 Tonight's MOB slate is what I would deem to be unbalanced because there are just two pitchers I want to use despite there being nine games so 18 total starters only two of them I actually want to use in DFS for tonight, but there are nine different teams I would be okay stacking so it's a weird situation where I think that I mean This is the way I tend to play things in general But I think that you want to build heavily around two pitchers Differentiate a bit with the stacks and it actually builds well and that's what you do want to play things in general for DFS So I think despite the fact there are not a lot of pitchers. I want to use It's still a slate that I feel pretty comfortable with for tonight's let's dive on in and get you set for Mondays And they'll be DFS slate welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan duo podcast network and number fire comm my name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for a number fire comm here to break down today's nine game MLB DFS main slate would lock set for 705 for tonight And there are some weather notes on this slate starting off with some wind in New York and in Boston a Yankee Stadium For the Yankees and the Angels winds are out to left field at 10 miles per hour. It's also 87 degrees and humid so Really good conditions for hitters in New York for today similar situation in Boston with the winds out to center at 10 miles per hour So upgrade hitters for the Yankees Angels Red Sox and Royals due to weather for tonight There is a chance of rain in Chicago for the twins in the White Sox the rain odds aren't all that high But they are consistent like it's around 30 percent throughout the entire game So I check back on that one later on same thing in St. Louis for the Diamondbacks and the Cardinals I would guess that they play but check back on that one later as well Well updates on weather later on today and also we can talk through all these delicious stacks You can ask me about additional pitchers We may want that's in the 4 p.m. Stream on the Fandle YouTube Twitch Facebook and Twitter pages But we had a lot of fun last week doing the betting segment after so we're gonna bring Aaron Dolan back For this week as well at 4 30 talking NBA betting I'll be talking about tonight's game between the Suns and the Clippers that is tonight So make sure you tune in 4 p.m. For MLB DFS 4 30 for Aaron talking betting that is all on the number fire For the Fandle YouTube Twitch Facebook and Twitter pages, so make sure you are subscribed there and While you're there make sure you follow and also if you're watching YouTube hit the like button there because that does help us out Quite a bit as well speaking of the NBA a basketball fans The NBA conference finals are here and Fandle is offering a special new user bonus place a bet on any single team's Moneyline and you will receive exclusive 30 to 1 odds for that wager All you do is set over to Fandle Sportsbook create an account and take advantage of this amazing NBA playoff odds boost Maximum bet of $5 must be 21 plus and present in Colorado Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania Tennessee Virginia or West Virginia new users only $10 first deposit required max bonus $150 restrictions apply Seafold terms at sportsbook.fandle.com gambling problem call 1 800 gambler in Colorado 1 800 5 2 2 4700 in Iowa 1 800 bets off in Indiana 1 800 9 with it for confidential help in Michigan Call 1 800 2 7 0 7 1 1 7 in Tennessee call the red line at 1 888 9 9 7 8 9 or in West Virginia visit 1 800 gambler net pitching preview for this Monday main slade Trevor Bauer is the highest a salaried pitcher on Fandle He checks in at $11,000 with Lucas Geolito facing the twins at $9,800 Freddie Peralta facing the Cubs is $9,500 Kyle Hendricks in that same game facing the Brewers $9,300 then Zach Renke Anthony DeSclifani and Danny Duffy are the others at $8,000 or higher now Looking at this slate the only two guys who I actually want to use are Freddie Peralta and Lucas Geolito We'll talk about Bauer and things to watch all the value plays kind of stink But I do think that's Peralta and Geolito were interesting for the same reason It's because they've been good all year But also especially since the sticky stuff discussion began so I like them both a lot here I'm gonna give the edge to Peralta at $9,500 Peralta is facing the Cubs and They're not a bad offense But they're below average versus right is a 93 WRC plus and they do strike out They have a 26% strikeout rate versus righties this year based on their current active roster that is good for opposing pitchers upside You want strikeouts for the opposing team? Peralta has upside by himself. He has had his spin rate go down a Noticable amount in this time. So it's worth noting that for sure not sure why that's the case Don't want to make any accusations, but regardless Peralta is navigating around it pretty well He has made four starts with the decreased spin rate and in that time Peralta has a 34% strikeout rates with a 3.30 skill interactive. Yeah, right He also had double-digit strikeouts his last time out Which of course obviously came when they were checking pitchers during games that game was against Arizona So you can probably write