yeah The blessing here Greg is that Brooks Kepka is $11,300 on Fandle whereas Dustin Johnson is 11 9 Justin Thomas is $12,000 and I think they were getting a bit of a discount on Brooks for this week Because he's been you know off playing the Euro tour living his best life and join the fact that he's a two-time major champion now So Brooks has been kind of off the radar for a while and maybe the question is does this guy care how he does at the WGC Mexico, but honestly the WGC Mexico is a pretty big event as mentioned This is a loaded field and it's kind of the events you would expect Brooks Kepka to show up for and do really well And we could have this perception that Kepka is you know trying to you know, just relax a bit before the players championship and the majors roll around but Honestly, even since January 1st, he's been golfing a little bit and has been doing pretty well He has golfed three times and that does include a 9th place finish at the Abu Dhabi Hsbc Championship pretty good field for that one if we look at Kepka in the larger sample since he returned from that wrist injury last year He has had three wins five top fives eight top tens in 21 events so the upside for this guy is just insane and you're getting that for just $11,300 he's been 26. They're better in 12 of his past 13 events So at this course at Clube Nature pool to pack I want golfers who can go along not many guys are gonna go much longer than Brooks Kepka, I think that this could be a situation where we get one of the world's best golfers at Potentially lower ownership than you would normally expect Because this field is so strong and because Kepka has bent off the DFS radar for a little bit now So for me personally, I want to buy back in on Kepka. There are some super cheap golfers I like for this weekend and there is it is a no-cut event so I can afford to take on a little bit more risk So not going Kepka for cash games. I think that rather go with someone who has been You know more engaged on the PEGA tour recently But I think for tournaments it does make a lot of sense to dive in on Kepka and try to take advantage of his upside Ah the engage guy dropping an engage line here Brooks Kepka who you know in cash games not going in that direction, but certainly in tournaments It makes sense and you mentioned how in this tournament. There's no cut These names are gonna get interesting in a bit. Yeah, absolutely I think we can we can take a little bit of risk Greg We'll have a little fun later on and it may not end well, but we'll at least give it a shot see what happens next up here in The middle tier price is just ten thousand one hundred dollars. It's Gary woodland Why is he one of your favorites this weekend? Yeah? I actually like this middle tier quite a bit Greg because it's not just Gary woodland But you've also got Tommy Fleetwood in there who was one of my favorite golfers for this weekend Patrick Cantley is ten thousand four hundred dollars But you do save a little bit of money with Gary woodland as you mentioned who is ten thousand one hundred dollars And he's also a really fun option in this tier of pricing over the past 36 rounds per fantasy national Gary woodland ranks 28th on the in the field in distance He's also fit in approach so good in the book to ball striking categories And that has led to 10 top 25 finishes in his past 12 events He has been the top 10 in seven of his past nine and part of that has been fueled by a putter Than that's better than we're normally seen from Gary woodland So you do expect at least some regression from Gary woodland as we get further and those finishes will not be as good as They have been recently But even when you take out the putting and just look at the ball striking numbers woodland still grades out really well Especially for someone who is at this salary tier at ten thousand one hundred dollars So I think if we're talking cash games, I might prefer to find the two hundred dollars Tommy Fleetwood if I'm in this range or potentially up to Patrick Cantley at ten four for tournaments I do like Francesca Molinari who is the exact same salary as Gary woodland as well But woodland has been rattling off a ton of great finishes He has the stats to back it up And I think that it's another good week to go at woodland and just kind of pepper this peer and this tier in general Around ten thousand dollars a lot to like here in this tier as you mentioned Gary woodland is where we start now We finish but certainly someone to target this weekend Another player that's in these tier that makes a lot of sense is Billy Herschel. How come he's on this list, Jim? Yeah, the salary for me Greg I think is the biggest selling point for me on Billy Herschel because he is just 9500 dollars and I think if you look at his odds his betting odds on Fandall sportsbook are pretty long and normally We do want shorter odds for a golfer in this salary tier But I think from a statistical perspective and looking at the finishes recently for Herschel I think there is still enough there to convince me that he is a guy I would want to use in this middle tier of pricing He's 9500 dollars over the past 36 rounds per fantasy national Horschel ranks 8th in the field in Strokeskin approach and Strokeskin approach is going to be the key stat You want to look at pretty much every week because so much so many person the high percentage of the shots They take are on their approach shots Horschel is graded out really well there He's not super long off the tee but he does enough off the tee to you know contend for some low scores and over the past three events Horschel has finished 25th 8th and 39th that 8th place finish came in a full field at their farmers insurance open So Horschel can you know get that upside via a good finish the floor seems pretty good as well and Honestly when I look at this this middle tier around 9500 dollars or so there aren't a lot of golfers to who really stand out to me So I think that Horschel is one of the guys in that tier who does bring me some safety Does bring a little bit of upside too So I'm probably not going to go out of my way to actively