 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network And just like that suddenly we have no more NHL and NBA to talk about for this year outside of their respective drafts And it's kind of sad but congrats to the Denver Nuggets and the Vegas Golden Knights on their championships And I guarantee the voices we had on here talking about those respective sports We'll still sprinkle them in throughout the summer because I selfishly want to keep talking to them So feel free to be in the lookout for Austin Swame, Tom Vecchio, Austin Kass, all the guys who got us through soccer, NBA, NHL, all throughout the the spring as well because I'm gonna bring them back here on the show to talk about some other stuff But I think the one plus side here is now baseball can shine and I love betting on baseball Love talking money lines, strikeout props and stuff like that And we can lean fully into that, talk some NASCAR, talk some Formula One So hope is not lost throughout the summer and a fell talk coming up as well So still a lot of good stuff coming up here on the show despite the fact there is no more NBA and NHL Starting with the day where talks of major league baseball all go through two money lines and three strikeout props I lock and then I will also talk take talk some formula one in Montreal to preview this weekend's race Welcome on into covering the spread. That's right here on the Fandall podcast network and numberfire.com My name is Jim Saunders I am a senior writer and analyst for numberfire here to take you through today's MLB slate over at Fandall.com And also get you ready for Formula One in Montreal if you're looking for a PGA Preview for the US Open you can get that in the the covering the spread podcast feed right now We talked to Brandon Ghadoula yesterday broke down Outrides talked Scotty Schaeffler talked which of the studs he's targeting as far as their favorite hit the outrides And also some prop betting Brandon likes for this year's US Open find that wherever you get your podcast by searching for Covering the spread or go over to the Fandall YouTube page as it is up over there And also Fandall TV plus the Fandall TV plus app you can now find Covering the spread of there each day as well To get your covering the spread needs in we'll break down some baseball here in just one second The first baseball season is in full swing and there's no better place to get in on the MLB action than Fandall America's number one sportsbook Because right now new customers get a no-sweat first bet up to $2,500 that's such a $2,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win So don't miss your chance to snag a no-sweat first bet up to $2,500 when you join Fandall today Fandall Official partner of Major League Baseball Major League Baseball trademarks used with permission must be 21 plus and president select states First online a real money wager only a $10 deposit required refund issued is non with trouble bonus bets that expire in 14 days Restricts and applies see full terms at fan dual comms last sports book Fan dual is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas star casino LLC gambling problem called 1-800 gambler or visit the end will calm slash RG in Arizona 1-800 next step protects next step to 533 for two in Connecticut 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org such chat in Indiana 1-809 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 1-805-224 700 or in Kansas KS gambling help calm Louisiana is 1-877-770 stop in Massachusetts Gambling help line ma.org or call 800-327-5050 for 24 seven support in Maryland MD gambling help at org in New York 1-877-8 hope and wire text open Y and in West Virginia go to 1-800 gambler net Pretty big slate across Major League Baseball For today as mentioned got two money line three strikeout props I like based on the odds over at Fandall sports book Let's begin things off with the money lines that is between the blue jays and the Orioles I like the Orioles with money line, which is currently minus one or two over at Fandall sports book the implied odds and minus one or two Are fifty point five percent my model is the Orioles and fifty five percent to win and that's largely I think due to Some continued skepticism around Jose Barrios because Barrios if you look at the results page for him Has been much better recently a super slow start this year rough last year as well but then recently things have ticked back up and I think part of that is sticky because Barrios has done a very good job of suppressing hard contact in that sample and that's a skill It is something you can definitely sustain and continue over a longer run so part of what he's done is legit and probably gonna stick around but The plate discipline numbers for Barrios still not quite there And he's now going on the road to face a lefty heavy lineup Obviously losing Ryan Mountcastles things for the O's but like he wouldn't be a big factor in this game Anyway, because I want as many lefties against Barrios as possible and the O's now in their current construction are gonna have a lot of them Even with no Mountcastle even with no Mullins the Orioles still have a respectable 102 WRC plus against righties on the current active roster. So they're not fully depleted I would prefer that those guys were there personally, but it's not as if it's a bare cabinet with his offense anymore So looking at this matchup the Orioles are at home minus 102 money line kind of says that the Jays The better team on a neutral field, which I think is probably correct But 55% actually, I guess I would actually have the Orioles favorite on a neutral field to the 500 55% to win Either way, I think the O is undervalued at minus 102 So I will take them there as a quality bet to start things off for Wednesday Other money line for me is in a later game and that's the Diamondbacks taken on the Phillies I've like I like the Diamondbacks minus a 132 on their money line right now over at Fandall Sportsbook There has been some money coming in on the Phillies because this was minus 142 earlier on this morning So keep that in mind check out the market once you hear this go to see if this market has continued to move Against a move in favor of the Phillies because if it has me you can hold off and bet Arizona later on But I would want to take Arizona at some point