that one off But he also had two starts can Cincinnati that stretch and they are a better offense than Chicago He went 11 innings combined in those three star or two starts allowed three earned runs with 12 strikeouts So even against a better offense in the in the Reds Peralta was still really good the Cubs haven't seen Peralta in a while they have seen him three times but they all have them back in April and Peralta was good in all three matchups. He had at least seven strikeouts each time He had no more than two earned runs and he's pitching great right now So I think that Freddie Peralta has done more than enough to be the top pitcher on this slate You also get to discount $9,500 Given that I want to stack the Astros spoiler alert. I think that I will take those salary savings So Peralta to me at $9,500 a guy I do like quite a bit Now I'm very okay with Geolito as being the number two option here And I think to me he is definitively number two above the rest the big difference for me between Peralta and Geolito is The matchup Geolito is facing the twins and they're better than the Cubs overall with a 104 WRC plus against righties and they strike out less the 23% clip So it is a worse spot for Geolito than it is for Peralta And that's not for me to put Peralta first and Geolito second But that very much does not push Geolito off the map. That's largely because Geolito is If we're looking at this from a talent perspective on the same level as Peralta across 15 starts this year Geolito has a 3.43 skill interactive ERA with a 31% strike hour Now that's a full season But we do want to zero in on the month of June the strike area for Geolito actually goes up to 33% His walk rate goes down to 5% which is weird. It's it's encouraging, but it's weird That's in part due to plus matchups because Geolito has faced the Pirates once and the Tigers twice in addition to the Rays so if we're looking at Worst matchups for DFS in this time This is probably the worst one Geolito has had and it could lead to a down tick and it likely will I just don't think that down tick will be enough to make Geolito a bad play or worse than any of the other pitchers on tonight's slate I like what I've seen from Geolito all year long We have not seen a huge down tick since the rule change So Peralta could always stumble and he does have some hard contact and the Cubs have some big boppers So I think that that could lead to some leeway here Geolito gets a ton of leash with his pitch counts So it's very possible Geolito is the top scoring guy in the slate. So I want a good amount of both I would say They're probably the only two guys that will use tonight. So if I were allocating exposures, I would say 6040 in favor of Peralta maybe 55 45 somewhere in that ring It's not a huge gap between them But it is big enough where I can say pretty firmly that I'll be on Peralta over Geolito for tonight again Check back on the weather for the twins game the White Sox game because there is some rain there But as of right now I'm expecting that game to be good to go So that's the way I want to play things a pitcher for tonight just build around those two guys Peralta and Geolito and concentrate my exposure there I Am gonna talk about Anthony DiSclifani is my top value for tonight I feel obligated to give you a lower sourd option if you want to use it But I also want to make abundantly clear that I am not gonna use it. I do not think it is worth it So to be clear I am not going to use Anthony DiSclifani and I don't want to mislead you in that But if I'm listing up the top value option, he would be that and the reason I think that is that he's been pitching pretty well recently He has had decreased movements over his past four starts which coincides with these sticky stuff discussion But it's weirdly made him more effective He has a 3.37 skill interactive. Yeah, right with a 27% strikeout rates and a 4% walk rate DiSclifani is also keeping bad at balls and check which hasn't always been true before this It does seem like he's benefited from the schedule because DiSclifani's faced the Cubs the Nationals and the Diamondbacks And none of those teams are great The counterpoint though is that he faced the Angels last week and he was very good there with nine strikeouts over seven shutout innings Which means that it's within his range of outcomes to have a very good game for tonight So you can definitely justify using DiSclifani as a result of this It just doesn't really fit my style if he were facing a teen not named the Dodgers I might be there, but he is facing the Dodgers. So I'm not so to me It's basically just Peralta and G Lido for tonight and by basically I mean it literally is just those two I might go some DiSclifani if the weather for Geolito worsens But as of right now just Peralta and Geolito and then if you need a value play DiSclifani But for me doesn't quite fit what I want for tonight So we're playing things pretty tight at pitcher for today, which allows us differentiate a bit at hitter There is one stack though that does stand out quite a bit to me and it's a stack that Might be tough to get to with Peralta if you use Peralta as your pitcher Your remaining salary for batters is 31 88 per batter, which isn't super high But