 Hey guys, it's Nate, aka the Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. Just when we thought Foot Birthday was gonna be done, we're gonna be on the out and out of this promo into whatever EA had in store next for us. They go ahead and they drop these cards in the game. Again, they put them all back in packs, which is something that they had not originally told us they were going to do, which doesn't frustrate me, but I guess it frustrates me a little bit. It frustrates me a little bit because I was just not planning on this. I don't think anybody was planning on this, but we weren't looking forward to this. And they've told us many times before when they're gonna be putting both teams back into packs if it's a two week promo. So when I saw this tweet today, I was a little bit upset at first because it seems to me like it's just an additional attempt to money grab. Now it would have really been hurting us as traders in the market, which is what kind of this seems to be as well. EA likes to do these things sometimes where it seems like they just want to hurt us, but a lot of people had invested in these Foot Birthday cards on Thursday with rewards because they were low and that was kind of their lowest time. And now a lot of them have gone down a significant amount further, especially some of the higher tier cards even people right now are playing Weekend League and these cards are in packs through the weekend. But I was just, I don't know, they didn't run Lightning Rounds today, which if they would have run Lightning Rounds today, then I would have really felt like it was more of a money grab, but they just put promo packs in the store, which yeah, these are still gonna get opened and the pack probability is still very, very low for a Foot Birthday player from these, which actually that's a little bit higher than what it was, but probably just because there's more Foot Birthday players in packs right now, there's two teams instead of one, but I just don't, it just seems like a money grab to me from EA, but you know what? They're trying to make some money and that's what their business is and you know what? I guess we can't fault them for that. They're also trying to make money by rinsing our clubs from coins with SBCs and they dropped a couple SBCs today, which one I wanna talk about, but I also wanna just talk about these Foot Birthday cards in general because there's a lot of hype around these cards, a lot of them have dropped, especially from set one that had really risen up after going out of packs now that they're back in, they have dropped a little bit more and I just wanna talk about these prices and how I'm feeling about them in the next couple days as we see them in packs on Saturday, on Sunday and then going out of packs Monday at 6 p.m. UK. We're gonna look at a lot of prices, talk about a lot of things. It's gonna be more of a theoretical video today just going over some of that stuff, but today on Foot we got the Foot 20 SBC and we got another party bag SBC, which again, some people were saying this morning that they didn't think people were gonna do the party bag because it was not good, it was not good value last time because you barely got anything of value from it, which is the same this time. A lot of people are getting guys like Condogbia, guys like Keynes, I got Keynes from mine, the center attacking mid from the Bundesliga who's like 50K or whatever, but again, these types of SBCs when they come out, just make them, the market goes crazy for a guaranteed player that is a promo card, right? People go absolutely crazy for these types of cards and you could see that today with the fodder prices and with the stuff that did go up. So yesterday I said if you had fodder or if you were buying fodder to sell it within the first couple hours, the first hour or so after the SBC came out and that was definitely your time to do so. 84s are crazy high thanks to the Manolis SBC, thanks to the 86 plus SBC that required an 83 rated squad. 84s are just through the roof right now, 83s are through the roof, basically all fodder is very, very inflated because of all the SBCs that we have in the store right now. And that's what EA wants, right? When the fodder is high and they have SBCs out that people wanna do, people will go buy the cards and I'm not one that trades with fodder a lot just cause that's not me, but if you're somebody who likes to buy fodder and you know that market really well, it can be very profitable as we have seen this week because of all the SBCs that are out in this game. They're really trying to take some coins off this market cause the market is inflated, it really is. And I wanna give you an example of a card that has become inflated because a lot of people are on this game and after the foot birthday promo, a lot of people have coins and that is Neymar's headliner card. This guy's 4.5 million coins after being under four mil just a couple of weeks ago, like basically before foot birthday started, wow. This card's like what, four, five, five now? That's crazy, man. E, 4.6 million at the moment when I'm checking his price. He's been around four, five today. Goodness gracious, where is he at? Are people actually buying it with this price? I'll add it to the watch list, but 4.6 mil for the best version of Neymar. Of course, these guys are all gonna drop when the team of the