because I think This market should not be moving drastically this way My model is Arizona pretty well above this the implied odds are 56.9% at minus 132 I've got them above 60% and a lot of that's because I buy into what Meryl Kelly has done this year He's added more strikeouts to his game without fully sacrificing the quality bad at ball that he's had for a very long time We talked about this with Robert Friedman pitching Ninja back on Friday where he was saying you know with this coaching staff He expects Kelly to continue to prioritize strikeouts didn't get a ton of those Friday, but if you can Prevent balls and play entirely that's gonna be better than keeping hard contact and check and Kelly's has still been okay in the bad at ball Department so more strikeouts still fine as far as the bad at ball stuff goes I think that's a great trade-off for sure the Phillies offense about average There are one or three WRC plus against righties so a little bit above average definitely not a plus matchup But the Dynabax have done pretty well against lefties so far this year I went into this year expecting them to struggle there But the numbers so far have actually been pretty good. So maybe this could be a spot rangers for as struggles a bit So I wouldn't have expected to be on Arizona here given that the Phillies were a team my model liked a lot coming into this year And Arizona was not as high Maybe a bit above market on them, but not super super high So I'm a bit surprised to be here, but I do like Arizona again Make sure you check the market later on because if this continues to shift towards the Phillies You may be able to get Arizona to better number later So I don't think this is one you necessarily need to take right now when you're listening to this You don't need to go get Arizona wherever they're at if there's still a minus 132 They've held steady there for a bit. Maybe you take them then but I just keep an eye on this market I would want to add Arizona at some point So I do think that they are undervalued in this matchup But it is worth noting the market has disagreed as of right now So check out that one see where it's at but the Orioles of minus one or two definitely one I want to get to for tonight So Orioles minus one or two and then the Arizona money line minus one 32 currently very okay with that I'd be okay with it about two minus 140 or so or 145 or so I think that's the point where I'd say I'm okay not not adding this one to the Bet slip there as far as strikeout props I actually want to go back to that Orioles game and talk about the first one here that is Kyle Bradish He is the starter for the Orioles for tonight His strikeout profit Fandall sportsbook is currently at four and a half and the over is plus one oh six I feel really good about that number and do want to add Bradish over four and a half at plus one oh six Bradish For me is projected at five point two strikeouts night and he's up there. Thanks to a Shift he has made recently which has been throwing his slider more often and if you go to baseball's event look at his His whiff rate by pitch that is his highest with pitch and in the first four starts for Bradish this year He did not throw the pitch more than twenty point five percent in any game He was under twenty percent in three of those first four starts, but across his path seven His total usage on his slider is thirty three point seven percent So way up from where it was earlier on this year across the seven starts Bradish has gone over four and has strikeouts in four seven games Including two of his three starts in Baltimore, which is where they're at for tonight. So it's facing the Jays That's obviously not a matchup. I see got super often the Bradish has been getting more strikeouts recently I do like the Orioles money line which does correlate with this bet as well So I think Bradish undervalued. I don't again typically go towards same game parlays Just because I need to like multiple legs in the same game I do happen to like multiple legs in the same game. So if you decide to parley these two together the The odds of fandal sports book are plus two fifty two I'd probably prefer to do them individually personally that is again personal preference based on the way I like to play things so not gonna go that route personally But if you want to go there if you want to get some same game parley stuff in I do think that is This is viable for me I will make them separate bets Bradish over four and a half plus one of six and the Orioles money line at minus one oh two Another strikeout prop for tonight Let's go out to the West Coast and talk about title glass now glass now is facing the A's and Obviously, that's a spot We're gonna love because we would expect last now to Dominate that offense go deep in the game and potentially rack up a good number of strikeouts But his strikeout prop accounts that pretty fully because under eight and a half for glass now It's currently minus one sixteen a fandal and I think that we should take the under in that one This is not a bet against glass now as a pitcher because he is looking great so far He's been Phenomenal is first or he starts and we know what he has done before his injuries as well So overall we love glass now super into him Just this number is really high for a guy who has not gone over 90 pitches yet He has not hit 90 pitches yet either his strikeout totals across the first three starts eight six and six and you know This is a high strikeout matchup. It's a bad offense. It's a bad park for hitting as well Which does help last now, but it's still a really big number for a guy who's still potentially ramping back up from an injury I also think about the rays in their situation. I know they've lost too straight to this exact Oakland team, but They're thinking long-term. They want to make sure that they are a fully healthy firing all on all centers cylinders team in October and Glass now is a key part of that So I don't expect them to toss them out there for 95 pitches for tonight and I think that's kind of where you need them to be in order to get a Strikeout projection this high. So I think glass now under eight and a half is scary I think it is not enjoyable to bet against Tyler glass now because it's so fun Back in our lives, especially in this matchup with the A's But I do think