 Welcome to the final week of the PGA tour season It all comes down to this all those events way back in the fall all through the summer the spring the swing seasons The the coastal swings all of that comes down to the tour championship at Eastlake golf club There are tons of quirks. Well, I guess not tons But there there are quirks due to the format this this week with modified scoring entering the Weekend we have golfers starting as low as 10 under par With last week's winner Patrick Cantlay breaking records with his putting Tony Finoe eight under Bryson the Schiambos seven under John Rom six under and so that's kind of why these guys separate themselves In terms of the betting odds, but we'll get there. I need to intro the show first This is the Fandle PGA Q&A For this week's PGA tour event. I'm your host Brandon Edoula managing editor over at number fire calm I can find all my content over there for the tour championship. I have win simulations. I have my Fandle DFS picks. I got a course primer going over the course some hole-by-hole stuff in terms of length Key stats all that is over at number fire calm and then As always Jim Sonnes and I go over the field in our heat check daily fantasy podcast that comes out every Tuesday morning There's a lot to go over this week in terms of gaming theory because of the modified start For this week's event so if you have any questions because this is a Q&A format get those in on YouTube Facebook Twitter or Twitch and They can be about my win simulations. They can be about Game theory the course whatever you would like because this is the Q&A. I'm here to answer whatever questions you have So I'm gonna start as I always do by going over the field getting kind of a lay of the land in terms of who's here And what that means and of course is of the tour championships. So we're down to the final 30 for this week John Ron Patrick can't lay the co-favorites at plus 380 to win outright on Fandle sports book Bison the Shambo 5 to 1 Tony Finao plus 650 and then a huge teardrop to Justin Thomas at 18 to 1 DJ Rory Cam Smith all 22 To one and so that goes back to that top four We really have to figure out what we're doing with those guys this week again Patrick can't lay Incredible win good for us. We were in on Patrick can't lay. Hopefully you joined in on that last week Just a phenomenal playoff putting performance really four rounds of the best putting we've basically ever seen Since we've had stroke scan data He's gonna start 10 under so that gives him a two-shot lead over everybody else He doesn't have a 10-shot lead on the field like it's not quite how it works obviously, but Two shots better than Tony Finaw again, who's plus 650 three shots over Bryson at plus 500 and then Four shots over John Rom, but despite that John Rom listed as a co-favorite with Patrick can't lay And that might sound a little crazy, but it's really not and we'll get there But I'm gonna jump in to the actual course first so we kind of know What it is we're looking for for this week, but again if you have any questions hit up that YouTube chat Facebook Twitter or Twitch But for now, I'm gonna go over some key stats some key info for Eastlake Golf Club I'm gonna jump over to the GCSA page. This just has You know the kind of nitty-gritty about the course on to par 70 We're gonna run us 7,300 on almost 50 yards there average green size just over 6,000 square feet which is about average for the PGA tour at least in my database Has about 50 50 of the most common courses 50 of the most recent courses I should probably say but a lot of the more common ones popping up in there obviously So about average green size and those greens are Bermuda for this week So if you're looking into putting splits, which I definitely do recommend with you know so much variants for You know putting it never hurts to separate out Especially with just 30 golfers to look at who the best Bermuda putters are and we can go over some of them Based on the data from Fantasy National There have been some renovations here recently 2008 2016, but back in 2020 they removed some of the trees We talked about that a little bit on the the heat check podcast earlier today on Tuesday that didn't really change a whole lot For what we're kind of honing in on and what what should be we be honing in on at Eastlake? Well I like to start here with this data golf tool that shows variation in scoring 34% of the variation in scoring comes From strokes gain approach to your irons Compared to 15.6 percent for off the T and 14 percent Around the green which is basically tour average for all of those stats and then putting Just a tiny bit more In terms of what's explained scoring dispersion at Eastlake So for me that means iron play is crucial Because it is the most important you can buy an off the tee and around the green stuff approach Virtually always outweighing both of those in terms of how guys actually separate for The event at Eastlake now if you look here You'll see that Dustin Johnson won a year ago despite posting an 11 under score and Xander Schaafland was runner-up At 15 under that's because DJ won the net competition. He started 10 under Xander won the gross 72 hole Competition which matters for official world golf rankings, but not for your FedEx cup And your purse there, but Xander great performance in 2020 and he also had a great performance back in 2019 finishing runner-up only to Rory McElroy and Xander has the best form at Eastlake according to data golf Which adjusts her field strength Rory McElroy is up there too Justin Thomas as well and then Billy Horschel who has minimum salary and Billy Horschel has some interest for me because This is again, we got Bermuda Bermuda greens, which he's good on but also According to data golf driving accuracy gets a pretty sizable boost over the tour average for this week's event So hitting fairways typically not always enough for a PGA tour Events but at Eastlake we have seen that matter Horschel, you know good at finding fairways good at putting on Bermuda So it makes sense that he gets a bit of a boost here And if you look at the relative importance of these stats this week Everything's kind of downgraded aside from accuracy now That doesn't mean that we just want to roster the most accurate golfers There's more to it than that but golfers who are not long off the tee aren't necessarily cross-offs for this week, which is good news because we only have 30 golfers and Patrick Reed may or may not play out. I don't I don't quite know yet and We have Stewart Sink in the field so probably 29 or 28 golfers But that's good news for someone like Billy Horschel and one of the coolest things about this course fit tool for data golf as they show Who gets the biggest boost at a particular course? Playing in that field that week Corey Connors number one because he's hyper accurate not long at all Conor more a cow a super accurate somewhat long, but definitely someone who finds a lot of fairway same with a banter Sung J. M Billy Horschel and Victor Hauvin So I'm gonna stick actually with Sung J and Horschel just because they kind of fit something that I was starting to overlook because 30 golfers you're looking at The starting scores and how that affects things but for me I mean you got to realize so a fairway finders