target Billy Horschel this week But it let's say I get down to my six golfer and have 9500 dollars ninety six hundred dollars available Horschel would likely be the guy I would wind up using in that scenario If that scenario plays out Horschel certainly could be a big-time play this weekend in that middle tier He's 9500 dollars lots like when it comes to Billy Horschel And now we get to the fun Jim the value plays here this week How Tom Lee is where we start? Why is that the play? Because he's really good Greg and I think that that's what I'm gonna say about how Tom Lee because a lot of these guys We see at these WGC events are not on the PGA tour very often for how Tom Lee We have not seen him since the WGC HSBC on a main slave for DFS So he's kind of been out of sight out of mind But ever since that time how Tom Lee has been racking up some really good finishes Internationally if we look at just his past 11 events regardless of what tour it has been on He has finished worse than 30th just once in that time He has been second twice in that span He also has two other fifth place finishes so playing internationally how Tom Lee has been really good And you're getting all that for a guy whose salary is 8900 dollars. He's a top 40 golfer in the world He ranks sixth in distance over the past 36 rounds per fantasy national So again, he is a guy who can go long at a course where I really would like to get that now If you look back at course history and you do value that you may go back to last year and see that how Tom Lee was roughly 30 strokes over par about that or so and that could be a little bit scary But how Tom Lee golfing really well right now and I think that I'm willing to overlook how bad he was at this event last year Because 8900 dollars does exactly what I want and has been golfing well internationally. So how Tom Lee 8900 dollars Easily my favorite play below $10,000 for this weekend Easily your favorite play Jim. Hopefully it will work out and we'll win some money instead of burning it One final golfer to go another value play and we don't like him as much as we like how it's only but we still like him And it's Yoast Loudon Everybody loves Yoast Loudon. I would hope they do Greg because this guy's $7,800 at the top of the show you asked me Greg How do we afford both Dustin Johnson and Brooks Kepkin? I think that Yoast Loudon and how and how Tom Lee are kind of the two keys to doing so because Yoast Loudon is crazy cheap $7,800 this weekend and he like you like how Tom Lee he's been golfing really well internationally of light He's been to seven events since he injured his wrist last year He returned in October in the seven events since then he has finished 27th or better in six of those events Did miss a cut in the other one But the upside has been there for Yoast Loudon in his two most recent events two recent events since January 1st for Yoast Loudon. He has finished sixth at the Saudi International and third at the Abu Dhabi HSBC We've mentioned those tournaments a couple of times here in the show because their tournaments that have really good players You know like Dustin Johnson like Brooks Kepkin and when guys like Loudon perform well there It does open quite a few eyes It seems like Loudon is fully over that wrist injury seems like he is good to go and now we get him at a low salary of $7,800 that lets you afford two studs pretty comfortably may let you get back into that 10,000 tier get a guy like Tommy Fleetwood as well So Loudon is a golfer I want to use pretty heavily in the line of sorry go stars and scrubs because he does stand out there So Loudon, I think if you really need to say some salary is going to be the surefire guy below $8,000 There you go. Yoast Loudon someone. That's cheap someone. That's hot and someone you need to get in your lineup There you go, Jim. Those are the picks. I know Frank won $2.50 last week Let's see if I can up that this week. I appreciate the time and let's do it again soon Yeah, no herald verna the third for me to trip myself up on this week So I think that's probably a good thing and we'll see how it goes and these no-cut events are always pretty fun Greg, so we'll see how it goes. Let's do it happens. Absolutely. Congratulations to you, sir And I'll talk to you soon. All right. You're looking forward to it. Thanks, Greg Absolutely. We'll take a break when we come back the top betting picks this week Let's hopefully have more Yoast Loudon back with you on the fan duel hurry up Greg Sosman Davis Maddock here and talk about some of the favorite bets of Davis's on Davis's card here this weekend any love for Yoast Loudon You know, I actually do like him I'm in general kind of looking towards some of the Euro guys this week because they're not going to be as popular Their odds are like a little bit more juiced and you know juice loud and he he's a very good putter And that deaf flink can come into play and these WGC's when like, you know You gain two extra strokes on a Sunday that can be that can mean a big paycheck. All right So we'll tell Jim you're in I like it Well, let's get to your top six bets of the week and let's start with pricing the Shambo What makes you like him this week as one of your favorite bets So I am all in on Bryson Day Shambo this week I'm buying the popular narrative that this course in Mexico Rewards guys who are really good at course management and maybe guys who have played this course on a golf simulator Many times which is something that Bryson owns in his private residence and the fact that it's not a sheer Bombers track also kind of goes in his favor But in general long irons strokes gain approaching the green strokes gained around the green That's really Bryson's game and the price at at 16 to 1. It's not great But you know, I just think Bryson wins this tournament I am I will have him in all formats that you can get money down on golf this week Bryson is my guy Lot to love with Bryson Day Shambo this week and what he puts in to every tournament. That's why he's Davis's favorite bet Up next we continue on with a Rafa Cabrera bellow who finished 30 or just last season