this is the right way to go from a a betting perspective So glass now under eight and a half minus 116 The next one I want to add one final strikeout prop going to the Reds and the Royals game I was on this game in DFS last night from a stacking perspective We're gonna talk about a pitcher here, which is a fun deviation and that pitcher has been really good so far this year Not sure how sustainable it is But I like Ben lively over for that strikeouts at minus 112 right now over at Fandall sportsbook lively has made five starts so far And I went into the stars with pretty low expectations But he's been crushing so far. He's had at least five strikeouts and all five starts His strikeout rate is 27.3% if you look at the swing strike rate on lively It does say that he's likely going to come back earth a bit But that may not happen here because he's facing a Royals active roster with a 25.7% Strikeout rate against righties this year. So it's another plus matchup for lively Even though it's on the road. I'm not sure we necessarily see the the hot streak for lively end tonight So this could like the glass now bet one of looking very foolish But I do think that it is our way to go and I think we should have interest in lively until Either he regresses or the market adjusts up a bit more on lively So I think over four and a half minus 112 is a good way to go there So the strikeout props for tonight Ben lively over four and a half minus 112 Tyler glass now under eight and a half minus 116 Kyle Braddish over four and a half at plus 106 all those numbers again over at Fandall sportsbook That's gonna wrap up baseball for today, but let's talk about some formula one Obviously no NASCAR to discuss this week because they are on their loan off week of the entire year Luckily, we do a formula one in North America. They're up in Montreal in Canada for the Canadian Grand Prix and If you look at the top of the odds board I feel like it's pretty appropriate accounting for the gains Mercedes made in Barcelona accounting for I would expect a bit of a bounce back for Aston Martin because it couldn't quite show any value on Fernando Alonso the podium Which I thought I might but not quite there yet So top of the board to me is pretty efficient if you're looking for value in this race I want to take out check out the points market to finish inside the top 10 And the best bet there to me is on Yuki Sonoda now Sonoda at Fandall sportsbook is two to one plus 200 You can get plus 225 elsewhere So as always shop around but I will say if 200 is or plus 200 as best you can get I am also showing value at that number personally The reason that I'm showing value in Yuki is that he's been weirdly steady this year He's been to start his F1 career a bit erratic Volatile for sure But this year he's been steady kind of the team leader now for Alpha towerie despite the fact He is younger the two drivers between him and Nick de Vries He's been like their team leader so far across seven races Yuki has two top 10 So that's a 29% rate that is under the implied odds at two to one under the implied odds of plus 225 as well So based on the first seven races, this would be a bad bet But Yuki has finished 11th in three others. So he's been a 11th or better in three and um Five out of seven races. He finished 12th in Barcelona But he also had a time penalty there if you look at the order in which drivers cross a line Sonoda was actually the 10th driver to cross the line there. Just didn't get credited with it Because of the penalty now obviously penalties are there for a reason so it's not like I should count that as being a top 10 but He's been hovering around this range all year long and he's been in contention for a top 10 pretty much every week So far this year even if he hasn't gotten credited with that finish The race pace for Sonoda has been trending up as well If you look at his median lap time last week or two weeks ago in Barcelona That was the best it has been this year relative to the field all year long Sonoda ranked 13th in overall form for me entering this race if you look beyond the top five teams So Aston Martin Red Bull for Sadie's Ferrari and Alpine if you look beyond the top five teams Yuki is also behind Lando Norris and Nico Hulkenberg for me But that's a kind of four in the odds Sonoda for me is 37 percent to finish inside the top 10 Applied odds a two to one are 33 percent implied odds at plus 225 or 31 percent So even if you can get just to 200 I think that's enough to justify betting Sonoda here So I haven't been on Yuki. I don't think yet so far this year, but I'm more than happy based on the pace He has shown how steady he has been I'm more than happy to change that here and buy into Sonoda at two to one for a top 10 in Montreal I also do a slight value in Joe Guan Yu at plus 420. It's not quite a big enough gap for me to get there Especially given Alfa Romeo has been pretty wildly inconsistent this year But good pace for for Guan Yu and for Joe in Barcelona So didn't quite get there, but it's at least a consideration You can find longer than plus 420 on Joe Guan Yu Maybe you want to lock that one in too But to me best bet for Montreal is going to Yuki Sonoda top 10 two to one a fan dual and plus 225 You can find elsewhere. That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread a lot of good stuff coming up Later on this week. We'll talk some NFL on tomorrow's show on Friday Rob Friedman pitching ninjas back talk about some strikeout props and the to lead the day in strikeout market over at Fandall Sportsbook You can get all those shows again by subscribing to covering the spread and the Fandall YouTube page If you like what you hear leave us a thumbs up on the Fandall YouTube page or leave us a five star rating on Apple podcasts Or on Spotify as well and again check out the US Open show with Brandon Gedula from yesterday If you've got any questions for me I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis G I M S A N N ES you can also follow the Fandall podcast network at Fandall podcast want to thank you all for tuning in for today Good luck to you with your MLB bets for tonight and your F1 bets from Montreal We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to talk about some NFL This has been covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network