course and it's a Bermuda course and at any other week We would be bumping up Sung J. M who had a great showing last week with that third place finish Also, Billy Horschel because they kind of hit those specialist checklists also same for Daniel Berger to some degree as just a good Bermuda putter who benefits from a Fairway fairway finders course and then also Harris English who doesn't quite get a boost here But someone who you would typically want to bump up in those conditions. I have a question here on YouTube from Clint Should I load up with top tier in one value play or spread it out? That's a great question So I went back through the past two optimal line-ups From the tour championship since we've had And forgive me. These aren't formatted great. I just kind of threw them together But I went through the past two optimals We've had since we have turned over to this modified start format and if the question is a balanced approach or You know top and bottom heavy It has skewed a little bit more top and bottom heavy for these optimals in 2019 I'll just filter more specifically so we can kind of see that We had Brooks Kepke Roy McElroy and Xander Shafley starting in the top six in terms of their starting score and Then Adam Scott Paul Casey At you know three and two under and then Shes Reevee starting one under so he was that you know tied for 21st So it was you know two to three of the studs You know and then virtually three three value plays and then in 2020 We had Dustin Johnson who was saluted 14,400 We don't have anyone like that this year He would be but DJ was super hot In 2020 entering the 2020 tour championship He held on to win the net competition is Xander started way back at you know three under And he ended up winning that 72 whole gross scoring competition JT was up there, but again. We had that one of those value plays starting You know we had Ches Reevee at one under and then we have Mackenzie Hughes starting at even par So if you basically look we've got two ish studs And then two golfers in two to three golfers in that like 11 to 16 and then just the one value golfer Now one thing that's important to keep in mind is that What for one value golfer to get in the optimal lineup in a format like this? we're kind of just cherry picking because 10 of the 30 golfers would fit into that bucket so 20 of the 60 golfers here over the past two years and Just one of them each made it so you know it is possible to have these guys climb and that's what we've seen in the optimal line-ups, but You don't want to get too Overconfident with too many low-end guys starting at you know one or one under par or even par But with the great value plays that we do have this year. I'm pretty drawn to it But I'm gonna say at least one value play Kind of makes a lot of sense for this week and then just because I have this here Just a bit of a snapshot We've actually seen you know DJ win at 10 under on the actual event and then Rory back in 2019 win But it was Rory and Xander Who led in Fandall points? So it's just a reminder that you know We want to probably lock in John Rom and Patrick Cantlay at the top Quinn's asking me who my two subs are and it's John Rom and Patrick Cantlay Because they're hyper accurate for for some of the bigger hitters and I'll feature them in just one second, but you don't So that can't lay So this would be can't lay phenol Bryson Rom This would be cam Smith You don't have to assume that those guys are going to lead the field in Fandall points Most likely they are because they get that advantage, but that's not necessarily the case Someone like Rory made the surge No, we do see that you know these golfers typically do finish Well, I would say the small sample here You know, I'm not saying avoid Tony Fiena because he's eight under and avoid John Rom because he's six under and they haven't typically ranked that well That's just a sample size thing if I bucketed these it would look a little bit more consistent, but you typically see some chalk Outside of the the heavy favorites. So you're gonna expect probably, you know the top four You know not just can't land wrong But also Bryson possibly Tony Fiena to be pretty significantly popular on Fandall, but from the scoring perspective You want birdies and you want guys who can climb? So we have those in the field this week So because I mentioned my two studs. That's a great question question from Clint. I'm gonna jump over to my finder here It has the top five guys in terms of Fandall salary for the week Really, it's these four and then it's a teardrop to JT at eleven five. He's starting You know four under par can't lay again ten under which is it seems like an impossible gap to make up I mean, I did kind of promise that I would explain why John Rom starting four shots back and having a higher salary is still justifiable It's because you know this year He's about point seven shots per round better than can't lay over the past year in my database Which adjusts for recency and field strength if you kind of narrow that down to six months or three months He's at least a shot one one point two five shots better than can't lay so rom kind of has Just the best path to caching in His floor and ceiling I would say even though can't lay starting out ahead So for me rom is the number one play followed by can't lay it now I know they're the two most like the two highest salary golfers in the field That's okay, because I don't really want to chase Bryson too much or Tony Fee now who Bryson's actually in the 0th percentile, so it is a spreadsheet error here, but These guys all pretty poor in terms of hitting fairways and again, so there's a lot more to Driving than just hitting fairways. We know Bryson doesn't care about that. He's gonna gain distance obviously best Longest driver in the field, but you can get distance from John Rom. You can get distance to some degree from Patrick can't lay And also have some semblance of fairways hit So jumping back actually to data golf Bryson to shambo gets the biggest Negative boost for this week Bob, you know Jordan speed up there too at a negative point to DJ Fee now JT Brooks also getting a bit of a Negative impact and yes, Patrick County's down there. I understand that but John rom basically baseline here Which is why John rom for me. I just is the number one. I want you to account for The course that they are playing on Clint is asking roster Louie. We stays in So I'm probably not going to We haven't seen Louie. He's been withdrawing. I don't think you have to Because we have so many options here and it's actually been hard to narrow things down So the players in green are the ones that I'm most heavily targeting But for Louie, I mean he rates out well in this one number stat here It's my what I call my combo model. It takes into account your long-term form Over the past year, which again waits for recency and field strength It looks at the the stats that I'm waiting in for this week Louie really good putting right now Not so good off the tee And it accounts for this week for your starting position So I would say Louie's a great tournament play, but for me process wise I would much rather just play Or more cowa Find that salary or if you really can't I'm cool going down to Sung J. M. Who I was lukewarm on At best honestly, I