I do think it's enough for you to stack the Astros It just means we'll need to find a value stack to pair with them for today And I think that we can find that later on so the Astros the top option for stacking again for tonight We're facing thomas echelman again They saw him last week in baltimore and echelman struggled there He led up six runs across four innings with just one strike out his swinging strike rate there was 3.8 percent And it's not just one rough star for echelman He had a 6.41 e r a in triple a before he got called up and all this is in line With what happened to him last year too It's going to be tough for echelman to turn things around here Especially facing houston for a second straight start now going on the road It isn't a great park factor for tonight because they'll likely have the roof closed But it's still a situation where I think the astros Make a lot of sense It will be kind of tough to stack the astros with peralta And it's certainly not a necessity because there are a lot of good options for today But I do want to at least give it a shot. The big question here is whether A $3,000 salary can get me to budge on my no euliguriel versus righty's creed I almost exclusively use gouriel against lefty's because against righty says iso is 132 Which is basically half of what it is against lefty's I think in here I can make an exception because it's just too good of a salary to get exposure To this specific offense and it's not like gouriel is incapable of upside So if you use abraham toro at $2,700 and gouriel at $3,000 You can get two studs in there with peralta I'd prefer kyle pucker at $3,300 over gouriel even though tucker will likely be lower in the order So straight up if you give me, you know The same same or the same ability to use bold I would take tucker But I think it is worth mentioning that gouriel I am less opposed to him than usual And if I have to use him with tucker in order to jam in the stack I will I think it is worth worthwhile For two nights lifting my no eulig versus righty's creed for this one slate One potential route for saving salary here is stacking the royals They are facing gara richards and it's very very clear He is struggling without the sticky stuff and it's not like he's hiding it He's been very vocal in his opposition to this new enforcement And So like we can just say yeah, he's probably a victim of this But it's not making his results any better Richard's is at four starts since this all blew up his skill interactive era is 5.43 He has a 13% strikeout rate with a 10% walk rate and With the worst part is he's allowing hard contact a whopping 64% of the ton. Lady yard is about 39% He is well above that Richards is still getting some ground balls But it doesn't matter with how bad everything else has been The one saving grace for richards here is that he's finally facing a non top-notch team He has faced the rays braves blue jays and yankees in this four start sample The royals are very much not on that level. It's a big step down here. So If richards were to turn it around post sticky stuff discussion, it could wind up being here But I am willing to roll out the royals here regardless To save the salary and the big guy to help here is ryan o' herne He is $2,700 and likely to bat in the middle of the lineup He has a 250 iso versus righty's this year at some pop last year too He does strike out But that's not as big of an issue with richards starting as with most other pitchers So I would start my royal stack there. Jorge solar cutting back on his strikeouts this month. That's a good thing He's 29 hundred dollars. So If you start with those guys solar o' herne It should make it easier to get up to the astros for your second stack along with peralta for today For the final stack, I want to go to yankee stadium. The yankees are facing dylan bundy and bundy is I wouldn't classify him as a spin rate decreaser There may be that too But the more noticeable and more impactful thing for bundy is that his velocity is on the decline That's not tied to sticky stuff sticky stuff increases movement Velocity is something else and that's led to some really rough outings for bundy So I want to stack against him here bundy's velocity has been down for his past five starts now He has a 5.21 skill interactive era with a 15 strikeout rate And he's allowing hard contact 51 percent of the time as mentioned with richards league average around 39 percent 51 percent Pretty scary all those starts for bundy have come out west or in average or worse park factors for batting And his era is still 8.10 in that time He lit up four runs twice and seven runs once Now he goes to new york to face the yankees in hot temperatures and with the winds blowing out I'm worried about what could happen here for bundy. I like bundy. He's pretty fun But it's a it's a rough situation for sir for sure We have reason to believe that this downtick for bundy is legit due to the decrease velocity and now you put him in a Tough spot for pitching and I want to stack the yankees as a result for tonight With bundy, we can go to either righties or lefties, which is a good thing given the Composition of the yankees lineup right now. So luke void once again top value guy here He is $2,600. He's up to a 205 iso against righties across 48 plate appearances this year He's a good enough since he returned from the il So I think that you start there with luke voids and then kind of see what you need G or ishella is in play as a value once again, or I guess a quasi value $3,000 But plug in those guys see what you have to work with there gary sanchez also willing to use him versus righties now So I do think the yankees easy to get to you for today In terms of stacking with freddy peralta. So let's finish up here with things to watch I'll talk about the other stacking options in a second. But first let's give an update on trevor bower He is up to four starts since the sticky stuff discussion. His strikeout rate is 30% That is lower than peralta and g elito in this time and he also has given up more walks He's given up more impactful contact against him in this time So bower can still have big games, which he did last time out. I mean from a dfs perspective He's had two of those now and four starts in this time. So he's not like a bad pitcher But he's not worth 11,000 dollars, especially against a team like the giants so if I were ranking out pitchers for today bower would rank third But He's higher salary than them. I feel better about them. So to me it really is about g elito and peralta Bower would be number three above dsclifani if I were deciding who I wanted to use But I really again, I think I'm just going to build around those two guys for tonight Now let's talk about the other stacks because there are again nine We've talked through three so far the other ones you could go to include the tigers angels cleveland diamondbacks nationals and cardinals so a lot And that's probably the order I'd rank them in if we're going straight up here The tigers are facing elie morgan. They could be another place for some value Morgan is getting strikeouts. He's had a 28 clip in those three starts. That's why I preferred the royals over the tigers from a value perspective, but Everything else that morgan's done so far is perfect for stacking including the results He's gotten both in triple a and in the majors So a keel badu really good value option here for the tigers if he's in there So I think that that's where I would go for other value outside of the royals is check out the tigers Another potential spot could be arizona. I know they're bad, but they're facing wade leblanc. He is Going into the rotation now with With the movement that they've had inside that rotation and I'm not sure if he's actually improvement over john gantt, but leblanc not necessarily great in the bullpen He also was not a shut down guy as a starter last year I could see stacking arizona It's kind of hard to know who will play here because catel marté has been in and out of the line up with injuries Eduardo eskibar might be traded by the time you listen to this so Those are the top guys we'd want here, but I don't know if they'll play Might be able to get christian walker as a one-off at $2,800, but first base between a herne voight And goriel pretty loaded for tonight. So I think they're an option If you can get to the angels like if you if you find a value play you like or if you don't want to go The astros the angels a really good option against king in new york That's where I'd probably go there for a second high salary option for today So astros top high salary stack followed by maybe the yankees and then the angels Value stacks royals and tigers for today I think that's where i'm seeing the the best spots among the the abundant Stacking options for today. We'll talk more about that during the 4 p.m. Stream So make sure you swing by here at 4 p.m. Eastern to check out the mlb q and a I forgot to do my Dinger picks for today. So let's get those in now These are not researched ahead of time because I forgot but let's do these because I do want to make this a habit going forward I do want a yankee. So i'm probably going to go with Aaron judge as the boring pick Aaron judge is the boring pick and the more more fun pick for today Let's go with badu a keel badu against uh, or sorry. No, it's a keel badu against elie morgan I think that's the value one or the more fun one for today So the boring one is erin judge the fun one is a keel badu against elie morgan Those are the dinger picks for today And if I forget to do the dinger picks here just bug me about it during the 4 p.m. Stream We'll get them in their youtube twitch facebook and twitter the fangirl accounts there Make sure to subscribe also hit the like button on youtube before watching there right now I appreciate those of you who have done so already Also, make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast seed PGA podcast coming up tomorrow with myself and brandon gajula breaking down the rocket mortgage classic Letting you know which golfers we are on there for pga dfs on fan duel We of course have uh, no ufc this week because they're off due to the holiday But nascar back for road america on friday as well big. Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today Appreciate it as always good luck to you tonight. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow This has been the solo shot right here on the fan duel podcast network