 Welcome to Toffy TV, it is the match preview Everton vs Newcastle United. 12.30 kick off at Gullison on Saturday afternoon. For me, Baz, this is a game that we simply must win if we want to do anything this season. These are the games that we must win. I'd like us to win them comfortably as well if we could, but these are the games that we must win. Definitely. If we've got Europa League or your Champions League aspirations or anything else, these are the games that you have to win. I feel like we own Newcastle big time for the game at Gullison a year ago, and the game, probably our worst performance of the season as a whole, was at Newcastle in November. So, yeah, it's a game we have to win, they're not in a good moment, and we are, so it's about being able to take advantage of that. It's a home game against, you know, and our home form hasn't been very good this season, let's be honest, so we have to make sure we get the three points at the weekend. Yeah, they've come in, obviously they've come in, they're not on a great run. They've had problems, obviously, they had the whole Covid thing before Christmas, and I think that's had a real effect on them, they're only just getting players back now after that. But still, I still don't look at them and think they've got a great side, they've got a few good players, I think Maxim's back now isn't he, so he's a good player. When we were up to the air place, obviously we had players missing that day and we never really went after them at all, you know, we sort of tried to play a little bit defensively and maybe grab a goal late and it just went against us, they got a, obviously a fortunate penalty and then he hit us on the break to get the second goal. We really felt like if we'd had a real goal on that day, we would have beaten them, but that's what I'd like to see on Saturday, that's what I'd like to see, I'd like to see us have a real goal with them, I mean it's been difficult because I know what will happen, they'll come to Gullison and they'll try and get men behind the board and they'll say breakers down and they'll sign it as on the break, like we do. So it will be difficult, but you know, if Hamas Rodríguez and Ray Charlison and Dominic Arven-Lewin, you know, when Luca Dean is up, then we should beat them as far as I'm concerned, we should have enough to beat them and if we don't then you'll have to put it down to the players because you'd imagine the manager is going to have to send in the players out with that as well because it isn't a game where we can do what we've done in the last few years. We have to go and try and take it to them and we've lost games like Leeds and West Ham at home where the opposition have done this and we've not had enough and we've not looked like we've had the ideas to break them down. We've got the cori back, which is a huge bonus, but we've got to really have a go at them and see if we can do something in this game which leaves them behind basically. Yeah, we'll have to change our approach most definitely. We can't, there's no point going into this one and just sitting back and expecting them to come at us and keep the ball because they'll do the same. You know I'm sure Steve Bruce, he's just got four more editing numbers, two Grimes Jones in this week as well, I haven't even castled in the lamp yesterday and their plan will be very much coming stifled us. I don't think they'll learn too much in the last game because we didn't offer it much offensively, but from an evident perspective I don't expect a manager will play the four centre backs in this one. I think it's the wrong decision if he does and then we have to be a little bit more attacking, so I'd expect Llew Gideon to go back into the back four and then in midfield, like you said, add the line of the cori's back, which is a big huge boost for us and it will be a case of getting on it and getting at them and getting in front and if we can get in front against them, you know we can win the game. Obviously Vitalison didn't play off at St James's Park and we missed him badly. So hopefully, I mean he's not in a good moment as he's in a form at the minute, he looks like he's struggling with all sorts, but he's still a threat, he can still get a goal and we'll need him at the weekend because they are there for the taking. Yeah, they've only picked up eight points away from home, not a great between. At home, the other night, they got by the leads 2-1, they played Callum Wilson up front who's obviously a threat, Ryan Wilson behind him and then two banks of four, obviously Ryan Fraser, sorry we'll move between the lines, very functional. Obviously very, you know we've seen it last year didn't we? I mean we were getting beat 2-0 and he threw two centre backs on to try and get something out of the game and he did, which was a horrendous night, but that's the bruce way isn't he? He's not a tactical dynamo is he? Do you know what I mean? He knows what he wants, he wants to try and keep it tight and it seems on the break and with Fraser and Wilson he probably feels like he's got something there to do that, but we've got a beat side like Newcastle you've just got to and again that's not like me sitting here being disrespectful, they're not a good side. They're an average Premier League team, that's all they are and that's the league table and now the struggling, they're normally halfway up on the 13th to between the 10th and 13th maybe, but they're not playing very well, the struggling, you know Steve Bruce hasn't had loads of money to spend, the struggling and it's a bad effort in being able to go out and prove they're a better side and we'll only do that by and we will work hard because we do work