don't know. I'm kind of saying that I was in on Sung J I really wasn't because I didn't look close enough at the numbers But his ball striking is training up, but I also like Brooks Kapka a ton because first place 15 million dollars Brooks, you know This isn't a major, but I think that you know chasing down everyone would really do Wonders for Brooks and his mentality because you know, and I don't really typically talk about that stuff I look just more at the data But Brooks has been on record and just said like he doesn't really try that hard sometimes and it takes the right It takes the right event for Brooks to be totally engaged. I don't know what you know, what else could really You know me make you be engaged other than these giant checks at the top of the leaderboard So I would say Brooks Sung J more cow and Hovland all over Louie for me just because the unknown and I would have to think that Louie is a top tier elite tournament play because Everybody's probably thinking the same thing. I am just trying to stay away from Louie for this week question on Facebook from Ralph best best option in bottom 10 so Kind of a lot for this week. So bottom 10 specifically is Hedekie and Hedekie on down But I'm gonna go with Daniel Berger I think Sergio Garcia is very much in play, but I will highlight Daniel Berger here. I saw go Connors Berger Neiman I'll just do I don't need to pull up everyone, but it's gonna be Daniel Berger for me Um, I threw this in here. So the formatting's rough. So forgive me on that, but Daniel Berger For me and then Corey Connors as well So Berger starting at even par doesn't really have a lot of wind juices Jim and I like to say but Elite Tee to Green I would say that that we can count as an elite This is one of the few weeks where percentiles may be a little bit more confusing because we're it's only 30 golfers, but I'm not changing around the whole sheet Elite elite iron play and that's what you want to see always and he's someone who again if this were a larger field Maybe a fewer stuff. So like let's say Planet East Lake Full field not necessarily all of the superstars. You'd say hey Daniel Berger hits fairways and he putts well on Bermuda I know he's only 55 percentile here over the past 100 rounds, but gains point one five which you definitely would enjoy and I'm gonna pull up data golf's true true strokes game query because over the past three months Berger is ninth and their true strokes gained which is their adjusted strokes game Which is you know, I have my own but this sometimes it's a little bit easier to pull because of the the sortable time frame here But third Tee to Green second in approach For him and if you even scale that back to the past six months, which is a larger sample Which is what we should probably trust still rates out. Well seventh there In Tee to Green second in approach and he's a good putter, but he hasn't really been putting particularly well Screens regression. I know that he's got a lot of ground to make up But again going back over those optimal lineups We've seen golfers in that in in that value tier with one under and starting at even par Just make a surge and there's really no reason that can't be Daniel Berger And a lot of that also kind of applies to Sergio Garcia Great Tee to Green put it together with a putter last week, which is not something that you can always bank on But I would say Connors right up there as well. We just have these good ball strikers. So I'm gonna say Berger first Connors Garcia For me are the top three in the in the bottom In the bottom 10 for this week Okay, so one tier that I have not particularly Honed in on from a discussion standpoint because again my my favorite studs this week are Ramen can't lay for sure Because of the the fairways that they hit and just my win simulation model prefers them pretty substantially once you factor in the winning Or the starting Scores for them. I'm kind of dangerously gonna be under exposed to this elite tier here Just because I don't think I don't think anyone's really over Salaried this week, but I do think that not everyone is as good of a value like there's not one golfer I would say you know because at the top if you just sort by salary see Rory and Xander are the two outliers in terms They're starting score So we're not seeing you know anyone like an abe answer. He is not 11 9 just because he's four under anything like that So I don't really see a whole lot of like complete obvious stay aways I think everyone is kind of salaried fairly but this tier here And I kind of touched on it with Louie like I have almost interest in every one of these golfers I'm sure Louie who I've been on plenty is going to be the one out of here who Just just goes nuts, but Abraham answer ranks third in my stats You know form combo model whatever you want to call it here again great fairways number One of the most accurate drivers we have good putter on Bermuda It's not elite, but it's still a positive number, which is what you want to see Harris English someone else that you would want to target again bump up on of course that that Rewards fairways hit and putting on Bermuda Sam Burns not super accurate, but any elite Bermuda putter Hasn't really shown any reason to be concerned For me and he's starting four under Collin Moore Coward Victor Hovland like you can build a balanced lineup this week That's not what the optimals have really shown now the optimals are no I mean, especially with golf notoriously nitpicky because you know if if you take If you take a chance on you know these nine guys or whatever Odds are one of them is gonna, you know go off, but if you guess wrong on the three that you pick It's gonna be a struggle Potentially to make up ground But for me, I'm again Focusing on ramen can't lay I'm gonna probably roster one golfer per lineup in this tier Specifically again that the guys highlighted and then you probably also throw a Billy Horschel in there And then round it out with this tier rather than trying to get back up to the Rory Speeth DJ JT phenel Bryson tier For this week again, you guys have any other specific questions just let me know in the YouTube Facebook Twitter twitch chats Number two my win simulation model which you know that the odds are all They're all kind of weird here Because we have you know favorites at you know plus 380 The model hates Bryson, but it just does For this week for me I think it's because Bryson gets dinged a lot at a course that doesn't demand distance and I talk about this a lot anytime we see a course where driving Driving accuracy gets rewarded that just naturally increases variance because for the sole fact that the shorter hitters Aren't disqualified like they're not they're not losing strokes to the field automatically just by being short So you're just ingesting more golfers with a chance to win and then if you if you go back and look at the Gross scores so without that net adjustment You know, we've seen historic ladies like like 1200 to 1500 and that's enough scoring to keep these golfers in the mix It's whenever these what's whenever courses play close to par that you see the best separate because they got to grind it out Whole after whole so Eastlake doesn't really rate out that way so for me Bryson is a clear avoid Same for Fino. I love Tony