season comes, but that's not on people's radars right now because we don't know anything about team of the season. That's the next big thing you're gonna hear people talk about in reference to. And yes, a lot of prices will drop from there, but if EA doesn't come out with something next week or the week after, I think this game is gonna start losing its trajectory even though there's a lot of people still at home as the virus starts to get better and more things, the restrictions get released and people can go and do more things, then you're gonna see people transition out of this game. And especially when people have less time, we have a great game called Call of Duty Warzone that is out right now that tons of people are playing. The new Valorant Beta is out, which is gaining a lot of attention. So there's a lot of other games right now that people could be on except other than Foot, except that feel like people are staying on foot just because they have so much time, right? And of course, people are being at home and they have time to play foot and they have time to play Warzone if they really want to. They could play like everything because they just have that time right now. So speaking of foot birthdays and the rest of this week, a lot of you guys maybe bought some foot birthdays on Thursday or on Wednesday before wars and now you're like, bro, I bought Bale at 169 because it was a great price, or 17 flat on Wednesday and now he's 16 flat and he's probably gonna go lower. What's gonna happen with these cards this weekend? I think these cards are gonna go lower from based on the panic sign that I saw today when these cards were announced that we're gonna go back into packs. Some cards are down like lower than what they were in packs. Mooney, Ion's like 130K. Cancelo was back down to 200,000 coins. Are these cards going to be investable? My answer to that is an absolute yes. These cards are gonna be viable. They are gonna rebound. And this is what I wanna tell you, right? They are getting a little bit more supply but these cards are still, they're not rare on the market but they have so much hype holding them up because they're a new card. They link really well. The player selection is fantastic and the weak foot and skills upgrades are really meaningful for in-game. Watch the panic selling on these cards in the next day. I think depending on what kind of content EA releases on Saturday, if we have any sort of a tradable pack supply, as we see that brings supply to this card on the market or to these cards, today we had the Manolis packs, I think were tradable. So that brought some supply because I think a lot of people did Manolis but just keep an eye on these cards because I do think you can use the rise that we saw on these cards after they were out of packs last week as sort of an example going forward, right? If it rose once, it'll rise again. That's my kind of motto with these cards. And look at the ones that rose, right? Lucas Hernandez was 250,000 coins while he was in packs, went to 280, kind of back down to 270. We can link sell-off with the guaranteed foot birthday SBC causing some panic and then boom, 318, 320K. Today before it was known he was gonna be back in packs, the dude was actually 340. He was almost back to 350,000 coins before now being back to 280. As a French center back, we know how many French cards have been put into this team and how much hype there is around the French, the France nationality right now in the foot, I do think some of these cards will rebound. Again, I really do think that they will. I don't know if we're gonna have a promo coming this next week, but since these cards go out of packs on Monday, I'm seriously watching these cards this week and I have a couple ones that I want you to watch as well. Again, if it rose once, it'll rise again. Cancelo, who I was just looking at on inside of foot, right, 198,000 coins. My dude was 230K this morning before 240K this morning before it was announced they were coming back into packs and now he went back down, he's gonna be under 200K. What timeframe are these guys gonna be the lowest? Again, it depends on the pack supply. If we get some tradable pack supply on Saturday and these guys drop, you know, 5, 10%, if you see a dip like that, a 5, 10% dip, that would be a big indication for me that it could be a buy scenario and a buy opportunity because these cards are what people wanna have in their team right now. These are the hype cards in foot and there's a lot of them that rebounded before and again, I think they're gonna rebound again and I really liked set one over set two because of already knowing that they have rebounded, right? This Havertz card, it says right now, he was 350 earlier tonight on Footbin. It says right now that he's 360, he's actually 374. This is one of the most used cards in terms of total games played out of all the foot birthday sets. I kinda like this card. Again, go to Footbin, do a little bit of research if it rose last week, Havertz rose last week, Moonie Iron rose, Lozano rose, Cancelo rose. Some of the top tier players rose as well. If they rose and they've backed off now in price, like Cancelo again was 240,000 coins this morning and now he's 200K. That's a drop off, right? That's a drop off. There's 10,000 coins of tax on this card at 200,000 coins. So at 220K, you're gonna have 11K of