hard, there's a level of consistency and there's evidence side now, it's not as creative as we'd all like it, it's not as attacking as we'd all like it, but with when you've got hammers and you've got, don't forget hammers didn't play, she's neat didn't play, Newcastle had her and that's who won the feature, when you've got hammers you've got the Charleston, you've got the Calvallun, you've got Leucadine like you said, you've got Abdelai Decora, you've got players who will get in and around the penalty area, you know what I mean? I think if the manager plays a 4-3-3 with Dean back in that back 4 and then a midfield, I guess he'll be probably something like Tom Davis Decora and maybe Guilfee Sigarton or Andre Gomez, one of those two with the three further ahead then that's attacking, that's an attacking side and it's a team that will and should be good enough to beat Newcastle United, but again like in so many Premier League games the first goals key and I think even though we got it against Leicester it was an error for him, a goal key with that cost us that one I think if we can get it here it means they have to come out a little bit more which means there'll be more space for Domin for the Charleston you know and then maybe a Wobie to come on, I mean is this a game where I haven't watched the pragmatic approach in the Leicester game and very much a defender of mind at Evans because it was, is this a game where a midfield of a Wobie, Davis and Decora could be one to look for? If you think you can set up with three of Tom Davis Gomez and Rodriguez against Leicester, if you feel like you can do that then why can't you set up with Decora, Davis and James Rodriguez in a game against Newcastle? I could see a situation where a Wobie played centre because don't forget his best performance, I know what you're saying you'll get more protection if he's over on the right and he runs with the ball which means James is free, but I also think there's a, his best, Wobie's best game for us has been in the centre bit as well, the centre of the park I guess. A problem is though, problem is, but then with Hamers coming in. Hamers will just drift in there anyway, where you need at least one of them and a Wobie's done all right off the right and I can't imagine him standing off the right with Charleston off the left and putting Dean back at left back and you know one of them playing right back had to be Holgate or Ben Coffey and then you've got three centre backs in your back four, you've got the protection of Tom Davis and Decora, Tom Davis won't move, he'll sit in front and then you've got Hamers and Rodriguez going where he wants. With Charleston, Dominic Arwell and a Wobie and really you know you should have enough then, enough protection and it will cost them problems. Yeah of course and that is that first goal isn't it because like you just said there, you go behind and say like Newcastle you know what they're going to do, they're going to dig in, they're going to make it frustrating and they've also got that because then they have got a threat on the break as well if you're over extending yourself. Whereas if you get the first goal against them you know they're going to have to come out then. Our own record's not great because we're not a team that's found it easy to break teams down that have done that. We've had much luck against, I promise you, going to go bright in teams you don't know how to defend. Now they're open football to the pool, another one. They don't defend you. They don't defend the shot certainly after Van Dyck went off and whereas teams like Leeds and Westam have come and have been organised, Man United were organised at the back, we found it more difficult. I mean the Leeds and Westam game were almost, I mean the Leeds game was mad because it was like a game of basketball wasn't it? But we had two goals this allowed that on another day would have stood and we missed good opportunities and they did as well don't get me wrong Leeds did but in both that game and the Westam game it was just one moment for them. He decided some of their opportunities, Raphina scored from outside the box, she scored against Newcastle of course in midweek and the Westam game was 86th minute, a lucky deflection and Shutech put it in and it was like that and you don't want to get to that stage with this. Ideally for everything we would get a goal in the first 20-25 minutes and really settle everyone down. I think the one thing we haven't really done this season particularly at home anyway is be able to get a couple of goals up in the first half and then be able to dictate the play with the ball you know what I mean? Even though we put five past West Brom, at Godderson it was the second half, we put four past Brighton, we only really got away from them in the second half. Since then Liverpool we come from behind twice and the other games we won't, Chelsea we scored in the first half and El Ddon Arsenal we scored both goals in the first half. So it is a case for us we have to be that little bit more adventurous because they won't be, I don't think and why should they be? If you were Steve Bruce coming to Godderson you'd be saying listen, it's just sitting, we've seen West Ham do it, we've seen other teams get success doing it. Make it difficult and let's see if they've got enough to break us down and then wait for a set piece. And then you get a set piece or you get a break where they give the ball away and you can get it quickly up to Fraser or you can get it up to Calum Wilson on the run, we might get in and get something. And that's what it's about and for Everton it's about being able to dictate the play in this because I think we will have more of the