Fino, but I'm just not gonna get there I think he's overvalued the model thinks he's overvalued because that eight under start Rom a little bit undervalued But it's it's Patrick can't land with that four-shot lead who just wins a Quarter of the time based on the simulation so I can kind of get behind that which is why again That also is playing into a while it can't land rom Specifically, and I think that they're not necessarily overvalued compared to Fino and Bryson who definitely get dinged From a course setup standpoint. I like Cam Smith. Even though he's basically an even break even value for me in in the model Cam Smith starting five under we can see him make a lot of birdies 97% Sorry came over the past 50 rounds On tour, I'd have interest in Abe answer as well Victor Hovland, but one name that's gonna rate out poorly probably having looked as Brooks Kepka Brooks always rates out poorly in the model because it factors in all of his rounds and Brooks again is not always engaged in his rounds and he says that So I'm probably gonna cap it here at like 50 to 1 Just the win equity of the golfers. I mean, it's always fun to talk yourself into You know a 101 Scotty Schaeffler, but I'm not gonna do that this week with my outright So I'm fine betting someone like Schaeffler as a top 10, but not for an outright for me for this week It just doesn't necessarily make sense because if you go back and look It's not that they got to run down just Patrick Cantlay. It's you know, again I'm not super in on Tony Fino and Bryson, but they're up there rom Cam Smith this tier at four under You got to get past them. So for me, I'm gonna try to keep it a little bit more You know from 50 and shorter in terms of my outright win bets, but Cam Smith for sure Probably gonna be Where I start my like again, there's my motto says there's value and Patrick can't lay I'm probably not gonna bet that at plus 380 very often Just the way that I am I'm gonna I'm gonna start my card with Cam Smith most likely I would consider Jordan Spieth, but he gets dinged pretty heavily at this course as well So I'm not super in on the idea of anchoring lineups to Jordan Spieth But more cow and Victor Hoffman definitely some longer shots without getting too crazy again Xander made a push Rory won from five under as well So I think that we don't necessarily have to feel locked in to these top four guys with our win bets or even our fandal lineups But again, I am kind of locked myself in to a lot of John Rom and Patrick Cantlay for this week But Let's oh and one thing I wanted to pull up was just some golfers who rank well in terms of Fairways gain so we'll do at least 50th percentile on the fairways game and then Bermuda putting Actually, I'll just sort by this and we'll see Who kind of is at least You know at least field average accurate and the best Bermuda putters Billy Horschel here's so again These three that I mentioned already Patrick Reed would make some sense if we knew he was fully healthy and Xander Someone who I have kind of overlooked in this Q&A format, but I like Xander starting at two under We've we've seen to make a run and according to fantasy national He's gained strokes on the field and all 16 of his rounds here next best rate is Rory McElroy at 79% so Xander Someone I didn't talk about a lot, but I'm gonna play a lot of I think I think he's gonna be kind of a differentiation piece For me and again, that means not getting back up to like the JT's and Rory's but instead kind of getting back up to Xander Hovlin more a cala a banser and guys in that range, so that's gonna do it for me We're gonna switch over to the MLB version of the show and that does mean bringing on Jim Sonnis so that he can break down. It sounds so sad about it. Come on Well, I was gonna I was gonna that's gonna be disparaging, but I didn't want him. I didn't want it. Why not, bro I don't want I was gonna because Cuz I was talking I was talking joy before the show and I said that I always like when Jim's on because it makes me feel Like he's gonna handle anything that comes up and then I don't have to be kind of you know facing it myself But I would never say it to your face. I think you're a wonderful person a great co-host, but I just never tell you that I'm glad that you're here too because my Glorious spreadsheets Got screwed up and so I am in the process. Yes. We see really do love Jim. Just we can't tell him that yeah No, never never never tell anyone that I Screwed up my spreadsheet somehow. I don't know when at some point and I got it back So I'm actually to pull these up here because I want you to see before you go away Because I see I had messed up like the percentiles were showing up as like as Decimals it was pretty terrible, but hey they're back. I know that you were worried that you might not get to see the neon green But it's here Brandon. It's just for you ready to go. We need a vote for who has the better spreadsheet. I Don't want to vote on that. I Don't I I'm a fragile man and I'd rather not know what the people think about this I'm using my veto powers on this and I say no I'm sorry. Yeah, I mean mine mine can be busy There's a lot I try to have on here, but it was never fully designed to be shared. It was just kind of for me But then I So I mean No, that's I don't care. Nothing. Nothing is worse than to be displayed Yeah, nothing might make it worse that it's color, but you know, yeah, whatever I don't know if any spreadsheet can be worse than that, but well, we'll see but if it wins this money, Brandon But yeah, but you have great info and that's what matters Exactly. That is why we are here. That is Brandon. Good deal. Let's check him out on Twitter at Gadoula 13 check out all this stuff up at numberfire.com and check out our heat check fantasy podcast talking more PGA DFS Well, Brandon, good luck to you this week. Talk to you later Except in our bobble. I now he's gone. I can trash talk him and say I hope he does not win our bobble That is the the one requirements are head to head for this week This is the MLB DFS Q&A right here on the fan dual YouTube, Twitch Facebook and Twitter channels My name is Jim Sonness. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm Here to take your questions for the next half hour No matter where you are watching get those questions in on YouTube, Twitch Facebook or Twitter will take them now no matter where you're watching and get you set for today's slate of MLB DFS let's start things off with Michael over on YouTube Michael's is Brad Peacock is Starting for Boston for today. I was thinking it might be Peacock or Garrett Richards Peacock just came over He was Let me know if he's pitched this year the big leagues, but he's got now at Boston Hey, he's not pitched in the big leagues yet so far this year. So off to a rock and start there let's see what the Minor league numbers look like for Peacock obviously in the past has been a pretty good pitcher But there's probably a reason he was not in the majors. Oh my goodness a 7.68 ERA in triple a 5.16 X FIP Mostly because a lot of fly balls in there for Peacock And I'm guessing a lot of line drives to which will drive up your X FIP. So Peacock has struggled I will say Michael though I would expect this to be a bullpen game for the Red Sox Maybe they let go but they let