 and to talk about some of the action let's jump over to our man teddy keg stat folks you can read teddy's outstanding newsletter the tiger for x report every monday morning he puts out updates throughout the week when warranted you can check that out right under the newsletter tab at tfnn you try it out it's ninety seven dollars it comes with a thirty day money back guarantee you got a couple webinars you get in there as well so try that out folks and don't forget he's got a couple of great webinars under the services tab as well if you're into candlestick charting teddy's written an outstanding book on candlesticks he did a webinar for us japanese candlestick pattern stock and option strategies and he's also got one on calendar stock option spreads in the services section check those out but we're gonna talk some action today teddy keg stat good morning morning tommy uh... boy where do you want to kick things off it seems like the trend is intact from the last time we talked we got yields dropping uh... we got the market trading higher and we got a little bit of weakness in that dollar where do you want to kick things off teddy uh... well you know everything you just said is actually happening right now in the marketplace that's for sure uh... you know i think right now you gotta look at these markets in the corrective phase still and i think that the levels that we hit yesterday and today especially and we get some key areas so i think we're really what you have to look at now is what happens after today so i think that the the points that we've trended either up into or down into in the various effects crosses right now are are very key areas i think you can see either some stability or on their critical levels that if we take those out uh... then we're starting to look at these uh... what is i think a corrective phase it may not necessarily be a corrective phase anymore so we were kind of at a very good inflection point right now you mentioned some of those pairings which ones you want to jump to i mean i was jumping around as you doing it for the euro so i'm quite a trend right now even a little bit of a rollover on the dollar yen although that one not quite as as dramatic uh... parents are you looking at the most i know you say that you know the dollar index is a basket but sometimes that basket is behaving a little bit differently within it which ones you really looking at that uh... well i'd like the uh... the high in the pound today i think that's a critical area i think also the euro u s dollar it's just shy of a very good uh... price target and these are these are key areas where i think that uh... it's it wouldn't surprise me to see a little bit of a pullback and see a little strength in the dollar uh... we had a cell signal in the yield curve on friday that was negated yesterday so but not by much it's it's hovering so the yields aren't exactly retreating you know they're kind of just buffering it up against resistance so they're not like piercing through that area trying to push the trend and i think you really have to be observant of that like normally you know yields are good indicator of especially affects movement and right now they're kind of stalling so i think that in this where we're at now we're kind of at that inflection point where the currencies are breaking away from the yield five function uh... and but the thing is you can't break away that much so if the yields just stay where they're at if they're not going to continue to be in retreat it's gonna be very hard for u s dollar to be under pressure you know so i'd be very cautious right now especially if you see any type of uptick in the old it's gonna be very likely that you'll see a snap back in these and that in the various currency pairs versus the dollar yeah the moves in pretty dramatic and we're under four point three percent right now in the ten year on we started over five percent and so is that part of the discussion there just in terms of the dramatic move we've had seven tenths percent on a ten year man quite the pullback and we are just pulled up the ten years we're talking by no you look at the thirty years well a lot but pretty interesting on on a price basis the tenure basically back to that low in march almost like the ticket a little there of one ten twelve and we're one ten twelve so we're running into some resistance on a couple levels but is that really part of that conversation just the the size of the move so quickly in yields from above five to four point three absolutely you're nailing it on the head right there and especially like when you look at the ten year in the shorter term rates you know and they drive interest rates in the short run and they're pretty stretched you know i mean is the market here are people happy with yields in retreat of course they are you know especially with you know the uptick that we've had over the last year and a half but if you really look at it on a proportionate basis you know it's just a minor pullback right now you know and also you still have to look at it like you said if you're at march levels and you think about what's happened since then unless we truly go to a pausing or dovish stance odds are that we're pretty much at the cap of where we're going to be you know as far as the retreat on on the yields right now you know so it's just that the fundamentals in the technicals don't add up for any type of extended rally you know i'm sure that anyone that if they're looking to buy a home or something like that a refinance of finance if they haven't you know they're hoping for a christmas gift in any of having lower yields trend into the year which very way meant may happen but we have to really watch those numbers if we have any inflationary numbers that you know stick out you're gonna see i think the yields really rally very quickly you know so i think it's very sensitive right now you know so it is far where we are at right now you know i mean everybody wants you know are things you know consensus-wise is that the fed is done i would be very careful calling that may you know that that shot you know never try and pick a top or a bottom in i don't know about you how things are in florida but i go to the store to like everyone else in i don't know where this down taken inflation is because prices at the store aren't going down they're going up you know gases regal relatively stable but uh... i don't know anything out there that doesn't cost at least fifty to one hundred or more percent more than it did just two years ago nothing's coming down you know so unless we see a retraction in pricing you know and i'm not saying necessarily deflation but just some sort of retraction uh... uh... where is this illusion that inflation is disappeared you know so i think it's just not we don't have that force of inflation like we had in twenty twenty one in twenty twenty two you know uh... so but just because the velocity isn't there doesn't mean that inflation is disappeared it's just a shock value i think is gone you know and i i think you really have to be mindful of that yes it's gonna be interesting to see how people try and get over that hump in the same way that you know you hear inflation is falling in that's really not the case they just want to get back just wanted to get back to where it's just going up by two percent of the numbers were dealing with and so people uh... are going to be facing some higher prices going forward man be interesting to see how the fed may you know meanders that uh... as well you talked about crud you talked about gas what do you think of the price accrued man little volatility we're stuck in the seventies right now but crude up a bit off of the recent lows pushing seventy six ninety four my chart yes well right now especially if the people who read the tiger for support know that crud is right on our directional pit pivot level so we fell below that this that's basically seventy seven dollar seventy seven and a quarter level and i think that it above that that's a very good support line you know if we can hold below that i wouldn't say it's bearish but i think you can show bobble in the seventy seven to seventy dollar range but above seventy seven i like it going back up to like eighty five ninety dollars if we can sustain that trade you know i mean i think that because we've had you know the uh... with a calling a prisoner exchange which is really more of a ransom exchange going on in the middle east i think that's kind of put a pause on oil you know because of that um... but the tensions haven't stopped what's going on in the middle east let alone globally so i'd be very mindful of that of that when it comes to oil and i would be looking for more of an uptick in oil in a down take and we will see man i definitely appreciate that price of the pump i'm sure we all do in the face of some pretty lofty uh... as you said that's the one thing right now that sticks out for short tennie i appreciate the time as always man it's always a quick nine minutes folks check out the tiger forks report check out those outstanding webinars tennie has under the services tab and uh... we'll talk to you next week and i was quick nine minutes i appreciate as always thanks to me thanks daddy folks check it out we'll be back to finish up the program don't go away