Can he finish first this weekend? I think that he probably can these events are generally won by more Prestige golfers and really what it is at these WG field WGC fields there's about 70 to 75 guys and When you remove half the field a lot of that win equity gets pushed up towards the top But a guy like RCB when his game is good when he is putting well and when he's gaining strokes Approaching the green his game is really about as good as kind of anyone else in the whole world of golf And I like to take him when he's in good form He's kind of a guy that I he's a little bit of a money pit for me over the years But his strokes gained approaching the green is something that really intrigued me this week And I like to take him in good form And as I mentioned I am giving a little bit of credence to the Euro guys this week because in general I like their prices more than their American counterparts fair enough and that's a good explanation and why maybe a good bet at 50 to 1 this weekend Well next we go to Tony Finau who is 33 to 1 this weekend and the odds tell a big-time story Every time you guys have me on this show I just I have to I have to tout my boy Tony Finau everything about His game is just like 10% worse than everyone who's the best at golf in the world if you if you looked at his stats, he would just look like a discounted version of Justin Thomas of Rory McElroy and You know, he's actually deeper in this field at 33 to 1 then he was the last two weeks on this show when I did recommend him It's a stronger field, but the fact that there's not a cut I like that about his game as well And I don't have any doubts about his ability to be a closer or to gain strokes on a Sunday if he is in Contention so 33 to 1 if I'm gonna come on and recommend him at 20 to 1 I have to come on and suggest that he's a play at 33 to 1 as well Tony Finau's your boy And I hope every week we continue to talk about Tony Finau and I'm hoping he wins soon that that would be helpful Coming up next it is Louie Oostason who has three top seven finishes in his last four starts who stays in hot Can he continue the streak this weekend? Well, unfortunately, he's not mega hot because he missed the cut last week But his numbers from those rounds actually suggest that he wasn't as bad as the overall performance suggested He was still gaining strokes off the tee. He was still gaining strokes around the green And he just he putted pretty horribly Louie is another guy kind of like RCB when the game is going well I like to ride him and yeah And as referenced by the fact that he has three top seven in his last three of his last four starts When that when the game is going he's going to be close to contending and Louie is also He's one of those guys who's motivated by the paycheck So the 1.7 billion dollar first place here at the WGC Mexico Definitely leads me to to putting Louie on the card fair enough Louie obviously deserves the spot And hopefully we can ignore everything that happened in that last start and remember the three before that Which were obviously much better Another player to look at this week and these honestly just a much better golfer than any of these guys It's Justin Thomas who's nine to one to win this thing finish second and fifth and these two starts previously at this event He's one of the best golfers in the world makes an obvious good bet this week So there are a couple different ways to approach short field tournaments And generally it would be picking one of the favorites and Justin actually leads the betting markets this week Or it would be a more scattershot approach where you're taking some of the 40 to one on 50 to one 60 to one guys I've already given away my strategy for the week where I'm going pretty heavy on Bryson at 16 to one But if I was not doing that JT I think pretty clearly not only deserves to be leading the betting markets But I think he might even be short at end of one He's gaining in between six to eight strokes per round on approach Which is just like it's those are absolutely unheard of numbers relative to the field especially to be done consistently So his game really is kind of in the best place that it's been since that towards Street two years ago He could have won last Sunday if not for a couple blow-up spots And I want to ride the wave on on JT. I he's not a guy to fade when the irons are hot There enough ride the hot hand with the best player in the world potentially in Justin Thomas One last bet to get to and you it's Keegan Bradley at 120 to one Why is this the long shot pick of the week? So this is the exact opposite of the Justin Thomas Bryson Day-Shambo strategy You'd add Keegan to your card if you already had Rafa Cabrera Bale if you already had Louie and you were just trying to capture more of the overall field at a good return The the things about Keegan are you're not worried about him closing You're more worried about the middle of the event and you're worried about him posting an 80 on Friday But in an event where there's not a cut that it will minimize a little bit of the damage of a bad round that Keegan can always post and You know sort of like Finau his numbers are just you know 15% worse than the best golfers in the world off the tee Approaching the green around the green the thing that Keegan can't do is but but when you get him in a shorter field at 125 to one that the thought process is basically if he has a good putting round He's more like a 40 to one golfer So it's kind of just a wager based on the idea that he's likely more likely than not to have a good putting round at that price Jim Nantz favorite Keegan Bradley gets in there on Davis's card, which means he should be on your card as well There you have it not only all the DFS picks from Jim Sannes, but the six best bets on Davis Maddox card You know, you got to put those in and win some cash Davis. Thanks so much for the time. We appreciate it Thanks for having me guys. Absolutely. We'll see you next week tomorrow We you know, we'll be back with some more on the Fandall hurry up I'm Greg Saussman for Davis Maddox and Jim Sannes. Thanks so much for joining us