Peacock kind of go full out here. Let's see what his minor league game logs look like So it pitched on the 27th, which means he's on three days rest if my math is correct at seven strikeouts There so that's not too bad. But either way, I'd expect this to be like a two-ish inning thing for Peacock Let's see what the usage has been recently for Garrett Richards I know he's been off better in the bullpen that he was as a starter and then We'll see what Richard's length has looked like Because I'm assuming he'll be in there at some point for today Okay, Richards hasn't pitched since Saturday. So I'm assuming it'll be Peacock followed by Richards Let's look at Richards here and how he's done Why he's been the bullpen? I'm pretty sure he's been good in there All right, let's go here To here so as a reliever Richards 12 strikeouts in 10 and 1 3rd innings 080 70 R. Ray the strikeout rate in that time for Richards is 29.3% that's pretty good 11.5% swinging strike rate. So that's actually not a bad setup to go from Peacock to Richards I wouldn't expect the thing with Peacock to go well, but Richards should do well when he's in there So I would say the rays are a solid option But not like a must-have option just because I think that Richards will be in there. I think he's been pretty good I think that they'll do well against Peacock. So The rays are okay, but not a priority. Hopefully that answers your question there. Michael Let's talk to DJ Cole Irvin, Zach Plisac or Zach Gallin hardpass in the first two I have no interest at all in Irvin or Plisac both those guys do not get strikeouts. I can't use them But Gallin is pretty good. I don't mind him at all. I think he's my favorite guy below $9,000 Gallin's facing the Padres so a tough matchup in theory, but Obviously they've struggled recently They're still a low strikeout team with a 21% strikeout rate But we saw guys like Aaron Nola handle them Mack Scherzer handle them So we can use guys against them if they're good enough and Gallin has been I know the results aren't good But the peripherals are good 28% strikeout rate over his past seven starts. So I don't mind Gallin I will say though My priority on this slate is trying to find ways to get up to the higher salary pitchers We're talking to your Walker Bueller Lucas Geolito primarily also Blake Snell and it's the colors are interesting So although Gallin's my favorite of those options my favorite guy below $9,000 He's still going to be a lower exposure play for me today I think that the optimal way to play things today is to Try to get to the stud pitchers. Let's talk to Kyle. I really like my lineup, but it only leaves me 2.3,000 at third base. Do I quote unquote punt this position or switch up my stacks? It depends on What you can get from punting I'll look at the options in the second year Kyle, but just as a broad point If you're using a player who does not have a realistic ceiling Then I would say try to rearrange things because I don't you all might remember this there was a situation a couple years ago where kicker in andez was accidentally 20 or 220 dollars on fandals opposed to like 2200 dollars and I saw a lot of people saying that they wanted to use kick a Hernandez for that game If you didn't start because they want the salary savings But like that's not really the way you want to view things the way that I want to view things is Every hitter that I have is a chance to identify a player from squaring 40 points If I use a player who can't get me there, then I'm Taking eight shots versus nine shots or seven shots versus eight shots, etc, etc I'm giving myself fewer cracks at having a slate busting type guy having a guy who can race erase the mistakes and make elsewhere So in general, if it's a true punt a guy who is not going to do anything for you Avoid it and reconfigure, but let's look at today Specifically you see if there are any guys here Down at 2300 or lower at third base who we can feel good about Tommy Lestella got scratched last night It's a side injury. That's always kind of a red flag Because that can mean it's an oblique type thing obliques can linger those can lead to saps and power So Lestella also facing Brandon Woodruff, which means we don't want to go there Matt Duffy is facing uh John Gantt today Don't really want exposure to the cubs. So don't really want to go there. Let's see if there's anyone else here projected to start Lower salary third baseman Not seeing a whole lot there Kyle. So If you see someone you're interested in Kyle, uh, put it in the chat We'll try to talk more in depth about them But for right now I'd probably trying to reconfigure To get a little bit higher for your third baseman for tonight John, how would he stack the fillies for the main slate? Okay, the fillies are facing Patrick Corbin Corbin's actually been a little bit better recently. He's been Using fewer source four sinkers and more or fewer four seamers with more sinkers and sliders over his past five starts Stregorates 25. He's had a lot of soft matchups in that time So I would not say no to the fillies by any means, but just keep that in mind We've seen some slight improvements to the peripherals for Patrick Corbin recently. Let's pull up the fillies line up here Oh, freddy galvis. Okay He's back with the fillies. I actually used galvis a couple times earlier this year when you did the orioles. So um Had some decent numbers. This is a really bad lineup for filly though like really bad Had not having Reese Hoskins in there not having jha real I mean not these Hoskins down for the year, but like not having those like good dudes in there is pretty tough. So I could probably be okay with galvis as like a salary saver. Let's see What galvis looks like against lefties? I think the time when I was using him this year was more so against righties when either with baltimore, but let's um Look at the numbers against lefties and see what we can see there with old freddy 88 plate appearances 207 iso. That's actually not too bad. So I would say galvis as a one-off galvis. There we go $2,200. I think that works. So kyle, there's a way you can get uh that opening at second base or a short stop As opposed to third base freddy galvis could be a value play there I think the rest of that lineup Pretty tough to feel good about so Galvis a solid one-off for me john there Uh dj. Do I keep riding ryan mount castle? Or do you think he's gonna slump against hunjin re you? Hunjin reuse a guy. I was okay stacking against a bit earlier on this year. This is past nine started the more velocity The bad of all suppression has not gotten back to where it was the Strike out rates kind of low. I would say the oros are not like a super High ranking team for me today dj and like I just don't think I'm gonna stack them Which means I'm probably not going to get to mount castle But I don't think it's the worst spot So if you have a one-off situation where you can get to mount castle and you like him go ahead I don't think that's uh I don't think it's a match we need to avoid But I would also say the oros are not a team looking to stack Which means I probably will not be there personally savance has been in a losing streak this whole week sadly But I will keep on going. What's the best stacks for single entry today someone. I know you um It asked me