tax to worry about. So if you buy this guy this weekend at 190K or below is kinda like my ideal price for Cancelo, 190 or below and he rises back to 220, then boom, you're making 20,000 coins a card easy right there on that flip. So that's why I'm a fan of these cards. I feel like the way that they rose, they can do that again, especially some of the ones that are just hyped up that fill positions that don't have a ton of use in this game right now or don't have a lot of other cards. Like to be honest, Lozano, the right wings in the Serie A, I mean, you've got Polatano, but it's also kind of slim pickings for right wings in the Serie A this year, not a ton of them out there. Right now Lozano shows on foot bin as 91,000 coins. He was, I think he was over 100K earlier today, right? Lozano is 91K and before today, yeah, he was over 100,000 coins on the PlayStation. So this trend is for both consoles. He was 110 this morning. This trend is for both consoles. Use your applicable console. I'll go look at his graph right now. He was 110 on Xbox, 104 on PlayStation this morning. So they're pretty comparable. Lozano is between the consoles, right? Says Lozano was 84K on Xbox earlier tonight. Wow, that's low, man. I would just monitor these cards' prices on Saturday nights into Sunday. A lot of people are gonna be telling you these guys are gonna be their cheapest on Sunday. A lot of people are gonna wanna buy these cards after squad battle rewards because that's gonna be the buy time because people are gonna think, oh, they're gonna get packed from squad battles because they're gonna be at packs and then that'll be our time to buy. There is a little bit of truth to that and there could be a possibility to buy then, but I think a lot of people are gonna invest in these cards and you might wanna get in early. So if you see a significant, you know, five to 10% drop in price, watch the open bids tonight. Saturday night, UK time, late night UK or early morning UK, watch the open bids for people that are finishing Weekend League. I don't think the Weekend League is gonna be on Sunday or the Weekend League sell-off isn't gonna be as concentrated on Sunday this week as it was last week because think about what we had last week. We had the extra player picks available and the objectives for people at 18 wins and at 24 wins. So people who maybe stop at 14, maybe they tried to go to get 18. Maybe people that usually stop at gold one. Maybe they tried to play a few extra games to get that 24 player pick. I think people played more games this last weekend and they might not do it all this weekend. So I think the Weekend League sell-off and the time that you really wanna look at buying these cards might actually be Saturday night and early Sunday instead of late Sunday because by the time late Sunday comes, if you haven't made your buys and if the prices don't go down at all, the prices are just gonna go up because people are gonna start investing in these because these are gonna be very popular cards to invest in, right? Even if it's just a guy like Bale, Bale's dropped 100,000 coins today. He went from one seven to one six. Pugba is one that has dropped a lot and I predicted this guy would be a riser out of packs. I still think that he's gonna be a riser out of packs. He's under 2.3 mil right now, 2.299. He was 2.6 on Wednesday and I thought that was gonna be almost his low. So he has rebounded, or not rebounded, he has dropped to under 2.3. If this guy gets even remotely close to 2 million, that is like one of the biggest buys. If you're somebody that wants to try him out, that's a huge buy because I think he could have an Mbappe-esque price rebound. Not maybe as much as Mbappe but close because Mbappe went from four five to five seven and now the dude is chilling and I think 5.455 ish. It just shows you how hyped some of these cards are and not having a lot of specials in this game. This is the only special version of Pugba. This guy is 5.5 million right now. He was just 5.4 earlier for this football Bbappe. But seriously, watch Pugba if you wanna for your team. Watch Douglas Costa from team two. Are there any specific guys that I would say if you wanna focus on anybody to invest in? Who would I look at from team two? De Costa, Lasagna, to be honest, Eggstein and Theo Hernandez. I like the cheaper guys. I really do because they've shown me that they're getting used a lot. And that tells me that a lot more of the casual user base is using these cards and they want to use them. A Hullet Gang center mid. All eighties in stats, 26,000 games played is 41K. This card looks great statistically. Five star skills, four star weak foot. I don't know how he plays in games. Some people say he's okay but 41K for this card. I mean, I was thinking if I saw this in the thirties that I would get really interested and I am really, really interested because think about it. Let's say you buy five Eggsteens for 37,000 coins, right? That's not a huge investment that doesn't cost you a lot of coins. Five at 37K is like 171K or something like that. 170K ish to dump into this card if you bought five at 37. All you need him to go up, you only need him to go up 3K to make 1K profit from 37 to 40, like the margins that you need these cards to rise on the smaller level is so small. That's why, you know, for the mass buying, there's a lot more possibility for profit in them and especially with me seeing how many games played some of these guys have on the lower tier, the lower priced cards, the cost is another one. If I see this guy at 180, I'm pulling the trigger. Maybe like 170 on the Xbox because they just keep dropping. With the panic selling, with weakening sell-off and with just supply from being in packs, I do think these cards are gonna be investable because there's just so much hype around them. If you wanna buy one for your team, this Lamar as well, man, won 100K for this card, man. 39,000 games played. 