ball in this one. I'd be amazed if we have less than 60% possession in this one but it's what you do with it. That's it, possession is not always being our friend, in games it's gone against us and they do carry a threat on the break and that's what we've got to watch out for. People like Shelby, he can bang them in from 20 yards if you're giving space. You've got St. Maxim like you said before, he's suffering from Covid, he's been struggling for months with it. But he's fitting in the team, he'll still carry a threat so you've got to be wary of them. It's about what we do. I think we just got to keep banging on the door and keep going no matter what and don't get into the old page which we have when we have possession is where we start to look clueless. We start to look like we've run out of ideas. I think we've got to keep on, if there's something happening, even it's like nil nil, we've just got to keep doing it and don't lose sight of that because we have got good players who can score goals. I think we need to get more shots. I think what you have to do in these games is you have to make, because the crowd aren't there as well because it's no coincidence that our home record is nowhere near as good as it's been for years. There's no crowd there. Again, I always follow it up with our away forms better probably because there's no crowd there. But what you have to do in these games is, as the home team, you have to make the away team feel uncomfortable, feel like they're under pressure. You know, we watched the Leicester game this weekend although they weren't creating loads of chances. It was waves wasn't it because we kept giving the ball away because you feel like they're on top. It didn't slow the game down to the point where you need the teams on top. That's when you can get caught. So I want to see us having more attention this one. I want to see we should be getting up to 20 attempts. Move the ball quicker. Move the ball quicker and if it's, listen if we're trying, we love getting crosses in. But if, you know, the centre backs these, you've got to deal them with them and have to go another way. Get the ball into Hammerswood Reeks, higher up the pitch and start. And maybe that's why, maybe that's why he should look at a woby once he's had a talent and he'll know it's Hammers in the 10. Hammers playing the almost gilfy cigarettes and roll that, gilfy's being playing. Pour him near and after two, more industrial midfielders. You know, Davieson D'Corey behind and get Llewchardine involved and make them after think there's going to be a couple of different ways we attack. Cos if it's just with dom, centre, we're just throwing an aimless cross isn't it? And oh, listen Dean, put a great cross isn't it? But if that's all we're relying on and it was kind of all we relied on at St James's Park and again we didn't have Llewchardine at day either, they dealt with most that and it was only really when a woby come on and we got a goal that they were hanging on at the end. And you know, and that's what we've got to do with this one. A woby does, he does change the point of attack because he's not, he's got different ways of playing. His cross isn't brilliant so he tries to keep it on the floor as well doesn't he so. It's a game, you've said it and without the risk of repeating ourselves it's a game that we have to win and we should win. I'm not going to put quotes and faxing that absolutely to you things, but this one last season's Premier League meeting between Everton and Newcastle, at St James's Park of Florian Lejeune scored two goals in the 90th minute. It's the first time a player had done that in an away match since 2001 when Gus Poye scored two at Davy. Everton have lost one of their last eight Premier League games, things West Ham. Not mentioning Newcastle's one, I'm not mentioning that one either. In the first nine Premier League games this season Everton can see the 16 goals from 42 shots on target. Face 38%, shipping at least twice, seven times. In the last nine games they've conceded just six goals from 32 shots, 19%. Just four of Newcastle's 19 Premier League goals this season have been scored in the first half. Both a league low total and 21%. Newcastle had 22 shots, five on target in their 200 feet against Leeds last time out. Most in the Premier League in the season and more than the Magpies have managed in three previous league games combined. Dominic Alvalumin has scored in each of his last four Premier League appearances against Newcastle scoring five goals. The last player to score in five consecutive games against the Magpies was Sergio Aguero. I mean, looking at them, it's obviously weighted in Everton's favour but it means nothing. Before we go, does he change the goalkeeper? I would, I would, especially after the mistake and especially who we're playing. The fact is he's been sort of rotating the goalkeeper so it won't be that much of a big decision. I mean he gave Robin Olsen his debut at Newcastle from nowhere. I personally I would because I just think it calms everything down and then give pick for the... But it's also a message to him and everyone else. That won't be, that can't be tolerated. It can't be no, it's not acceptable and we all, that's what we have to do so. Do you go? Let us know your thoughts in the comments on this one. Would you drop Pickford? Would you bring Olsen into the side or would you leave it as it is? And would you go really offensive in this game and put Newcastle to the side anyway? Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Give this video a like, subscribe if you haven't already and if you want more great videos join us on page and the link is just down there. See you later.