on twitter too about Scoring and I forgot to respond my bad. I'll get back to that later on But if I can answer it here instead because I apologize I did forget to respond to it I read tweets and then forget to respond my bad savon didn't mean to ignore you there what I would say is if you're trying to Maximize your score is similar to what we were talking about before try not to have duds in your lineup and that's kind of a dilemma for me for today because I will be stacking the twins and That means I'm looking at the twins lineup. That means that I'll see louise arise batting leadoff and arise $2,300 doesn't have the best upside so That's going to make it a situation where I'd like to avoid him. I want to give myself Chances at identifying guys who can just blow up savon So that means prioritizing power hitters and guys who can steal bases Just try to identify upside. Those are the two ways to get upside In daily fantasy is via power via stolen bases so Like a guy like david's letcher for example Not a lot of power there not a lot of stolen base upside tough to talk yourself into him Um dj lamehu has some power, but not like the biggest power guy So savon what I would say is Try to avoid guys who don't have a good ceiling. Look at their game log. See if they've had like a 20 to 30 point game recently and if you can't find games where they're exceeding like 15 or so points Don't use it 15 points is not enough as a ceiling to be viable for dfs so I would say just try to identify guys who have ceilings at all every single spot That may mean you're using guys who have bad floors But every hitter has a bad floor for dfs every hitters floor zero and their odds of reaching is pretty similar So just try to sell out for upside. We don't want to use guys who are singles hitters That's a a rough way to play dfs So just sell out for upside savon that should help hopefully Because they can Help make up for mistakes you make elsewhere clinton says oh, I missed a second part of savon's question Oh, what's the best stacks for single entry for today? So for single entry I want to get up to the high salary pitchers So i'm probably going lucas g alito just going to take the best match up there And feel good about him. So if I go g alito at 10 2 I do have some flexibility in terms of stacking So I would say the blue jays and the twins are probably the best ones the jays Have some value guys have not seen their lineup as of yet, but I know the jays have been pretty disappointing recently offensively, but Facing a lefty. I feel better with them than I do against a righty. So I think it's an upgrade for today So I'd say the jays and the twins are the two places I'd want to go savon Well, good luck to you over the I hope the things turn around for you today clint Lucas g alito has had his stuff together as of late roster him and recolors I agree. He's definitely had his stuff together. He's been leaning more on a slider recently This is over his past six darts a 29 strikeout rate 3.22 skill interactive eray Good batted ball beta low walk rate. He's amazing. He's facing the pirates. I would say clint You use g alito and don't look back The colors I would say it's probably about fourth ish for me today. I like g alito love walker bueller as well I am on board with using Brandon woodruff against the giants know it's a top matchup, but he's really good So I would be okay with woodruff and then mccullers probably next up above morton So mccullers is is an option for sure clint, but I put g alito pretty healthily above him I'll talk to diffuse over on youtube top notch value throughout the a's lineup in a high upside spot against scuba and company With winds blowing out thoughts scuba has been pretty good recently from a a bat a plate discipline perspective This is over his past 10 starts since his movement stabilized a 26 strikeout rate 4 walk rate, but He has been letting up a lot of balls and play uh, or sorry letting up a some hard contact with a 44 hard hit rate So I think that you at least have some leeway to consider guys facing it Let's look at the results against scuba here recently in that 10 start sample and see If we've gotten some dingers against him because if so that may mean that the A's would be a bit more viable here 3.61 eray No real like bad blow-up games recently, but also has faced some lower tier teams did well against boston Um, I would say the a's are not super high on my list personally I'm looking at that lineup like maybe you can go at some of these guys lower in the order to get that value there But I would say they're not a big priority for me personally just because I think scuba's Actually pretty good. I'm very okay with him Um, let's talk to grim fan um Asking erin were you asking about third base? Oh, you're asking about third base. I was asking about sanchez and valasquez I'm wondering if that's what you were asking about for today. Uh, let's see here. Just scroll down here Yeah, valasquez Not a big power dude for the most part Pretty rough. Um, he can't have good days, but can he have great days? You know, I wouldn't really want to go there. So that's why I'm not super into valasquez or valasquez. I should say Yeah, I think that's the the main downside for me Mateo tonight. I am using a mix of tampa bay and the yankies that snows my picture. So let's hope for the best Yeah, snout. I think is interesting too. It didn't talk about him before and I was ranking them probably should have though because getting a lot of strikeouts recently He has a 33 strikeout right over his past seven starts that is with More forcing fastballs and more sliders facing a a pretty rough arizona team I will say they're much better versus lefties and righties and they have seen snout quite a bit recently And one of those starts he lit them up though. He just torched them to the ground So Even though they've seen him recently, it doesn't mean we have to avoid him That's the reason I'd prioritize buehler and G alito over him the sour gap to him in g alito is not that big So I think sell is an option Mateo. He's got upside for sure But that's why I'm a bit lower on him. Also a lot of walks and a lot of hard contact That's the main drawback there tampa. They definitely work as mentioned before facing peacock I'd expect it to be a bullpen game which does lower them a bit But they're still fine The yankees facing hymen baria definitely on board there. So I think that one works for you, Mateo Nothing I would object to too much there should be good to go Um, Matthew. Let's talk to Matthew on youtube. Hey, buddy. Would you prefer Vasquez? Uh, or stafsy? It's really well at home also Do you like rooker as a sneaky cheat value with donaldson versus davies? Uh, starting with the last question Matthew, I do like rooker. He's got some good power Facing uh, davies has been lining up a lot of hard contact recently That used to be a strength of his it is not right now. So I do like rooker. He's a pretty good option Stasi facing tyone, uh, tyone's lining up a lot of fly balls recently not getting a ton of strikeouts I could see stasi being an option assuming that he does catch today See the lineup here for the angels if it's out. Did I scroll past some? No, I did not okay, let's refresh this here probably not out yet, but his stasi plays I could see