39,000 games played, that is by far. 37,000 by Douglas Costa is a close second, but this guy is one of the most used out of for birthday set too. So again, just watch the sell-off of these for birthday cards from Weekend League. Watch the open bids Saturday night. If you wanna buy, let's say you wanna invest in some of these, right? Like let's say you wanna invest in Lamar. And let's say tomorrow he's constantly 100K and a lot of people are, they won't let him drop under 100K, right? Maybe you try to snag a couple of Snipes right at 100. If you can, it looks like that 105, but it's a small undercut as well. Maybe you try to snag a few Snipes at 100K, if you can, and then you wait for rewards. Cause this might be a guy that gets packed a little bit at rewards, right? If you're gonna buy some of these lower tier guys, like maybe a lasagna as well, or lasagna, however you say his name. I just wanna say lasagna, cause everybody likes eating lasagna. This guy's 130K, 127K, wow. This guy was extinct at 200K, by the way. Remember last week, extinct at 200K. But 128K for this card, if I see like 115, 110 maybe, like all it needs to do is go up 6, 7,000 coins and then you're in the profit. Like that's for me the biggest thing with these cards. But it'll get, these cards, the lower tier ones will get packed a little bit at squad battle rewards. That's why I'm saying if you wanna wait till then, maybe buy a couple beforehand and then buy a couple then. But I think a lot of people around the FIVA community are gonna be telling people to buy these cards on Sunday after squad battle rewards. So my advice to you might be look into them earlier, okay? Watch and see what kind of stuff we get today for content on Saturday and on Sunday and then maybe time your buys for some of those then. But I don't think we'll see as big of a week in like sell off this weekend as we did last week because we knew about the party bag SBC last week and that's something that is not gonna be around this week. So I don't think we'll see as massive of a sell off. There might be some sell off in other areas of the market that are non-foot birthday related. And of course, I've course pick up on some of those because with no content coming this week, and I'll talk about this in my market outlook video, that'll go up tomorrow, oh no, that'll go up on Monday. I'll talk about this in my video tomorrow probably that Sunday night where we can sell off buys are really, really great for Thursday flips because the market's been rising during the week because people are selling their cards for week in league and then they slowly start to buy back as we get SBCs and as we get more content on foot in the weeks, mid week with whatever stuff is coming out. So that's kind of how I feel about the state of the foot birthdays. Again, I'm just not a fan of them being put back into packs but it is what it is, EA's trying to grab the money. And at least we got a nice SBC today. I think Manolis is solid value. There was some sell off on some of the Serie A centerbacks. Just be, if you want to look into some of those, those are, it's a possibility, but Serie A isn't the most hyped up league this year. I mean, it's just Prem, it's French. Think about all the meta guys in this game, Ben Yetter and Bapé, Kante, you know, guys like that. It's Prem. Those are like the big time links in this game but this did cause some market movements and this is a good value SBC. It really is. If you want to do this one, go for it. 200,000 coins with inflated 84 and 85 rated price. How is this one at expiration date? Five days remaining. You know what? I might just wait on it man because Pope is going to go away. The team of the week SBC is going to go away and that will probably drop some of the 84 and 85 prices because there just will just be less demand for them. And especially when the 86 plus, the foot 20 SBC, when does this go away? Two days? Yeah, if you're going to do Manolis, unless you've already got cards in the club, I would wait to do this until he's almost out of packs because I do think he'll be lower as we go on later this week. I might end up crafting him from doing 80 plus upgrades, we'll see. But yeah, boys, probably I rambled a little bit on that video talking about these full birthday cards but hopefully you enjoyed it. Smash your thumbs up if you did. Comment down below if you have any questions and hit that sub button man, we're almost at 10K which is really cool. So if you want to be a part of that, that would be sweet as well. I'll be back with streaming live tomorrow on Twitch as well, check that link in the description and of course I'll be here with a YouTube upload per usual for your Sunday, all right? Have a good Saturday boys. I will catch you guys later. It's been Nate the Foot Accountant, peace out.