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Kind of second monsoon onset over Kerala on 11-Sep

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Published on Sep 8, 2017

At present the low-level circulation can be seen over S Bay. At 700hpa (mid-levels) there's a East-West wind shear zone seen from SE-corner arabian sea to SE Bay embedded with a circulation over S Bay.
This scenario is typical of last week of May month just before the SW Monsoon pushes north into Bay and Arabian sea,
During next 42hrs, this S Bay circulation is expected to come close to central-coast Tamilnadu.
On Sunday, the circulation is expected is expected to push into SE-corner Arabian sea [OR] this East-west shear line may pop a fresh circulation along Kerala coast after the Tamilnadu coast circulation fizzles out.
Once a circulation pops out along Kerala coast, May be on Monday.
It'll be like a second Monsoon onset for S,central Kerala and for S-tip Tamilnadu. Heavy rain ahead

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