the Value in using him the last case again or a vasquez. Oh christian vasquez my bad. Okay, so christian vasquez Hasn't had good power this year. I know you're citing the bvp data, but that probably stems back to last year That's the reason I don't tend to look at that at ball or batter versus pitcher data because it looks at previous seasons and christian vasquez Hasn't had power this year his iso versus lefty's o 93 So vasquez pretty easy cross-off for me. I do look I'm okay with stasi among those options though I do like rooker or the most Um grim fan whoever asks about third base. Look at patrick wisdom. Yeah. I mean, I think that the uh, the cubs are fine against john gants because Gants not a guy we need to avoid wisdom has been hired in the cutoff. I'd assume He is 3600. So a lot higher sour than we were looking at. I look at $23 a lower I could be okay with some one-offs in the cubs in general because Gantt is not a shutdown guy just tougher to get to a full stack Because the cubs are pretty bad scott. What do you think about scoogle tonight? Helps me get the big bats that I won. So I did mention that i'm not looking to use bats against scoogle but i'm also not looking to Use him as my pitcher because I do respect the a's quite a bit Um, they're a good team against left easy a's have a 105 w r c plus Uh, the low strike area to 21. So that's how i'm not super into scoogle Let's see what the salary is here for scoogle to see if I can find you a replacement option Um, he is wow, he's really low. Did I miss him? Did I miss him? I probably did He is 9000. Okay. So if you want a lower salary guy scott I know that the results have not been good for zack gallin, but I do like him He gets strikeouts He's still scored fine recently despite letting up some earned runs because he gets strikeouts So I would go gallin over scoogle for today And if you don't want to go gallin, I would try to find the salary to get to the colors I like him more. I like snail more and then g alito up here as well So some guys in that range at least if you still want to load up on the big bats Let's talk to ian nev over on twitch got caught in ad. Uh, what's popular? Uh, yeah I had that issue on twitch too. I I I finally broke down and subbed to a couple things because I was like, you know I don't want to deal with these ads. Um, so I get it. Um For good things today at picture. I like lucas g alito a lot I like walker bueller as a secondary tournament play and then for a value play I like zack gallin, but I'd rank mac colors and snail above him for today as far as stacks I like the yankees. I like the twins. I like the blue jays blue jays a lot blue jays are the top stack for me blue jays twins yankees Gonna grade up pretty well for me Other options we have not talked about yet in terms of stacking. I like the astros against you say kikuchi I like kikuchi a lot just not against the astros a low strikeout team kikuchi struggles when he can't get the strikeouts Might not get them today Just because The astros are really really good So I would say kikuchi in general. Yes kikuchi today. No that does put me on the astros for tonight So astros in there for stacking as well Matthew also asked do you prefer woodruff or snel regardless of salary? If i'm not considering a salary, I would go woodruff. I just feel better about the overall profile I know the matchup is a lot tougher a lot tougher for woodruff facing the giants But I just feel better about him as a pitcher than I do about snel Snel lets up a lot of walks. Let's have a lot of hard contact that might be stupid To go with woodruff over snel, but like I just I feel better about him overall Savon says stanton home run question mark. Yeah, uh, baria Is that okay bad at ball data, but doesn't get a lot of strikeouts stanton stupid stupid stupid good So yes, I'm on board with that for today and then also asking how would you stack minnesota for today? Okay, the lineup is out So let's check out that lineup for the twins. I believe it was that when I last refreshed Let's go over here and actually check it out with the salaries over on the glorious vandal.com I'm gonna put print rooker in there first because I want those salary savings that he gets me to do that Again with arise I really don't want to use him because the upside is pretty limited But like he at least is capable of having okay games We pulled the game log here and scroll back. I get a 30 point game there 20 points there He can have good games. I'm not expecting it to happen But like You know if I want to get to other guys in the stack want to get to Some of the more viable options here. I might need to take a swing at a rise It's not something I want to do but I will and if you know me You know the fourth guy here byron buxton. He's back, baby Uh, you had a hard hit ball yesterday 3700 dollars Dirtiest hitter alive Best hitter in baseball future mvp. We'll put him in there. So this is my twin stack For you savon for today Uh, dj is asking or tega or hayward for the cubs Probably try to avoid i'd go or tega if you want to choose between those two savon The tampon bay stadium is easy to smack out home runs. It's actually pretty um, pretty low one in terms of overall It's better during the colder months and it is a little bit colder for today Relative what it's been during the summer months. Uh, so If it's like colder elsewhere bump up tampon bay if it's not colder bump it down savon What does ops mean that is on base plus slugging not a great number for dfs because Frankly, we don't care about on base percentage in dfs because locks are cool for the real world They're not as cool for daily fantasy because it's just three points It can lead to some other stuff But like I prefer just slugging or just iso personally It's just iso Is the way I want to go because I just want to sell it for power and iso allows me to do that Scott red sox hitters have great numbers against yarbro. What do you think about stacking the red sox not opposed? I would say because yarbro, um He always has a really bad velocity like just Chucking up like 63 mile per hour cutter cutters. It's been especially bad recently Just came off the covet i l a lot of fly balls low strikeout rate. He's still been good at suppressing our contact That's why the red sox not super high in my list But like they do work and I think that they're okay I would not go to vasquez and no way to question about him before would not go there But bobby doll back has been other worldly doll back against a low strikeout pitcher sick Sign me up. Do you need a one-off? I think that that works pretty well. Uh, so Scott i'm not opposed. I would say Uh dj How do you think about a one through four stack of the royals against cleveland police? That's been pretty bad One through four are kind of the main guys on the royals who are okay with nikki lopez Has been good this year, which is kind of weird. I do want to look at his His advanced numbers though to make sure that's uh, not just like a good real world thing and make sure it's a good Dfs thing low pez in the past with someone who I never really wanted to turn to But we don't want to base that off of old data. Oh 68 iso. So I would try to skip over low pez if you can um Well, lovarez is batting seventh. He's got some power So I might jump down to seventh dj get edward olivaris in there if he knew the value play I could get behind him more so than I could get behind low pez I know he's been good, but just not a high upside day or a guy for dfs. Let's talk to renais What do you think about uh gomber versus texas? I think gomber is a very good pitcher. I think texas is a great Matchup to utilize the downside with gomber is nothing to do with him. It's just about pitch counts We've seen the rockies kind of limit some of their guys recently in gomber Recently, I know he just came out the il but even the more recent starts 86 88 78 I'm not sure how long to let him go if you told me austin gomber will go 100 pitches I feel pretty good about him. I just can't guarantee that so that's the downside for me with gomber for today Jerry says good day jim. Sorry just joined. Uh, did you see the lineups once again? Went the other way again anyway, uh, how do you think corbin will do? Um, not super high on him doesn't get enough strikeouts. I know he's been better recently We did talk about that, but I think we've got better options. So I'd avoid him and go some elsewhere Uh, Ian nev is asking why I'm guessing uh blue jays. Um, I'm assuming that's blue jays and nothing nefarious out of you Ian nev, um They're facing keegan akin akin doesn't get a lot of strikeouts looks up a lot of fly balls I know the blue jays have been very frustrating recently I have been on them. So it has not been super enjoyable Uh, but I think that they make a lot of sense here once again. I would say a lehandro kirk if he plays random gritchy if he plays Um, as far as values go, but then also kevin martin is kind of not bad if or kevin smith I should say if he plays uh, minimum salary had good numbers in triple a so smith Kirk Gritchick all those guys could be some value options for today on the blue jays savon houston barley wins games. So it's it's so embarrassing Not sure what barley is. Um Oh, houston barely wins game. Okay. Yeah, I got you. There we go Uh, who are julius is asking for the top two pitchers tonight. I want g Alino and I want buehler and I want the bats I'm spending up julius for today trying to get to those two top gods Matthew I needed to stay lower salary batch around on my lineup thoughts on joe adell or hunter dozier Don't mind the match up for dozier Uh, so I could be okay with that. Adele has been okay recently I'd probably go dozier, but I would say other low salary bats in general Check out the blue jays guys talk about, uh, kevin, uh, Kevin smith. It's a very generic name. Uh, kevin smith Alejandro kirk randall gritchick Check out brant rooker as being a potential option there as well Show us some good value for today Jerry, what are your favorite under the radar stacks? Let's go over here and check out the implied totals for today to see who should be popular And then see who we can go to Who doesn't fit that? um Let's go here Okay So we can expect toronto to be popular the white socks to be popular The yankees would be popular and the twins if we lop off those options. I would say the rays are okay facing, um peacock slash richards I don't mind the tigers if you're looking like more super under the radar and then the astros Astros and tigers are kind of interesting. Irvin. It hasn't been getting a lot of strikeouts recently We saw the astros beat up on kikuchi a couple starts ago. So if you're looking for some like More Deeper type teams jerry. I would say houston and detroit are two teams Who I like more than what their implied totals say we should like them that um Jerry says best hitting park for today Versus downgrade four pitchers. Okay. So best hitting park for today probably gonna be Uh nationals park in washington high temperature for today good park in general. So maybe that bumps up, um If ryan zimmerman is playing today could use him as a one-off potentially. He's in there. Let's refresh the nationals lineup And it's not out yet. Maybe some nationals one-offs potentially some philly's one-offs harper's good against lefty So that's not a concern there. Um, again galvis. I think is okay, too So I would check out some one-offs. Uh, and the weather is not as concerning there as it was this morning So it should be good to go. Maybe galvis. Maybe Zimmerman if he plays guys like that could work out for sure Dan hi jim. I do have a rise in my stack. Should I swap out galvis? It's a good question, dan. Um, I would say if you're stacking the twins I would stick with a rise if you are Not stacking the twins and it sounds like you are But let's say hypothetically you're not stacking the twins just a pure one-off I might go galvis over a rise just because I feel like galvis has better single game upside So in your twin stack stick with a rise if you're not stacking twins, I would go galvis Jerry says I'll stack lefties yesterday against yarbaro. Uh, okay. It's a schwarber devbers in verdugo. Yeah, okay. I think that um Yarbros not overpowering enough. We for us to care too much about Lefty versus lefty. So jerry. I think that's okay. Savon savon our para's home run. Yep every day savon every day Salvador all he does is he'll run. So yes. All right. DJ's home run calls. Yes money grandal He was also a home run call in the solo shot this morning. So I like that Hymer condolario and colton wong Let's sell on board of those but I do like yes money grandal. I think that Salvador Perez is pretty good Jackie is reminding us it is um Dinger tuesday Okay, it's digger tuesday. Welcome jackie if we're trying to build that bankroll back up. I would say Grandal is probably a pretty good option depending on where he's hitting I'm not looking at some twins home run props. I've not seen their prices yet But um in terms of home run props, but maybe some twins against zack davies That could work out pretty well and other places for some potential home run props Depending on the rockies numbers Maybe rockies could be fun too. Yeah, I need a good number, but I wouldn't throw them out of consideration Final question from jerry. Who is pitching for boston for today? Sounds like it is brad peacock to start And then I would have guessed that gary richards comes out at some point peacock's probably gonna go two innings jerry So you'll look at peacock's numbers and triple a and see we want to sack against him But he's probably just gonna go a couple innings. I wouldn't worry too much about that one there Jerry says rowdy telez brice harper and then dollbeck dollbeck is awesome as a home run pick I do like that one jerry and then dj has mount castle go in d That is all that we have here for today on the fan duo live q&a But as mentioned if you want to get some more golf talk check out our heat check fantasy podcast With myself and brandon gadoola. We broke down the tour championship made dfs perspective also did talks and betting in there Find that by searching for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcasts If you've got more questions for me. I am on twitter at jim sanis j i m s a n n e s big Thank you to joy aflac our video producer for running the videos out of things here today Thank you joy as always and thank you to everyone for tuning in for today We'll talk to you once again tomorrow right here same place same time. We'll see you all that This has been the fan duo live q&a